State of the Market Notes - 2025

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ECONOMIC UPDATE

PART ONE: US REAL ESTATE MARKET

PART TWO: US ECONOMY

PART THREE: US REAL ESTATE TRENDS

PART FOUR: 2023 BUYER AND SELLER PROFILES

1) Sides Per Agent

2) Volume Per Agent

3) Listings with Price Drops

4) New Listings

5) Distressed Sales

6) Credit Conditions

7) New Homes

8) Challenges for Builders and Developers

9) Home Insurance

10) Generational Wealth Transfer

No real increase

Only 56,000 agents left the business

60% don’t sell anything, yet they’re counted in this statistic What’s the average on those who lead generate vs those who don’t?

4th highest all time

Look at the % of January each year

Is the floor for the entire upcoming year

Jan 23: 9% increased to 28%

Jan 24: 24% increased to 35%

January 25: 31% ... expect this number to continue to rise ahead this year

Anytime you see listings with price drops increase - you see more expireds on the backend

This is a SKILLS BASED MARKET KNOWLEDGE and SKILLS ARE REQUIRED

Baby Boomers: Control 50% of the wealth in the USA

19 Trillion of the 85 Trillion total is in real estate Millennials are coming into their peak spending years

11,500 people turn 65 every day

73% of people over 55 will give all of their estates to their children

OPPORTUNITY: Estate Planning - Seminar for people who have adult children

Gift tax ceiling changes after 2025

ECONOMIC UPDATE

PART ONE: US REAL ESTATE MARKET

PART TWO: US ECONOMY

PART THREE: US REAL ESTATE STATISTICS

PART FOUR: 2024 BUYER AND SELLER PROFILES

1 out of every 4 buyer in 2024 was a FTHB - lowest percentage ever First time home buyers are older than ever Is there a FTHB celebrity in Philadelphia? Can you become that?

Desire to Buy a Home is at an all time low

Do you have a MOPHIR for each of these?

10 weeks is a benchmark - average

Looked online 43%

Doesn’t differentiate which website

Every agent should have a website they’re driving traffic to

No real changes in these slides YoY

Buyers want info: Photos Floor plans

Keep reinforcing these needs

Reinforce and market

2023 Price Reductions

In the colder months you don’t see as many price drops because there’s a lot fewer homes that come on the market = Less Competition

Low inventory with low demand shows up like this. Not as big of drops when it’s cold.

SOI is still number one

Repeat Business is at an all time high

Consumers are valuing skills

Agents are following up better than ever

All time high: Consumers interviewing one agent 75% of the time 91% only two agents

You’re not competing with others - be first and you have a 75% liklihood to land the Buyer

Instead of experience: Survey should ask for knowledge instead of experience

Do you want an experienced dumb agent or an experienced knowledgeable agent?

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State of the Market Notes - 2025 by Jillian Shur - Issuu