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‘Russian aggression in Ukraine in 2022 provided an unwelcome reminder to many that war has not disappeared as a tool of statecraft, although most in Ukraine needed no reminding of that fact given that they first experienced Russian invasion in 2014. The ability of Ukraine to withstand the Russian attack, to inflict heavy casualties and later to liberate significant parts of their country caught many by surprise (not least the Russians). This book examines in detail the character and conduct of the war to date and offers important insight into the nature of modern war across all warfighting domains. The author explains how Ukraine has managed to break away from the limitations of old Soviet military culture to develop and sustain resilient fighting power. This is an important book for anyone who wishes to understand the current war in Ukraine. It will also be very useful to anyone interested in the evolution of war today and into the future, the central point about resilience has relevance far beyond Ukraine.’

Speller, Maynooth University, Ireland

‘Although it might be too early to talk about lessons learned from the war in Ukraine, this book nonetheless gives us both a framework and content for understanding why Russia failed in its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. These are two countries that share the same Soviet doctrinal past. Still, Ukraine has managed to take advantage of relevant conceptual lessons from the Soviet doctrine, Western best practices, and consequent NATO standardisation of the military for the requirements of modern warfare. Ukraine has learned and adapted. The book is structured in a manner to encourage learning. It is a must-read for academics, civilian and military practitioners who want to improve their understanding of both the war in Ukraine and warfare in general and the need for building resilience into one’s society and military as a part of that. This is simply an outstanding and timely book that I highly recommend.’

Karl Erik Haug, Head of the Department of Modern History and Society, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Norway

‘This book is both a timely and an important assessment of why Russia has failed to coerce and control Ukraine after its initial aggression in 2014 and subsequent large-scale invasion in February 2022. Fedorchak compares the Russian and Ukrainian military systems and approaches to warfare. She also explains how robust resilience has evolved to become an inherent characteristic of the Ukrainian state, military and society. The framework and concept of resilient fighting power is a key aspect of her analysis. Fedorchak’s comprehensive book is an excellent early evaluation with many lessons to ponder for NATO and in fact all states neighbouring Russia.’

Col. (Ret’d) Per Erik Solli, Senior Defence Analyst, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI), Norway

‘The Russian war against the Ukraine has been going on for 8 years and has gone through several phases. The last being the high-kinetic war since February 2022. The Ukrainian resistance to the Russian invasion has filled the world with admiration as well as brought strong material and vocal support. We have seen the use of new technology on a massive scale, but have at the same time witnessed an almost World War I fighting in Donbas. This book by Dr Fedorchak is an analysis of the experiences from this war. She lands in many interesting conclusions, several of them actually point in the direction of a return to concepts from the Cold War. It is for instance seen the return of mass armies combined with what has been called “fifth generation warfare”. This illustrates the need for a broad as well as deep understanding of warfare. The book also highlights the need for morale and civilian resilience, the importance of ingenuity, military use of civilian resources and international support. The conclusion by Dr Fedorchak is an important contribution to the state of the art of warfare. It shows that war does not follow singlefile theory or general expectations. Instead, it calls for more comprehensive studies of the Russia-Ukraine war, to be used in future conflicts.’

Defence University, Sweden

THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR

This book provides a systematic analysis of the Russian-Ukraine war, using the concept of resilient fighting power to assess the operational performance of both sides during the first year of the full-scale invasion.

The Russian war in Ukraine began in 2014 and continued for eight years, before the full-scale invasion of 24 February 2022. It is not a new war, but the intensity of the warfighting revived many discussions about the conduct of inter-state warfare, which has not been seen in Europe for decades. This book does not aim to offer an exhaustive operational analysis of the war, but rather provides a preliminary systematic analysis across various domains of warfare using the concept of fighting power to assess the operational performance of both sides. First, the book discusses the conceptual component and the post-Cold War adaptations of the Soviet strategic tradition by both the Ukrainian and the Russian Armed Forces. Following that, it gives an evaluation of the various aspects of warfighting in the land, air, maritime and cyber domains. Then, the book examines the role of international allied assistance, sanctions and weapons delivery in strengthening the resilience of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The book concludes with some comments on the role of inter-state warfare in the current strategic environment and future warfare.

This book will be of much interest to students of military and strategic studies, defence studies, foreign policy, Russian studies and international relations.

Viktoriya Fedorchak is a lecturer in War Studies at the Swedish Defence University. She is the author of British Air Power (2018) and Understanding Contemporary Air Power (2020).

Routledge Advances in Defence Studies

Routledge Advances in Defence Studies is a multi-disciplinary series examining innovations, disruptions, counter-culture histories, and unconventional approaches to understanding contemporary forms, challenges, logics, frameworks, and technologies of national defence. This is the first series explicitly dedicated to examining the impact of radical change on national security and the construction of theoretical and imagined disruptions to existing structures, practices, and behaviours in the defence community of practice. The purpose of this series is to establish a first-class intellectual home for conceptually challenging and empirically authoritative studies that offer insight, clarity, and sustained focus.

Series editors: Timothy Clack, University of Oxford, UK, and Oliver Lewis Rebellion Defence and University of Southern California, USA

Advisory Board: Tarak Barkawi London School of Economics, UK; Richard Barrons Global Strategy Forum, UK; Kari Bingen-Tytler Center for Strategic and International Studies, USA; Ori Brafman University of California, Berkeley, USA; Tom Copinger-Symes British Army, UK; Karen Gibsen Purdue University, USA; David Gioe West Point, USA; Robert Johnson Oxford University, UK; Mara Karlin John Hopkins University, USA; Tony King Warwick University, UK; Benedict Kite, British Army, UK; Andrew Sharpe Centre for Historical and Conflict Research, UK; Suzanne Raine Cambridge University, UK.

The Russia-Ukraine War Towards Resilient Fighting Power Viktoriya Fedorchak

For more information about this series, please visit: www.routledge.com/Routledge-Advances-inDefence-Studies/book-series/RAIDS

THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE

WAR Towards Resilient Fighting Power

Viktoriya Fedorchak

Designed cover image: © Getty images

First published 2024 by Routledge

4 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN and by Routledge

605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158

Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business © 2024 Viktoriya Fedorchak

The right of Viktoriya Fedorchak to be identified as author of this work has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

ISBN: 978-1-032-39841-9 (hbk)

ISBN: 978-1-032-39843-3 (pbk)

ISBN: 978-1-003-35164-1 (ebk)

DOI: 10.4324/9781003351641

Typeset in Times New Roman by Newgen Publishing UK

Who we are and where we are going to…

For Ukraine, the land of free people…

For Ukrainian people, with deep roots in Ukrainian soil…

For Ukrainian land, liberated and blooming…

For Ukrainian skies, free and peaceful…

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This was not an easy book to write. Hence, the assistance of people who were there for me in various ways is of great importance. I am grateful to my Air Operations Division at the Swedish Defense University, who welcomed me to their community a year ago. I am exceptionally grateful to Per Hård af Segerstad for the soft landing and welcoming working environment; Rikard Niva for the numerous conversations that kept my spirits high; Emil Walter for introducing me to the Swedish air power; and Daniel Smith for understanding and the important work he does for the Ukrainian military. Special thanks to the civilian and military leadership of the university for the warm welcome and supporting me throughout this year.

I am grateful to my editors and publishing team for making this project happen despite the restrained time frames and challenging circumstances. I would like to thank the reviewers of my initial book proposal for redirecting my energy in the right direction.

Most of all, I am grateful to my mother, Fedorchak Olga Semenivna, who was with me every step of the way.

Dr Viktoriya Fedorchak

DISCLAIMER

Views expressed in this monograph are the author’s alone, and do not represent the official positions of the Swedish Defence University and the Swedish government.

ABBREVIATIONS

ADP Army Doctrinal Publication Operations

AEW Airborne Early Warning

AI Artificial Intelligence

AJP Allied Joint Doctrine (Allied Joint Operations)

AOR Area of Responsibility

APC Armoured Personnel Carriers

ASW Anti-Submarine Warfare

ATACMS Army Tactical Missile System

ATO Anti-Terrorist Operation

ATV All-Terrain Vehicles

AWACS Airborne Warning & Control System

A2AD Anti-Access and Area Denial Capabilities

BDA Battle Damage Assessment

BTG Battalion Tactical Group

C2 Command and Control

C3I Command and control, Communications and Intelligence

C4ISR Command, Control, Communications, Computers (C4) Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR)

CAR Conflict Armament Research

CAS Close Air Support

CGS Chief of General Staff

CINC Commander in Chief

COIN Counterinsurgency

EEZ Exclusive Economic Zone

EPF European Peace Facility

FSB Russian Federal Security Service

xiv List of abbreviations

GRU Chief Intelligence Office (abbreviation used both in Ukraine and Russia)

HARM High-Speed Anti-Radiation Missiles

HIMARS High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems

HUMINT Human Intelligence

IDCC International Donor Coordination Centre

IFV Infantry Fighting Vehicles

IFU International Fund for Ukraine

ISR Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance

ISTAR Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance

ISW Institute of the Study of War

JCC Joint Coordination Centre

JFO Joint Force Operation

MDI Multidomain Integration

MANPADS Man-Portable Air-Defense Systems

MMCM Maritime Mine Counter Measures

MOD Ministry of Defence (UK)

MP Member of Parliament (UK)

NAFO North Atlantic Fellas Organization

NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organisation

NCO Non-Commissioned Officer

NEC Network Enabling Capability

NFZ No-Fly Zones

NGO Non-Governmental Organisation

NGW New Generation of Warfare

NLAW Next generation Light Anti-tank Weapon

NSA NATO Standardized Agency

NSDC National Security and Defence Council (of Ukraine)

OSINT Open-Source Intelligence

PGM Precision-Guided Munition

PMC Private Military Company

POW Prisoners Of War

PSO Peace Support Operations

RAAM Remote Anti-Armor Mine

RAF Royal Air Force

RPV Remotely Piloted Vehicle

SAR Search and Rescue

SBU Ukrainian law enforcement

SOF Special Operations Forces

SSSCIP State Service of Special Communications and Information Protection of Ukraine

TDF Territorial Defence Forces

TOW Tube-Launched, Optically-Tracked, Wire-Guided

UAF Ukrainian Armed Forces

UAV Unmanned Air Vehicle

UDCG Ukraine Defence Contact Group

UkrAF Ukrainian Air Force

UCAV Unmanned Combat Air Vehicle

USAF United States Air Force

USV Unmanned Sea Vehicles

UUV Unmanned Undersea Vehicles

VDV Russian Airborne Forces

WMD Weapons of Mass Destruction

INTRODUCTION

Russia’s illegal war in Ukraine has lasted for more than nine years. In the perception of the global audience, the events of the annexation of Crimea, followed by the more kinetic war of 2014–2015, are remembered the most. The Minsk Agreements froze the conflict for wider international audiences, with the common perception of a ceasefire to be agreed on and implemented. However, the reality was ‘less fire than ceasefire,’ and the warfighting continued in the East for eight years, culminating in the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022. Living through historical events has a distinctive effect on societies and how these events are perceived. Systematic understanding of historical events requires both taking into account perspectives and assessments during those events (or relatively so) and analysis of the future scholars that have the advantage of distancing themselves more from the events, people and the entire preceding eras.

This book is intended to serve several purposes. It explains differences in the construction of the fighting power of the two sides, paying attention to various units, force cohesion, different technologies and different developments across domains. The book shows various factors in sustaining the resilience of the fighting power in this war, illustrating the ability of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) to survive the first year of the full-scale invasion and intense warfighting and to recover for the summer 2023 counteroffensive. This book is aimed as a contribution to further exploration of this war in its entirety and the phenomena of Ukrainian fighting power and strategic culture in general. The time frame of the main research is one year since the full-scale invasion in 2022. Although the book explores the fighting power of the two countries, the primary argument is that the UAF managed to develop and sustain resilient fighting power in support of various operational objectives and prepare for regaining military momentum in the battlespace in the summer of 2023 as this book was being finalised.

The primary analytical tools used in this book are ambitious, since they combine the traditional military concept of fighting power with the more abstract concept, and in this case attribute, of resilience. In this regard, the framework of resilient fighting power allows exploring the sustainment, recovery and reestablishment of the Ukrainian fighting power during this one year of the full-scale invasion in its further preparation for the summer 2023 counteroffensive. Hence, the focus is very much on the fluidity of recovering the ability to effectively fight once more on the next even more kinetic stage of the war. The concept of resilient fighting power is then further explored through the main themes of modern warfare: the trinity of political will, people and technology, total/comprehensive defence, mass approach in structuring armed forces, and interservice and cross-domain integration. The aspects of asymmetry, force multiplication, precision and mass barraging are inherently part of various discussions and explorations of these domains.

This book is structured to encourage consistent learning about fighting power. Chapter 1 explains the analytical tools used within this book. First, the three components of fighting power – conceptual, physical and moral – are explained using various military doctrines and formal documents. Then, the concept of resilient fighting power is discussed in detail. The main post-Cold War developments in warfare are provided as a wider context for distilling the key themes of modern warfare, which are later on traced across further chapters.

Chapter 2 is devoted to the conceptual component of the fighting power – military doctrines and the thought process behind the structuring of the armed forces and preparing the personnel for the warfighting. The common Soviet past is explained, illustrating the different extents of Soviet tradition and doctrine present in the military thinking in the two countries. The place of military doctrine in the postCold War military reorganisation is discussed here.

Chapter 3 provides the historical context of the war, paying attention to the warfighting experiences of the opposing sides during the first eight years of the war. The chronology of the events is followed through different experiences and learning points of the UAF and the Russians. This time frame is also explored for the reinforcements of the two militaries for further full-scale Russian aggression against Ukraine. The question of the Russian militarisation of Crimea is addressed here.

Chapter 4 focuses on the people aspect of the physical component of the fighting power, illustrating the numerous groups of combatants fighting for both sides. While both sides were characterised by different groups with varied training and experience, the cohesion of troops differed primarily due to different leadership approaches in Ukraine and Russia and the extent to which Ukraine had moved away from the Soviet military culture, while the Russian military remained largely Soviet in organisational culture and performance.

The next four chapters focus on the four domains of warfare: land, air, maritime and cyber (plus information warfare), respectively. Although space capabilities played an enabling role for various capabilities on both sides, their extent could not be traced to devote an entire chapter to the space domain. The

three chapters on the traditional physical domains of warfare are structured as follows: the main developments in the domain are followed by the primary points for consideration. Hence, Chapter 5 focuses on the land domain, the complexity of the warfighting in spring, consolidation of the frontlines, the Ukrainian summer 2022 counteroffensives, the specifics of different approaches to artillery between two countries, and the consolidation of forces for the next stage of the war

Chapter 6 explores the air war over Ukraine, illustrating the place of Ukrainian aviation in defending Ukrainian skies during various stages of 2022. The questions of degrading Russian mass and technological advantages in the air fleet with the employment of Ukrainian layered air defences and dispersal and establishment of mutual air denial on the frontlines are discussed here. Russia’s long-range ballistic missile attack campaign against the Ukrainian civilian infrastructure is also addressed here.

Chapter 7 illustrates the more scarce events in the maritime domain, focusing on the key highlights in the extent that ground-based defences effectively undermined the Russian control of the sea in the studied time frame. The sinking of the Moskva and the use of USVs are discussed in terms of asymmetry in undermining the firepower of a more numerically superior enemy.

Chapter 8 is divided into two parts. The first part addresses Russian disinformation and propaganda, and warfighting in the information environment. The second part is devoted to the cyber domain of warfare, illustrating the shifts in Russian cyberattacks.

Chapter 9 is devoted to the resilience of the Ukrainian people. This chapter illustrates the importance of a national strong rear to support the normal functioning of society and various aspects of warfighting. The resilience of the Ukrainian society is discussed together with various sources of innovation and crowdfunding initiatives of the Ukrainian civil society and individuals.

Chapter 10 outlines the importance of international partners in providing military assistance to Ukraine and its role in strengthening Ukrainian capabilities. The chapter starts with a discussion of the No-Fly Zone over Ukraine which did not happen. Then, military assistance by various stakeholders is analysed in terms of correspondence to various developments and consequent demands in the battlespace.

The final chapter (Chapter 11) provides a wider discussion of the main themes of modern warfare identified in the first chapter. Furthermore, factors contributing to the development of the resilient fighting power in this war are considered, taking into account differences between the two sides across the three components of the fighting power.

1 ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK

This chapter explains the main analytical tools of the book and the main trends and themes in modern warfare, which will be further discussed in their specifics across domains and experiences of the war. The analytical framework for this book is rather distinctive. It is ambitious to combine two concepts: the traditional military concept of fighting power (including the three traditional components) with a more abstract and interdisciplinary concept of resilience. Accordingly, the combined concept of resilient fighting power shifts the focus on the ability of the military (owner of the fighting power) to bounce back and recover to the point of continuing fighting, gaining military advantage and progressing in the battlespace to achieve posed objectives. Since the war is not over and the focus is on the one-year time frame, this combined conceptual framework allows focusing on the continuous process of reviving the fighting power at different stages of this year, exploring factors contributing to strengthening its resilience.

The concept of fighting power

Traditionally, fighting power consists of three interconnected components: conceptual, physical and moral. The concept emphasises the importance of balancing the three components to achieve greater military effectiveness in the battlespace. From an analytical perspective, this concept provides an opportunity for systematic analysis of developments in the battlespace and the cause–effect relationship between them. It is worth noting that the description of components given below is a collective reflection combining various takes on the concept in different doctrines. Hence, some elements of each component might be outlined in one doctrine, while omitted in others. Similarly, some doctrines include education as a conceptual component, while others as a physical one. From the analytical

DOI: 10.4324/9781003351641-2

framework 5 and practical perspectives, these discrepancies are of little importance because the essence of the components and fighting power in its entirety remains the same. British Allied Joint Publication-3.2: Allied Joint Doctrine for Land Operations is used to reflect the most recent formal reflection of the concept.1

I. Conceptual component. This refers to ‘the thought process regarding how to fight contemporary wars, taking into account new challenges, national specifics, and scarce resources.’2 This component includes the knowledge and practical improvements derived from previous operational experiences, distilled best practice, experimentation and innovation linked to the modern threats and characteristic features and demands of the operating environment. It should encourage analytical and critical evaluation of new situations on both the operational and tactical levels.3 While it provides a common ground for understanding the context of the operation, it also serves as a common basis for innovation, creativity and adaptability to the specifics of the operating environment.4 This component can be considered as a bridge between past experiences in warfare revised for the requirements of today’s practices to improve the outcomes and distil best practice for the future. Like any thought process, in order to be relevant and timely, the conceptual component should always be in transition, revised and adjusted to the arising features of a distinctive operating environment, as well as the overall strategic environment.5 There are various takes on which elements constitute the conceptual component. As a result, different editions and various service and environmental doctrines tend to emphasise different elements and that emphasis is often conditioned by various factors of organisational culture and dominance of one approach over another at a given time. According to earlier doctrines, the conceptual component consists of the principles of war, doctrine, conceptual innovation, and understanding of context and conflict.6 In more recent army doctrine, a more holistic approach has been taken, identifying doctrine and adaptation as the main elements of the conceptual component.7 In essence, the wider elements, such as the principles of war, understanding of context and conflict are envisaged to be already part of the text of the doctrines – that is, doctrinal concepts just as those in the taught courses in military education. Hence, the essence of the conceptual component does not diverge significantly in different doctrines.

The principles of war are lessons on warfighting acquired from factors of warfare. They are universal for any domain of warfare and illustrate the enduring nature of warfare despite its changing character due to technological advancement. On the other hand, military doctrine includes ‘fundamental principles by which military forces guide their actions in support of objectives.’8 Unlike the principles of war, doctrines tend to be more specific for a given domain of warfare (e.g., environmental doctrines), perceptions of contemporary threats and the technologies available for managing those threats. Hence, doctrines are often conditioned by national strategic traditions, the organisational culture of the armed forces and their technological advancement. Traditionally, doctrines aim to teach how to think rather than what to think and should provide common ground for further innovation.

Conceptual innovation or adaptation is an inevitable part of the conceptual component and the thought process in general because the operating environment is never inert. Adversaries and enemies learn and adjust their tactics and consequent behaviour in the battlespace. Adaptation of planning and innovation in actions in response to those changes improve military effectiveness in the battlespace and often save soldiers’ lives. From an organisational perspective, conceptual innovation is also a driving force for organisational renovation and adaptation to the new requirements of the time – that is, national political and external strategic environments. One more element that different doctrines move between conceptual and physical components is military education. In recent editions of doctrine, it is attributed to the conceptual component. Military education is ‘aimed at improving individuals’ knowledge and skills to strengthen their adaptability, improvisation, and critical and innovative thinking.’9 Military education provides the common ground embodied in doctrines and best practices allowing for further critical thinking on innovation and adaptability. Moreover, the common tradition in the conceptual component allows for improvement of interoperability between allied nations across services and domains of warfare.

II. Physical component. This refers to the more tangible physical means of fighting. It includes five main elements: personnel, equipment, training, readiness and sustainment (maintenance).10 In other words, armed forces must have the right number of people with the right skills and mindset, sufficient equipment to do the task, and continuous supply of provision, spare parts and servicing for the operating platforms and equipment in order ‘to achieve the necessary level of readiness and consequent enduring quality of performance in the battlespace.’11 Personnel is a key element in the physical component because warfare remains a human activity. Motivated, skilled and trained people fighting across domains are the ones who make operational art happen. When they lack the skills and motivation to fight, even the availability of the most advanced technologies will not compensate for the shortfalls of poor personnel and poor morale. Hence, investment in developing the most up-to-date and advanced skill set for the requirements of modern warfare is paramount for effective operational performance. In this regard, striking a balance between numbers of personnel, their readiness and adaptability to the unpredictability of warfare is particularly important.

Equipment is another element of the physical component and factors of military success. Although equipment is a tangible variable that can easily be quantified and, at first glance, considered sufficient based on mere numbers, the real practical value of equipment depends on situational requirements. In other words, armed forces require functional, effective and well-maintained equipment corresponding to the necessities of fighting a specific enemy or adversary within a given operating environment. Moreover, equipment that does not match the requirements of the operating environment would make little or no contribution to the establishment of combat power and the achievement of posed military objectives. Furthermore, like any other element of the physical component, sufficient quantity of equipment based

on the demands of the operating environment is of utmost importance. It is also worth mentioning that the effect of firepower or fulfilment of any other operational role can depend on the combination of equipment and platforms across domains. For instance, a smaller quantity of aerial capabilities can be overcome by more profound presence of ground-based defence for the country that counters invasion. On the other hand, the long-term effectiveness of this symbiosis would depend on the intensity of enemy attacks and the further strengthening of ground-based air defences (GBAD). Hence, when equipment is discussed, more attention should be paid to evaluating the specific demands of the operating environment.

While military education shapes the mind, military training combines all three components of fighting power and applies them to practice. Training is essential not only for improving one’s ability to operate complex equipment in various operating scenarios but to drill it to the point when it becomes instinctive, while the mind can consider adaptation when the unpredictable circumstances of the operating environment demand it. Moreover, training is essential for establishing and improving jointness across services and interoperability across allied nations. A common approach to training and similarity of equipment allow strengthening of Allied interoperability and, as the case of the Ukrainian Armed Forces has shown, was a prerequisite for equipment transfer and consequent employment in the battlespace.

In addressing readiness, AJP-3.2 discusses this element in a systematic and well-rounded manner:

The physical component of fighting power must be sufficiently responsive to the operating environment to achieve their mission. Troop-contributing nations are responsible for providing trained, equipped and certified forces at appropriate readiness to meet the minimum military requirements. Readiness includes all components of fighting power: the physical readiness of the force; their conceptual readiness; and a strong moral component, ready in time to complete their operational task.12

Readiness cannot be taken for granted. It might be unrealistic to be prepared for all possible case-scenarios, but the characteristic features of the strategic environment and the adversary or enemy that the country faces tend to suggest some of the more likely scenarios. A balanced approach to the structuring, training and positioning of armed forces tends to provide more opportunities for flexible responses and adjustments to the demands of the operating environment.

One of the less glossy elements of the physical component, but not less significant, is sustainment, which is the systematic support of military activities from maintenance of equipment, logistics, medical services, provision of necessary supplies and services to the personnel to financing and continued budgetary commitments. No matter how advanced and capable technologies and well-trained personnel might be, logistics and the stability of supply chains remain crucial in

supporting combat power in a given operation. As history and contemporaneity illustrate, hopes for a blitzkrieg do not transfer into the reality of sustaining the momentum without well thought-out and continuous logistics. Wars of attrition tend to kill the momentum of surprise and intensity that invading forces count upon, not to forget that fighting in home territory often favours the defender.

III. Moral component. This is about the human aspect of warfighting and the ability to motivate armed forces to fight and perform in the battlespace appropriately. It includes morale, leadership, ethical foundations and ethos. Morale is the individual or group commitment, conviction and discipline to fulfil an assigned task at a particular time. This is an essential element, because high morale can overcome shortfalls in other aspects of warfighting. High morale rests upon a strong fighting spirit, shared identity (moral cohesion), discipline, pride, comradeship, confidence, trust in one’s weapons and equipment and spiritual foundation (belief in the cause).13 War remains a bloody and violent activity, and psychological pressure, fear and doubts are an inevitable part of warfighting. Numbers of people and equipment are important, but high morale can often be the main difference between those who stay in the battlespace and fight until the end, and those who flee because their spiritual foundation – the cause of war – is illegitimate and there is no moral cohesion but only fear and survival instinct. Hence, the side that defends their homeland against invaders tends to stand strong with high morale, because they are defending their land, families and identity against invaders.

Army doctrine defines leadership as ‘a combination of character, knowledge, and action that inspires others to succeed.’14 Warfare brings people into basic relationships, where trust and reliance on a comrade in arms are often conditioned by common experiences of fighting war and discipline. A strong leader who takes responsibility for his/her men and women and is not afraid to act, who leads by example instead of hiding behind subordinates’ backs, inspires people to follow. As important as discipline and chain of command are, exemplary leadership makes a huge difference for people on the ground and across the entire chain of command. Sustaining leadership across all ranks and organisational structures is essential for effective force employment, because leaders are responsible for taking care of their subordinates and inspiring them to go the extra mile or survive in the most severe circumstances.

Ethical, moral and legal foundations and ethos should be at the heart of military operations and performance in the battlespace. Although warfare is messy, bloody and violent, there are still certain rules in warfare and an internationally recognised legal framework to limit use of force: one that distinguishes between combatants and non-combatants in the conflict. The entire moral component depends on the forces’ belief in the ethical and moral causes of war and the manner of its conduct. In this regard, ethos is the

collection of values and beliefs that guides the application of force and conduct of operations – and helps ensure the legitimacy of those operations and campaign.

This includes belief in the justness of the cause and the ability to maintain the support of nations.15

Just as a strong ethos can help overcome the horrendous reality of war, lack of moral and ethical grounds for using violence can undermine forces’ will to fight or subdue to fear, thus increasing the likelihood of desertion.

A strong moral component is essential for cohesion of the fighting force. Lack of common beliefs, motives and comradeship combined with poor discipline and absence of interoperability and jointness between various units can also result in reviving internal disputes between units during warfare, which undermines their military relevance and does the job for the opposing side. Similarly, if the invading side is motivated by looting, then the likelihood of internal fighting for the looted goods is very high, if not guaranteed. Consequently, ‘if military actions contradict or are perceived as contradicting these foundations, the legitimacy of the campaign might be undermined, jeopardising the overall achievement of the political objectives posed.’16 This consideration equally applies to legitimate campaigns and those that use fake excuses for revisionist expansionist invasions.

In its turn, fighting power is assessed by combat effectiveness:

the ability of a unit or formation, or equipment to perform assigned missions or functions. Note: this should consider leadership, personnel strength, the state or repair of the equipment, logistics, training and morale and may be expressed as a percentage. 17

The aforementioned description of the three components thus illustrates that while the physical components can be easily evaluated quantitatively, the conceptual and moral components are more qualitative and require a qualitative approach to analysis. Assessment of the three components of fighting power also involves collective performance, which refers to a high degree of unity, trust and proficiency achieved by units or headquarters that have trained or operated together. Partners and contractor units can be effectively integrated into the force through training, optimising collective performance.18

This concept of fighting power was chosen as the primary analytical framework for this research for a few reasons. First, it provides the needed flexibility in addressing various aspects of the preparation and consequent performance of armed forces of the two countries in a theoretically sequential order. The conceptual component allows investigation of the thought process behind military education and the consequent building of the strategy and operational performance of the belligerents. The physical component allows assessment of the capabilities of both countries in a systematic and detailed manner, taking into consideration modern trends in military equipment and personnel training. The relevance of the moral component cannot be overestimated in this war, because it provides a tool to explore the heroic war of the Ukrainian people under the most disadvantageous

conditions of full-scale invasion and the decreasing will to fight among the Russian combatants, their poor morale and consequent performance in battlespace.

The wider concept of resilience and resilient fighting power

Resilience is a widely used term in various disciplines and practices. The term generally refers to ‘an ability to withstand and quickly recover from a difficult situation. This comes hand-in-hand with the idea of “bouncing back”, returning to “normal”, and picking up where we left off before whatever difficulty or challenge we experienced.’19

In psychology, it is defined as ‘the process and outcome of successfully adapting to challenging life experiences, especially through mental, emotional, and behavioural flexibility and adjustment to external and internal demands.’20 In other disciplines, it can refer to the political, societal or economic withstanding of various challenges. In environmental studies, ecological resilience is often used as a synonym for ecological robustness, referring to ‘the ability of a system to continue functioning amid and recover from a disturbance.’21

Even in the security and strategic studies and military fields, there are varied approaches to its definition and application area. In military psychology, ‘military resilience can be defined as the capacity to overcome the negative effects of setbacks and associated stress on military performance and combat effectiveness.’22 From the perspective of national security, resilience is approached as a system of tools ‘to understand our vulnerabilities, pre-empt challenges before they arise, ensure we are prepared for them, and mitigate the impacts. Then, when events occur, we should be ready to withstand and recover.’23 In the context of fighting power and its doctrine reflection, resilience is referred to as one of the aspects of either flexibility or agility, depending on which doctrine is discussed.24 Hence, British Army doctrine defines it as ‘the degree to which people and their equipment remain effective under arduous conditions or in the face of hostile action.’25

As these definitions illustrate, different aspects are emphasised, and there are numerous contexts in which an individual, system or organisation recovers from the disadvantageous effect of a disruption. While the military doctrine stresses the degree of effectiveness of the physical component, most of the definitions and approaches to resilience are related to the process of recovery and regaining the preliminary condition. The application of the term ‘resilience’ to the fighting power per se is aimed to explore the continuity of the fighting power in this war, that is, to explore which of the two fighting sides demonstrated resilience in fighting power, how it was achieved and how it was sustained at various stages of this one year of the full-scale invasion within the nine years of the actual war. This term allows the focus to be on various fluid elements of the fighting power that were changing during this year of the war and contributed to the strengthening of the resilience of the fighting power and to Ukrainian national resilience in support of the UAF. One might assume that the ‘flexibility’ principle of war would have

provided even more opportunities for analysis but it would have shifted attention to too many attributes/composing elements within flexibility, such as versatility, responsiveness, resilience and adaptability of the whole force.26

Using the concept of resilience as a process allows for an examination of the constant sustainment, recovery, and rebuilding of Ukrainian military capabilities in achieving various objectives at different stages of this year of war. The focal point is the return to effective fighting because resilient fighting power becomes the prerequisite to various operational achievements in the war. Hence, the focus is very much on the fluidity of bouncing back to the ability to fight again and even more effectively. In other words, the point for recovery is the effective employment of the fighting power, just as it is stated in the military doctrine, but the focus is on the process and continuity of the transformation of the fighting power in this war.

The concept of resilience also allows a look into the context of the establishment of the fighting powers of the two countries prior to the full-scale invasion and the factors defining the state of affairs. As an umbrella term, it also allows an exploration of the significance of a strong rear – national and international – support in sustaining the physical and moral components of the fighting power. In essence, this book illustrates various aspects and contributing factors to establishing and sustaining effective fighting power in this war. The following themes of modern warfare provide additional layers for exploration of this topic.

Key trends/themes in modern warfare

This section explores different trends and themes that can be traced in a variety of discussions on modern warfare. Some trends and themes are traced in domain chapters and culminate in the discussions in the last chapter. Other aspects are aimed at determining the place of the current war within the thinking on modern warfare in the post-Cold War era.

It became evident in the first few years after the collapse of the Soviet Union that the peace dividend did not pay off. More wars and conflicts were to characterise the post-Cold War world, and due to the wider experiences with the counterinsurgency (COIN) operations, the focus on Western military experience and practice shifted to out-of-area operations and wars of choice. The immediate implications of this were shorter military involvements, more intensive but shortened kinetic stages of the wars and wider opportunities for the national governments of the Alliance or partner nations to decide the time at which to shift from the more kinetic to a more humanitarian side of the operations or when to pull their troops and assets out of the conflict. This reality of fast achievements and intensive but short-term kinetic stages was reflected in the military industry operating on the contractual basis of peacetime realities, which would often be illustrated in stockpiles of some arsenals running low due to involvement in high-intensity tasks.27

Cutting-edge technologies inevitably resulted in an increased tempo of warfare, with various implications on the significance of tactical-level decision-making

and impact of these decisions on the conduct of operations. Greater attention to war as one of the flashy news topics significantly increased at this time, adding new challenges in conducting operations under greater public and international scrutiny.28 While discussions surrounded the significance of one military power and domain of warfare over another on various occasions, COIN and Russian invasions in Georgia and Ukraine in 2014 illustrated the importance of the ground element combined with other domains. Nevertheless, the increased speed and tempo of warfare and new technologies dictated the need for greater multidomain integration (MDI) following the system-of-systems approach and interoperability on national and international levels.

While the peace dividend of the 1990s and the use of COIN in the following two decades revealed scepticism regarding the likelihood of inter-state warfare, even in principle, the shift in the strategic environment towards the revival of the peer and near-peer conventional inter-state conflict raised some traditional questions regarding the mass approach to structuring one’s national armed forces and generated discussions of asymmetry between a more technologically advanced or mass-focused adversary. In this regard, the focus began shifting to the importance of the littoral manoeuvre and amphibious warfare in the Indo-Pacific Area of Responsibility (AOR). Despite this relatively new shift and focus on inter-state warfare, the land-centric war witnessed in Ukraine since the full-scale invasion was not the most anticipated type of inter-state war nor was it discussed in international expert circles before 24 February 2022. Hence, this war illustrated many shifts in the modern understanding of inter-state warfare and warfare in general. While new operational experiences might refute some expectations about modern and future warfare, there are enduring trends that prevail.

In his book, published in early 2022, Mick Ryan identified trends in seven segments of conflict in the twenty-first century that he considered were likely to trigger the most significant changes in the character of war in the future29:

1 The factor of time is appreciated in a new manner. The spread of more cuttingedge technologies, the increased speed of planning, demands for fast decisionmaking AI-enabled technologies across the entire spectrum of capabilities, and the spillovers of competition into the information space require military organisations and institutions to employ time more effectively to improve decision-making.

2 The battle of signatures. Since each item of military equipment possesses a distinctive signature within the visual, aural or electromagnetic spectrum, and distinctive patterns of operations also characterise military organisations, future warfare should emphasise minimising one’s own military signatures using recorded signatures to deceive the adversary and taking advantage of identifying adversary’s signatures across different domains of warfare.

3 New forms of mass refer to balancing military equipment, taking advantage of both cutting-edge technologies and less expensive means to establish the

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dress.

“Do you remember,” she said, “how the blinds used to flap at Bourton?”

“They did,” he said; and he remembered breakfasting alone, very awkwardly, with her father; who had died; and he had not written to Clarissa. But he had never got on well with old Parry, that querulous, weak-kneed old man, Clarissa’s father, Justin Parry.

“I often wish I’d got on better with your father,” he said.

“But he never liked any one who—our friends,” said Clarissa; and could have bitten her tongue for thus reminding Peter that he had wanted to marry her.

Of course I did, thought Peter; it almost broke my heart too, he thought; and was overcome with his own grief, which rose like a moon looked at from a terrace, ghastly beautiful with light from the sunken day. I was more unhappy than I’ve ever been since, he thought. And as if in truth he were sitting there on the terrace he edged a little towards Clarissa; put his hand out; raised it; let it fall. There above them it hung, that moon. She too seemed to be sitting with him on the terrace, in the moonlight.

“Herbert has it now,” she said. “I never go there now,” she said.

Then, just as happens on a terrace in the moonlight, when one person begins to feel ashamed that he is already bored, and yet as the other sits silent, very quiet, sadly looking at the moon, does not like to speak, moves his foot, clears his throat, notices some iron scroll on a table leg, stirs a leaf, but says nothing—so Peter Walsh did now. For why go back like this to the past? he thought. Why make him think of it again? Why make him suffer, when she had tortured him so infernally? Why?

“Do you remember the lake?” she said, in an abrupt voice, under the pressure of an emotion which caught her heart, made the muscles of her throat stiff, and contracted her lips in a spasm as she said “lake.” For she was a child, throwing bread to the ducks, between her parents, and at the same time a grown woman coming to her parents who stood by the lake, holding her life in her arms which, as she

neared them, grew larger and larger in her arms, until it became a whole life, a complete life, which she put down by them and said, “This is what I have made of it! This!” And what had she made of it? What, indeed? sitting there sewing this morning with Peter.

She looked at Peter Walsh; her look, passing through all that time and that emotion, reached him doubtfully; settled on him tearfully; and rose and fluttered away, as a bird touches a branch and rises and flutters away. Quite simply she wiped her eyes.

“Yes,” said Peter. “Yes, yes, yes,” he said, as if she drew up to the surface something which positively hurt him as it rose. Stop! Stop! he wanted to cry. For he was not old; his life was not over; not by any means. He was only just past fifty. Shall I tell her, he thought, or not? He would like to make a clean breast of it all. But she is too cold, he thought; sewing, with her scissors; Daisy would look ordinary beside Clarissa. And she would think me a failure, which I am in their sense, he thought; in the Dalloways’ sense. Oh yes, he had no doubt about that; he was a failure, compared with all this—the inlaid table, the mounted paper-knife, the dolphin and the candlesticks, the chaircovers and the old valuable English tinted prints—he was a failure! I detest the smugness of the whole affair he thought; Richard’s doing, not Clarissa’s; save that she married him. (Here Lucy came into the room, carrying silver, more silver, but charming, slender, graceful she looked, he thought, as she stooped to put it down.) And this has been going on all the time! he thought; week after week; Clarissa’s life; while I—he thought; and at once everything seemed to radiate from him; journeys; rides; quarrels; adventures; bridge parties; love affairs; work; work, work! and he took out his knife quite openly—his old horn-handled knife which Clarissa could swear he had had these thirty years—and clenched his fist upon it.

What an extraordinary habit that was, Clarissa thought; always playing with a knife. Always making one feel, too, frivolous; emptyminded; a mere silly chatterbox, as he used. But I too, she thought, and, taking up her needle, summoned, like a Queen whose guards have fallen asleep and left her unprotected (she had been quite taken aback by this visit—it had upset her) so that any one can stroll in and have a look at her where she lies with the brambles curving

over her, summoned to her help the things she did; the things she liked; her husband; Elizabeth; her self, in short, which Peter hardly knew now, all to come about her and beat off the enemy.

“Well, and what’s happened to you?” she said. So before a battle begins, the horses paw the ground; toss their heads; the light shines on their flanks; their necks curve. So Peter Walsh and Clarissa, sitting side by side on the blue sofa, challenged each other. His powers chafed and tossed in him. He assembled from different quarters all sorts of things; praise; his career at Oxford; his marriage, which she knew nothing whatever about; how he had loved; and altogether done his job.

“Millions of things!” he exclaimed, and, urged by the assembly of powers which were now charging this way and that and giving him the feeling at once frightening and extremely exhilarating of being rushed through the air on the shoulders of people he could no longer see, he raised his hands to his forehead.

Clarissa sat very upright; drew in her breath.

“I am in love,” he said, not to her however, but to some one raised up in the dark so that you could not touch her but must lay your garland down on the grass in the dark.

“In love,” he repeated, now speaking rather dryly to Clarissa Dalloway; “in love with a girl in India.” He had deposited his garland. Clarissa could make what she would of it.

“In love!” she said. That he at his age should be sucked under in his little bow-tie by that monster! And there’s no flesh on his neck; his hands are red; and he’s six months older than I am! her eye flashed back to her; but in her heart she felt, all the same, he is in love. He has that, she felt; he is in love.

But the indomitable egotism which for ever rides down the hosts opposed to it, the river which says on, on, on; even though, it admits, there may be no goal for us whatever, still on, on; this indomitable egotism charged her cheeks with colour; made her look very young; very pink; very bright-eyed as she sat with her dress upon her knee,

and her needle held to the end of green silk, trembling a little. He was in love! Not with her. With some younger woman, of course.

“And who is she?” she asked.

Now this statue must be brought from its height and set down between them.

“A married woman, unfortunately,” he said; “the wife of a Major in the Indian Army.”

And with a curious ironical sweetness he smiled as he placed her in this ridiculous way before Clarissa.

(All the same, he is in love, thought Clarissa.)

“She has,” he continued, very reasonably, “two small children; a boy and a girl; and I have come over to see my lawyers about the divorce.”

There they are! he thought. Do what you like with them, Clarissa! There they are! And second by second it seemed to him that the wife of the Major in the Indian Army (his Daisy) and her two small children became more and more lovely as Clarissa looked at them; as if he had set light to a grey pellet on a plate and there had risen up a lovely tree in the brisk sea-salted air of their intimacy (for in some ways no one understood him, felt with him, as Clarissa did)—their exquisite intimacy.

She flattered him; she fooled him, thought Clarissa; shaping the woman, the wife of the Major in the Indian Army, with three strokes of a knife. What a waste! What a folly! All his life long Peter had been fooled like that; first getting sent down from Oxford; next marrying the girl on the boat going out to India; now the wife of a Major in the Indian Army—thank Heaven she had refused to marry him! Still, he was in love; her old friend, her dear Peter, he was in love.

“But what are you going to do?” she asked him. Oh the lawyers and solicitors, Messrs. Hooper and Grateley of Lincoln’s Inn, they were going to do it, he said. And he actually pared his nails with his pocket-knife.

For Heaven’s sake, leave your knife alone! she cried to herself in irrepressible irritation; it was his silly unconventionality, his weakness; his lack of the ghost of a notion what any one else was feeling that annoyed her, had always annoyed her; and now at his age, how silly!

I know all that, Peter thought; I know what I’m up against, he thought, running his finger along the blade of his knife, Clarissa and Dalloway and all the rest of them; but I’ll show Clarissa—and then to his utter surprise, suddenly thrown by those uncontrollable forces thrown through the air, he burst into tears; wept; wept without the least shame, sitting on the sofa, the tears running down his cheeks. And Clarissa had leant forward, taken his hand, drawn him to her, kissed him,—actually had felt his face on hers before she could down the brandishing of silver flashing—plumes like pampas grass in a tropic gale in her breast, which, subsiding, left her holding his hand, patting his knee and, feeling as she sat back extraordinarily at her ease with him and light-hearted, all in a clap it came over her, If I had married him, this gaiety would have been mine all day!

It was all over for her. The sheet was stretched and the bed narrow. She had gone up into the tower alone and left them blackberrying in the sun. The door had shut, and there among the dust of fallen plaster and the litter of birds’ nests how distant the view had looked, and the sounds came thin and chill (once on Leith Hill, she remembered), and Richard, Richard! she cried, as a sleeper in the night starts and stretches a hand in the dark for help. Lunching with Lady Bruton, it came back to her. He has left me; I am alone for ever, she thought, folding her hands upon her knee.

Peter Walsh had got up and crossed to the window and stood with his back to her, flicking a bandanna handkerchief from side to side. Masterly and dry and desolate he looked, his thin shoulder-blades lifting his coat slightly; blowing his nose violently. Take me with you, Clarissa thought impulsively, as if he were starting directly upon some great voyage; and then, next moment, it was as if the five acts of a play that had been very exciting and moving were now over and

she had lived a lifetime in them and had run away, had lived with Peter, and it was now over.

Now it was time to move, and, as a woman gathers her things together, her cloak, her gloves, her opera-glasses, and gets up to go out of the theatre into the street, she rose from the sofa and went to Peter.

And it was awfully strange, he thought, how she still had the power, as she came tinkling, rustling, still had the power as she came across the room, to make the moon, which he detested, rise at Bourton on the terrace in the summer sky

“Tell me,” he said, seizing her by the shoulders. “Are you happy, Clarissa? Does Richard—”

The door opened.

“Here is my Elizabeth,” said Clarissa, emotionally, histrionically, perhaps.

“How d’y do?” said Elizabeth coming forward.

The sound of Big Ben striking the half-hour struck out between them with extraordinary vigour, as if a young man, strong, indifferent, inconsiderate, were swinging dumb-bells this way and that.

“Hullo, Elizabeth!” cried Peter, stuffing his handkerchief into his pocket, going quickly to her, saying “Good-bye, Clarissa” without looking at her, leaving the room quickly, and running downstairs and opening the hall door.

“Peter! Peter!” cried Clarissa, following him out on to the landing. “My party to-night! Remember my party to-night!” she cried, having to raise her voice against the roar of the open air, and, overwhelmed by the traffic and the sound of all the clocks striking, her voice crying

“Remember my party to-night!” sounded frail and thin and very far away as Peter Walsh shut the door

Remember my party, remember my party, said Peter Walsh as he stepped down the street, speaking to himself rhythmically, in time with the flow of the sound, the direct downright sound of Big Ben striking the half-hour. (The leaden circles dissolved in the air.) Oh these parties, he thought; Clarissa’s parties. Why does she give these parties, he thought. Not that he blamed her or this effigy of a man in a tail-coat with a carnation in his buttonhole coming towards him. Only one person in the world could be as he was, in love. And there he was, this fortunate man, himself, reflected in the plate-glass window of a motor-car manufacturer in Victoria Street. All India lay behind him; plains, mountains; epidemics of cholera; a district twice as big as Ireland; decisions he had come to alone—he, Peter Walsh; who was now really for the first time in his life, in love. Clarissa had grown hard, he thought; and a trifle sentimental into the bargain, he suspected, looking at the great motor-cars capable of doing—how many miles on how many gallons? For he had a turn for mechanics; had invented a plough in his district, had ordered wheel-barrows from England, but the coolies wouldn’t use them, all of which Clarissa knew nothing whatever about.

The way she said “Here is my Elizabeth!”—that annoyed him. Why not “Here’s Elizabeth” simply? It was insincere. And Elizabeth didn’t like it either. (Still the last tremors of the great booming voice shook the air round him; the half-hour; still early; only half-past eleven still.) For he understood young people; he liked them. There was always something cold in Clarissa, he thought. She had always, even as a girl, a sort of timidity, which in middle age becomes conventionality, and then it’s all up, it’s all up, he thought, looking rather drearily into the glassy depths, and wondering whether by calling at that hour he had annoyed her; overcome with shame suddenly at having been a fool; wept; been emotional; told her everything, as usual, as usual.

As a cloud crosses the sun, silence falls on London; and falls on the mind. Effort ceases. Time flaps on the mast. There we stop; there we stand. Rigid, the skeleton of habit alone upholds the human frame. Where there is nothing, Peter Walsh said to himself; feeling hollowed out, utterly empty within. Clarissa refused me, he thought. He stood there thinking, Clarissa refused me.

Ah, said St. Margaret’s, like a hostess who comes into her drawingroom on the very stroke of the hour and finds her guests there already. I am not late. No, it is precisely half-past eleven, she says. Yet, though she is perfectly right, her voice, being the voice of the hostess, is reluctant to inflict its individuality. Some grief for the past holds it back; some concern for the present. It is half-past eleven, she says, and the sound of St. Margaret’s glides into the recesses of the heart and buries itself in ring after ring of sound, like something alive which wants to confide itself, to disperse itself, to be, with a tremor of delight, at rest—like Clarissa herself, thought Peter Walsh, coming down the stairs on the stroke of the hour in white. It is Clarissa herself, he thought, with a deep emotion, and an extraordinarily clear, yet puzzling, recollection of her, as if this bell had come into the room years ago, where they sat at some moment of great intimacy, and had gone from one to the other and had left, like a bee with honey, laden with the moment. But what room? What moment? And why had he been so profoundly happy when the clock was striking? Then, as the sound of St. Margaret’s languished, he thought, She has been ill, and the sound expressed languor and suffering. It was her heart, he remembered; and the sudden loudness of the final stroke tolled for death that surprised in the midst of life, Clarissa falling where she stood, in her drawing-room. No! No! he cried. She is not dead! I am not old, he cried, and marched up Whitehall, as if there rolled down to him, vigorous, unending, his future.

He was not old, or set, or dried in the least. As for caring what they said of him—the Dalloways, the Whitbreads, and their set, he cared not a straw—not a straw (though it was true he would have, some time or other, to see whether Richard couldn’t help him to some job). Striding, staring, he glared at the statue of the Duke of Cambridge. He had been sent down from Oxford—true. He had been a Socialist, in some sense a failure—true. Still the future of civilisation lies, he thought, in the hands of young men like that; of young men such as he was, thirty years ago; with their love of abstract principles; getting books sent out to them all the way from London to a peak in the Himalayas; reading science; reading philosophy. The future lies in the hands of young men like that, he thought.

A patter like the patter of leaves in a wood came from behind, and with it a rustling, regular thudding sound, which as it overtook him drummed his thoughts, strict in step, up Whitehall, without his doing. Boys in uniform, carrying guns, marched with their eyes ahead of them, marched, their arms stiff, and on their faces an expression like the letters of a legend written round the base of a statue praising duty, gratitude, fidelity, love of England.

It is, thought Peter Walsh, beginning to keep step with them, a very fine training. But they did not look robust. They were weedy for the most part, boys of sixteen, who might, to-morrow, stand behind bowls of rice, cakes of soap on counters. Now they wore on them unmixed with sensual pleasure or daily preoccupations the solemnity of the wreath which they had fetched from Finsbury Pavement to the empty tomb. They had taken their vow. The traffic respected it; vans were stopped.

I can’t keep up with them, Peter Walsh thought, as they marched up Whitehall, and sure enough, on they marched, past him, past every one, in their steady way, as if one will worked legs and arms uniformly, and life, with its varieties, its irreticences, had been laid under a pavement of monuments and wreaths and drugged into a stiff yet staring corpse by discipline. One had to respect it; one might laugh; but one had to respect it, he thought. There they go, thought Peter Walsh, pausing at the edge of the pavement; and all the exalted statues, Nelson, Gordon, Havelock, the black, the spectacular images of great soldiers stood looking ahead of them, as if they too had made the same renunciation (Peter Walsh felt he too had made it, the great renunciation), trampled under the same temptations, and achieved at length a marble stare. But the stare Peter Walsh did not want for himself in the least; though he could respect it in others. He could respect it in boys. They don’t know the troubles of the flesh yet, he thought, as the marching boys disappeared in the direction of the Strand—all that I’ve been through, he thought, crossing the road, and standing under Gordon’s statue, Gordon whom as a boy he had worshipped; Gordon standing lonely with one leg raised and his arms crossed,—poor Gordon, he thought.

And just because nobody yet knew he was in London, except Clarissa, and the earth, after the voyage, still seemed an island to him, the strangeness of standing alone, alive, unknown, at half-past eleven in Trafalgar Square overcame him. What is it? Where am I? And why, after all, does one do it? he thought, the divorce seeming all moonshine. And down his mind went flat as a marsh, and three great emotions bowled over him; understanding; a vast philanthropy; and finally, as if the result of the others, an irrepressible, exquisite delight; as if inside his brain by another hand strings were pulled, shutters moved, and he, having nothing to do with it, yet stood at the opening of endless avenues, down which if he chose he might wander. He had not felt so young for years.

He had escaped! was utterly free—as happens in the downfall of habit when the mind, like an unguarded flame, bows and bends and seems about to blow from its holding. I haven’t felt so young for years! thought Peter, escaping (only of course for an hour or so) from being precisely what he was, and feeling like a child who runs out of doors, and sees, as he runs, his old nurse waving at the wrong window. But she’s extraordinarily attractive, he thought, as, walking across Trafalgar Square in the direction of the Haymarket, came a young woman who, as she passed Gordon’s statue, seemed, Peter Walsh thought (susceptible as he was), to shed veil after veil, until she became the very woman he had always had in mind; young, but stately; merry, but discreet; black, but enchanting.

Straightening himself and stealthily fingering his pocket-knife he started after her to follow this woman, this excitement, which seemed even with its back turned to shed on him a light which connected them, which singled him out, as if the random uproar of the traffic had whispered through hollowed hands his name, not Peter, but his private name which he called himself in his own thoughts. “You,” she said, only “you,” saying it with her white gloves and her shoulders. Then the thin long cloak which the wind stirred as she walked past Dent’s shop in Cockspur Street blew out with an enveloping kindness, a mournful tenderness, as of arms that would open and take the tired—

But she’s not married; she’s young; quite young, thought Peter, the red carnation he had seen her wear as she came across Trafalgar Square burning again in his eyes and making her lips red. But she waited at the kerbstone. There was a dignity about her. She was not worldly, like Clarissa; not rich, like Clarissa. Was she, he wondered as she moved, respectable? Witty, with a lizard’s flickering tongue, he thought (for one must invent, must allow oneself a little diversion), a cool waiting wit, a darting wit; not noisy.

She moved; she crossed; he followed her. To embarrass her was the last thing he wished. Still if she stopped he would say “Come and have an ice,” he would say, and she would answer, perfectly simply, “Oh yes.”

But other people got between them in the street, obstructing him, blotting her out. He pursued; she changed. There was colour in her cheeks; mockery in her eyes; he was an adventurer, reckless, he thought, swift, daring, indeed (landed as he was last night from India) a romantic buccaneer, careless of all these damned proprieties, yellow dressing-gowns, pipes, fishing-rods, in the shop windows; and respectability and evening parties and spruce old men wearing white slips beneath their waistcoats. He was a buccaneer. On and on she went, across Piccadilly, and up Regent Street, ahead of him, her cloak, her gloves, her shoulders combining with the fringes and the laces and the feather boas in the windows to make the spirit of finery and whimsy which dwindled out of the shops on to the pavement, as the light of a lamp goes wavering at night over hedges in the darkness.

Laughing and delightful, she had crossed Oxford Street and Great Portland Street and turned down one of the little streets, and now, and now, the great moment was approaching, for now she slackened, opened her bag, and with one look in his direction, but not at him, one look that bade farewell, summed up the whole situation and dismissed it triumphantly, for ever, had fitted her key, opened the door, and gone! Clarissa’s voice saying, Remember my party, Remember my party, sang in his ears. The house was one of those flat red houses with hanging flower-baskets of vague impropriety. It was over.

Well, I’ve had my fun; I’ve had it, he thought, looking up at the swinging baskets of pale geraniums. And it was smashed to atoms— his fun, for it was half made up, as he knew very well; invented, this escapade with the girl; made up, as one makes up the better part of life, he thought—making oneself up; making her up; creating an exquisite amusement, and something more. But odd it was, and quite true; all this one could never share—it smashed to atoms.

He turned; went up the street, thinking to find somewhere to sit, till it was time for Lincoln’s Inn—for Messrs. Hooper and Grateley. Where should he go? No matter. Up the street, then, towards Regent’s Park. His boots on the pavement struck out “no matter”; for it was early, still very early.

It was a splendid morning too. Like the pulse of a perfect heart, life struck straight through the streets. There was no fumbling—no hesitation. Sweeping and swerving, accurately, punctually, noiselessly, there, precisely at the right instant, the motor-car stopped at the door. The girl, silk-stockinged, feathered, evanescent, but not to him particularly attractive (for he had had his fling), alighted. Admirable butlers, tawny chow dogs, halls laid in black and white lozenges with white blinds blowing, Peter saw through the opened door and approved of. A splendid achievement in its own way, after all, London; the season; civilisation. Coming as he did from a respectable Anglo-Indian family which for at least three generations had administered the affairs of a continent (it’s strange, he thought, what a sentiment I have about that, disliking India, and empire, and army as he did), there were moments when civilisation, even of this sort, seemed dear to him as a personal possession; moments of pride in England; in butlers; chow dogs; girls in their security. Ridiculous enough, still there it is, he thought. And the doctors and men of business and capable women all going about their business, punctual, alert, robust, seemed to him wholly admirable, good fellows, to whom one would entrust one’s life, companions in the art of living, who would see one through. What with one thing and another, the show was really very tolerable; and he would sit down in the shade and smoke.

There was Regent’s Park. Yes. As a child he had walked in Regent’s Park—odd, he thought, how the thought of childhood keeps coming back to me—the result of seeing Clarissa, perhaps; for women live much more in the past than we do, he thought. They attach themselves to places; and their fathers—a woman’s always proud of her father. Bourton was a nice place, a very nice place, but I could never get on with the old man, he thought. There was quite a scene one night—an argument about something or other, what, he could not remember. Politics presumably.

Yes, he remembered Regent’s Park; the long straight walk; the little house where one bought air-balls to the left; an absurd statue with an inscription somewhere or other. He looked for an empty seat. He did not want to be bothered (feeling a little drowsy as he did) by people asking him the time. An elderly grey nurse, with a baby asleep in its perambulator—that was the best he could do for himself; sit down at the far end of the seat by that nurse.

She’s a queer-looking girl, he thought, suddenly remembering Elizabeth as she came into the room and stood by her mother. Grown big; quite grown-up, not exactly pretty; handsome rather; and she can’t be more than eighteen. Probably she doesn’t get on with Clarissa. “There’s my Elizabeth”—that sort of thing—why not “Here’s Elizabeth” simply?—trying to make out, like most mothers, that things are what they’re not. She trusts to her charm too much, he thought. She overdoes it.

The rich benignant cigar smoke eddied coolly down his throat; he puffed it out again in rings which breasted the air bravely for a moment; blue, circular—I shall try and get a word alone with Elizabeth to-night, he thought—then began to wobble into hour-glass shapes and taper away; odd shapes they take, he thought. Suddenly he closed his eyes, raised his hand with an effort, and threw away the heavy end of his cigar. A great brush swept smooth across his mind, sweeping across it moving branches, children’s voices, the shuffle of feet, and people passing, and humming traffic, rising and falling traffic. Down, down he sank into the plumes and feathers of sleep, sank, and was muffled over.

The grey nurse resumed her knitting as Peter Walsh, on the hot seat beside her, began snoring. In her grey dress, moving her hands indefatigably yet quietly, she seemed like the champion of the rights of sleepers, like one of those spectral presences which rise in twilight in woods made of sky and branches. The solitary traveller, haunter of lanes, disturber of ferns, and devastator of great hemlock plants, looking up, suddenly sees the giant figure at the end of the ride.

By conviction an atheist perhaps, he is taken by surprise with moments of extraordinary exaltation. Nothing exists outside us except a state of mind, he thinks; a desire for solace, for relief, for something outside these miserable pigmies, these feeble, these ugly, these craven men and women. But if he can conceive of her, then in some sort she exists, he thinks, and advancing down the path with his eyes upon sky and branches he rapidly endows them with womanhood; sees with amazement how grave they become; how majestically, as the breeze stirs them, they dispense with a dark flutter of the leaves charity, comprehension, absolution, and then, flinging themselves suddenly aloft, confound the piety of their aspect with a wild carouse.

Such are the visions which proffer great cornucopias full of fruit to the solitary traveller, or murmur in his ear like sirens lolloping away on the green sea waves, or are dashed in his face like bunches of roses, or rise to the surface like pale faces which fishermen flounder through floods to embrace.

Such are the visions which ceaselessly float up, pace beside, put their faces in front of, the actual thing; often overpowering the solitary traveller and taking away from him the sense of the earth, the wish to return, and giving him for substitute a general peace, as if (so he thinks as he advances down the forest ride) all this fever of living were simplicity itself; and myriads of things merged in one thing; and this figure, made of sky and branches as it is, had risen from the troubled sea (he is elderly, past fifty now) as a shape might be sucked up out of the waves to shower down from her magnificent hands compassion, comprehension, absolution. So, he thinks, may I

never go back to the lamplight; to the sitting-room; never finish my book; never knock out my pipe; never ring for Mrs. Turner to clear away; rather let me walk straight on to this great figure, who will, with a toss of her head, mount me on her streamers and let me blow to nothingness with the rest.

Such are the visions. The solitary traveller is soon beyond the wood; and there, coming to the door with shaded eyes, possibly to look for his return, with hands raised, with white apron blowing, is an elderly woman who seems (so powerful is this infirmity) to seek, over a desert, a lost son; to search for a rider destroyed; to be the figure of the mother whose sons have been killed in the battles of the world. So, as the solitary traveller advances down the village street where the women stand knitting and the men dig in the garden, the evening seems ominous; the figures still; as if some august fate, known to them, awaited without fear, were about to sweep them into complete annihilation.

Indoors among ordinary things, the cupboard, the table, the windowsill with its geraniums, suddenly the outline of the landlady, bending to remove the cloth, becomes soft with light, an adorable emblem which only the recollection of cold human contacts forbids us to embrace. She takes the marmalade; she shuts it in the cupboard.

“There is nothing more to-night, sir?”

But to whom does the solitary traveller make reply?

So the elderly nurse knitted over the sleeping baby in Regent’s Park. So Peter Walsh snored.

He woke with extreme suddenness, saying to himself, “The death of the soul.”

“Lord, Lord!” he said to himself out loud, stretching and opening his eyes. “The death of the soul.” The words attached themselves to some scene, to some room, to some past he had been dreaming of.

It became clearer; the scene, the room, the past he had been dreaming of.

It was at Bourton that summer, early in the ’nineties, when he was so passionately in love with Clarissa. There were a great many people there, laughing and talking, sitting round a table after tea and the room was bathed in yellow light and full of cigarette smoke. They were talking about a man who had married his housemaid, one of the neighbouring squires, he had forgotten his name. He had married his housemaid, and she had been brought to Bourton to call —an awful visit it had been. She was absurdly over-dressed, “like a cockatoo,” Clarissa had said, imitating her, and she never stopped talking. On and on she went, on and on. Clarissa imitated her. Then somebody said—Sally Seton it was—did it make any real difference to one’s feelings to know that before they’d married she had had a baby? (In those days, in mixed company, it was a bold thing to say.) He could see Clarissa now, turning bright pink; somehow contracting; and saying, “Oh, I shall never be able to speak to her again!” Whereupon the whole party sitting round the tea-table seemed to wobble. It was very uncomfortable. He hadn’t blamed her for minding the fact, since in those days a girl brought up as she was, knew nothing, but it was her manner that annoyed him; timid; hard; something arrogant; unimaginative; prudish. “The death of the soul.” He had said that instinctively, ticketing the moment as he used to do—the death of her soul.

Every one wobbled; every one seemed to bow, as she spoke, and then to stand up different. He could see Sally Seton, like a child who has been in mischief, leaning forward, rather flushed, wanting to talk, but afraid, and Clarissa did frighten people. (She was Clarissa’s greatest friend, always about the place, totally unlike her, an attractive creature, handsome, dark, with the reputation in those days of great daring and he used to give her cigars, which she smoked in her bedroom. She had either been engaged to somebody or quarrelled with her family and old Parry disliked them both equally, which was a great bond.) Then Clarissa, still with an air of being offended with them all, got up, made some excuse, and went off, alone. As she opened the door, in came that great shaggy dog which

ran after sheep. She flung herself upon him, went into raptures. It was as if she said to Peter—it was all aimed at him, he knew—“I know you thought me absurd about that woman just now; but see how extraordinarily sympathetic I am; see how I love my Rob!”

They had always this queer power of communicating without words. She knew directly he criticised her. Then she would do something quite obvious to defend herself, like this fuss with the dog—but it never took him in, he always saw through Clarissa. Not that he said anything, of course; just sat looking glum. It was the way their quarrels often began.

She shut the door. At once he became extremely depressed. It all seemed useless—going on being in love; going on quarrelling; going on making it up, and he wandered off alone, among outhouses, stables, looking at the horses. (The place was quite a humble one; the Parrys were never very well off; but there were always grooms and stable-boys about—Clarissa loved riding—and an old coachman —what was his name?—an old nurse, old Moody, old Goody, some such name they called her, whom one was taken to visit in a little room with lots of photographs, lots of bird-cages.)

It was an awful evening! He grew more and more gloomy, not about that only; about everything. And he couldn’t see her; couldn’t explain to her; couldn’t have it out. There were always people about—she’d go on as if nothing had happened. That was the devilish part of her —this coldness, this woodenness, something very profound in her, which he had felt again this morning talking to her; an impenetrability. Yet Heaven knows he loved her. She had some queer power of fiddling on one’s nerves, turning one’s nerves to fiddle-strings, yes.

He had gone in to dinner rather late, from some idiotic idea of making himself felt, and had sat down by old Miss Parry—Aunt Helena—Mr. Parry’s sister, who was supposed to preside. There she sat in her white Cashmere shawl, with her head against the window —a formidable old lady, but kind to him, for he had found her some rare flower, and she was a great botanist, marching off in thick boots with a black collecting-box slung between her shoulders. He sat

down beside her, and couldn’t speak. Everything seemed to race past him; he just sat there, eating. And then half-way through dinner he made himself look across at Clarissa for the first time. She was talking to a young man on her right. He had a sudden revelation. “She will marry that man,” he said to himself. He didn’t even know his name.

For of course it was that afternoon, that very afternoon, that Dalloway had come over; and Clarissa called him “Wickham”; that was the beginning of it all. Somebody had brought him over; and Clarissa got his name wrong. She introduced him to everybody as Wickham. At last he said “My name is Dalloway!”—that was his first view of Richard—a fair young man, rather awkward, sitting on a deck-chair, and blurting out “My name is Dalloway!” Sally got hold of it; always after that she called him “My name is Dalloway!”

He was a prey to revelations at that time. This one—that she would marry Dalloway—was blinding—overwhelming at the moment. There was a sort of—how could he put it?—a sort of ease in her manner to him; something maternal; something gentle. They were talking about politics. All through dinner he tried to hear what they were saying.

Afterwards he could remember standing by old Miss Parry’s chair in the drawing-room. Clarissa came up, with her perfect manners, like a real hostess, and wanted to introduce him to some one—spoke as if they had never met before, which enraged him. Yet even then he admired her for it. He admired her courage; her social instinct; he admired her power of carrying things through. “The perfect hostess,” he said to her, whereupon she winced all over. But he meant her to feel it. He would have done anything to hurt her after seeing her with Dalloway. So she left him. And he had a feeling that they were all gathered together in a conspiracy against him—laughing and talking —behind his back. There he stood by Miss Parry’s chair as though he had been cut out of wood, he talking about wild flowers. Never, never had he suffered so infernally! He must have forgotten even to pretend to listen; at last he woke up; he saw Miss Parry looking rather disturbed, rather indignant, with her prominent eyes fixed. He almost cried out that he couldn’t attend because he was in Hell! People began going out of the room. He heard them talking about

fetching cloaks; about its being cold on the water, and so on. They were going boating on the lake by moonlight—one of Sally’s mad ideas. He could hear her describing the moon. And they all went out. He was left quite alone.

“Don’t you want to go with them?” said Aunt Helena—old Miss Parry! —she had guessed. And he turned round and there was Clarissa again. She had come back to fetch him. He was overcome by her generosity—her goodness.

“Come along,” she said. “They’re waiting.”

He had never felt so happy in the whole of his life! Without a word they made it up. They walked down to the lake. He had twenty minutes of perfect happiness. Her voice, her laugh, her dress (something floating, white, crimson), her spirit, her adventurousness; she made them all disembark and explore the island; she startled a hen; she laughed; she sang. And all the time, he knew perfectly well, Dalloway was falling in love with her; she was falling in love with Dalloway; but it didn’t seem to matter. Nothing mattered. They sat on the ground and talked—he and Clarissa. They went in and out of each other’s minds without any effort. And then in a second it was over. He said to himself as they were getting into the boat, “She will marry that man,” dully, without any resentment; but it was an obvious thing. Dalloway would marry Clarissa.

Dalloway rowed them in. He said nothing. But somehow as they watched him start, jumping on to his bicycle to ride twenty miles through the woods, wobbling off down the drive, waving his hand and disappearing, he obviously did feel, instinctively, tremendously, strongly, all that; the night; the romance; Clarissa. He deserved to have her.

For himself, he was absurd. His demands upon Clarissa (he could see it now) were absurd. He asked impossible things. He made terrible scenes. She would have accepted him still, perhaps, if he had been less absurd. Sally thought so. She wrote him all that summer long letters; how they had talked of him; how she had praised him, how Clarissa burst into tears! It was an extraordinary summer—all letters, scenes, telegrams—arriving at Bourton early in

the morning, hanging about till the servants were up; appalling têteà-têtes with old Mr. Parry at breakfast; Aunt Helena formidable but kind; Sally sweeping him off for talks in the vegetable garden; Clarissa in bed with headaches.

The final scene, the terrible scene which he believed had mattered more than anything in the whole of his life (it might be an exaggeration—but still so it did seem now) happened at three o’clock in the afternoon of a very hot day. It was a trifle that led up to it— Sally at lunch saying something about Dalloway, and calling him “My name is Dalloway”; whereupon Clarissa suddenly stiffened, coloured, in a way she had, and rapped out sharply, “We’ve had enough of that feeble joke.” That was all; but for him it was precisely as if she had said, “I’m only amusing myself with you; I’ve an understanding with Richard Dalloway.” So he took it. He had not slept for nights. “It’s got to be finished one way or the other,” he said to himself. He sent a note to her by Sally asking her to meet him by the fountain at three. “Something very important has happened,” he scribbled at the end of it.

The fountain was in the middle of a little shrubbery, far from the house, with shrubs and trees all round it. There she came, even before the time, and they stood with the fountain between them, the spout (it was broken) dribbling water incessantly. How sights fix themselves upon the mind! For example, the vivid green moss.

She did not move. “Tell me the truth, tell me the truth,” he kept on saying. He felt as if his forehead would burst. She seemed contracted, petrified. She did not move. “Tell me the truth,” he repeated, when suddenly that old man Breitkopf popped his head in carrying the Times; stared at them; gaped; and went away. They neither of them moved. “Tell me the truth,” he repeated. He felt that he was grinding against something physically hard; she was unyielding. She was like iron, like flint, rigid up the backbone. And when she said, “It’s no use. It’s no use. This is the end”—after he had spoken for hours, it seemed, with the tears running down his cheeks—it was as if she had hit him in the face. She turned, she left him, went away.

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