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Names:Lubinska,Beata,1973-author.
Title:Assetliabilitymanagementoptimisation:apractitioner’sguideto balancesheetmanagementandremodelling/BeataLubinska.
Description:Firstedition. | Hoboken:Wiley,2020. | Series:Thewiley financeseries | Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex.
Identifiers:LCCN2019041408(print) | LCCN2019041409(ebook) | ISBN 9781119635482(hardback) | ISBN9781119635499(adobepdf) | ISBN 9781119635512(epub)
Subjects:LCSH:Asset-liabilitymanagement. | Banksandbanking. Classification:LCCHG1615.25.L832020(print) | LCCHG1615.25(ebook) | DDC332.1068/1—dc23
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WithspecialgratitudetoLidia,thebestdaughterIcan imagineandtoDaniele,myhusband,whohasaspecialplace inmyheart
CHAPTER1
ALMoftheBankingBook1
TheRoleofAssetLiabilityManagementinCommercialBanks1 OverviewofFinancialRisksExistingintheBankingBook7 RegulatoryRequirements–BaselIII13 CapitalRequirementsAccordingtoBaselIII/CRDIV17 SelectiveReviewoftheLiteratureRelatedtoALMandIntegrated ManagementoftheInterestRateRiskandLiquidityRiskin CommercialBanks19
CHAPTER2
MethodsofMeasurementandManagementoftheInterestRateRisk andLiquidityRisk23 InterestRateRiskintheBankingBook–Measurementand Management24 ExposuretoShort-TermInterestRateRisk–MaturityGap Analysis24 MaturityGapAnalysisfromtheEconomicValuePerspective33 LiquidityRiskintheBankingBook–Measurementand Management41 Short-TermLiquidityManagementPrinciples45 MediumLong-TermLiquidity–ThePrinciplesofStructural LiquidityManagement46 TheRoleofFundsTransferPricinginBanks50 PricingofDifferentProductsintheBankingBook54 BehaviouralisationConceptinFTP57
CHAPTER3
CustomerBehaviourandItsImpactonInterestRateandLiquidityRisk61 SignificanceandImpactofBehaviouralIssues intheBankingBook61 ModellingofCustomers’Deposits–LiabilitiesSide63 BalanceSensitivityModelling68
ModellingofLoanswithEarlyRedemptionOptionality–AssetsSide70 StatisticalPrepayments70 FinancialPrepayments71
CHAPTER4
FormulationoftheOptimisationProcessandArticulationoftheDecisionModel73
TheOptimisationMethodAppliedtotheBankingBook74 IntroductionoftheOptimisationConcept75 DefinitionoftheInitialBankingBookProfile79 BuildingtheObjectiveandConstraintFunctionsinthe OptimisationProcess81 TheImportanceofModelSensitivityAnalysis96 DefinitionoftheSensitivityParametersfortheOptimisation Model98
‘SignificantChangesinInterestRates’Scenario98 ChangesintheInitialProportionsoftheAssetBase100 ChangesintheOutputoftheDepositCharacterisation Model–BalanceVolatility,BalanceSensitivity,andAverage LifeoftheProduct100 IntroductionoftheCPRintotheModel100
CHAPTER5
PracticalExampleoftheOptimisationProcessandQuantificationoftheEconomic ImpactunderBaseandStressScenarios101
CaseStudy:EconomicImpactfromtheOptimisationModel underBaselineandSensitivityScenariosforBank1102 CaseStudy:EconomicImpactfromtheOptimisationModel underBaselineandSensitivityScenariosforBank2114 Conclusions125
APPENDIX1 DetailsoftheAnalysisPerformedforBank1129
APPENDIX2 DetailsoftheAnalysisPerformedforBank2157
Bankingisanage-oldart.Asacommercialdiscipline,modernbankingdatesfrom thefifteenthcenturybutthereisevidenceofpracticeuncannilysimilarto‘modern’ bankingdatingfromRomanandevenBabyloniantimes.Ifbybankingwemeanan independententerprisethatacceptsdepositsfromcustomers,whichitpromisestokeep safeandrepay(withinterest)ondemand,whilstatthesametimelendingfundsto borrowerswhoagreetorepay(withinterest)atasetdateinthefuture,thenbankingis indeedanancientart.
Ofcourse,thatmakesassetliabilitymanagement(ALM),asadisciplinelinked hand-in-glovewithbanking,afairlytime-honouredpracticeaswell.BecausetopractisebankingistopractiseALM.EverybankoperatesanALMfunction,forthesimple reasonthattoundertakebankingrequirestheinstitutiontomanageitsassetsandliabilitiesefficiently.AnALMdeskisasvitaltoabankastheengineandwheelsaretoa motorcar.Depositsandloanshavedifferentcashflowprofiles,theybehavedifferently atdifferenttimes,andtheyrepresentdifferentrisksonthebalancesheet.Managing thesevariousdifferencesiswhatbankingandALM,oratleastlong-termsustainable banking,areallabout.
Itseems,however,thatALMasaformaldiscipline,codifiedintoformaltext,isa rathermorerecentthing.Icanfindnotraceoftheuseofthisexpression,inthecontext ofbanking,inanyacademicorpractitionertextthatdatesbeforetheearly1970s.Thisis curious,toputitmildly,becauseitissuchavitalpartoftheartofbanking.Isurmisethat thereasonforthisistwofold:one,asaprocess,itwastraditionallypartoftheTreasury function,adeskwell-knownforits‘learnonthejob,in-at-the-deepend’approachto itsduties;andtwo,itisanareaoffinancethathasneverattractedovermuchattention fromacademia.Andifacademicsaren’twritingtechnicalpapersaboutyourart,then usuallypreciousfewTreasurypractitionersaregoingtoeither.
Nomatter,oneofthemanyimpactsofthe2008globalfinancialcrashwasthenew emphasisonALM,orIshouldsaytheimportanceofALM.Nolongerwasitthechap attheconferenceinthedullgreysuitwhostoodinthecornerlookingathis(itwas generallyahe,intheUKanyway)shoes.Nowitwastherockstar,aprimefocusfor attention.Why?Becausecapitalandliquiditywerenow,forbanks,moreconstrained, moreexpensive.Havingtoomuchofeitherwasunbearablyinefficient,whilsthaving insufficientofeitherwasnowgoingtobringthewrathoftheregulatordownonone’s head.HoweverrelaxedonemighthavebeenaboutALMbefore,overnightitbecame urgentbusiness,deservingoftheC-suite’sundividedattention.
Thus,thebuzzwordsince2008hasbeenbalancesheet optimisation, whatI’ve beencalling strategicALM foraslongasanyonehascaredtolisten.Iliketothinkof ALMoptimisationasmeaningstructuringthebalancesheet,attheloansanddeposits originationstage,inawaythatmeetsthecompetingneedsofregulator,customer,and shareholderasefficientlyandaseffectivelyaspossible.Thisis,inessence,strategic ALM.Consideringtheneedsofallthreekeystakeholdersandpractisingproactive,as opposedtoreactive,ALM.
Theauthorofthisfinebookdefinesoptimisationslightlydifferently,althoughtome herdefinitionfollowsonlogicallyfrommine.WhereasIdefinethe‘what?’,MsLubinska definesthe‘how?’;towit,optimisationis‘aprocesswhichinvolvestheapplicationof optimisationtechniques(describedinthisbook)anddefinitionoftheoptimisationcriterion(whichmetricdowewanttoprioritise),objectives(whatdowewanttooptimise), andconstraints(conditionswhichneedtobetakenintoaccountintheoptimisation process).’
Asshenotesfurther,
Oneoftheobjectivesofthisbookistowalkthereaderthroughtheoptimisationprocessindetail,fromthepracticalperspective,inordertoquantifythe economicbenefitscomingfromthisexercise.
Thisis,quitesimply,solidgold.Inthepost-crasheraofonerousbankingregulation andconstrainedcapitalandliquidity,undertakingamoredisciplined,formalapproach toALMbecomesasimportantascybersecurity,asimportantastreatingcustomers fairly,ofpursuingtherightstrategytocompete.Itisthekeytoasustainedandviable balancesheetoverthelongterm.AndasIamfondofsaying,thebalancesheetis everything.
Thisisabooktobestudiedcarefully,toreadandre-readandthentoassessfor applicationtoone’sownbank.Thetoolsdescribedherein,illustratedwithcasestudy examples,arenotnecessarilytransferableverbatimtoeverybank.Rather,itisthedisciplinethatisbeingdemonstratedthatneedstobeadopted,andthetechniquestweaked, toensurethattherightapproachistailor-madeforeachspecificcase.Thisisn’tatrivial subject.Butifonegetsitright,thesimultaneousrewardforallofabank’sstakeholders willbeplaintosee.
ProfessorMooradChoudhry Surrey,England 31October2019
Dr.BeataLubinskaisafinancialengineerwithover15yearsofpracticalexperience gainedininternationalfinancialinstitutionssuchasGECapital,Deloitte,andStandard CharteredBankbasedbothinMilanandLondon.Currently,sheleadsBLAdvisory& Consulting,asmallboutiqueconsultingcompanybasedinLondon.
Previously,shewasaHeadofMarketRiskDepartmentinMeDirectGroupin LondonwiththemainfocusonIRRBB,MarketRiskandBalanceSheetManagement. AsidefrombeingamemberofBTRMFaculty,whichwasfoundedbyProfessorMoorad ChoudhryinLondon,shealsoprovidestrainingsforprofessionalsfrombankingindustryacrosstheglobe(includingKuwait,London,USA,Oman,Qatar,andTurkey).
Hermainareasofspecialisationinclude:FundsTransferPricing,InterestRateRisk intheBankingBook,AssetLiabilityManagement,andBalanceSheetmanagement throughFTPandoptimisation.
BeataholdsaPhDfromWroclawUniversityofEconomicsinPoland.InherPhD thesis,sheintroducesthehypothesisthattheapplicationoftheoptimisationtechniques improvesthemanagementofthebankingbookintermsofquantifiableeconomic impactontheP&Lofthebankandthatthereisclearbenefitfromtheintegrated treatmentoftheinterestrateriskandliquidityriskunderoneapproach.Shestrongly promotestheproactivemanagementofthebalancesheetofabank.Theresultsof herresearcharepublishedin FinancialSciences,SpringerProceedingsinBusinessand Economics and ResearchPapersofWroclawUniversityofEconomics.Herrecent publicationsinclude:
■ ‘Reviewofthestaticmethodsusedinthemeasurementoftheexposuretotheinterestraterisk’–FinancialSciences2014.
■ ‘BalanceSheetShapingThroughDecisionModelandtheRoleoftheFundsTransfer PricingProcess’–Springer2017.
■ ‘BalanceSheetShapingthroughaDecisionmodelandFundsTransferPricing’–ResearchPapersofWroclawUniversityofEconomics,2017.
■ ‘ContemporarychallengesintheAssetLiabilityManagement’–Springer2018.
■ ‘ContemporarychallengesintheAssetLiabilityManagement’–ResearchPapersof WroclawUniversityofEconomics,2018.
■ ‘ModernAssetLiabilitymanagement(ALM)needstooperateinthemultidimensionalworld’–ALCOmagazine,August2018.
■ ‘InterestRateRiskintheBankingBook(IRRBB)–keychallengesintheimplementationoftherevisedEuropeanBankingAuthorityGuidelinesandwhyitisso important’–ALCOmagazine,November2018.
TheroleoftheAssetLiabilityManagementfunction(ALM)inthemanagementof thebankingbookofabankisconstantlygrowing.Aclearevolutioncanbeseen asALMmanagersrealisethatareactiveapproach,whichconsistsofthemanagement ofthebankingbookasapassivestructureresultingfromthecommercialandfunding strategyofabank,shouldbereplacedbyaproactiveapproachwherethebankingbook structureisdecidedinaconsciousandactivewayinordertocomeupwiththedesired targetstructureofthebankingbook.
TheintentionofthisbookistopromoteachangeintheroleofALMand,ingeneral,intheapproachtowardsfinancialriskmanagementpracticeinmodernfinance. ItwillshowthattheproactiveroleofALMthroughanintegratedapproachforthe managementoftwomainfinancialriskcategories,i.e.interestraterisk(IRR)andliquidityriskunderoneapproach,andinterrelationwiththecommercialstrategythata bankwantstoadopt,bringssignificantbenefits.Thosebenefitsaremainlyeconomical andcanbequantified.Theneedforchangeseemstobedrivenbyanumberofchallenges,suchasaheavilyregulatedlandscape,lowornegativerates(intheeurozone), andmargincompression,whichthebankingindustryhasbeenfacingsince2008.
Thisiswhytheword‘optimisation’iscommonlyusedinbanksthesedaysasan attempttoaddresstheaforementionedchallenges.However,Iquiteoftenwonderwhat thiswordmeansinpractice.Whatinrealityshouldbeoptimised,andhowitshould beoptimised.Ibelievethatoftentheword‘optimisation’justmeanstomakebetter allocationofresourcessuchasliquidityorcapitalinordertoalignabankwiththeregulatoryrequirements.Inmyview,optimisationisaprocesswhichinvolvestheapplication ofoptimisationtechniques(describedinthisbook)anddefinitionoftheoptimisation criterion(whichmetricdowewanttoprioritise?),objectives(whatdowewantto optimise?),andconstraints(conditionswhichneedtobetakenintoaccountintheoptimisationprocess).Italsoneedsapracticalimplementationtool(method).Oneofthe objectivesofthisbookistowalkthereaderthroughtheoptimisationprocessindetail, fromapracticalperspective,inordertoquantifytheeconomicbenefitscomingfrom thisexercise.Attheend,thereaderisprovidedwithtwobusinesscasesonwhichthe optimisationprocessistested.
Additionally,thebookshedslightonanotheraspect:the silo-based approach adoptedforthemanagementoffinancialrisksstillcommonlyusedasa day-by-day practiceinbanks.The silo-based approachconsistsofseparatedmanagementof financialrisks,inparticularinterestrateriskinthebankingbookandliquidityrisk. Theconsequenceofthisistakingsuboptimaldecisionsregardingthefundingstrategy (andconsequentlyliquidityandfundingrisk)andsuboptimalhedgingstrategies
(andconsequentlymitigationoftheinterestrateriskinthebankingbook).Inmy experience,Ihavealwaysseenthesetworiskcategoriestreatedseparatelyandnot interrelatedinthedailymeasurementandmanagementprocess.Forexample,inthe riskmanagementdepartmenttherewasaperson(orteam)focusedonthecalculation ofliquiditymetricsandanotherperson(team)responsibleforanalysisoftheinterest rateriskinthebankingbook(IRRBB)metrics.Thetreasurydepartment,ineachbank, haditsownset-upandtargetsdesignedforthisfunction.Assuch,insomebanks youwillseetheALMfunctionoperatingwithinthetreasurydepartment,withthe mainobjectivebeingtofocusontakinganactivepositioningontheinterestratecurve andbenefitingfromtheexpectedmovementsofthecurveinlinewiththemarket forecast.Quiteoftenthesizeandcomponentsoftheliquiditybuffer(alsowithinthe responsibilitiesofthetreasurydepartment)aredecidedseparatelyandtheimpacton IRRBBmetricsisassessedonlyafterthewholeprocessofbuildingtheliquiditybuffer isalreadyfinalised.Oneofthemostimportanttasksofabank’streasureristocome upwiththefundingstrategy.Thisistheprocesswhereallavailablefundingsources areassessed,andtheircompositionisdecided.Again,thereisstillquiteoftenlittle interactionwithIRRBB.Instead,myexperienceandacademicresearchleadtowards theconclusionthatsuchaninteractionshouldbeimperative.
Let’sanalysethisaspectindetail.
Thecrucialtaskofthetreasurydepartmentistomaintainaheathybalancebetween theprofitabilityofthebankingbookanditsexposuretofinancialrisksaltogether.There isacleartrade-offbetweentheriskinessofthebankingbookanditsprofitability.Inthis book,Icallita targetposition.Findingsuchatargetposition(ortargetprofile)isthe realchallengeofALManalysisbecauseitrequirestheanalyticaltoolsandframework tobeputinplace.Herein,thetargetprofilemeansthedefinitionofacompositionof assetsandliabilitiessothattheprofitabilityofthebankingbookreachesitsmaximum, takingintoaccountanumberofregulatoryandinternalriskconstraints.Iwillcome backtothisdefinitionlater.Fornow,mymainobjectiveistoshowthatthereisastrong interrelationbetweenthosetworiskcategories,i.e.interestrateriskinthebanking bookandliquidityrisk(thetwomainriskcategorieswhichtheALMdepartmenthas tomanage),whichbecomesveryevidentwhenlookingattheprojectionofoutstanding stocksaccordingtointerestcommitmentdates(interestrateriskview)andliquidity commitmentdates(liquidityriskview).
Inordertopresentthisargumentindetail,let’sanalyseaverysimplecase,inwhich thebankingbookofabankiscomposedofthefixedrateloanfundedbyafloatingrate notewitha3-monthreset.TheirfinancialcharacteristicsareshowninFigureI.1.
InanalysingtheALMprofitability,weneedtofirstdefinesometerms.Firstof all,thereisapositivemarginresultingfromtheinterestrateriskmanagementwhich isattributedtoALM(theallocationofprofitsbetweenbusinessunitsandALMis describedinthisbooklateron)ifthespreadofassetsishigherthanthespreadof liabilities.Ifthismarginisalreadycrystallisedandattributed,wecallit marginlocked in.Ifthereisuncertaintyaboutthefuturespreadbecausetheposition,atsomepoint oftime,isexposedtotheriskofchangesininterestrates,wecallit marginatrisk.The sameappliestothefundingspreadonthepositionasitfluctuatesovertime.
Inthecaseoftheanalysedexample,thebankingbookshowsexposuretotheIRRon 31March2019duetotherefixingofthefloatingrateliability.Startingfromthatdate, therefixedassetwillbefundedbytherefixingliability,causingtheinterestrategapand
Repayment type: bullet
Next (capital) payment date: 31/12/2019
Next repricing date: 31/12/2019
Customer Rate: 3.50%
FTP Base Rate: 2.00%
FTP Liquidity Spread: 0.50%
ASSET – Fixed rate loan at maturity 100 LIABILITY – Floating rate note 3m reset 100
Repayment type: bullet
Next (capital) payment date: 30/09/2019
Next repricing date: 31/03/2019
Customer Rate: 1.50%
FTP Base Rate: 1.25%
FTP Liquidity Spread: 0.25%
Liability in repricing Asset in repricing
Asset in maturity Liability in repayment
FIGUREI.1 IRRandliquidityprofileinthebankingbook. Source:ownelaboration.
theimpactonnetinterestincomeknownas NIIsensitivity.Asregardstheprofitability ofthisposition,duetotheinterestrateriskcomponent,thelocked-inALMmarginis equalto0.75%,whiletheALMmarginatriskisequalto1%undertheassumptionof adecreaseinEURIBOR3Mby25bps(from1.25%to1%).
ThissituationispresentedinFigureI.2.
Thesamesituationanalysedfromtheliquiditystandpointlooksslightlydifferent. Thebankbeginstobeexposedtotheliquidityriskon30September2019whenthe liabilityexpiresandneedstoberolledover.Startingfromthatdate,thefundinggap createstheNIIsensitivity.ItcanbeclearlyseeninFigureI.3.
TheALMlocked-inmarginderivingfromthispositionisequalto0.25%(thedifferencebetweentheliquidityspreadoftheassetandtheliability).However,theALM marginatriskdependsonthenewliquidityspreadrelatedtotheliabilitywhichneeds toberolledover.
FIGUREI.2 ExposuretoIRRinthebankingbook.
Source:ownelaboration
Arrivingatthetotalprofitabilityofthebank,inthisparticularexample,weneed tosumtheNIImarginobtainedbythepositioningofthebankintermsofbothinterest rateriskandliquidityrisk.
Consequently,thetotalnetinterestmarginintheperioduntil31March2019is equalto1%(0.75% + 0.25%)andwillbeassignedtotheALMbookwithinthetreasurydepartment.From31March2019to30September2019itgives1.25%,butdueto thefactthatthecomponentrelatedtotheIRRisuncertain,thisresultisunrealised.The samesituationappearsfrom30September2019onward.TheunrealisedALMprofit dependsonthenewliquidityspreadoftheliabilityinmaturityandthemovementof theEURIBOR3Mpillaroftheinterestratecurve.
ItisuptothetreasurertodecidehowtominimisetheNIIsensitivityderivedfrom theinterestrateriskandliquiditycomponentofthebankingbook,andwhatprofitabilityneedstobeprovidedbytheALMunittothebank.Therefore,therealchallenge consistsinunderstandingthetrade-offbetweenprofitabilityandrisk.
TherealisedprofitabilityofthebankintermsofP&Limpactisdeterminedboth bypasthedgingstrategiesconcerningtheinterestratemanagementinthebankingbook andmaturitytransformationperformedbythetreasurywithreferencetoitsfunding strategy.WhiletheunrealisedP&Lresultswillbeafunctionofthemagnitudeofthe marginatriskduetobothIRRandthefundingstrategyforthefutureaccountingperiods andthetrade-offbetweenexpectedP&Landitsvolatility(sensitivity),theriskiness
Exposuretothefundingriskinthebankingbook. Source:ownelaboration
embeddedinthebankingbookstructureisdeterminedbytherisktoleranceofabank andregulatoryrequirements.Itisobviousthatthelevelofuncertaintyandthecapability ofthebanktopredictthedirectionofthemarketintermsoftheinterestratecurveand fundingspreadarethemainimpactfactorsinthisexercise,butthisisnotsufficient.
Thereareotherimportantfactors,suchastheunpredictablebehaviourofcustomers ofabankbothfromtheassetsandliabilitiesside,whichdefinethefinalcomposition ofthebankingbook.Thebehaviouralassumptionrelatedtotheassetssideismostly definedbytheprepaymentrateofmortgagesorpersonalloanswhichcanbeprepaid beforetheircontractualmaturitydate.Thisfactorintroducessignificantuncertainty intothebankingbook,sinceitcanchangetheliquidityprofileofthebankwithinthe short-termperiod.Also,thehedgingstrategiesundertakeninthepastmightturnoutto beinefficientandmightneedtobeadjusted.
Asaconsequenceoftheabove,themainchallengeoftheALMfunctionisto findthebankingbooktargetpositionintermsoftheexposuretofinancialrisks, inordertoboostitsprofitabilityandtominimisethecostoffundingbeingsubject tothelimitsdictatedbyinternalpoliciesandregulatoryrequirements.Another challengeofALMistocooperateinaproactivewaywiththebusinessunits(BUs)
overthedefinitionofthetargetpositionofassetsinthebankingbook.Therewillbe thereturnmaximisationaspectandregulatoryrequirementswhichmayapplytothe assetside.
Theproblemrelatingtotheexistenceoftheinterrelationbetweeninterestraterisk andliquidityriskanditsconsequentimpactonthestructureofthebankingbookisnot newandhasbeendiscussedinvariouspapersandbooks,forexampleBaldan,Zen,and Rebonatoin2012,andChoudhryin2017and2018.Consequently,thisbookattempts toapproachtheintegrationproblemfromadifferentangle,i.e.formulationofmathematicalfunctionsandthereafterapplicationofoptimisationtechniquesinordertofind outthemostappropriatecompositionofthebankingbook.Thefunctionsarebuiltfor theobjectivevariableswhichneedtobeoptimised(assetprofitabilityandcostoffunding)andconstraintswhichneedtobetakenintoaccountintheoptimisationexercise (forexampletheNIIvolatility,concentrationoffunding,anddesirablelevelofliquidity buffer).Theoutputofsuchaconstructedoptimisationproblemwillleadtotheachievementofthetargetprofileofabankintermsofthecompositionofassetsandliabilities andthequantificationoftheeconomicimpactonthebank’sP&L.Finally,therecent sovereigncrises,interbankmarketilliquidity,andstrengthenedregulatoryrequirements suchasBaselIIIhaveforcedthebankingindustrytofindthemostappropriateposition inordertomaximiseprofitabilityand,atthesametime,respectlimitsdictatedbythe internalpoliciesandtheregulator.
Thestructureofthisbookhasbeensubordinatedtoitsmainpurpose,i.e.thedefinitionofthetargetstructurebothfortheassetsideandliabilitysideofthebankingbook.
Chapter1presentsthemainconceptsofassetandliabilitymanagementincommercialbanksandhighlightsthespecialroleofthetreasurydepartmentinseekinga balancebetweenmaximisingprofitability(whichislargelyderivedfromtheselection ofstrategiesforfinancingbankingoperationsinthecontextofexpectedyieldcurve andmaintainingthepreviouslydefinedlevelofmetricsdescribingtherisk).Fromthe pointofviewofliquiditymanagement,theoptimisationtaskfocusesontheissueof buildingasufficientbufferofliquidassets(HQLA)andmaintaininganappropriate long-termliquidityratio.Theinterestrateriskislimitedbysettingathresholdforthe sensitivityofinterestincome(ΔNII).Thispartofthebookpresentsthemostimportant conceptsofmanagingthebankingbookincommercialbanks,themainfinancialrisks itissubjectto,andtheconceptofthefundstransferpricingprocess.Thischapteralso containsanoverviewoftheregulatoryarchitecturebuiltaftertheglobalfinancialcrisis of2007–2009,i.e.BaselIII.
Chapter2ofthebookprovidesthereaderwithadescriptionofmethodsformeasuringandlimitingtheinterestrateriskandliquidityriskwithinthebankingbook.This chapterpresentsindetailthemethodsofriskmeasurementusingthegapmethodand quantifyingmismatchofthematuritydatesofthebankingbookitemsanditsimpact ontheeconomicvalueofcapital.Thesubjectoftheanalysisisalsothedurationmethod anditsapplicationintheprocessofmanagingthebank’sassetsandliabilities(DGAP method).Thesecondpartofthischapterpresentsdecompositionofliquidityriskand selectedmethodsofmeasurementandmanagementintheshortandlongrun.Particular attentionisgiventoanalysisofthemismatchingriskbetweenrisksensitiveassets,liabilities,andbasisrisk.Aseparatesectionisdedicatedtotheproblemoffundstransfer pricing(FTP)inthebankingsectorandthepossibilityofusingittodeterminetheprice parametersofassetsinaccordancetothelevelofliquidityriskdrivenbytheliabilities
financingthem.ThispartofthebookdescribestheconceptofFTPandtheinterestrate decompositionpaidbytheclient.TheFTPprocessplaysamajorroleinbankingbook shapingtechniques.
Chapter3focusesonthebehaviouralfactorsdeterminingthedecisionofthebank’s clients.Thisproblemispresentedbothfortheliabilitiesside(behaviourofdepositors) andforborrowerswiththeoptionofearlyrepaymentoftheirliabilitiestothebank.This chapterhighlightstheimportanceofbehaviouralfactorsforthestabilityandstructure ofthebankingbook.Oneofthekeychallenges,fromtheperspectiveofliquidityand interestrateriskmanagement,istomodelthesephenomena.Amonganumberofexistingmethods,thebookpresentstwomethodsforestimatingthelevelofdepositswithout definedthematuritydate.Thefirstofthese,classifiedasaquantitativeapproach,allows forthedeterminationofthestabilityofdepositsbasedonthegrowthmodel;thesecond isclassifiedasahybridmethod.Thesensitivityanalysiscarriedoutallowsonetopoint outfactorssignificantlyaffectingchangeinthestabilityofdeposits;forexample,the levelofinterestratesormacroeconomicfactors.Instead,theprocessofmodellingearly repaymentofloans(theassetsideofthebankingbook)ispresentedinstages.Thefirst stagedescribestheobjectiveofmodelling,thenthetypesofbehaviourregardingearly repaymentsandfactorsaffectingthedecision-makingprocess.Thispartoftheworkis descriptiveandservestopresentanapproachtomodellingtheoptionofearlyrepaymentbytheclient.Inparticular,thereisthephenomenonoffinancialprepayments, whichisdeterminedbymacroeconomicfactorsandchangesininterestrates,aswellas statisticalprepayments,whichcannotbeexplainedbytheabovementionedfactors.
Chapter4focusesonoptimisationtechniquesanddescribestheoptimisation processinthedecision-makingmodel.Thefirstsectionintroducestheconceptof optimisationandtheoptimisationalgorithmbasedontheLagrangemultipliers method.Thesecondsectionconcernsthedefinitionofthebankingbookprofileand thedescriptionoftheinitialstateofassetsandliabilitiesforwhichthedecisionmodel wasconstructed(roll-overoftimedeposits,volatilityofcurrentandsavingsaccounts, amortisationprofileofassets,prepaidrateofassets,andtypeofinterestratesand pricingpolicy).Thispartpresentsthedifferencesinthestructureofthebankingbook invariouscountriesandthesupervisoryconstraintstowhichthemodelissubject.The nextsectioncontainsadescriptionofthemodel’sstructureandconstraintsimposedon theobjectivefunctionintheoptimisationprocess.Theconstraintsaredividedfirstinto thosethatdeterminethebankingbook’sassetside,andincludeliquidityrisk(liquidity buffer,short-termliquidityratio,structuralliquidityratio,includingthebehaviour ofclientsandwithouttakingthemintoaccount),interestraterisk(income-based measuresandmeasuresofeconomicvalue),andcapitalabsorption(capitaladequacy ratio).Ontheliabilitiesside,theconstraintsadditionallyinclude(apartfromthe liquidityandinterestraterisk)theriskofexcessiverelianceonaparticularsourceof funding(concentrationrisk).Thechapteralsoincludesthederivationoftheobjective functions:maximisationofassetsincomeandminimisationoffundingcosts(costsof obtainingliabilities).Thelastsectionofthischapterpresentsthemodelriskandits sensitivityanalysis.Inparticular,itdefinesthemodelriskandprovidessomeinsighton supervisoryrequirements.Subsequently,itdefinesthenumberofscenariosonwhich thebusinesscasesarebased.
Chapter5includesapracticalcasestudyandshowstheimpactofindividualscenariosontheresultsobtainedfromtheapplicationoftheoptimisationmodel.Thecase
studyisconductedontheexampleoftwodifferentbanks.Thecasestudycanbeseen asatestofthepreviouslydesignedmodel.
InAppendices1and2,thereadercanfindthequantificationofbenefitsresulting fromtheapplicationoftheoptimisationmodel,bothfortheassetandliabilitysideof thebankingbook,underanumberofscenarios(describedinChapter4).
Thetermdecisionmodelisusedinordertoemphasisethepracticalapplication oftheoptimisationexerciseinthedecision-makingprocess.Optimisation,intheform describedthroughoutthebook,providesabenchmarkforthetreasurer,CFO,andCRO relatedtotheoptimalcompositionofthebankingbook.Thus,seniormanagementcan gainawarenessofthebankingbookcomposition,whichallowsthemtoreducethecost offundingfortheliabilitysideandincreaseincomefortheassetside.
Thebookconcludeswithanumberoftakeawaymessagesandemphasiseskey pointsdeliveredtothereader.
