February Rural Newsletter

Page 1


SOLDBEFORE AUCTION

Multi Tenanted Commercial Investment

AUCTION - LIVE & ONLINE

Tuesday, 8th April 2025

Rowes Precinct, 48-60 Russell Street, Toowoomba QLD 4350

Andrew McCallum | 0427 581 889

Shay Woods | 0428 150 332

Let’s hear from the experts!

2025 Year In Advance

Our previous newsletter comments reflected on the year that was and it felt like there was plenty to discuss, though a lot of the themes remained consistent throughout 2024. Interest rates, input costs, normalised farm gate prices and high land values continue to be at the forefront of discussions and with Donald Trump's inauguration Tariffs have joined this chorus. A number of these factors, while receiving plenty of media time, are unlikely to see any significant or meaningful changes to our local property market in the short term.

Certainly interest rates (or more specifically the cash rate), if changing at all, will not change so significantly to greatly affect the viability of businesses and personal budgets. That said, a number of recent personal experiences indicate capacity to access sharper interest rates (at least for farm business loans), if you take the opportunity to shop around or discuss your current rate with your existing lender. Many landholders will have access to a significantly strengthened land to value ratios thanks to the growth in the property market in recent years. This stronger equity position can be very useful in negotiating a lower interest rate. To generalise where a rural property was purchased 10 to 15 years ago market growth in the order of 300 to 400% is not uncommon. An independent rural property valuation by HTW will be your first step to access a stronger equity position and realising more competitive interest rates.

A number of recent transactions on the Darling Downs are showing a case of market catch up, with regard to values expressed by prime cultivation and irrigation, where further growth is evident from sales analysed 12-18 months prior. This appears to be a case of correcting narrowed margins from grazing property to those prime cultivation properties. Where the grazing market has seen a greater rate of growth in recent years, hence, previously narrowing that margin.

Moving through the 2025 calendar year we expect continued peaking market conditions to remain prevalent. Southern Qld and Northern NSW appears to be benefitted by strong interstate migration which continues to support strong residential and rural lifestyle market values. Through relativity this is also helping to prop up the rural market, particularly where these rural properties are benefited by proximity to major centres. Our valuation teams in the southern states, are indicating weaker market conditions with some rural property markets now either stable or reflecting a softening from the peak of up to 10%.

https://htw.com.au/state/queensland/

Interest Rates

Interest Rates & Banks

Well, based on a lot of economists views it appears rates are finally on a downward trajectory with the majority predicting the RBA will reduce their target cash rate at their next meeting on Tuesday the 18th February. The biggest question is probably what the size of the reduction will be. Lower market rates are one thing, but what about the other “costs” that make up an interest rate. Besides, I doubt very much a reader is paying 4.35% p.a. interest??? What else is a bank’s interest rates that brings the rate up to 6.50% p.a. for example.

Bank Funding Costs

On top of the market rate, a bank will apply its own funding costs. That is the costs it incurs to raise the capital to provide the loan. Predominantly these are sourced from domestic bank deposits (between 60% and 70%) and the balance from institutional investors and international wholesale markets (between 30% and 40%). As the RBA reduces their rates, so to do banks reduce their term deposit rates on savings. This in turn lowers the costs to raise funds, and therefore, lower bank funding costs. But in an environment with a lower AUD/USD near 62c, will lower interest rates here in Australia lead to a transfer of investment capital to markets such as the US where the interest rate is on hold and is viewed as being less volatile. This can increase a bank’s funding costs and negate any benefit from a lower interest rate.

Customer Margins

Banks also build a customer margin into their pricing, which is basically a price based on the level of riskiness you are to defaulting on your loan repayments. The higher the risk you are, the higher the margin that is charged.

Fees

Banks often a charge a fee based either on the limit of your loans (referred to as a Line Fee) or calculated on any undrawn balance within your limits (referred to as an Undrawn Limit Fee). I won’t go into the specific differences, however, these result in a higher borrowing costs and are somewhat overlooked when banks discuss interest rates.

AUD Comment

The AUD has taken somewhat of a hammering in recent months, having lost approx. 10% since Sept 2024. The threat of US tariffs and a looming trade war with China would impact our exports to both the US and China and has likely been a catalyst to a lower AUD. Should the RBA reduce interest rates further to closer to 3.50% as has been forecast, will this put additional pressure on the AUD therefore increasing import costs and be inflationary in itself. If the RBA reduces their rates and hint there is more to come, will this cause a transfer of funding by international markets from Australian banks to US banks for a higher return. Should this occur, banks may find themselves having to pay above market rates to retain and attract new capital from international markets, thereby increasing funding costs. It’s a balancing act, whichever you look at it.

If you want to learn more about your funding position and gain a little market intelligence, I’d love to have a talk. Please do not hesitate to call.

“Savannah & Harms Block”, MT ABUNDANCE

1,252.6 Ha | 3,098.1 Ac FOR SALE

$4,500,000

194.58 Ha | 481 Ac (Freehold)

“Mountain View”, KUMBIA FOR SALE

$2,400,000

Craig’s Welding & Tyre Service, MEANDARRA FOR SALE

$700,000 Plus SAV

Upcoming Clearing Sale

Sale Includes:

GDL South Burnett Region Surplus

Machinery & Equipment Auction

Bidding Starts: Thursday 20th February, 12pm

Row Janke Bros planter

4 row cultivator

Hammer Hill mixer

Napier Grasslands 725 offset

Bordin 3 tonne feed bin

Rotary hoe

Fertiliser grouper bin

Crushers

John Deere hydraulic quick hitch

Diamond harrows

Plough

Harvester

Silos

Motorbike

Mower

Alternator

Cattle Crush

0428787101

ChrisNorris

LesterCalvert 0447711505

RyanSullivan

0407176062

BradCavanagh

0428176062

Upcoming Clearing Sale

49 Joskeleigh Road, Keppel Sands

Saturday 22nd February, 10am (gates open 8am)

2020 Isuzu FRR 107-210 tipper with cattle crate

Hercules HE600 loader, 4 in 1 bucket, rippers, forks, bucket

Kubota KX 161-3 5 ton excavator with numerous attachments

Kioti Mechron 2200 side by side

2008 Ford Ranger single cab with alloy tray

Komatsu 25 forklift 2.5 ton

Berends grader attachment

Miller bobcat 250 welder, 25hp, fitted on a 7x4 box trailer

BE industrial series compressor 15HP, 145 PSI, Honda GX390, fitted on a 6x4 box trailer

2000L Silvan tank fitted with a Honda pump on a dual axle trailer

Concrete mixer attachment for tractor

800L Diesel tank with electric pump fitted on a 6x4m box trailer

400L Diesel tank with electric pump

Sea Jay 4.35M SP side console boat with 60hp mercury GT motor

Massive range of workshop equipment

Important Update

ATO CHANGES WHEN SELLING PROPERTY

**Thisappliesto ALLPROPERTY contractssigned onorafter1January2025**

All property transactions

All Australians

Has changed from $750,000 threshold to any property sold

Talk to your solicitor so you’re not affected at time of settlement, causing possible money withheld

To find out more about Foreign Resident Capital Gains Withholding (FRCGW), and understand how this affects every seller CLICK HERE

Blackall

Crows Nest

Dalby

Emerald

Gracemere

Kingaroy

Nebo Roma

Sarina

Alice Springs

Prime & Store Sale - Thursday

Weaner & Store Sale - Monthly

Monthly - Saturday

Wednesday

Thursday Wednesday

Monthly

Monthly - Friday

Store Sale - Tuesday

Friday Fortnightly

Annual Sale

Andrew McCallum | Real Estate Manager/Director 0427 581 889

Nick Dunsdon | Cunnamulla

Rhys Hebberman | Darwin

Tim Maguire | Emerald

Owen Brockhurst | Miles

Tony Lilburne | Quilpie & Dalby

Bill Reid | Rockhampton

Dan Tyson | Rockhampton

Rick Benham | Roma

David Benham | Toowoomba

Recipe:

Mars Bar Slice

THE PERFECT SWEET TREAT

INGREDIENTS:

75g (1/ 3) butter

150g Mars Bars chopped

1 tablespoon (20g) golden syrup

3 cups (90g) rice bubbles or any puffed rice

250g (1 2/3 cups) milk chocolate

1 tablespoon (20g) coconut oil or vegetable oil (optional)

INSTRUCTIONS:

1. Melt the butter, 100g (two thirds) of the Mars Bars and golden syrup on low heat in a saucepan (or in 30 second bursts in the microwave on 50% power). Please note: the Mars Bars will not completely melt. Mix until the butter and golden syrup are smooth.

Grease and line a 18cm X 22cm rectangular slice tin with baking paper and set aside.

2. Stir through the rice bubbles and the remaining Mars Bar (chopped).

3. Press mixture very firmly into the prepared tin.

4. Place milk chocolate and coconut oil/vegetable oil in a heatproof bowl. Microwave on medium for 3 minutes, 50% power, or until just melted, stirring every 30 seconds with a metal spoon. Stir until smooth.

5. Spread over slice and refrigerate until firm (a minimum of 3-4 hours - or best overnight).

7.

6. Remove slice from the refrigerator about 30 minutes before cutting into squares with a warm serrated knife.

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