Foundations of european politics catherine e. de vries & sara b. hobolt & sven-oliver proksch & jona

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Foundations of European Politics

Foundations of European Politics A Comparative Approach

Sven-Oliver Proksch

Jonathan B. Slapin

Great Clarendon Street, Oxford, OX2 6DP, United Kingdom

Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries © Oxford University Press 2021

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Public sector information reproduced under Open Government Licence v3.0 (http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/open-government-licence.htm)

Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016, United States of America

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ebook ISBN 978–0–19–256693–5

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Created on: 28 April 2021 at 11:00 a.m.

Preface

The idea for this textbook goes back to a sunny afternoon in bustling Milan in June 2017. The four of us were participating in the annual conference organized by the European Political Science Association and we met in a street café to exchange views about our ongoing research projects. The conversation moved on to a more general discussion of teaching European politics at our various universities. Each of us regularly teach classes on European politics, albeit in four different countries, including general introductions but also seminars and lectures focusing on elections and voting behaviour, political institutions, and European Union politics. Over the years, we had come to realize that existing textbook resources to teach these classes had become increasingly difficult to use for two reasons.

First, explaining patterns in national politics in Europe without an understanding of the developments at the European Union level was becoming nearly impossible. Brexit may be the most obvious example, but there are many other instances where EU politics matters increasingly for national politics. For instance, the emergence of new political parties in national elections may have roots in European level politics. Second, explaining interactions at the European Union level between governments and supranational actors is increasingly difficult without understanding the domestic politics behind action at the European level. National parties, for example, continue to play an important role in the political framework of the European Union.

On that day, sitting in the Milan street café, we decided to write a new textbook that bridges the national and European levels of government by adopting a rigorous analytical approach in the hope that such a resource will be useful for university teachers and students alike in learning about the

fundamentals of contemporary European politics. This book is the culmination of our efforts.

In addition to providing the theoretical foundations necessary to understand national and European political actors and institutions, the textbook aims to expose students to various political data in Europe. The book offers many data visualizations, as well as extensive online materials that introduce major political science datasets currently being used by academics to study European politics. The online materials allow students to answer exercise questions using interactive data visualizations based on these datasets. In combination, we hope that the book and the online materials will be used by the next generation of scholars of European politics.

This textbook would not have been possible without the help of numerous scholars and colleagues. First, we like to thank Pit Rieger and Jens Wäckerle for excellent research assistance along the way. Pit created the many data visualizations found throughout this book. Jens has done an outstanding job in developing the online materials, including all of the interactive data exercises. Both Jens and Pit provided many helpful suggestions to make the textbook even more approachable to students. The book would not be what it is without their invaluable help.

In addition, many colleagues have read various chapters of this book, and some even the entire manuscript, and they gave us valuable feedback and comments. These intrepid souls include: Chitralekha Basu, Bruno Castanho Silva, Michele Fenzl, David Fortunato, Daniel Kelemen, Lucas Leemann, Lanny Martin, Stefan Müller, Verena Reidinger, Lennart Schürmann, and Christopher Wratil. We also thank the numerous anonymous reviewers who have furthermore helped us to be more concise and precise with our arguments. We are grateful to Oxford University Press, in particular Sarah Iles and Katie Staal, who have always believed in this project and who have kept us (mostly) on schedule! Finally, we would like to thank our many wonderful students over the years who have taught us so much and inspired us to write this book. We dedicate this book to them and the next generation of European politics scholars.

Catherine E. De Vries

Sara B. Hobolt

Sven-Oliver Proksch

Jonathan B. Slapin

February 2021

List

List

List

PART

Glossary Bibliography Index

Detailed Contents

List of Figures

List of Tables

List of Boxes

How to Use this Book

Guided Tour of the Online Resources

About the Authors

Introduction

Political Analysis as Model-Building

Democracy and Democratization

Citizenship and Participation

Our Approach and Scope

Plan for the Book

PART ONE Theoretical Foundations

Democratic Politics

A Model of Democracy: The Median Voter

Delegation and Representative Democracy

Principals and Agents in Representative Democracy

Multidimensional Politics Summary Multilevel Politics in Europe

Supranational Politics in Europe

Delegation and Pooling

Subnational Politics in Europe

Federalism and Decentralization

Summary

PART TWO Citizens and Voters

Ideology and Issues

Ideology and Elections

New Political Issues and Multidimensional Politics

Populism and Anti-Elite Attitudes

Summary

Voting Decisions

Why Citizens Vote

How Citizens Vote

Stability of Vote Choices

Institutional Context and Second Order Elections

Summary

PART THREE Elections and Parties

Electoral Systems and Direct Democracy

Objectives of Electoral Systems

Majoritarian Systems

Proportional Systems

Mixed Systems

Electoral Systems and the Party System

Direct Democracy in Europe

Referendums on European Integration

Summary

Representation

Types of Representation

Substantive Representation in Proportional and Majoritarian Systems

Descriptive Representation and Gender Equality in Politics

Political Rhetoric and Signalling

Summary

Political Parties

The Origins of Parties: Stasis and Change

Party Families

Party Types and Organization

Niche, Populist, and Challenger Parties

Summary

Party Competition

Party Systems

Spatial Models of Party Competition

Issue Competition and Issue Entrepreneurship

Mobilizing the EU Issue

Valence Models of Party Competition

Responses of Mainstream Parties to Challengers

Summary

PART FOUR Governments and Policy

Political Systems and Government Formation

Institutional Variation of Democracy in Europe

The Political System of the EU: A Mixed System

Government Formation at the National Level

Types of Government Coalitions

Coalition Formation with Policy-Seeking Parties

The Role of Institutions in Government Formation

Choosing the EU Commission President

Law-Making in Governments and Parliaments

Veto Players and Law-Making

Cabinet Ministers: Agenda-Setters for their Party

Enforcing Coalition Compromise Inside and Outside

Parliament

Why Minority Governments Work

Interest Groups and Informal Influences on Policy-Making

Law-Making in the European Union

Summary

Policy Outcomes in Europe

Policy Authority in a Multilevel Europe

Trade Policy

Immigration Policy

Environmental Policy

Health Policy

Summary

PART FIVE Rule of Law, Democracy, and Backsliding

Rule of Law and Judicial Politics

Why Obey the Law? A Theoretical Discussion

Politics, Law, and the Legal System

Power of Courts

Constitutions, Parliaments, and Judicial Review

European Law and a Changing European Judiciary

Rule of Law in the EU: Infringements and Compliance

Summary

European Politics into the Future

Political Fragmentation and its Impact on Governance

Glossary

Bibliography Index

Democratic Backsliding in EU Member States

Brexit and the Future of the EU–UK Relationship

The Democratic Deficit in the European Union

European Politics into the Future

Summary

List of Figures

Paths to Democracy for Several European Democracies

Map of Europe: Countries Covered in the Book

Thematic Overview of the Book

Policy Preferences on a Single Issue

A Two-Dimensional Policy Space

Indifference Curve Example

European Union Chain of Delegation

Widening of the European Union

Collective Action Problem: Prisoners’ Dilemma

Development of European Integration

Regional Authority within the EU

Voter Ideological Self-Placement on a General Left–Right Scale

Uni-dimensional Electoral Competition

Two-Dimensional Electoral Competition

Support for EU Membership across Europe

Support for Integration across Europe

Populist Attitudes across Twelve European Countries, 2019

Turnout in European and National Parliamentary Elections

Ideological Positions of Voter and Parties on a Single Dimension

Trends in Electoral Volatility in European and National Parliamentary Elections in Europe

Electoral Performance of National Parties in European and National Elections

Varieties of Electoral Systems in Europe

Disproportionality of Elections in Europe

Relationship between Disproportionality and Effective Number of Parliamentary Parties

Moving to Proportional Representation: The Electoral Threat Model by Boix

Initiatives and Referendums in Europe

Referendums on European Integration

Congruence in the Italian Political System: 2018–2020

Spatial Model of Policy Responsiveness

Development of Female Representation in European Parliaments

Female Heads of Government or Heads of State in Europe, 2015–2020

Female Ministers in Cabinets in Europe

Relationship between Female Representation in Parliament and in Cabinet

Party Membership in Western Europe, 1945–2015

Party Attachment in Western Europe, 1975–2016

Party Family Vote Shares in Western Europe, 1919–2019

Party Family Vote Shares in Post-Communist European Countries, 1990–2019

Political Parties in Germany

Political Parties in Spain

Political Parties in the UK

Political Parties in Poland

Political Groups in the European Parliament, 2019

Types of Party Organizations

Polarized Party System

Downsian Model of Party Competition

Eurosceptic Parties in National and European Elections

The Political System of the EU: Shared Executive Power

Government Types in Europe Following Parliamentary Elections, 1945–2019

Ideology and Coalition Formation in the Netherlands, 2017

Opportunity for Minority Government

Frequency of Majority, Minority, and Caretaker Governments in Europe

Veto Players in Italy Following 2018 Election

Ministerial Autonomy and Compromise Model of Policy-Making

Variation of Parliamentary Policing Strength in Europe

The Ordinary Legislative Procedure in the EU

Number of Meetings between Interest Groups and the European Commission (2014–2020)

Policy-Making Powers of the European Union

Importance of the Immigration Issue for Party Families in Europe

Environmental Outcomes in EU Member States

Health Outcomes in Europe

Trust in the Judiciary and Other Political Actors

Preliminary Ruling Procedure Referrals over Time and by Member State

Monitoring Compliance with EU Law: The Infringement Procedure

Infringement Cases in the EU, 2002–2018

The Volatility of Government Compositions in Europe

Democratic Decline in Poland and Hungary

Most Important Issue in the UK

List of Tables

Overview of European Treaties

Major Electoral System Reforms in Europe since 1945

Types of Referendums

Two Dimensions of Representation

Majoritarian and Proportional Visions of Democracy

Legislators’ Behavioural Incentives in Parliament

Summary of Main Cleavages

Political Systems in Europe

Parliaments in Europe

History of EU Decision-Making Rules from a Veto Players Perspective

Constitutional Court’s Ability to Review Laws

List of Boxes

Methods and Measurement: Measuring Democracy

Case Study: Cyclical Majorities in Politics

Methods and Measurements: Using Game Theory to Analyse Politics

Case Study: The History of Qualified Majority Voting in the EU

Controversies and Debates: Theories and Explanations for European Integration

Case Study: The Issue of Catalan Independence

Controversies and Debates: Converse on Belief Systems and Ideology

Case Study: The French Revolution and the Origins of Left–Right Politics

Methods and Measurement: Measuring Postmaterialism

Methods and Measurement: Measuring Eurosceptic Attitudes

Methods and Measurement: Measuring Populist Attitudes

Case Study: Voter Turnout and Postal Voting in Switzerland

Case Study: The Lack of Electoral Punishment of Corruption

Methods and Measurement: Measuring Electoral Volatility

Case Study: Presidential Elections in Europe

Controversies and Debates: The Complexity of District Magnitudes in PR Systems

Case Study: The German Mixed-Member Proportional System

Case Study: The European Citizens’ Initiative

Controversies and Debates: Do Parties Respond to Shifts in Public Opinion?

Controversies and Debates: Is the European Union Responsive to Voters?

Case Study: Left-Wing Parties in Poland and Hungary

Methods and Measurement: How to Measure Party Positions

Methods and Measurement: Party System Fragmentation and Polarization

Controversies and Debates: Citizens’ Perceptions of Coalition Compromise

Controversies and Debates: Policy Portfolios and the Spoils of Government

Controversies and Debates: Is Policy Stability Good or Bad?

Case Study: Monetary Policy in the EU

Controversies and Debates: Is the EU a Regulatory State?

Case Study: European Responses to the Covid-19 Outbreak in 2020

Controversies and Debates: How to Classify Welfare States in Europe?

Case Study: Cyber-Bullying in the UK

Case Study: Important European Court Cases in Establishing the EU Legal System

Controversies and Debates: EU Enlargement and its Consequences for EU Decision-Making

How to Use this Book

Methods and Measurement Boxes

Provide more detailed information about methodological concerns, or examine questions about how to measure particular facets of politics.

Case Study Boxes

Case study boxes foreground particular examples in greater detail to demonstrate a concept, or to show how it applies in real-world politics.

Controversies and Debates Boxes

Controversies and debates boxes highlight disagreements in the academic literature about both theoretical concepts and empirical findings.

Glossary Terms

Key terms appear emboldened in the text and are defined in a glossary at the end of the book, helping you to understand technical terms as you learn, and acting as a useful prompt when it comes to revision.

Guided Tour of the Online Resources

For student Multiple-Choice Questions, Web Links, and lecturer resources go to: www.oup.com/he/DeVries1e

For Dataset Descriptions and Exercises, go to: www.foundationsofeuropeanpolitics.com

For Students

Multiple-Choice Questions

Self-marking multiple-choice questions for each chapter reinforces students’ understanding of the key points of each chapter, and provide a

useful prompt for revision.

Web Links

Web links to further relevant information to help students take their learning further.

Dataset Decriptions

An interactive guide to important datasets that can be used by students to analyse European politics.

Interactive Data Exercises

Explore key concepts from each chapter with activities which encourage you to manipulate and engage with data.

For registered adopters

Essay Questions

Ready-made essay questions for each chapter have been designed to use in assessment, or to stimulate class debate.

Test-Bank Questions

A bank of multiple-choice questions to be used for assessment purposes, to help test students’ understanding of the key concepts explored in each chapter.

PowerPoint Slides

PowerPoint slides accompany each chapter, and can be used and tailored by lecturers in their teaching.

About the Authors

Catherine E. De Vries is a Professor of Political Science at Bocconi University. She is the author of several books on European politics, including Euroscepticism and the Future of European Integration (OUP, 2018) and Political Entrepreneurs (Princeton UP, 2020).

Sara B. Hobolt is the Sutherland Chair in European Institutions and professor at the London School of Economics and Political Science. She is the author of four books on European politics, including Europe in Question (OUP, 2009), Blaming Europe? (OUP, 2014) and Political Entrepreneurs (Princeton UP, 2020).

Sven-Oliver Proksch is a Professor of Political Science and Chair in European and Multilevel Politics at the University of Cologne. His research interests include political representation, party politics, parliaments, and political text analysis. He is co-author of the book The Politics of Parliamentary Debates (CUP, 2015).

Jonathan B. Slapin is a Professor of Political Science and Chair in Political Institutions and European Politics at the University of Zürich. His current research focuses on European parliamentary and party politics, and his most recent book is Roll Call Rebels (CUP, 2019).

1 Introduction

On 23 June 2016, the United Kingdom held a referendum in which the country voted to leave the European Union (EU). At the time, few figures loomed larger over British politics than Nigel Farage, the leader of the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP). Farage and UKIP had been campaigning for the UK to leave the EU for many years. And ahead of the general election of 2015, the threat of UKIP encouraged Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron to commit to a referendum on EU membership. Throughout the referendum campaign, Farage made regular appearances in the media, including as a panellist on the BBC’s popular weekly political show Question Time, and he continued to be a regular thorn in the side of the Prime Minister. Ultimately, the campaign to leave the EU won the day. UKIP and its charismatic leader were an important force in pushing the UK towards this outcome.

Meanwhile, across the English Channel, another populist politician was having similar success in France. In 2011, Marine Le Pen became leader of the National Front (which is now known as the National Rally), a radical right party. She took over the party helm from her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, who had founded the party and led it since 1972. The elder Le Pen, in particular, was known for his anti-Semitic and anti-Muslim views. Like UKIP, the National Rally has opposed French membership in the European Union and other international organizations. The party also strongly opposes immigration, especially from outside of Europe. Marine Le Pen secured reasonably strong political backing and managed to enter the second round of the 2017 French presidential elections against Emmanuel Macron. Even though she eventually lost, she put up a strong electoral showing.

Besides their similar positions and well-known public personas, Nigel Farage and Marine Le Pen have something else in common. Their parties have

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