Where can buy Ben ali's tunisia: power and contention in an authoritarian regime anne wolf ebook wit

Page 1


Ali's Tunisia: Power and Contention in an Authoritarian Regime

Visit to download the full and correct content document: https://ebookmass.com/product/ben-alis-tunisia-power-and-contention-in-an-authorita rian-regime-anne-wolf/

More products digital (pdf, epub, mobi) instant download maybe you interests ...

Ben Ali's Tunisia: Power and Contention in an Authoritarian Regime Anne Wolf

https://ebookmass.com/product/ben-alis-tunisia-power-andcontention-in-an-authoritarian-regime-anne-wolf/

Dictatorship and Information. Authoritarian Regime Resilience in Communist Europe and China Martin K. Dimitrov

https://ebookmass.com/product/dictatorship-and-informationauthoritarian-regime-resilience-in-communist-europe-and-chinamartin-k-dimitrov/

Contention and Regime Change in Asia: Contrasting Dynamics in Indonesia, South Korea, and Thailand 1st ed. Edition Linda Maduz

https://ebookmass.com/product/contention-and-regime-change-inasia-contrasting-dynamics-in-indonesia-south-korea-andthailand-1st-ed-edition-linda-maduz/

Policing the Mexican Past: Transitional Justice in a Post-authoritarian Regime Javier Trevino-Rangel

https://ebookmass.com/product/policing-the-mexican-pasttransitional-justice-in-a-post-authoritarian-regime-javiertrevino-rangel/

Power and Possession in the Russian Revolution Anne O'Donnell

https://ebookmass.com/product/power-and-possession-in-therussian-revolution-anne-odonnell/

The Vortex of Power: Intellectuals and Politics in Indonesia's Post-Authoritarian Era Airlangga Pribadi Kusman

https://ebookmass.com/product/the-vortex-of-power-intellectualsand-politics-in-indonesias-post-authoritarian-era-airlanggapribadi-kusman/

Happiness Studies: An Introduction Tal Ben-Shahar

https://ebookmass.com/product/happiness-studies-an-introductiontal-ben-shahar/

An Amant for the Alligator (Shifter's Regime Book 14)

Charlie Richards

https://ebookmass.com/product/an-amant-for-the-alligatorshifters-regime-book-14-charlie-richards/

Authoritarian Neoliberalism and Resistance in Turkey: Construction, Consolidation, and Contestation

https://ebookmass.com/product/authoritarian-neoliberalism-andresistance-in-turkey-construction-consolidation-and-contestation/

BenAli’sTunisia

BenAli’sTunisia

PowerandContentioninanAuthoritarian Regime

ANNEWOLF

GreatClarendonStreet,Oxford,OX26DP, UnitedKingdom

OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford. ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship, andeducationbypublishingworldwide.Oxfordisaregisteredtrademarkof OxfordUniversityPressintheUKandincertainothercountries ©AnneWolf2023

Themoralrightsoftheauthorhavebeenasserted Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedin aretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withoutthe priorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermitted bylaw,bylicenceorundertermsagreedwiththeappropriatereprographics rightsorganization.Enquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeofthe aboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,atthe addressabove

Youmustnotcirculatethisworkinanyotherform andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer

PublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabyOxfordUniversityPress 198MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY10016,UnitedStatesofAmerica

BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData Dataavailable

LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2022940614

ISBN978–0–19–286850–3

DOI:10.1093/oso/9780192868503.001.0001

Printedandboundby CPIGroup(UK)Ltd,Croydon,CR04YY

LinkstothirdpartywebsitesareprovidedbyOxfordingoodfaithand forinformationonly.Oxforddisclaimsanyresponsibilityforthematerials containedinanythirdpartywebsitereferencedinthiswork.

ToLeopold

Acknowledgements

Thisbookwouldnothavebeenpossiblewithouttheinvolvementofthemany Tunisianswhowerewillingtogivemeimmenseamountsoftimeandto recounttheirsometimesdifficultexperiencesundertheBenAliregime,and Iamgratefultoallofthem.IamtrulyappreciativeofthemanyfrankdiscussionsIhadwithex–BenAliofficials,whoprovidedtestimoniesanddetailed accountsoftheregime’sinternalworking.Duringthisjourney,Ienjoyedthe unconditionalsupportofmysupervisorandfriendMichaelWillis,whoalways believedinmyproject,encouragedmetopursueit,andreadsuccessivedrafts ofmywork.IamalsodeeplygratefultoGeorgeJoffé,whofirstgotmeinterestedinTunisianpoliticsandhasprovidedpersistentmentoringandsupport overthepasttwelveyears.

Manyotherfriendsandcolleagueshaveprovidedinvaluableguidanceand feedback.DuringmytimeasadoctoralstudentatStAntony’sCollege,UniversityofOxford,IbenefitedfromdiscussionswithEugeneRogan,MohamedSalahOmri,RoryMcCarthy,GlenRangwala,RikkeHaugbolle,Noureddine Jebnoun,WalterArmbrust,ClementHenryMoore,andPaulChaisty.Itwas anhonourtobeaFellowattheTrajectoriesofChangeProgrammeofthe ZEIT-Stiftung,whereIattendedyearlyworkshopsandenjoyeddiscussions withIsabelleWerenfells,AnnaHofmann,andJaneBartels.Iwasfortunate enoughtohaveStathisKalyvasandCharlesTrippasexaminersofmydoctoralthesis,whoprovidedcriticalfeedbackandinvaluablecounselonhowto turnmyworkintoabook.

ItremendouslyenjoyedthestimulatingandsupportiveenvironmentatGirtonCollege,UniversityofCambridge,whereIsubsequentlyheldaresearch fellowshipandspentmuchtimeworkingonconnectingmydeeplylocal andethnographicresearchtowiderdebatesinauthoritarianpolitics.Iam extremelygratefulforStathisKalyvas’sencouragementtoorganizeabook workshop,whereIreceivedin-depthfeedbackfromIvanErmakoff,Giovanni Capoccia,MichaelWillis,ChristopherBarrie,MichaelBiggs,Christopher Mittelstaedt,RikkeHaugbolle,KaterinaDalacoura,RoryMcCarthy,Mathilde Zederman,andLaurenceWhitehead.Icouldnothaveorganizedtheevent withoutAllSoulsCollege,whichgenerouslyhostedandfinancedit.

IfinishedthebookasaFellowatAllSoulsCollege,UniversityofOxford, whereIenormouslybenefitedfromdiscussionswithcolleagues.Iamgrateful forhavingparticipatedinaProjectonMiddleEastPoliticalScienceresearch workshopin2021,organizedbyMarcLynch,whereAdriaLawrencekindly discussedmywork.Severalotherpeopleprovidedcommentsatthiscrucialfinalrevisionstage.TheyincludeMichaelaCollord,MortenValbjørn, GlenRangwala,andIvanErmakoff,whoofferedfeedbackonmytheoreticalframe,alongsideFrancescoCavatorta,whoverygenerouslyreadthe entiremanuscriptbeforesubmission.AtOxfordUniversityPress,Iamdeeply indebtedtoDomincByatt,whoimmediatelyrespondedtomybookproposalwithgreatenthusiasmandfoundthreefantasticreviewersformy manuscript,allofwhomprovidedexcellentcomments.Lastbutnotleast, thankstoRaphaël,whonevergottiredofdiscussingtheBenAliregime, readingchapters,andmotivatingme.

3.1.Gendercompositionofthecabinet

3.2.Averageageofministers

3.3.Partyleadershipprofiles

4.1.AnRCDmembershipcard

4.2.Regionalaffiliationofministers

4.3.RCDfollowerscelebratingBenAli’s‘victory’inthe2009elections

5.1.RCDresignationform

ListofAbbreviations

ATCE TunisianAgencyforExternalCommunication

BTS TunisianBankofSolidarity

CCP ChineseCommunistParty

CPR CongressoftheRepublic

CPSU CommunistPartyoftheSovietUnion

CREDIF CentreforResearch,Studies,Documentation,andInformationon theWoman

ENA NationalSchoolofAdministration

EUR euro(currency)

FLN NationalLiberationFront(Algeria)

FNE NationalEmploymentFund

FNS NationalSolidarityFund

GPC GeneralPeople’sCongress(Yemen)

LTDH TunisianHumanRightsLeague

MDS SocialistDemocraticMovement

MTI IslamicTendencyMovement

NDP NationalDemocraticParty(Egypt)

NGO non-governmentalorganization

PDP ProgressiveDemocraticParty

PRI InstitutionalRevolutionaryParty(Mexico)

PSD SocialistDestourianParty

RCD ConstitutionalDemocraticRally

RETAP RallyoftheTunisianStudentsinParis

RTF RallyoftheTunisiansinFrance

TND Tunisiandinar

UDU UnionistDemocraticUnion

UGET GeneralUnionofTunisianStudents

UGTE GeneralTunisianUnionofStudents

UGTT TunisianGeneralLabourUnion

UNFT NationalUnionoftheTunisianWoman

USD UnitedStatesdollar

UTICA TunisianUnionofIndustry,Trade,andHandicraft

ANoteonTransliteration

ForcolloquialTunisianArabic,IhaveoptedforFrench-basedtransliterations, whicharemostcommonlyusedbyTunisiansthemselves,inordertoreflectthe localvariationsinlanguage.Forexample,theArabicletter ش istransliterated as‘ch’ratherthan‘sh’.Thenamesofwell-knowngroups,movements,names, andplacesmirrorgeneralusesothattheyaremoreeasilyrecognizable.For sourcesderivedfromModernStandardArabic,Iuseasimplifiedversionofthe guidelinesofthe InternationalJournalofMiddleEastStudies.Inquotations,I havekeptthetransliterationsusedintheoriginaldocuments.

‘Who’sWho?’inBenAli’sRegime

Abdallah,Abdelwahab:longtimeBenAliadviserandpalaceassociate;previously ForeignAffairsMinisterandInformationMinister;fromMonastir.

Abidi,Samir:appointedCommunicationsMinisterinDecember2010;previously MinisterforYouthandSports;fromGafsa.

Ammar,Habib:militarycolonelandco-conspiratorinthe7November1987coup againstBourguiba,whoheadedtheNationalGuard;longtimefriendofBenAlifrom Soussebutwasmarginalizedshortlyafterhistakeoverofpower.

Baccouche,Hedi:co-conspiratorinBenAli’s7November1987coup;PrimeMinister fromNovember1987toSeptember1989;SecretaryGeneralofthePSD/RCDfrom November1987toSeptember1989;DirectorofthePSDfromMarch1984toApril 1987;fromHammamSousse.

BenAli,Cyrine:BenAli’sthirddaughterfromhisfirstmarriage.MarriedMarouane Mabrouk.

BenAli,Dorsaf:BenAli’smiddledaughterfromhisfirstmarriage;marriedSlim Chiboub.

BenAli,Ghazoua:BenAli’seldestdaughterfromhisfirstmarriage;marriedSlim Zarrouk.

BenAli,Leila:formerlyLeilaTrabelsi.BenAli’ssecondwife,marriedin1992;from Tunis.

BenAli,Mohamed:BenAli’sonlysonfromhissecondmarriage,toLeila;bornin 2005.

BenAli,Nesrine:BenAli’seldestdaughterwithLeila;marriedSakherel-Materi.

BenDhia,Abdelaziz:longtimeBenAliadviser;RCDSecretaryGeneralbetweenJune 1996andNovember1999,DirectorofthePSDbetweenApril1987andSeptember 1987,andheldvariousministerialposts;fromMoknine,Mahdiagovernorate.

BenMiled,Mounir:prominentbusinessmanandlongtimeRCDCentralCommittee member.

Chaabane,Sadok:BenAliadviser;inFebruary1991,appointedSecretaryofStateto thePrimeMinisterandinJune1991nominatedasfirstpresidentialadviseronhuman rights;fromSfax.

Chaouch,Ali:RCDSecretaryGeneralfromDecember2000toAugust2005;headed variousministries,includingtheInteriorMinistrybetweenOctober1997andNovember1999;fromBouArada,Silianagovernorate.

Cheikhrouhou,Mahmoud:BenAli’spersonalpilot;flewhimtoSaudiArabiaon14 January2011.

Chettaoui,Nabil:headofTunisairatthetimeoftheuprising;responsibleforBenAli’s presidentialplane.

Chiboub,Afif:brother-in-lawofDorsaf,BenAli’sdaughterfromhisfirstmarriage.

Chiboub,Slim:BenAli’sson-in-law,marriedtoDorsaf,BenAli’sdaughterfromhis firstmarriage.

Djilani,Hedi:longtimeheadoftheUTICAemployers’union;relatedtoBenAli throughhisdaughter’smarriagetoBelhassenTrabelsi.

Dkhil,Rafaa:TrabelsiassociateandbusinesspartnerfromBizerte;RCDCentral Committeemember.

Eltaief,Kamel:businessmanandlongtimeBenAliassociate;inFebruary2002,sentencedtoprisonafterafalloutwiththepresidentialfamily;fromHammamSousse.

Essebsi,BejiCaid:longtimeRCDCentralCommitteemember,headofParliamentin the1990s;ForeignAffairsMinisterunderBourguibaandelectedPresidentofTunisia in2014;fromTunis.

Ghannouchi,Mohamed:PrimeMinisterbetweenNovember1999andFebruary2011 andaformerFinanceMinister;fromSousse.

Ghariani,Mohamed:RCDSecretaryGeneralbetweenSeptember2008andMarch 2011;previouslyambassadortotheUnitedKingdomandheadedtheRCDstudent branch;fromKairouan.

Grira,Ridha:DefenceMinisteratthetimeoftheuprisingsandformerStateProperty andLandAffairsMinister;fromSousse.

Gueddich,Mohamed:longtimeBenAlipalaceassociateandhispersonaldoctor;from Hammamet.

Jegham,Mohamed:headofthePresidentialCabinetfromJanuary1997untilNovember1999andoccupiedvariousministries,includingtheDefenceandInteriorMinistries;fromHammamSousse.

Kallel,Abdellah:closeBenAliadviserwhooccupiedtheInteriorMinistry,the DefenceMinistry,andtheJusticeMinistry,amongstotherposts;fromSfax.

Karoui,Hamed:DirectorofthePSD/RCDfromOctober1987toAugust1988,then PrimeMinisterfromSeptember1989toNovember1999;fromSousse.

Kefi,Naima:firstwifeofBenAli;divorcedin1988.

Mabrouk,Marouane:BenAli’sson-in-law;marriedtoCyrine,BenAli’sdaughterfrom hisfirstmarriage.

Materi,Sakher,el-:BenAli’sson-in-law;marriedtoNesrine,BenAli’sdaughterwith Leila.

Mdhafer,Zouhair:createdandlaterheadedtheRCDCentreforStudiesandTraining; formerStatePropertyandLandAffairsMinister.

Mebazza,Fouad:leadingRCDfigureandHeadofParliamentfromOctober1997until 15January2011,whenhebecameInterimPresidentofTunisiaandalsooccupied variousministerialposts;borninTunis.

Mhenni,Hedi:RCDSecretaryGeneralbetweenAugust2005andSeptember2008; appointedInteriorMinisterinApril2002andDefenceMinisterinNovember2004; fromSayada,Monastirgovernorate.

Mohsen,Abbes:RCDCentralCommitteememberbetween2008and2011;mayorof Tunisfrom2000to2010;in1988,nominatedDirectorofProtocolofthePresidentand subsequentlyworkedintheInteriorMinistry;fromTunis.

Morjane,Kamel:ForeignAffairsMinisterfromJanuary2010toJanuary2011; DefenceMinisterfromAugust2005toJanuary2010,andpreviouslyworkedatthe UnitedNations;adistantrelativeofBenAlifromHammamSousse.

Moussi,Abir:lawyerandVice-PresidentoftheRCDCoordinationCommitteeat thetimeoftheuprising;chargedwithlegallydefendingthepartyandchallengedits dissolution.

Neffati,Chedli:RCDSecretaryGeneralbetweenFebruary1991andJune1996; headedvariousministries,includingtheInteriorMinistry,withapreviouscareeras governor;fromGabes.

Nasfi,Hassouna:SecretaryGeneraloftheRCDstudentwingbetween2000and2003; fromGabes.

Rouissi,Moncer:advisertoBenAliwhenhefirsttookpower.Directorofhis1989 presidentialcampaign;occupiedvariousministerialposts,andwasambassadorto FrancebetweenSeptember2003andMay2005;fromDegache,Tozeurgovernorate.

Saada,Ryadh:DirectoroftheRCDCentreforStudiesandTrainingbetween1995and 2008.

Seriati,Ali:BenAli’skeysecuritychiefandheadofthepresidentialguardatthetime oftheuprising;on14January2011,convincedBenAlitoboardtheplaneforSaudi Arabia.

Tarhouni,Samir:commanderoftheAntiterrorismBrigadeatthetimeoftheuprising.

Trabelsi,Belhassen:LeilaBenAli’sfavouritebrother,whobecameaneconomic heavyweightandheadedKarthagoAirlines;fromTunis.

Trabelsi,Imed:LeilaBenAli’sfavouritenephew;electedmayorofLaGoulettein2010.

Zarrouk,Naziha:previousRCDVice-SecretaryGeneral,ambassadortoLebanon (2003–2005),andMinisterforWomenandFamilyAffairs;fromJemmal,Monastir governorate.

Zarrouk,Slim:BenAli’sson-in-law;marriedtoGhazoua,BenAli’sdaughterfromhis firstmarriage.

Zenaidi,Mondher:memberoftheRCDCentralCommitteeandPoliticalBureauo occupiedvariousministerialposts,includingTransport,Commerce,Tourism,and PublicHealth,andassociateofBelhassenTrabelsifromTunis.

Zouari,Abderrahim:RCDSecretaryGeneralbetweenAugust1988andFebruary 1991andbetweenNovember1999andDecember2000;heldseveralministerialposts, includingForeignAffairs,andhadapreviouscareerasagovernor;fromDahmani,Kef governorate.

Introduction

AvenueBourguiba,downtownTunis:thousandsofpeoplearecheering, dancing;somearecryingoutinjoy,stupefiedatwhathasjusthappened.It is14January2011andmomentsearlier,at6:45pmlocaltime,PrimeMinister MohamedGhannouchiannouncedhewilltakeovertheinterimpresidency— thefirstinaseriesofstepsthatwillleadtotheoustingofZineel-AbidineBen Ali,thedictatorwhohasruledthecountrywithanironfistforalmosttwentyfiveyears.‘Given[BenAli’s]inabilitytoexercisehisdutiesI...havetaken overthepositionofPresidentoftheRepublic’,GhannouchideclaresinatelevisedspeechfromthePresidentialPalaceinCarthage.Hevowstoimplement the‘political,economicandsocialreforms’thatthepeoplehavedemanded duringweeksofmassprotests—launchingthewider‘ArabUprisings’inthe region—andstressesthathewillinclude‘allnationalsides,politicalparties, nationalorganizationsandcomponentsofcivilsociety’inthisprocess.¹

JustascelebrationsburstoutonthestreetsofTunis,screamsofangerand ragecanbeheardonboardtheairbornepresidentialplane,hundredsofmiles away.‘Whatisgoingon?!’BenAlireportedlyexclaimsincompleteshock whenhehearsthatGhannouchi—oneofhislongtimeassociatesandasenior figureinhisrulingparty—hasassumedthepresidency.Newspapersaround theworldhavealreadybegunproclaimingthatBenAli—whoseflightisen routetoSaudiArabia—hasbeen‘forcedtofleeTunisiaasprotestersclaimvictory’.² BenAlihad,infact,plannedonlyondroppinghisfamilyoffinJeddah beforereturningimmediatelytoTunisia.Furiousandpanic-stricken,BenAli callsGhannouchiandotherseniorofficialsofhisregime.Heinformsthem thathewillreturntoTunisiawithoutdelayanddemandstheyrescindany statementstothecontrary.ArrivinginJeddahintheearlymorningof15January,BenAlidulyordershispilottopreparetheplaneoncemore,fullyintent onheadingbacktoTunisialaterthatday.³ ButBenAliwasnevertoreturn.

¹ ‘Mr.MohamedGhannouchiAnnouncesTakingOverasInterimPresidentofRepublic’, PresidencyoftheGovernmentPortal,14January2011, http://www.pm.gov.tn/pm/actualites/actualite. php?id=1898&lang=en,lastaccessed10August2022.

² AngeliqueChrisafisandIanBlack,‘Zineal-AbidineBenAliForcedtoFleeTunisiaasProtesters ClaimVictory’, TheGuardian,15January2011, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/jan/14/ tunisian-president-flees-country-protests,lastaccessed10August2022.

³ InterviewswithMohamedGhannouchi,Tunis,2October2015;MahmoudCheikhrouhou (BenAli’spersonalpilot),Tunis,1July2016;andNesrineBenAli,Viber,6February2017.Seealso BenAli’sownaccountofevents:‘Tasrihal-RaʾisBinAli—20Huzayran2011’[‘DeclarationofPresident BenAli—20June2011’],publishedviahislawyer,AkramʿAzuri,Beirut,20June2011.

BenAli'sTunisia.AnneWolf,OxfordUniversityPress.©AnneWolf(2023). DOI:10.1093/oso/9780192868503.003.0001

Afteralmostadecadeinexile,hediedinJeddahinSeptember2019,never havingsetfootagainonTunisiansoil.

Thisbookisanin-depthstudyoftheBenAliregime,itsinnerworkings, andeventualcollapsein2011.Extensiveresearchhasfocusedonanti-regime protestersinTunisiaandthewiderregionduringtheArabUprisings,includingtheirdemandsandthedynamicsofmobilization.Bycontrast,innerregime processeshavereceivedrelativelylittlescholarlyattention.Inthisbook,Iseek toaddressthisgap,offeringanentirelynewperspectiveononeofthemost importantrevolutionaryepisodesinrecenthistory.Thebookhaditsgenesis, asinsomesensesdidtherevolutionitself,inSidiBouzid—theTunisiancity wheredemonstrationsfirsttookofffollowingtheself-immolationofstreet vendorMohamedBouaziziinDecember2010.DuringconversationsIhad withpeoplethereaftertherevolution,Iwasconfrontedwithanintellectual puzzlethatmotivatedmetoresearchmoredeeplyintotheBenAliregime and—ultimately—writethisbook.

Thepuzzle

WhenvisitingSidiBouzid,onecannotbutbestruckbytherevolutionary heritageinscribedinthecity’sfabric.Graffitiwithanti-regimeslogansfeatures prominentlyonwallsthroughoutthecity;amonumentwaserectedinmemoryofBouazizi,and—nexttoitandmostvisibly—amassiveplacarddepicting the‘martyr’overlooksthecity’smainsquare,whichwasrenamedMohamed BouaziziSquare.Suchsymbolismaside,Iwasmovedbythegreatpridepeople inthismarginalizedsouthernprovinceholdforitsroleinbirthingoneofthe greatestrevolutionarymomentsinrecenthistory.Incafésandinconversation withforeignvisitors,localsfromallkindsofsocialbackgroundspassionately recounttheiractivismduring al-thaura (‘theRevolution’).Thisremainedso eveninthelate2010s,whenpoliticalandeconomiccrises—andinsomecases, civilwarandtheriseofnewauthoritarianregimes—haddampenedenthusiasmfortheArabUprisingsinmostotherpartsofthecountryandthewider region.SidiBouzidremainedimpregnatedwiththespiritoftherevolution—at leastsoitseemedtome.

IwasthereforesurprisedwhenIfirstlearnedthatthehistoryofSidiBouzid wasintimatelylinkednotonlytotheTunisianRevolutionbutalsotoitsmain opponent:theregimeoflongtimedictatorZineel-AbidineBenAli.Inparticular,thecityhadadeepassociationwithhisrulingConstitutionalDemocratic Rally(RCD)party.Asamatteroffact,theSidiBouzidgovernoratehadthe

greatestconcentrationofRCDmembersinallofTunisia:atthetimeofthe uprising,itwashometoabout650RCDcells,eachconsistingof200–300 members.⁴Ofthegovernorate’s415,900-strongpopulation,⁵about39.1%were thuscard-carryingRCDmembers.⁶TofindsomanyRCDmembersinthevery cradleoftheArabUprisings,aplacewherelocalsacrosssocialstrataandprofessionscontinueferventlytodefenditslegacy,seemedcontradictorytome, tosaytheleast.Theprotestsof2010–2011aregenerallyunderstoodashaving beendirectedagainstBenAliandtheRCD,aswellasrespondingtowider grievancessuchaspoliceviolenceandeconomicstagnation.Thus,itdidnot makesensetomethatthebirthplaceoftherevolutionwasswampedwithRCD members.

OnemighthaveexpectedthatRCDfollowerswouldvigorouslyhave opposedtherevolution—afterall,itdeposedtheirleaderandresultedinthe party’sdissolution.Butquitetothecontrary,IsoonuncoveredthatmanyRCD activistsinSidiBouzidhadinfactendorsedthemassprotests.Grassrootsfollowerscommonlyparticipatedinthedemonstrations,andlocalpartyleaders evenencouragedthemtodoso.Ininterviews,someactivistsevenclaimedthat therevoltshadoccurredintheveryspiritoftherulingparty.⁷ Thismadelittle sensetome,atleastinitially—notleastbecauseRCDofficeshadbeenattacked byprotestersinmanypartsofthecountryandwereconsideredkeysymbols oftheBenAliregime.YetpartyfollowersinSidiBouzidferventlyinsistedthat theRCDhadarevolutionarylegacy,givenitsrootsinTunisia’sNeo-Destour independencemovement(Destourmeaning‘constitution’).Hence,belonging totheRCDandparticipatinginrevolutionaryactivismwasnotacontradiction,atleastsotheyclaimed.⁸ Somelocalsevenwentsofarastosuggestthatit wastheRCDthathadforcedBenAlioutofpower—aneventwhichledtothe dissolutionoftherulingpartyitself.Asonegrassrootsactivistproclaimed:‘All RCDactivists...protestedandencouragedtheproteststoturnintoarevolution.RCDfollowerswererevolutionaries...Whodoyouthinkwasbehind BenAli’sfall?The[RCDactivists]ofSidiBouzid!’⁹

⁴ InterviewswithMohamedGhariani,RCDSecretaryGeneralatthetimeoftherevolution,Tunis, 27May2016;andwithAbirMoussi,Vice-PresidentoftheRCDCoordinationCommittee—theparty’s highestregionalinstance—atthetimeoftherevolution,Tunis,31May2016.

⁵ Thedataisfor2011andwasretrievedfromal-Nashraal-Shahriyyali-l-Ihsaʾiyyat [MonthlyBulletin ofStatistics],Tunis:al-Maʿhadal-Watanili-l-Ihsaʾ[NationalInstituteforStatistics],September2012, p.9.

⁶ Thesecalculationsarebasedonanestimatedaverageof250membersperRCDcell.

⁷ InterviewswithvariousRCDmembersinSidiBouzid,JulyandAugust2016.

⁸ Ibid.

⁹ InterviewwithSouhail,SidiBouzid,25June2016.

Crucially,suchstatementswerenotfacileattemptsbyisolatedpartyfollowerstoretroactivelybolstertheirlegitimacybyinventingsomerevolutionary activism.Foronething,theseaccountsweretoonumerousandwerealso echoedbypeoplewhodidnotbelongtotherulingparty.¹⁰Moreover,evidence foranti-regimeresistancebysomepartyfigureswentbeyondoraltestimonies. Amongstotherexamples,inRegueb,aruraltownintheSidiBouzidgovernorate,adocumentwascirculatedamongstRCDfollowersaskingthemto resignfromtherulingpartyandcallingfornothinglessthantheparty’sselfdissolution.¹¹ ThepatterninSidiBouzidexemplifiedatendencyfoundmore widelyacrossTunisia:RCDfollowersinotherpartsofthecountryalsonot onlyfailedtocountermobilizebutinmanycasesevensupportedthemass demonstrations.

Fromatheoreticalpointofview,RCDfollowers’dissentagainsttheBen Aliregimepresentsaconundrum:oneofthekeypremisesoftheliteratureon authoritarianpoliticsisthatrulingpartiesareaforceforstabilityinthatthey possessanumberofpositive-feedbackmechanismsthatstrengthenregimes overtime.Thisliteratureprovidesfewcluesastowhenandwhyrulingpartiesturnintoarenasforoppositionanddissent,possiblyevencontributingto regimebreakdown.Similarly,thescholarshiponrevolutionsandcontentious politicsofferslimitedinsightsintowhysomeRCDfollowersjoinedtheArab Uprisings:itfocusesoncontentionagainst,not within,theregime.Itisinthis lightthatthisbookseekstoanswerthefollowingquestions.Whywouldsome membersofBenAli’srulingpartyparticipateinprotestsagainsthisregime and,insomeinstances,evengosofarastocallforhisdownfallandthe dissolutionoftheRCD—theirownparty?Moregenerally,whichfactorsinfluencetherelationbetweenadictatorandrulingpartyandwithwhateffectson authoritarianstabilityandcollapse?

Keyargumentsandtheory

Iuncoveredthat—farfrompursuingaunifiedcause—RCDactivistswhosupportedtheprotestsdidsoforavarietyofreasons,dependinginpartontheir partyrankandregionalaffiliation.InSidiBouzid,aselsewhereinTunisia, manymid-levelandgrassrootsfollowershadlostalltrustinBenAli,giventhe city’sseveresocioeconomicmarginalization;theywereconvincedthataslong

¹⁰ Forexample,interviewswithSalmaandKhalid,SidiBouzid,July2016.

¹¹ Muhammadal-Arabial-Zuraibi,al-Reguebminal-Tahririlaal-Taʿmir [al-Regueb:FromLiberation toReconstruction],Tunis:DarAl-QalamPublishingandDistribution,2016,pp.225,227.

asheremainedatthehelm,matterswouldonlygetworse.Bycontrast,some seniorofficialsinthecityhopedthattheprotestswouldpressureBenAlito pourmorefinancialresourcesintothelocalRCDbranch.Theylamentedthat beingaregionalpartyleadermeantnothing.‘IamfromtheRCDbutIhave four[familymembers]withlawdegreeswhoarejobless:mywife,mysister, aswellasmytwobrothers!’,exclaimedSidiBouzid’sRCDVice-President.¹² FiveyearsonfromBenAli’souster,hewasstillangrythatotherpartyfigures inthecityhadsupportedcompleteregimechange,affirmingthatBenAliwas abouttoallocatemoremoneytotheRCDinSidiBouzidbutcouldnotpursue thisplanbecausehewasousted.

Otherpartyactivistsadvancedotherreasonsfornotsupportingtheregime atatimeofcrisis.BeyondSidiBouzid,inJendouba,acity150kilometres westofTunis,amid-levelofficialtoldmethatheandhiscolleaguesengaged in‘passiveresistance’—thatis,completeinaction—inordertosignaltothe powerbrokersinTunisthattheywantedinternalpartyreforms.Inparticular,theychargedthatlocalandmid-levelrepresentativesnolongerhadany politicalleverage,andtheyhopedthat—bywithdrawingfrompro-regime activism—theywouldcompelBenAliandhisassociatestorestoretheinfluencetheyonceheld.Bycontrast,inTunis,fewhighofficialsengagedinany contentiousactionsagainstthepowerbrokersatall—thatis,until14January, whenPrimeMinisterMohamedGhannouchiannouncedhehadtakenover theinterimpresidency.

Whilstthenatureofthechangespartyfollowerssoughtvaried,activists’core critiquesoftheBenAliregimewerestrikinglysimilartooneanother:they deploredthatthePresidenthadgainedvastpersonalpowersandprogressively marginalizedrulingpartyactivists.Inparticular,theydisapprovedofBenAli’s family,who,theyclaimed,hadaccumulatedextensivewealthonthebackof ordinaryTunisians—includingmanyRCDactivists.Partyrepresentativessaid theylackedanyinfluencevis-à-visthesefiguresandincreasinglyfeltlikepuppetsintheserviceof‘thefamily’.TheychargedthatBenAliandhisrelatives hadrobbedtheRCDofitsidentityandnationalistcause,andthatthePresidentandhiskinlackedanypoliticalvisionandproject—thatis,otherthan accumulatingmoreresourcesforthemselves.RCDfollowerswereparticularly dismayedthatintheyearsbeforetherevolution,somemembersoftheBenAli familyhadintegratedintotherulingpartyandplacedtheirassociatesinkey positions.TheysuspectedthatBenAli,whowasseventy-fouratthetime,was tryingtogroomarelativeasapresidentialsuccessorthroughtherulingparty.

¹² InterviewwithAbderrazekDaly,SidiBouzid,25June2016.

‘TheRCDhadbecomeafamilyparty’,onehighofficialsaid,summingupher indignation.¹³

GiventhattheliteraturefailstoexplaintheRCD’srevoltagainstBenAli,I decidedtodrawupatheoryofpowerandcontentionwithinrulingpartiesin authoritarianregimes.Itdelineateshowincumbentsseektofortifytheirrule andfosterparty-politicalstability,aswellaswhenandwhytheysuccumbto internalcontentionandwithwhateffect.Thistheoryrespondstothecomplexpicturesetoutabove,inwhichpartyfollowers’diverseinterestsgiverise tointra-partypressuresthatultimatelydestabilizedtheregime,apatternthat extendsbeyondtheTunisiancase.Chapter1outlinesthisindetail,butthe keytenetsareasfollows:partyleadersalwaysseektoaccumulatemorepower but,intheprocess,marginalizeimportantconstituentswhomaydecideto turnagainstthem.Hence,thereisnothingautomaticallyself-perpetuatingor stabilizingaboutrulingparties.Regimedecayandcollapsecanoweasmuch tointernaldevelopmentsasitcanbetheresultofexternalprocessesora combinationofboth—thoughinternecinefactorsaremoredifficulttoobserve.

Atthemostbasiclevel,contentiousactorscanbedifferentiatedaccording towhethertheyoperateintheeliteoramongstthemid-levelandgrassroots ranks.Ifarulingpartyactsasaconstraintinthatitcontrolsthepowerof theleader,itiselitefigureswhoyieldmostinfluence,andtheymayoustan incumbentwhodoesnotservetheirinterests,especiallyifhehaslostsupport amongstwiderpartyranks.Becauseofthepersistentthreatsofelitecoups, leadershaveaninterestinpersonalizingtheirpower;thatis,theywantto ruleunchecked.Personalistdictators—suchasBenAliwasbeginningtobe inthe1990s—havesidelinedanyvetoplayersintheeliteandplaceseniorofficialsunderclosescrutiny,whichmakesitchallengingforanydissentersatthe party’supperechelonstomoveagainsttheirleader.

However,mid-levelandgrassrootsfollowerstypicallystillenjoysomefreedomofactioninpersonalistregimes.Anditisattheselevelsthatfollowersmay stagearevoltfromwithintheregimeifanincumbent’sauthorityandlegitimacyhavecomeunderthreat.Thisisespeciallythecaseoncethegrievances theyharbourmultiplyandbeginoverlappingwithnoprospectthatmatters willimproveontheirown.However,initiallyfollowers’contentionismostly inconspicuous,anditdoesnotnecessarilyleadtothechangestheyseekas incumbentsrespondwithsevererepressionandauthoritarianreinforcement. Butinternaldissentdoesmaketheeventofregimebreakdownmorelikely, specificallyduringmomentsofwiderpoliticalcrisis:itexposesaleaderasa

¹³ InterviewwithNazihaZarrouk,apreviousambassadortoLebanonandRCDVice-Secretary General,Tunis,30January2017.

strawmanwhohaslostthesupportamongstwiderregimeranks.Thisincites otheractorstomobilizeagainsttheregime,notonlyinvigoratingthepolitical oppositionbut,importantly,alsounsettlingtheincumbent’straditionalsupporters,whofearbeingtrappedonasinkingship.Thisiswhathappenedin Tunisiaon14January2011whenMohamedGhannouchi—oneofBenAli’s longtimeloyalists—tookoverpower.

Methodologicalconsiderations

Thisstudyispartofawiderattemptundertakenbyanewgenerationof scholarsinareastudiestodrawupontheirin-depthcountryorregional expertise‘toelucidatefeaturesofalargerclassofsimilarphenomena’.¹⁴ I operatefromthepremisethatthiscanbestbedonebyrecognizing—indeed, highlighting—thespecificityofone’scaseandallofitsbreadth—thatis,by reportingandanalysingtrendsthataregeneralizableandthosethatarenot. Asamatteroffact,itistypicallynotimmediatelyapparentwhichfeatures arecase-specificandwhichoneshavewiderrelevance.Thismeansthatthe bookaimstoelucidatephenomenaattwolevels:(1)thoseoftheBenAli regimeandtheRCDand(2)thoseofdictatorshipsandrulingpartiesmore generally.Eachchapterstartswithatheoreticalorempiricalpuzzle,which Isubsequentlyseektoanswerthroughanarrative-guidedapproachof‘processtracing’.Thisqualitativeresearchmethoddraws‘descriptiveandcausal inferencesfromdiagnosticpiecesofevidence’,typicallyinvolvingaclose examinationofspecificeventsandsituationsandhowtheyunfoldovertime.¹⁵ Respectforhistoricaldetailandaccuracyisparamountinameticuloustechniquethatuncoversnovelempiricalphenomena,thespecificmechanismsthat underliethem,andhowtheyrelatetoexistingcausalclaims,generatingnew theoreticalinsights.¹⁶

Thisbookdrawsonawealthofqualitativeinterviewscarriedoutacrossthe eighteenmonthsIspentinTunisiabetween2014and2018.Theinterviewees includedeightgroups:(1)112RCDofficialsandactivistsofvariousranks andpositions,including6outofits8formerSecretariesGeneralandall ofitsthreevice-presidents,¹⁷ manyofwhomIinterviewedseveraltimes;

¹⁴ JohnGerring,‘WhatIsaCaseStudyandWhatIsItGoodFor?’,AmericanPoliticalScienceReview, 2004,98,2,p.341.

¹⁵ DavidCollier,‘UnderstandingProcessTracing’, PoliticalScienceandPolitics,2011,44,4,p.824.

¹⁶ JohnGerring,‘WhatIsaCaseStudyandWhatIsItGoodFor?’,AmericanPoliticalScienceReview, 2004,98,2,p.346.

¹⁷ AbdelazizBenDhia,RCDSecretaryGeneralbetween1996and1999,passedawayin2015;Hedi Mhenni,SecretaryGeneralbetween2005and2008,wasunavailableforaninterviewduetohealth issues.

(2)18high-leveldiplomatsandministerswhowerenotformallymembers oftherulingparty;(3)6closerelativesofBenAli;(4)7keyactorsduringthe 2010–2011uprising,includingMohamedGhannouchiandBenAli’spersonal pilot,whoflewhimtoSaudiArabiaon14January2011;(5)13representativesofgroupsandassociationsthatwerecloselylinkedtotheRCD,suchas theemployers’federationandthepublicadministration;(6)35opposition activistsinpoliticsandcivilsociety,includingbloggers,labourunionactivists, andrepresentativesofthekeyoppositionparties;(7)19demonstratorsinthe 2010–2011uprisingwhowereotherwisenotpoliticallyactive;and(8)6journalists,experts,andscholarsofTunisianpolitics.Unlesstheywereprominent publicofficials,Iusepseudonymstosafeguardinterviewees’anonymity.

MaterialsgatheredintheNationalArchivesinTunissupplementthisinterviewdata,asdodocumentsfromtheprivatehouseholdsofpreviousRCD activistswhoagreedtosharetheirmaterialwithme.Theseincludeofficial RCDpamphlets,internalpartystatutes,andelectoralcampaignmaterial, alongsidebooksandconferencematerialpublishedbytheparty’sideological educationwing.Ialsoaccessedregimemouthpieces,mostimportantlythe officialRCDdaily LeRenouveau andthelocaldaily LaPresse,whichauthoritiesalsocontrolled.Thesesourcesareparticularlyusefulinreconstructing theevolutionofofficialregimediscourseandyieldadeeperunderstanding ofkeypoliticalplayers,events,anddecisionsatthetime.Moreover, LeRenouveaureportedinmuchdepthonformalRCDevents,partycongresses,andthe generalelections,andthiscoverageisinstrumentalintracingchangewithin thepartyofamoreevolutionarynature,suchasthewaysinwhichalliances wereconstantlyredrawnandformalizedorwhenandhownewleadersand rulesemerged.

Tobalancetheweightofthisofficialregimepropaganda,Idrawalsoondissidentmagazinesandsourcesfoundtodayin‘expandedarchives’,inparticular incyberspace.UnderBenAli,socialmediaoutlets,includingFacebook, Twitter,andYouTube,wereimportantchannelsthroughwhichopponents expressedtheirdiscontent.HumanrightsreportsonTunisiawerealsopublishedonline,andWikiLeaksyieldedcablesfromtheUSembassyinTunis thatprovedinformative.Myfirstmonograph,onBenAli’smainpolitical opposition,theIslamistEnnahdaparty,alsoprovidesvaluablebackground.¹⁸ Itriangulatedthesematerialsinthisbooktoreconstructspecificeventsand processesandthecausalmechanismsunderlyingthem.

¹⁸ See,fordetails, AnneWolf, PoliticalIslaminTunisia:TheHistoryofEnnahda,NewYork:Oxford UniversityPress,2017.

Outlineofchapters

Chapter 1 setsoutthetheoryappliedthroughoutthisbook.Iarguethat thepoliticsofideasiscentraltoscrutinizingthedurabilityofdictatorships withrulingparties,challengingstudiesthatfocusprimarilyonincumbents’ useorthreatofforce.Iholdthattherootofdictatorialstabilityisinternal:incumbentsalwaysseektoaccumulategreaterpower,butinthisprocess theyrisklosingthesupportoftheirconstituency.Tocounterthisthreat,dictatorshavetwoideationalstrategiesattheirdisposal:(1)correctivismand (2)thecreationofnewnormativepriorities.Bothinvolvethepromotionof innovations,ostensiblyforthegoodofthepartyoralargerobjectivebut throughwhichincumbentsinfactseektofortifytheirownrule.Forthese strategiestosucceed,theproposedchangesneedtoresonatewithpartyfollowersandappeardesirableandcredible.Ifthisisnotthecaseandfollowers considertheincumbent’spowerreinforcementtobeunjustandillegitimate, theymayrebelagainsthim.Anyinternecinecontentionlaysthegroundfor widerpoliticalinstabilityandpossiblyevenregimecollapse.

Chapter 2 uncovershowintheTunisiancaseBenAlimanaged—within justtwoyearsofassumingpowerin1987—toestablishpersonalcontrolof theRCD,eventhoughhelackedabackgroundintheparty.Fromatheoreticalpointofview,BenAli’squickconsolidationofpowerpresentsapuzzle: prevailingtheoriespredictthat,whenanewleaderhastobargainwithapreexistingrulingparty,theadventofpersonalautocracyisunlikely.Isolvethis puzzlebydemonstratinghowBenAlibolsteredhispowerbasebypropagating acorrectivistideology,akeyfeatureofwhichwasthepromiseofapoliticalopening,includinginsidetherulingparty.Amongstotherstrategies,he launchedan‘internalcritique’withintheparty:ostensiblyaimedataddressing pastwrongs,thisinfactservedBenAli’sinterestsbyfacilitatingwiderregime transformations.Crucially,itallowedhimtoaltertheRCD’sinternalrules andprocedures,includingthosepertainingtotheelectionofthepresident, aprocessthroughwhichheestablishedexecutivecontrol.

InChapter 3,Iinvestigatehow,inthe1990s,BenAlimanagedtoenforce authoritarianstabilityandevenattractsubstantialdomesticandWesternsupportdespitehaltinghispoliticalopeningandestablishingpersonalrule.I demonstratethatBenAliproppeduphispowerbasebyconstructingnewnormativepriorities—inparticular,nationalsecurityandeconomicgrowth—as opposedtodemocraticpolitics.Aspartofthisstrategy,officialsusedstateandparty-controlledmediaoutlets,amongstotherchannels,topropagatethe impressionthatTunisiafacedalarge-scaledomesticterroristthreat;though

fabricated,thisnotionwasinternalizedbywidesectionsofthepopulation, includingmanyRCDactivists.Importantly,thesenewsecurityprerogatives allowedBenAlitobolsterhispower:hepromotedtheriseof‘Lumpenactivists’ withinthepartygrassroots,aconstituencynotoriousformonitoringand coercingdissidents.BenAlialsotransferredresourcesfromthepartytothe PresidentialPalace,furtherreinforcinghisgripontheRCD.

Chapter 4 shedslightonwhy,inthe2000s,BenAli’ssupportbasebegan tocrumble,includingamongstRCDranks,eventhoughhepropagatedthe sameeconomicandsecurityprerogativesandevenlaunchedatentative politicalopening.Idemonstratehowthesepolicyprioritiesexhaustedthemselves,inthatpeople—includingmanyRCDactivists—nolongerperceived themascredible.TheregimehaddefeatedthemainIslamistparty,thesupposedterroristthreat;inaddition,thePresidentandhisrelativeswereopenly accumulatingvastwealthattheexpenseofordinarypeople,includingRCD followers,manyofwhomwerestrugglingtomakeendsmeet.Toaddinsultto injury,BenAlibegantogroomapresidentialsuccessorfromhisownfamily, furtherweakeningtherulingparty.ItisforthesereasonsthatagrowingnumberofRCDactivistscametoquestionthelegitimacyofBenAli’srule.Some evenengagedincontentiousactivityagainsttheregime,thoughatfirstthiswas mostlyinconspicuous.

IshowinChapter 5 thatduringthe2010–2011Tunisianuprising,internecinecontentioneruptedpublicly,becomingakeyfactorbehindtheregime’s collapse.InsteadoforganizingralliesinsupportofBenAli,partyactivists turnedintoagentsofcontention:somejoinedthemassprotests,especiallyat thegrassrootslevel,whereasothersdecidedtopursuepassiveformsofresistance.MostRCDfollowerssoughtpoliticalreforms,inparticularcallingon BenAlitostrengthenthepartyanddesistfromnepotism;theydidnotseek thetotaloverhauloftheregime,letalonethedissolutionoftheirownparty, thoughsomelatercametoadoptsuchanagenda.However,theircontentious actionsexposedBenAli’svulnerability,andtheoverallcontingencyofthe momentpromptedasmallcliqueofregimeofficialstomoveagainstthePresident.Indeed,incontrasttothewidelyacceptednarrativethatBenAlifledthe massprotests,Iprovideevidencethathewas,infact,oustedinasecretcoup d’état.

Theconclusionrevisitsthemaintheoreticalandempiricalfindingsofthe bookandplacesthemincomparativecontext.Inparticular,Ishowhowa rangeofdictatorsotherthanBenAlihaveadvancedcorrectiviststrategiesto consolidatetheirpower,includingSyria’sHafezal-AssadandChina’sXiJinping.Ifurtherillustratehowpersonalistleaderselsewherehavepropagated newnormativeprioritiestofortifytheirrule,attimessuccessfully,butalso

discussingwhenandwhytheseattemptsatauthoritarianregenerationfailed orexhaustedthemselvesandwithwhateffects.Indeed,otherrulingparties haveincubatedinternaldissent,includinginEgypt,Yemen,andSyriaduringtheArabUprisings,aswellasbeyondtheregion,trendsthatsometimes contributedtothecollapseofauthoritarianregimes.

1

TheDictator’sParty

ATheoryofPowerandContention

WhywouldsomemembersofBenAli’srulingpartyparticipateinprotests againsthisregimeand,insomeinstances,evengosofarastocallfor hisdownfallandthedissolutionoftheRCD—theirownparty?Thisriddle promptedmetoscrutinizetheinternalworkingsoftheBenAliregimeand theRCD.Italsoledmetoinvestigatemoregenerallythefactorsinfluencingthe relationshipbetweenadictatorandarulingpartyandtheeffectsonauthoritarianstabilityandcollapse.Astheintroductionhasshown,RCDfollowers protestedforavarietyofreasons:somedemandedinternalpartyreforms orsocioeconomicbenefits,whilstotherssoughtthefalloftheregime.Their revoltillustratesthatrulingpartiesarenotnecessarilyself-perpetuatingand stabilizingforauthoritarianregimes.Leadingscholars,indeed,maintainthat rulingpartiesinauthoritarianregimesare‘historicallystickyandpolitically stabilizing’.¹ Isuggestthattherootsofbothauthoritarianstabilityandcollapse are internal totheseregimesandtheirrulingparties,thoughinternecinefactorsaremoredifficulttodiscern.Thischapterdrawsupatheoryforfathoming howleadersseektofortifytheirruleandidentifyingwhen,why,andhowparty activistsengageincontentiousactionsagainstthemandwithwhateffects.

Iproposethattwokeyvariablesdeterminethebalanceofpowerbetween partyfollowersandtheirincumbent:first,theinternalopportunitystructure— thatis,theextenttowhichpartyrepresentativesholdswayovertheirleader. Partyofficialsmayentirelycontroltheirincumbent,ortheymaysharepower withhimonanequalfooting;however,apartyleadermayalsoescape anyaccountability,whichmakesitmorechallengingtomoveagainsthim. Second,theincumbent’ssuccessatmobilizinginternalpartysupport—that is,theextenttowhichhesucceedsingeneratinglegitimacybeliefsamongst followers.Iuncovertwoideationalstrategiesthroughwhichincumbentsseek topropuptheirpower:first,thepropagationofacorrectivistideology,and

¹ DanSlater,‘InstitutionalComplexityandAutocraticAgencyinIndonesia’,inJamesMahoneyand KathleenThelen(eds.), ExplainingInstitutionalChange:Ambiguity,Agency,andPower,Cambridge: CambridgeUniversityPress,2010,p.137.

BenAli'sTunisia.AnneWolf,OxfordUniversityPress.©AnneWolf(2023). DOI:10.1093/oso/9780192868503.003.0002

second,thecreationofnewnormativepriorities.Bothinvolvethemobilizationofideology—notonlyornecessarilyoutofconvictionbutalso,crucially, toredistributepowertotheirpersonaladvantageandfosterregimestability. Differentideationalstrategiesfavourtheriseofcertainpartycoalitionsand actorsoverothers.Notably,suchinternalreshufflesalwaysoccur,evenduring generallystabletimes;indeed,acertainamountofpartypersonnelchangeis evennecessarytopre-emptregimestagnationordecay.However,Ipropose thatmarginalizedsectionsoftherulingpartymayturnintoimportantinternal challengersifanincumbent’slegitimacyandauthorityhavecomeunderthreat. Ifthepartylimitsthepoweroftheincumbent,eliteactorsenjoythemostleverageandconstitutethekeycontenders;however,manyincumbentseventually becomepersonalistrulersandplacethemunderclosescrutiny.Inthisscenario,thecentralcontentiousactorsaremid-levelandgrassrootsfollowers, whooftenstillenjoysomeautonomy.Actorslikethesemaydecidetorevolt againstanincumbentiftheirgrievancesarelefttomountandtheybelieve matterswillonlygetworse.Theirdissentmakesregimecollapsemorelikely: internecinecontentionlaysbarethatthedictatorhaslostthesupportofhis ownconstituency.Thispromptsothers—includinglongtimeloyalistsseeking tosavetheirownskin—toturnagainsthim.

Whowantsthefalloftheregime?

Al-shaʿbyuridisqatal-nizam! Or: Thepeoplewantthefalloftheregime! This slogan,themostfamousoftheArabUprisings,waschantedfirstinTunisia, andresoundedalongAvenueBourguibaon14January,thedaytheBenAli regimefell.ThesepopularrevoltsinspiredanentiregenerationofnewscholarshiponTunisia,whichfocusedon‘peoplepower’andprotestdynamicsto explaintheoustingofBenAliandthesubsequentdissolutionoftheRCD.² Similarframeshavebeenusedtobetterunderstandthetrajectoriesofother

² Keyworksinclude LaryssaChomiak,‘TheMakingofaRevolutioninTunisia’, MiddleEastLaw andGovernance,2011,3,pp.68–83; PeterJ.SchraederandHamadiRedissi,‘BenAli’sFall’, Journalof Democracy,2011,22,3,pp.5–19; OlivierPiot, LaRévolutionTunisienne:DixJoursquiÉbranlèrent leMondeArabe,Paris:PetitsMatins,2011; RidhaZouaoui, al-Thawraal-Tunisiyya, ThawratalHamishʿalaal-Markaz [TheTunisianRevolution:ThePoweroftheMarginalized],ʿAlaʾal-Din: Sfax,2012; NouriGana(ed.), TheMakingoftheTunisianRevolution:Contexts,Architects,Prospects, Edinburgh:EdinburghUniversityPress,2013; AlcindeHonwana, YouthandRevolutioninTunisia, London:ZedBooks,2013;SalemLabiadh,Tunis:al-ThawrafiZamanal-Haymana[Tunisia:TheRevolutionduringTimesofDomination],Tunis:Muʾassassatal-Hasad,2013; AmiraAleya-Sghaier,‘The TunisianRevolution:TheRevolutionofDignity’,inRicardoLarémont(ed.), Revolution,Revoltand ReforminNorthAfrica:TheArabSpringandBeyond,Abingdon:Routledge,2014,pp.30–52.

Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.