Luca Bartelot : Impact of COVID-19 on European Covered Bond and Mortgage Markets

Impact of Covid19 on European Covered Bond and Mortgage Markets

14 May 2020

STRATEGY Establishment of Joint EMF-ECBC Task Force (2nd April) Two time horizons: - Short term: analyse the impacts on mortgage and covered bond markets, compile relevant national, European and international measures, and gather critical statistics.

- Medium/long term: identify market best practices and solutions with a view to delivering market coordination and support to a future recovery plan.

Maintain a dynamic dialogue with EMF-ECBC members in Europe and globally, as well as European and international institutions and organisations.

More than 40 participants from 16 different jurisdictions representing funding and retail sides of the market as well as rating agencies and investment banks.

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DELIVERABLES EMF-ECBC Covid19 Task Force deliverables At the time of writing the Task Force has already delivered: • Dynamic Monitoring Report of measures taken in the context of Covid19 (updated weekly, here); • Collation of Key Priorities on funding and lending; • First Contribution to Recovery Plan; • Next steps.

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DYNAMIC MONITORING REPORT EMF-ECBC Covid19 Task Force Dynamic Monitoring Report

It gathers the main actions taken by governments and the industry in the different jurisdictions, covering the retail and funding side, that have been taken to support the economy. Some takeaways: • 19 out of the 26 (73% of the sample) jurisdictions covered by the report have introduced some kind of payment holiday or moratoria; • Most of the countries have as well introduced different State Guarantee Schemes; • The largest number of measures are capital related measures.

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RECOVERY PLAN EMF-ECBC First Contribution to Joint EU Recovery Plan The first contribution identifies Areas of Strategic Importance for the Recovery Plan from Capital Markets & Sustainability:

• Covered bonds supporting the recovery through long term financing of mortgage, public sector & ESG assets; • European Secured Notes providing financing for SMEs and green & infrastructure assets; • Energy Efficient Mortgages & Green Recovery – EEM Label.

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SOME FIGURES 1/3 of Europeans unable to face unexpected financial expenses Since its peak in 2012 reaching 40% the ability to handle unexpected expenses (surgery, replacement washing machine or car etc) improved at 32% (until before Covid-19).

Worst hit are single persons with dependent children, least hit are households with 2 adults of which one with 65 y +.

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SOME FIGURES

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