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China is Shrinking Fast – Too Fast

• After peaking at 1.42 billion in 2021, current forecasts' project China’s population will shrink by over 100 million by 2050 and by 2100 it will be less than 800 million with some scenarios seeing them closer to 500 million.

• Why? It is not just an issue of not having enough babies. There are not enough women to have children. The case of the “Missing Women”: An estimated 62 million women would be alive without gender discrimination.

• The risk is a huge gender-ratio imbalance for 16-to-24 year old's.

• The other risks: It shakes traditional family structures and puts enormous burdens on China’s social safety nets. And it fuels rising crime rates.

Sources: CSIS; World Bank

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