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The Oxford Handbook of Banking, Third Edition Allen N. Berger

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the oxford handbook of BANKING

THE Oxford Handbook of BANKING

Third Edition

1

Great Clarendon Street, Oxford, ox2 6dp, United Kingdom

Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries

© Oxford University Press 2019

Chapter 17 illustrations © Federal Reserve Bank of New York

The moral rights of the authors have been asserted

First Edition published in 2010

Second Edition published in 2015

Third Edition published in 2019

Impression: 1

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, by licence or under terms agreed with the appropriate reprographics rights organization. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above

You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer

Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016, United States of America

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data

Data available

Library of Congress Control Number: 2019933028

ISBN 978–0–19–882463–3

Printed and bound by CPI Group (UK) Ltd, Croydon, cr0 4yy

Links to third party websites are provided by Oxford in good faith and for information only. Oxford disclaims any responsibility for the materials contained in any third party website referenced in this work.

For Mindy (Allen N. Berger)

For Delyth, Alun, Gareth, Gethin, Catrin, Lois, and Rhiannon (Philip Molyneux)

In memory of my mother, Jean Wilson (John O.S. Wilson)

Preface

Ten years on from the Global Financial Crisis, banks are still adapting to new, more constrained operating and regulatory environments. Banks now hold more capital and liquidity than they did prior to the crisis, and have had regulatory limits placed upon riskier activities. Large banks have reduced their international activities in order to focus on domestic and select overseas markets.

In the US, Europe, and elsewhere banks are now subject to: new capital, liquidity, and tax regulations; resolution regimes; stress tests; bail-in mechanisms; corporate governance; executive compensation and disclosure rules; along with enhanced supervisory oversight, particularly for the thirty globally systemically important banks, the G-SIBs. FinTech developments are creating opportunities for both incumbent banks and new competitors in a diverse array of areas ranging from online banking, robo advisory services and distributed ledger technology (Blockchain) to marketplace or peer-to-peer lending platforms, as well as InsureTech and RegTech. There are now over 2,000 cryptocurrencies in existence, the most well known being Bitcoin with a 54 percent share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. These developments present banks with competitive challenges from the entry of technology firms and opportunities to redesign business models, offer new services, and improve efficiency. For example, legacy systems are likely to be gradually replaced with more technology-based systems using distributed-ledger technology and Blockchain.

The more competitive environment and stricter regulation have affected bank profits. Banks have to spend more on regulatory compliance and organizational restructuring. As of this writing, many large European banks are generating single digit returns that often do not cover their cost of capital, leading to a destruction of shareholder value. The sluggish performance of the European economy following the European Sovereign Debt Crisis presents further challenges. The Eurozone set its plans out to create a European Banking Union in 2012 in order to establish a more robust framework for dealing with troubled banks, although parts of the new regime (including a Euro-wide deposit insurance scheme) are yet to be fully implemented.

Many of the aforementioned pressures continue to have similar influences on banking business globally. The slowdown in economic growth, the low (and in some cases negative) interest rate environment, coupled with regulatory measures designed to improve safety and soundness have generally acted as a drag on bank performance. Markets remain volatile and both banks and regulators continue to grapple with the complexities of measuring and managing a host of systemic as well as bank-level risks. Of particular recent interest has been the accounting treatment of credit risk indicators

such as loan loss provisions and reserves and the fair valuation of financial instruments, as well as issues related to the transparency of off-balance-sheet activities. Uncertainty continues to heighten. Trade wars, Brexit, Euro area challenges (such as Italian indebtedness), the possible end of the bull run in equity markets, the slowdown in emerging markets (China in particular), political polarization (both domestic and international), Middle East tensions, and other factors all add to uncertainty and a less favorable global operating environment for banks.

This Third Edition seeks to evaluate many of the aforementioned areas and is a substantial update on the Second Edition. There are new chapters on community and mutual banking; Islamic banking; microfinance; modern central banking; bank bail-ins and bailouts; deposit insurance; bank capital; financial literacy and consumer protection; and banking in China, and Australia and New Zealand. Developments in FinTech are discussed in the chapters on small business lending, payments, and financial innovation. General themes relating to the impact of the new regulatory environment and the impact of banks on the real economy are also substantially covered in specific chapters, as well as significant updates to the other topics covered in the Second Edition.

Acknowledgements

First, and most important, we wish to thank the contributors to the Handbook. We are delighted to have brought together such an outstanding set of research experts from academic and policy arenas across Europe, North America, South America, Asia, and Australasia. These experts have shown a high level of commitment and perseverance to the project from beginning to end. Without their expertise, dedication, and efficiency in producing scholarly banking chapters this Handbook would never have been possible.

The production of this Handbook has also relied heavily on the exceptional enthusiasm and commitment of Oxford University Press, most notably Adam Swallow, publisher for Economics and Finance, who was crucial in helping us kick-start the project. Oxford University Press delegates and a number of anonymous referees also played an important role in advising on the shape of the Handbook.

We would like to thank and acknowledge Verity Rimmer and also Katie Bishop, whose advice was invaluable and who was always on hand to help and worked closely with us throughout the entire process. The team in New York also played a valuable role, and so we’d like to thank Viviana Lachmund and Laura Heston. Manikandan Chandrasekaran and Jen Hinchliffe also played a crucial role toward the end of the project. We would also like to acknowledge the support of our home institutions: the Moore School of Business at the University of South Carolina; the College of Business Administration at the University of Sharjah; and the Centre for Responsible Banking & Finance at the Management School, University of St Andrews. We would especially like to thank Dorothy Campbell who provided excellent assistance in preparing the final manuscript prior to submission.

During the writing of this Handbook, Fernando José Cardim de Carvalho, Emeritus Professor at UFRJ (Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil) and Senior Fellow at the Levy Economics Institute, Bard College in New York passed away on the 16th of May, 2018. He was 64 years old. Fernando was one of Brazil’s most revered economists. A leader of the post-Keynesian economists in Brazil, he was an associate editor of the Journal of Post Keynesian Economics. Among his many published works, he authored Mr Keynes and the Post Keynesians (Edward Elgar, 1992), and Liquidity Preference and Monetary Economics (Routledge, 2015). Fernando was an active and leading voice in discussions about money and financial systems and was writing until the time of his passing. Fernando wrote the excellent section on Latin American Development Banks: Some New Developments or an Impasse? in Chapter 37 of this Handbook, Banking in Latin America: Developments and Prospects. As always, Fernando provided valuable

insights, expert analysis, and perfect context, which is indicative of his great intellect and contribution to knowledge.

Finally, we would like to thank our families and friends for their encouragement and patience over the last decade while completing the three editions of the Handbook. Their support is always very much appreciated.

List of Figures xv

List of Tables xix

List of Abbreviations xxiii

List of Contributors xxxi

1. Banking: A Decade on from the Global Financial Crisis 1 Allen N. Berger, Philip Molyneux, and John O. S. Wilson

PART I THE THEORY OF BANKING

2. The Roles of Banks in Financial Systems 39 Franklin Allen, Elena Carletti, and Xian Gu

3. Commercial Banking and Shadow Banking: The Accelerating Integration of Banks and Markets and its Implications for Regulation 62 Arnoud W. A. Boot and Anjan V. Thakor

4. Corporate Complexity and Systemic Risk: A Progress Report 95 Jacopo Carmassi and Richard J. Herring

5. Corporate Governance and Culture in Banking 131 Jens Hagendorff

6. Private Information and Risk Management in Banking 153 Linda Allen and Anthony Saunders

7. Creation and Regulation of Bank Liquidity 181 Christa H. S. Bouwman

PART II A CTIVITIES AND PERFORMANCE

8. The Performance of Financial Institutions: Modeling, Evidence, and some Policy Implications 229 Joseph P. Hughes and Loretta J. Mester

9. Technological Change and Financial Innovation in Banking: Some Implications for FinTech 262

W. Scott Frame, Larry Wall, and Lawrence J. White

10. Payments 285

David Humphrey

11. Community Banking Institutions: Commercial Banks, Savings Banks, Cooperative Banks, and Credit Unions 321

Dasol Kim and Donal McKillop

12. Islamic Banking: A Review of the Empirical Literature and Future Research Directions 359

Narjess Boubakri, Ruiyuan (Ryan) Chen, Omrane Guedhami, and Xinming Li

13. Can We Improve the Impact of Microfinance? A Survey of the Recent Literature and Potential Avenues for Success 404

Robert Lensink and Erwin Bulte

14. Small Business Lending: The Roles of Technology and Regulation from Pre-crisis to Crisis to Recovery 431

Allen N. Berger and Lamont K. Black

15. Residential Mortgages 470

Andreas Lehnert and Alex Martin

16. Securitization 503

Barbara Casu and Anna Sarkisyan

17. Shadow Banking 530

Tobias Adrian, Adam B. Ashcraft, Peter Breuer, and Nicola Cetorelli

PART III REGUL ATORY AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES

18. Modern Central Banking 573

Frederic S. Mishkin

19. Lender of Last Resort: A New Role for the Old Instrument 602

Xavier Freixas and Bruno M. Parigi

Deniz Anginer and Asli Demirgüç-Kunt

Mark E. Van Der Weide and Jeffery Y. Zhang

Mark J. Flannery and Robert R. Bliss

Hans Degryse, Paola Morales-Acevedo, and Steven Ongena

Gregory Elliehausen

PART IV MA CROECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES

Olivier de Bandt and Philipp Hartmann

Gerard Caprio Jr. and Patrick Honohan 28.

Charles W. Calomiris

Claudia M. Buch and Gayle L. DeLong 30. Banking and Real Economic Activity: Foregone Conclusions and Open Challenges

Nicola Cetorelli and Michael Blank

PART V B ANKING SYSTEMS AROUND THE WORLD

31. Banking in the United States 977

Robert DeYoung

32. Banking in Europe: Integration, Reform, and the Road to a Banking Union 1000

John Goddard, Philip Molyneux, and John O.S. Wilson

33. Banking in Japan: A Post-global Financial Crisis Perspective 1033

Hirofumi Uchida and Gregory F. Udell

34. Banking in Africa 1076

Thorsten Beck, Robert Cull, and Patricio Valenzuela

35. Banking in China 1113

Leora Klapper, María Soledad Martínez Pería, and Bilal Zia

36. Banking in the Transition Countries of Central, Southern, and Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union 1132

Zuzana Fungáčová, Iftekhar Hasan, Laura Solanko, and Paul Wachtel

37. Banking in Latin America: Developments and Prospects 1152

Fernando J. Cardim de Carvalho, Luiz Fernando de Paula, and Jonathan Williams

38. Banking in Australia and New Zealand—Geographic Proximity, Market Concentration, and Banking Integration 1190

Fariborz Moshirian and Eliza Wu Index 1215

29.2 Percentage of Bank Acquisitions that Are Cross-Border (by Year)

29.4 Percentage of Cross-Border Bank Acquisitions (by Region and Year) 1985–2017

31.1 Number of Commercial Banks and Commercial Bank Branch Offices in the US between 1940 and 2017

Aggregate Return-on-Equity and Equity-to-Assets Ratios for the US Commercial Banking Industry, 1934 to 2017

31.3 Merged Banks, Newly Chartered Banks, and Failed Banks, Expressed as a Percentage of the US Commercial Bank Population, each Year from 1970 to 2017

31.4

31.5 The Changing Distribution of US Commercial Banks by Asset Size (in 2009 dollars) between 1980 and 2017

31.6

34.6 Private Credit/GDP (%) in African Countries 2011–15, Actual vs. Predicted Values

34.7 Use of Formal Account and Loan Services across Firm Size Groups in International Comparison, 2013–17

34.8

34.9

34.10

35.1

35.2

35.3

35.4

35.5

35.6

35.7

38.1

4.1 Size and Complexity of G-SIBs, 2018 vs. 2013 (G-SIBs Ranked by Total Assets 2017)

4.2 Geographical Diversification of G-SIBs and Subsidiaries in OFCs, 2018 vs. 2013 (G-SIBs Ranked by Number of Countries in 2018)

4.3 Breakdown by Industry of Subsidiaries of G-SIBs, October 2018 (in bold) and May

4.4 Number of Subsidiaries of US G-SIBs According to the FED/NIC

22.6

22.7

23.A1

2

29.1

31.3

31.4

32.1

32.3

32.4

33.1

33.2

33.3

33.4

34.1

34.2

List of Abbreviations

AAOIFI Accounting and Auditing Organization for Islamic Financial Institutions

ABCP asset-backed commercial paper

ABL asset-based lending

ABS asset-backed securities

ABSPP asset-backed securities purchase program

ACH Automated Clearing House

ADIs Authorised Deposit-taking Institutions

AIG American International Group

A-IRB advanced internal ratings-based approach

AMA advanced measurement approach

AMC asset management company

AMLF Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility

APP asset purchase program

APRA Australian Prudential Regulation Authority

AQR asset quality review

ARM adjustable rate mortgage

ASF available stable funding

ASIC Australian Securities and Investments Commission

ATM automated teller machine

BCBS Basel Committee on Banking Supervision

BCCI Bank Credit and Commerce International

BEEPS Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey

BHC bank holding company

BIS Bank for International Settlements

B/M ratio book-to-market ratio

BoJ Bank of Japan

BOJ-NET Japan’s Real Time Gross Settlement Network

BOLR buyer of last resort

BOPEC Summary performance ratings assigned to US bank holding companies over the period 1987 to 2004

BRRD Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive

BRSS Bank Regulation and Supervision Survey

C&I commercial and industrial

CAMELS Capital, Assets, Management, Earnings, Liquidity, and Sensitivity

CAPM capital asset pricing model

CAR cumulative abnormal return

CATFIN early warning systemic risk indicator

CB central bank

CBC commercial bank clearinghouse

CBOT Chicago Board of Trade

CBPP covered bond purchase program

CCAR Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review

CCB capital conservation buffer

CCyB countercyclical capital buffer

CDCI Community Development Capital Initiative

CDO collateralized debt obligation

CDS credit default swap

CEE Central and Eastern Europe

CFPB Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

CET1 Common Equity Tier 1

CGFS Committee on the Global Financial System

CHAPS UK’s RTGS network

Check 21 Electronic processing/collection of paper checks in the US

CHIPS A US bank-operated large-value payment network

CISS Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress

CLS Bank A Continuous Linked Settlement bank handling foreign exchange transactions

CLTV combined loan-to-value ratio

CMBS commercial mortgage-backed security

CME Chicago Mercantile Exchange

CMO collateralized mortgage obligation

CNAV constant net asset value

CoCos Contingent Convertible Bonds

CoVaR Conditional Value at Risk

CP commercial paper

CPFF Commercial Paper Funding Facility

CPP Capital Purchase Program

CR3 three-bank concentration ratio

CR5 five-bank concentration ratio

CRA credit rating agency

CRD Capital Requirements Directive

CRE commercial real estate

CS credit spread

CSPP corporate sector purchase program

CSR corporate social responsibility

CVA credit valuation adjustment

DEA data envelopment analysis

DFA Dodd–Frank Act

DFAST Dodd–Frank Act Stress Test

DIC Deposit Insurance Company

DIDMCA Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act

DRC Democratic Republic of Congo

DSGE dynamic stochastic general equilibrium

D-SIBs domestically systemically important banks

DSTI debt-service-to-income

DTI debt-to-income ratio

DVP delivery versus payment

DW discount window

EAD exposure at default

EBA European Banking Authority

EBITDA earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization

EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

EC European Commission

ECB European Central Bank

ECOFIN EU Council of Finance

EDIS European Deposit Insurance Scheme

EEC European Economic Community

EESA Emergency Economic Stabilization Act

EFSF European Financial Stability Facility

EFTPOS electronic funds transfer at point of sale

EIB European Investment Bank

EIOPA European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority

ELA emergency liquidity assistance

EM emerging market

EMU Economic and Monetary Union

ES expected shortfall

eSLR enhanced supplementary leverage ratio

ESRB European Systemic Risk Board

ESRC European Systemic Risk Council

EU European Union

Euro 1 A European bank-operated large-value payment network

EVT extreme-value theory

FAS Financial Access Survey

FASB Financial Accounting Standards Board

FDI foreign direct investment

FDIC Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

FED US Federal Reserve

Fedwire US’s RTGS network

FHA Federal Housing Administration

FHFA Federal Housing Finance Agency

FHLB Federal Home Loan Bank

FHLMC Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (also Freddie Mac)

FICO Fair Isaac and Company

FILP Fiscal Investment Loan Program

FINDEX Global Financial Inclusion Database

FinTech financial technologies

F-IRB foundation internal ratings-based approach

FNMA Federal National Mortgage Association (also Fannie Mae)

FRB Federal Reserve Bank

FSA Financial Services Agency

FSAP Financial Sector Assessment Programs

FSB Financial Stability Board

FSIs financial system inquiries

FSOC Financial Stability Oversight Council

FSRRA Financial Services Regulatory Relief Act

FSU Former Soviet Union

FX foreign exchange

G20 Group of 20 Heads of State

GAAP Generally Accepted Accounting Principles

GCC Gulf Cooperation Council

GFC Global Financial Crisis or Great Financial Crisis

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GIIPS Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal and Spain

Giro European credit transfer network

GLB Gramm–Leach–Bliley Act

GNMA Government National Mortgage Association (also Ginnie Mae)

GSE government-sponsored enterprise

G-SIBs Global Systemically Important Banks

G-SIFIs Global Systemically Important Financial Institutions

HAMP Home Affordable Modification Program

HARP Home Affordable Refinance Program

HHI Herfindahl–Hirschman Index

HMDA Home Mortgage Disclosure Act

HQLA high-quality liquid assets

ICOs initial coin offerings

IDB Islamic Development Bank

IFIs international financial institutions

IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards

IFSB Islamic Financial Services Board

IFSI Islamic Financial Services Industry

IIFM International Islamic Financial Market

IMF International Monetary Fund

InsurTech insurance technologies

IO industrial organization

IRA individual retirement accounts

IRB internal ratings-based

ITT intention-to-treat

JA Bank Japan Agriculture Bank

JBIC Japan Bank for International Cooperation

JFC Japan Finance Corporation

KYC know your customer

KYCC know your customer’s customer

LATE local average treatment effects

LGFV local government financing vehicle

LCBOs large and complex banking organizations

LCR liquidity coverage ratio

LGD loss given default

LIBOR London Interbank Offered Rate

LLP loan loss provisioning

LMI liquidity mismatch index

LOLR lender of last resort

LPFC limited-purpose finance company

LSAP Large-Scale Asset Purchase

LSIs Less Significant Institutions

LTRO Long-Term Refinancing Operation

LTV loan-to-value

LVG leverage

M maturity

M&A mergers and acquisitions

MAC material adverse change

MBS mortgage-backed securities

MENA Middle East and North Africa

MERS Mortgage Electronic Registration System

MES marginal expected shortfall

MFIs microfinance institutions

ML machine learning

MMDA money market deposit account

MMIFF Money Market Investment Fund Facility

MMFs money market funds

MMMFs money market mutual funds

MoF Ministry of Finance

MRO Main Refinancing Operations

MTN medium-term note

NBCI non-bank credit intermediation

NCOF net cash outflows

NEIO new empirical industrial organization

NFC non-financial corporation

NFIB National Federation of Independent Businesses

NIC National Information Center

NIRP negative interest rate policy

NOW negotiable order of withdrawal account

NPF non-performing financing

NPL non-performing loan

NRSRO Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization

NSFR net stable funding ratio

OCC Office of the Comptroller of the Currency

OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

OFC off-shore financial center

OLA orderly liquidation authority

OLF orderly liquidation fund

OMO open market operations

OMT outright monetary transactions

OTH originate-to-hold

OTC over-the-counter

OTD originate-to-distribute

OTS Office of Thrift Supervision

P2P Peer-to-peer

PBoC People’s Bank of China

PCA prompt corrective action

PD probability of default

PDCF primary dealer credit facility

PE private equity

PIN Personal Identification Number

PLC public limited company

PPI payment protection insurance

PRA Prudential Regulatory Authority

PSD2 Payments Systems Directive 2

PSEs public sector entities

PVP payment versus payment

QE quantitative easing

RAROC risk-adjusted return on capital

RCTs randomized controlled trials

RegTech regulatory technology

REITs real estate investment trusts

REMICs real estate mortgage investment conduits

Repos repurchase agreements

RFC Reconstruction Finance Corporation

RMB renminbi

RMBS residential mortgage-backed securities

RMP relative market power

ROA return on assets

ROE return on equity

ROSCAS rotating savings and credit associations

RSF required stable funding

RTGS Real-Time Gross Settlement

RWA risk-weighted assets

S&Ls savings and loans

SBA Small Business Administration (US)

SBCS small business credit scoring

SCB stress capital buffer

SBET small business economic trends

SCF Survey of Consumer Finances

SBLF Small Business Lending Fund

SCAP Supervisory Capital Assessment Program

SCP structure–conduct–performance

SCR sectoral capital requirements

SDG sustainable development goals

SEC Security and Exchange Commission

SEE Southeastern Europe

SEPA Single Euro Payments Area

SES systemic expected shortfall

SFT securities financing transaction

SIC Standard Industrial Classification

SIFI systemically important financial institution

SIV structured investment vehicle

SLR supplementary leverage ratio

SMEs small to medium-sized enterprises

SNC Shared National Credit

SND subordinated notes and debentures

SOCBs state-owned commercial banks

SOEs state-owned enterprises

SOP say-on-pay

SPOE single point of entry

SPV special purpose vehicle

SRISK systemic risk

SRF Single Resolution Fund

SRM Single Resolution Mechanism

SSB Sharia Supervisory Board

SSBF Survey of Small Business Finance

SSC sequential servicing constraint

SSM Single Supervisory Mechanism

STBL Survey of Terms of Bank Lending

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