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THE HEALTH CARE DATA GUIDE

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This edition first published 2022 © 2022 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Edition History

John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (1e, 2011)

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The contents of this work are intended to further general scientific research, understanding, and discussion only and are not intended and should not be relied upon as recommending or promoting scientific method, diagnosis, or treatment by physicians for any particular patient. In view of ongoing research, equipment modifications, changes in governmental regulations, and the constant flow of information relating to the use of medicines, equipment, and devices, the reader is urged to review and evaluate the information provided in the package insert or instructions for each medicine, equipment, or device for, among other things, any changes in the instructions or indication of usage and for added warnings and precautions. While the publisher and authors have used their best efforts in preparing this work, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this work and specifically disclaim all warranties, including without limitation any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives, written sales materials or promotional statements for this work. The fact that an organization, website, or product is referred to in this work as a citation and/or potential source of further information does not mean that the publisher and authors endorse the information or services the organization, website, or product may provide or recommendations it may make. This work is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering professional services. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a specialist where appropriate. Further, readers should be aware that websites listed in this work may have changed or disappeared between when this work was written and when it is read. Neither the publisher nor authors shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Provost, Lloyd P., author. | Murray, Sandra K., author.

Title: The health care data guide : learning from data for improvement / Lloyd P. Provost, Sandra K. Murray.

Description: Second edition. | Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley & Sons, 2022. | Includes bibliographical references and index.

Identifiers: LCCN 2021053032 (print) | LCCN 2021053033 (ebook) | ISBN 9781119690139 (paperback) | ISBN 9781119690153 (pdf) | ISBN 9781119690122 (epub)

Subjects: LCSH: Medical care--Quality control--Statistical methods. | Medical care--Quality control--Data processing.

Classification: LCC RA399.A3 P766 2022 (print) | LCC RA399.A3 (ebook) | DDC 362.10727--dc23/eng/20211123

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2021053032

LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2021053033

Cover image: Provost & Murray

Cover design by Wiley

Set in 10.5/13pt ITCNewBaskervilleStd by

Tip 3: Formatting Charts

Tip 4. Decisions for Recalculating limits, or Rephasing, on a

Centerline and Limits Backward

FIGURES, TABLES, AND EXHIBITS

FIGURE

FIGURE 2.17

FIGURE 2.18

FIGURE 2.19

FIGURE

TABLES, AND EXHIBITS

FIGURE 2.24 Tools to Learn from Variation in Data 72

FIGURE 2.25 Scatter Plots for Data in Table 2.18 74

FIGURE 3.1 Historical Example of a Run Chart 78

FIGURE 3.2 Run Chart Example 78

FIGURE 3.3 Run Chart Leading to Questions 79

FIGURE 3.4 Run Chart with Labels and Median 82

FIGURE 3.5 Run Chart with Goal Line and Tests of Change Annotated 83

FIGURE 3.6 Stat Lab Run Chart with No Evidence of Improvement 84

FIGURE 3.7 Improvement Evident Using a Set of Run Charts Viewed on One Page 85

FIGURE 3.8 Run Charts Used as Small Multiples 86

FIGURE 3.9 Run Chart Displaying Multiple Measures 87

FIGURE 3.10 Run Chart Displaying a Different Measure for Each Axis 87

FIGURE 3.11 Run Chart Displaying Multiple Statistics for the Same Measure 88

FIGURE 3.12 Run Chart with Little Data 88

FIGURE 3.13 Run Chart with Clinic Team Uncertain About Improvement 89

FIGURE 3.14 Four Rules for Identifying Nonrandom Signals of Change 90

FIGURE 3.15 Run Chart Evaluating Number of Runs 92

FIGURE 3.16 Measure with Too Few Runs 93

FIGURE 3.17 Run Chart with Too Many Runs 94

FIGURE 3.18 Run Charts of Clinic Cycle Time 95

FIGURE 3.19 Average Time to Administer Antibiotics 96

FIGURE 3.20 Three Key Uses of Run Charts in Improvement Initiatives 98

FIGURE 3.21 Beginning a Run Chart as Soon as the First Data Are Available 100

FIGURE 3.22 Run Charts for Waiting Time Data 101

FIGURE 3.23 Delay Detecting Signal with Proper Median Technique 102

FIGURE 3.24 Detecting Signal with Proper Median Technique 102

FIGURE 3.25 Detecting Signal of Improvement with Two Medians 103

FIGURE 3.26 Two Cases When Median Ineffective on Run Chart 104

FIGURE 3.27 Run Chart of Incidents Resulting in Too Many Zeros 105

FIGURE 3.28 Run Chart of Cases between an Incident 105

FIGURE 3.29 Starting and Updating Chart of Cases between Undesirable Rare Events 106

FIGURE 3.30 Mature Run Charts Tracking Cases Between Rare Events 107

FIGURE 3.31 Use of Data Line on Run Chart 108

FIGURE 3.32 Data from Unequal Time Intervals Displayed in Usual Run Chart 108

FIGURE 3.33 Data From Unequal Time Intervals Displayed to Reveal Impact of Time 109

FIGURE 3.34 Run Chart from Figure 3.22 With Seventh Week Added 110

FIGURE 3.35 Run Chart with Inappropriate Use of Trend Line 110

FIGURE 3.36 Run Chart of Autocorrelated Data from a Patient Registry 111

FIGURE 3.37 Run Chart with Percentage Doubled in Most Recent Month 112

FIGURE 3.38 Shewhart Control Chart (P Chart) Adjusting Limits Based on Denominator Size 113

FIGURE 3.39 Infant Mortality Data Stratified Using a Run Chart

FIGURE 3.40 Harm Data Stratified Using a Run Chart

FIGURE 3.41 Multi-Vari Chart

FIGURE 3.42 Run Chart and CUSUM Run Chart of Patient Satisfaction Data

FIGURE 4.1 Using Shewhart Charts to Give Direction to an Improvement Effort

FIGURE 4.2 Example of Shewhart Chart with Equal Subgroup Size 131

FIGURE 4.3 Example of Shewhart Chart with Unequal Subgroup Size 131

FIGURE 4.4 Rules for Detecting a Special Cause

FIGURE 4.5 Detecting “Losing the Gains” For an Improved Process

FIGURE 4.6 Depicting Variation Using a Run Chart versus a Shewhart Chart

FIGURE 4.7 Shewhart Charts Common Cause and Special Cause Systems

FIGURE 4.8 Shewhart Chart Revealing Process or System Improvement

FIGURE 4.9 Shewhart Chart Using Rational Subgrouping

FIGURE 4.10 Shewhart Chart Using Stratification

FIGURE 4.11 Shewhart Charts Depicting a Process or System “Holding the Gain”

FIGURE 4.12 Run Charts and Shewhart Charts for Waiting Time Data

FIGURE 4.13 Improper and Proper Extension of Baseline Limits on Shewhart Chart

FIGURE 4.14 Dealing with Special Cause Data in Baseline Limits

FIGURE 4.15 Recalculating Limits After Special Cause Improvement

FIGURE 4.16 Recalculating Limits after Exhausting Efforts to Remove Special Cause

FIGURE 4.17 Stratification of Laboratory Data with a Shewhart Chart

FIGURE 4.18 Disaggregation of ADEs Data

FIGURE 4.19 ADE Rate Rationally Subgrouped in Different Ways

FIGURE 4.20 Shewhart Chart Meeting Goal but Unstable

FIGURE 4.21 Shewhart Chart Stable but Not Meeting Goal

FIGURE 4.22 Special Cause in Desirable Direction

FIGURE 4.23 Shewhart Chart with Special Cause in Undesirable Direction

FIGURE 4.24 Shewhart Chart for LOS

FIGURE 4.25 Percentage of Patients with an Unplanned Readmission

FIGURE 5.1 Shewhart Chart Selection Guide 161

FIGURE 5.2 I Chart for Volume of Infectious Waste 167

FIGURE 5.3 I Chart Extended and Updated with New Limits 167

FIGURE 5.4 Rational Ordering for an I Chart for Intake Process 168

FIGURE 5.5 I Chart for Budget Variances 170

FIGURE 5.6 Xbar S Chart for Radiology Test Turnaround Time 172

FIGURE 5.7 Xbar S Chart for LOS 173

FIGURE 5.8 Xbar S Chart for LOS by Provider 174

FIGURES, TABLES, AND EXHIBITS

FIGURE 5.9 Xbar and S Chart Subgrouped by Provider and Quarter 175

FIGURE 5.10 Xbar S Chart Showing Improvement in Deviation from Start Times 176

FIGURE 5.11 P Chart for Percentage of Patients Harmed 182

FIGURE 5.12 Extended P Chart for Percentage of Patients Harmed 183

FIGURE 5.13 P Chart Showing Second Phase After Improvement 184

FIGURE 5.14 P Chart for Percentage of Unplanned Readmissions 185

FIGURE 5.15 P Chart for Percentage of MRSA for Hospital System 186

FIGURE 5.16 Funnel Plot of P Chart for Percentage of MRSA for Hospital System 187

FIGURE 5.17 P Chart with Funnel Limits for Systemwide Medication Compliance 188

FIGURE 5.18 C Chart for Employee Needlesticks 191

FIGURE 5.19 C Chart for Issues by Surgeon 192

FIGURE 5.20 U Chart for Flash Sterilization 193

FIGURE 5.21 U Charts Showing the Effect of Choosing the Standard Area of Opportunity 195

FIGURE 5.22 U Chart for Complaints by Clinic with Funnel Limits 196

FIGURE 5.23 Comparison of G Chart to U Chart 199

FIGURE 5.24 G Chart for ADEs 201

FIGURE 5.25 T Chart for Number of Days between ADEs 202

FIGURE 5.26 Different Formats for Displaying a T Chart 204

FIGURE 5.27 T Chart for Retained Foreign Objects 205

FIGURE 5.28 Process Capability: Typical Situations and Actions 207

FIGURE 5.29 Capability From an I Chart 208

FIGURE 5.30 Capability Analysis from an Xbar S Chart 209

FIGURE 6.1 Tools to Learn from Variation in Data 224

FIGURE 6.2 Histogram, Dot Plot, and Stem-and-Leaf Plot for Age at Fall 225

FIGURE 6.3 Frequency Plot (Dot Plot) of Patient Satisfaction Data 226

FIGURE 6.4 Age of Children with Head Injury 228

FIGURE 6.5 Shewhart Chart of Average Minutes to Initiate Antibiotics for Sepsis Patients 229

FIGURE 6.6 Histogram of Minutes to Antibiotic Start for Patients with Sepsis 230

FIGURE 6.7 Stable Shewhart Chart of Patient Fall Rate 230

FIGURE 6.8 Histogram of Age of People Who Fell 231

FIGURE 6.9 Distribution of Data without and with Skew 231

FIGURE 6.10 Frequency Plot of Clinic Patient Wait Time 232

FIGURE 6.11 Stratified Histograms of Patient Falls by Time of Day 233

FIGURE 6.12 Histogram of Antibiotic Start Time Stratified by Location 234

FIGURE 6.13 Shewhart Chart of Average Patient Satisfaction 235

FIGURE 6.14 Histograms Stratified by Common Cause and Special Cause Timeframes 236

FIGURE 6.15 Example of a Pareto Chart 237

FIGURE 6.16 Pareto Chart with Cumulative Percentage Line 239

FIGURE 6.17 Stable Shewhart Chart of SMC Readmission 240

FIGURE 6.18 Pareto Chart of Cited Reasons for SMC Adult Readmission 240

FIGURE 6.19 Factors Noted with Late Antibiotic Administration on Nursing Units 241

FIGURE 6.20 Shewhart Chart of Hospital Mortality Percentage 242

FIGURE 6.21 Pareto of Opportunities to Improve 242

FIGURE 6.22 Unweighted Pareto Chart of Nosocomial Infections 243

FIGURE 6.23 Weighted Pareto Chart of Nosocomial Infections 244

FIGURE 6.24 Stratified Pareto Charts of Health Status Stratified by Race 245

FIGURE 6.25 Stratified Pareto Charts of Factors Associated with Pediatric Head Injuries 246

FIGURE 6.26 Stratified Pareto Charts of Factors Associated with Patient Falls 247

FIGURE 6.27 Shewhart Chart of Adverse Drug Event Rate 248

FIGURE 6.28 Stratified Pareto Charts of Medications Associated with ADEs 248

FIGURE 6.29 Stratified Pareto Charts Contrasting Common Cause to Special Cause Timeframe 249

FIGURE 6.30 Scatterplot of Time with Provider Related to Patient Satisfaction 250

FIGURE 6.31 Scatterplot of Wait Related to Patient Satisfaction 252

FIGURE 6.32 Scatterplot with Trend Line and Statistics Added 253

FIGURE 6.33 Interpreting Patterns on the Scatterplot 254

FIGURE 6.34 Shewhart Chart of Patient Willingness to Recommend the Clinic 255

FIGURE 6.35 Scatterplots Related to Willingness to Recommend the Clinic 255

FIGURE 6.36 Scatterplot Relating Arrival Time and Time to Start Antibiotic 256

FIGURE 6.37 Scatterplot Relating Days between Case Worker Visits and QL Scores 257

FIGURE 6.38 Stratified Scatterplots Case Load and Sick Leave Use 258

FIGURE 6.39 Stratified Scatterplots Relating Case Worker Visits and QL Scores 259

FIGURE 6.40 Stratified Scatterplots Relating Wait Time to Satisfaction 260

FIGURE 6.41 Radar Chart of Satisfaction with Health Care 261

FIGURE 6.42 Patient Satisfaction with Urgent Care 262

FIGURE 6.43 Radar Chart of Satisfaction with Urgent Care by Element 262

FIGURE 6.44 Patient Satisfaction with Urgent Care Showing Special Cause 263

FIGURE 6.45 Radar Charts of Satisfaction with Health Care Stratified by Common and Special Cause Timeframes 264

FIGURE 6.46 Radar Charts of Patient Satisfaction Stratified by Race 264

FIGURE 7.1 Showing Data Points: (a) With Dots, (b) No Dots 269

FIGURE 7.2 Vertical Scale: (a) Just Right, (b) Too Wide, (c) To Narrow 270

FIGURE 7.3 (a) Inappropriate Vertical Scale, (b) Appropriate Scale 271

FIGURE 7.4 Including 0% and 100% on Vertical Scale 272

FIGURE 7.5 Overuse of Gridlines and Illegible Data Display 273

FIGURE 7.6 Example of Shewhart Chart with Appropriate Annotations 273

FIGURE 7.7 Extending Limits “Backward” on a Shewhart Chart 278

FIGURE 7.8 Importance of Freezing Limits on Shewhart Charts 280

FIGURE 7.9 I Charts with Limits Calculated Both with and without Screening 282

FIGURE 7.10 I Chart Compared to C Chart for Stable Count Measure 285

FIGURE 7.11 I Chart Compared to C Chart for Unstable Count Measure 286

FIGURE 7.12 I Chart Compared to P Chart for Unstable Classification Data 287

FIGURE 7.13 Published Shewhart Chart Using a Descriptive Strategy for Phasing 288

FIGURE 7.14 Deductive and Inductive Statistical Approaches 292

FIGURE 7.15 Comparison of Shewhart Chart and Statistical Inference 294

FIGURE 7.16 Comparison of Shewhart Chart with Special Cause and Statistical Inference 295

FIGURE 8.1 Expanded Chart Selection Guide to Include Alternative Charts 300

FIGURE 8.2 Example of an NP Chart 302

FIGURE 8.3 Example of an Xbar R Chart 304

FIGURE 8.4 Example of a Median Chart 306

FIGURE 8.5 P Chart with Limits that Appear “Very Tight” 307

FIGURE 8.6 Same Data as Figure 8.5 On a P’ Chart 308

FIGURE 8.7 U Chart and U’ Chart for Medication Errors 310

FIGURE 8.8 Improper Use of P Prime Chart for Self-Management Goals 311

FIGURE 8.9 Percentage of State Populations Fully Vaccinated for COVID-19 313

FIGURE 8.10 Comparison of Negative Binomial Chart to C Chart 315

FIGURE 8.11 C Chart and Negative Binomial Chart for Infections 316

FIGURE 8.12 Weighting Schemes for Alternative Charts 317

FIGURE 8.13 MA Charts Compared to I Chart 319

FIGURE 8.14 CUSUM Run Chart of Patient Satisfaction Data from Figure 3.42 321

FIGURE 8.15 CUSUM Charts for Patient Satisfaction 323

FIGURE 8.16 CUSUM Chart and Run Chart of HbA1c Values 326

FIGURE 8.17 Comparison of a C Chart and CUSUM Chart for the Same Data 327

FIGURE 8.18 EWMA Chart for Patient Satisfaction Data 329

FIGURE 8.19 EWMA Chart for HbA1c Values for Diabetic Patient 330

FIGURE 8.20 EWMA Chart with Two Phases for HbA1c Values for Diabetic Patient 330

FIGURE 8.21 Regular and Standardized Xbar Chart 332

FIGURE 8.22 Regular and Standardized P Chart 333

FIGURE 8.23 Regular and Standardized U Chart 333

FIGURE 8.24 General Form of Multivariate Control Chart (T2 Chart for Five Measures) 334

FIGURE 8.25 T2 Chart for First Two Years’ Financial Data 337

FIGURE 8.26 T2 Chart for Three Financial Measures—Baseline Limits Extended to Phase 2 337

FIGURE 8.27 I Charts for Three Financial Measures (Limits Based on 2018–2019 Data) 338

FIGURE 9.1 Shewhart Chart with Slanted Centerline for Obesity Data 342

FIGURE 9.2 I Chart with Regression Centerline for Opioid Deaths 344

FIGURE 9.3 Shewhart Chart with Nonlinear Regression Centerline 344

FIGURE 9.4 Shewhart Chart for Wait Times for the Next Appointment 345

FIGURE 9.5 Wait Times for Appointment Subgrouped by Month of Year 346

FIGURE 9.6 Individual Chart for Adjusted Wait Times 347

FIGURE 9.7 Wait Time Chart with Centerline and Limits Adjusted for Monthly Effects 347

FIGURE 9.8 P Chart for Emergency Asthma Visits 348

FIGURE 9.9 P Chart to Study Monthly Effects 348

FIGURE 9.10 Asthma P Chart—Adjusted Data and Adjusted Centerline and Limits 349

FIGURE 9.11 Initial I Chart for Average Monthly Wait Times in an ED 351

FIGURE 9.12 Scatterplot of Wait Time vs. Volume 352

FIGURE 9.13 I Chart for Average Monthly Wait Times in an ED with Adjusted Data 353

FIGURE 9.14 Monthly Electric Bill Before and After Solar Installation 353

FIGURE 9.15 Scatterplots Exploring the Relationship between the Electric Bill and Temperature 354

FIGURE 9.16 Adjusted Monthly Electric Bill Before and After Solar Installation 354

FIGURE 9.17 Ineffective I Chart for Time to Complete Weekly Report 357

FIGURE 9.18 Frequency Plots for Data and Transformations (Time for Weekly Task) 357

FIGURE 9.19 Alternative Displays of I Charts for Transformed Data 358

FIGURE 9.20 Xbar S Chart for ED Times from Arrival to Treatment 359

FIGURE 9.21 Frequency Plots for Original and Log10 Transformed Time to Treatment 360

FIGURE 9.22 Xbar S Chart Based on Log10 Transformed ED Times 360

FIGURE 9.23 Chart for Average HbA1c Values from Registry 362

FIGURE 9.24 Scatter Plot to Evaluate Autocorrelation of Registry Data 363

FIGURE 9.25 I Charts for Visit Cycle Time in Specialty Clinic 365

FIGURE 9.26 Scatterplot Implying Spurious Autocorrelation 365

FIGURE 9.27 Including Case-Mix Adjustments on Shewhart Chart 368

FIGURE 9.28 Example of Comparison Chart for Perioperative Mortality 369

FIGURE 9.29 Xbar S Chart for LOS 371

FIGURE 9.30 95% Confidence Intervals for Average LOS by Month 372

FIGURE 10.1 Shewhart Chart Revealing Improvement Not Sustained 379

FIGURE 10.2 The Drill Down Pathway 380

FIGURE 10.3 Comparison of Aggregated and Disaggregated Mortality Data 382

FIGURE 10.4 Mortality Rate Using a Different Sequencing Strategy 383

FIGURE 10.5 Rational Subgrouping Strategy for Mortality Data 384

FIGURE 10.6 Shewhart Chart at the Aggregate Level 387

FIGURES, TABLES, AND EXHIBITS xx

FIGURE 10.7 Shewhart Chart Displaying All Eight Hospitals on the Same Chart 389

FIGURE 10.8 Separate Shewhart Chart for Each Hospital Special Cause to the System 391

FIGURE 10.9 Separate Shewhart Chart for Each Hospital Common Cause to the System 392

FIGURE 10.10 ADE Rate Subgrouped by Day of the Week 394

FIGURE 10.11 Aggregate Shewhart Chart Rationally Subgrouping Common Cause Data by Shift 395

FIGURE 10.12 ADE Rate Subgrouped by Shift for Common Cause Hospitals 396

FIGURE 10.13 Pareto Chart of ADE Occurrence by Medication Name 398

FIGURE 10.14 Pareto Chart of ADEs Associated with Various Factors 399

FIGURE 10.15 Shewhart Chart Used to Determine Impact of Changes Implemented 400

FIGURE 11.1 Xbar S Charts for Peak Flow Readings from Patient with Asthma 408

FIGURE 11.2 Run Chart for PSA Test Results for a Colleague 410

FIGURE 11.3 PSA Test Results for One of the Authors 410

FIGURE 11.4 Run Chart of Ultrasound Measures on Whiteboard in Patient Room 412

FIGURE 11.5 Run Charts for Patient Bone Density Test 413

FIGURE 11.6 I Charts for Patient BMD Tests at Two Locations 414

FIGURE 11.7 Run Chart of Temperatures for Hospitalized Patient with Fever 415

FIGURE 11.8 I Chart for Temperature Readings for Patient with Fever 416

FIGURE 11.9 Xbar S Chart for Temperature Readings for Patient with Fever 416

FIGURE 11.10 CUSUM Chart for Patient Temperatures 417

FIGURE 11.11 Run Chart of Patient Monitoring Data (Half-Hour Averages) 418

FIGURE 11.12 I Charts for Patient Heart Function Variables Monitored in the ICU 419

FIGURE 11.13 Run Chart/I Chart for an Individual’s Weighings—Two Horizontal Scales 421

FIGURE 11.14 I Chart for Monitoring HbA1c for Patient with Diabetes 422

FIGURE 11.15 I Chart for Patient Pain Assessments during Hospital Stay 423

FIGURE 12.1 Excerpts from HCAHPS Survey 427

FIGURE 12.2 Excerpt from NHS Survey 428

FIGURE 12.3 Shewhart Charts for One Question from Patient Satisfaction Survey 431

FIGURE 12.4 Patient Satisfaction Data Summarized with Multiple Negative Replies 434

FIGURE 12.5 Patient Satisfaction Percentile Ranking 435

FIGURE 12.6 Pareto Chart of Types of Patient Complaints 436

FIGURE 12.7 Small Multiples of Patient Satisfaction Data 437

FIGURE 12.8 Pareto Chart of Clinic Patient Feedback 439

FIGURE 12.9 Clinic Patient Feedback Shewhart Charts for Three Areas of Focus 441

FIGURE 12.10 Scatterplots for Three Areas of Focus 441

FIGURE 12.11 Shewhart Chart of Willingness to Recommend the Clinic 442

FIGURE 12.12 Xbar S Chart of Average Self-Reported Patient Pain Assessment 443

FIGURE 12.13 P Chart Summarizing Patient Feedback Regarding Pain 444

FIGURE 12.14 Employee Feedback Upon Exit Interview 445

FIGURE 12.15 Importance and Satisfaction Matrix 446

FIGURE 12.16 Using an Interim of Surrogate Measure to Avoid Lag Time 448

FIGURE 12.17 Data Not Used When Treating Continuous Data as Classification 449

FIGURE 13.1 Tabular VOM Using Green, Yellow, and Red Formatting 456

FIGURE 13.2 Shewhart Chart of Safety Error Rate 457

FIGURE 13.3 Percentage of Perfect Care Displayed on a Shewhart Chart 458

FIGURE 13.4 Shewhart Chart of Percentage of Areas Meeting Appointment Goal 459

FIGURE 13.5 Infection Rate Data Color-Coded Monthly 460

FIGURE 13.6 Average Physician Satisfaction 461

FIGURE 13.7 Appropriate Display of VOM 462

FIGURE 13.8 Graph with Appropriate Space for Future Data 465

FIGURE 13.9 Graph with Excessive Number of Data Points 466

FIGURE 13.10 Graph Updated to Provide More Readable Number of Data Points 467

FIGURE 13.11 Graph with Historical Data Summarized 467

FIGURE 14.1 Example of Typical Epidemiological Curve with Four Epochs 478

FIGURE 14.2 Example of Hybrid Shewhart Chart for Epidemic Data 478

FIGURE 14.3 Initial C Charts for COVID-19 Deaths in Three Countries 480

FIGURE 14.4 C Chart of COVID-19 Deaths for Maine (First Half of 2021) 481

FIGURE 14.5 Initial Attempt at Charts for Epoch 2 482

FIGURE 14.6 Charts for Epoch 2 Based on Log-Regression I Charts 483

FIGURE 14.7 Hybrid Shewhart Chart for COVID-19 Daily Deaths 484

FIGURE 14.8 Chart for COVID-19 Daily Deaths Showing End of Epoch 2 485

FIGURE 14.9 Chart of US COVID-19 Daily Deaths Showing Epoch 3 Chart 486

FIGURE 14.10 Italy Daily COVID-19 Deaths Showing Epoch 4 Chart 486

FIGURE 14.11 Bar Chart Showing Variation in Reporting COVID-19 Deaths by Day of the Week 488

FIGURE 14.12 Comparison of Raw Data and Adjusted Data on the Hybrid Shewhart Charts 489

FIGURE 14.13 COVID-19 Daily Reported Deaths and Cases for the United Kingdom 490

FIGURE 14.14 Family of Measures for COVID-19 from Ireland (March 2020 to July 2021) 491

FIGURE 14.15 Family of Measures for COVID-19 from Ireland (Recent Ninety Days) 492

FIGURE 15A.1 Baseline Data for Clinic Access Project 496

FIGURE 15A.2 24-Week Data for Clinic Access Project 499

FIGURE 15A.3 Urology Services Regional Demand Versus Capacity 501

FIGURE 15A.4 One Year Data for Clinic Access Project 502

FIGURE 15B.1 Significant Revisions Project: P Chart for Significant Revisions in Reading Films 505

FIGURE 15B.2 Turnaround Time Project: Xbar S Chart for Turnaround Times for Routine X-Rays 505

FIGURE 15B.3 Start Time Project: Xbar S Chart for Procedure Start Times (Actual-Scheduled) 506

FIGURE 15B.4 Scatterplot of Revisions and Turnaround Time and Revisions 507

FIGURE 15B.5 Significant Revisions Project: T Chart for Days between Significant Revisions 508

FIGURE 15B.6 Significant Revisions Project: G Chart for Films between Significant Revisions 509

FIGURE 15B.7 Significant Revisions Project: Updated G Chart for Revisions 510

FIGURE 15B.8 Turnaround Time Project: Xbar S Charts for Turnaround Times for Routine X-Rays 510

FIGURE 15B.9 Turnaround Time Project: Frequency Plot for Turnaround Times after Change 511

FIGURE 15B.10 Start Time Project: Updated Xbar S Chart for CT Scan Start Times 512

FIGURE 15C.1 Shewhart Chart of Post CABG Infection Rate Prior to Improvement Project 516

FIGURE 15C.2 Shewhart Chart of CABG Infection Data after Testing New Glucose Protocol 517

FIGURE 15C.3 Shewhart Chart of CABG Infection Data after Protocol with Trial Limits 518

FIGURE 15C.4 Shewhart Chart of CABG Infection Rate after New Protocol Stratified by Hospital 519

FIGURE 15C.5 Stratified Histograms: Common Versus Special Cause Time Frames 521

FIGURE 15C.6 Shewhart Chart of CABG Infection Data after Protocol Subgrouped by Physician 523

FIGURE 15C.7 CABG Infection Rates after Intervention with Physician E 524

FIGURE 15C.8 Shewhart Chart of CABG Infection Rate Post Protocol— Sustained Improvement 525

FIGURE 15D.1 The Drill Down Pathway 527

FIGURE 15D.2 P Chart of Aggregate Percentage of C-Section Deliveries 529

FIGURE 15D.3 Percentage of C-Section Stratified and Sequenced by Physician 530

FIGURE 15D.4 Percentage of C-Sections by Physician with Special Cause Removed 531

FIGURE 15D.5 Shewhart Chart for Each Physician of Percentage of C-Section 532

FIGURE 15D.6 Pareto Chart of Documented Factors Associated with C-Sections 533

FIGURE 15D.7 Monthly Versus Quarterly Aggregate Percentage of C-Section 535

FIGURE 15E.1 Xbar S Chart for Length of Stay Outcome Measure 538

FIGURE 15E.2 Xbar S Chart for Cost Outcome Measure 539

FIGURE 15E.3 Balancing Measures: Complications and Readmissions 540

FIGURE 15E.4 Scatterplot of Length of Stay and Total Cost 541

FIGURE 15E.5 Funnel Plots (U Charts) for Surgical Complications and Readmissions 542

FIGURE 15E.6 Funnel Plot for Length of Stay Sub-grouped by Surgeon 542

FIGURE 15E.7 Length of Stay Subgrouped by Gender and Month 543

FIGURE 15E.8 Length of Stay Subgrouped by Race and Quarter 544

FIGURE 15E.9 Length of Stay Subgrouped by Day of the Week and Quarter 544

FIGURE 15E.10 Xbar S Chart for LOS with Limits Extended for Factorial Test 547

FIGURE 15E.11 Analysis of Factorial Study 548

FIGURE 15E.12 Xbar S Chart for LOS with Limits Extended from February, 2020 549

FIGURE 15E.13 Xbar S Chart for Total Cost with Limits Extended from February, 2020 549

FIGURE 15E.14 U Charts for Complications and Readmissions with Extended Limits 550

FIGURE 15F.1 P Chart of Monthly CHF Patient Admissions 553

FIGURE 15F.2 Funnel Plot of Hospitals Admitting CHF Patients 2018–2019 553

FIGURE 15F.3 P Chart of Hospital Admissions for CHF with Special Cause 555

FIGURE 15F.4 P Chart of Hospital Admissions for CHF with Updated Limits 556

FIGURE 15F.5 P Chart of Hospital Admissions for CHF One Year Post Improvement 557

FIGURE 15G.1 The Drill Down Pathway 559

FIGURE 15G.2 Aggregate APL Rate per Surgery 562

FIGURE 15G.3 Aggregate APL Rate per Surgery with Special Cause Data Excluded 563

FIGURE 15G.4 APL Rate Disaggregated by Site 563

FIGURE 15G.5 Separate Shewhart Charts of APL Rate for Each Site 564

FIGURE 15G.6 Rational Subgrouping Scheduled Versus Emergency Surgery APL Rate 565

FIGURE 15G.7 Rational Subgrouping Laparoscopic Versus Open Surgery APL Rate 566

FIGURE 15H.1 P Charts of Outcome Measures 569

FIGURE 15H.2 Telemedicine Data Charted Weekly Rather than Monthly 571

FIGURE 15H.3 P’ Charts of Outcome Data 571

FIGURE 15H.4 Percentage of No Shows with Special Cause Data Ghosted 572

FIGURE 15H.5 Percentage of Failed Calls by Service 573

FIGURE 15H.6 Percentage of Failed Calls from Internal Medicine by Provider 574

FIGURES, TABLES, AND EXHIBITS

FIGURE 15H.7 Percentage of Failed by Calls Zip Code 576

FIGURE 15H.8 Scatterplot of SES Score and Percentage of Failed Calls by Zip Code 577

FIGURE 15H.9 Percentage of Failed Calls by Age Group 579

FIGURE 15H.10 Daily Percentage of Failed Calls Used in PDSA Test Cycle 580

FIGURE 15H.11 Daily Percentage of No Shows Used in PDSA Test Cycle 581

FIGURE 15H.12 Telemedicine Family of Measures 582

FIGURE 15I.1 Run Chart of Pneumonia Charges over Time (All Physicians in Practice) 583

FIGURE 15I.2 I Chart of Pneumonia Charges over Time (All Physicians in Practice) 584

FIGURE 15I.3 I Chart of Pneumonia Charges Reordered by Physician Experience 585

FIGURE 15I.4 Xbar S Chart for Pneumonia Charges Ordered by Date of Diagnosis 586

FIGURE 15I.5 Xbar S Chart for Pneumonia Charges—Subgrouped by Physician 587

FIGURE 15I.6 Scatterplot for Pneumonia Charges and Length of Stay in Days 588

FIGURE 15I.7 Run Chart for Charges per Day 589

FIGURE 15I.8 Xbar and S Charts for Charges per Hospital Day 590

FIGURE 15I.9 Xbar S Charts (Funnel Plot) for Charges per Day by Physician 591

FIGURE 15I.10 Scatterplots for Comorbidities versus Days and Charges 592

TABLES

Table 1.1 Overview of Methods for Improvement 13

Table 1.2 Overview of Tools for Improvement 14

Table 1.3 Initial Team Plan for PDSA Cycles 23

Table 1.4 Some Additional Plans for PDSA Cycles 25

Table 2.1 Data for Improvement, Accountability, Research 29

Table 2.2 Useful Characteristics When Developing Measurement for Improvement 31

Table 2.3 Traditional Data Typologies 39

Table 2.4 Traditional Data Categories with Science of Improvement Categories 39

Table 2.5 Forms of Data 41

Table 2.6 Outcome, Process, and Balancing Measures 42

Table 2.7 Dimensions of System Performance 42

Table 2.8 FOM Including Outcome, Process, and Balancing Measures 45

Table 2.9 IOM’s Six Dimensions of Care 46

Table 2.10 Operational Definition Percentage of Residents Experiencing One or More Falls with Major Injury (Long Stay)1 (NQF: 0674) (CMS ID: N013.01) 48

Table 2.11 Asthma Severity Operational Definition 48

Table 2.12 Examples of Enumerative and Analytic Studies 53

Table 2.13 Judgment Sampling Data Collection Strategy 57

Table 2.14 Deciding the Scale of a Test 60

Table 2.15 Number of Falls 65

Table 2.16 Data for Rate of Falls 65

Table 2.17 Examples of Useful Ratios 67

Table 2.18 Wait Time and Satisfaction Data from Four Clinics 73

Table 3.1 Run Chart Data 79

Table 3.2 Percentage of On-Time Appointments in Clinic by Month 82

Table 3.3 Method 1: Run Chart Data Reordered and Median Determined 83

Table 3.4 Runs Rule Guidance—Table Checking for Too Many or Too Few Runs on a Run Chart 92

Table 3.5 Data for Percentage of Unplanned Returns to OR 112

Table 3.6 Harm Rate Data for Multi-Vari Chart 116

Table 3.7 Patient Satisfaction CUSUM Using Process Average as Target 118

Table 4.1 Balancing the Mistakes Made in Attempts to Improve 134

Table 5.1 Applications of Shewhart Charts for Continuous Data in Health Care 163

Table 5.2 Five Types of Attribute Shewhart Charts 177

Table 5.3 Minimum Subgroup Size for an Effective P Chart 178

Table 5.4 Examples of Common P Chart Applications in Health Care 181

Table 5.5 Example of Area of Opportunity for Count Data 188

Table 5.6 Applications of a C Chart and U Chart 189

Table 5.7 Data on Number of ADEs by Month 194

Table 5.8 Data on Infections From ICU 200

Table 5.9 Methods Used to Obtain Limits Based Solely on Common Cause 212

Table 6.1 Paired Samples for a Scatterplot 251

Table 7.1 Characteristics to Consider When Selecting SPC Software 283

Table 8.1 Symbols Used with NP Charts 301

Table 8.2 Symbols and Factors Used with Xbar and R Charts 303

Table 8.3 Symbols Used with Median Charts 305

Table 8.4 Symbols Used with P’ or U’ Charts 309

Table 8.5 Symbols Used with Negative Binomial Charts 314

Table 8.6 Example of Calculated MAs of Three and Five 318

Table 8.7 Factors Used with MA Chart 318

Table 8.8 Calculation of CUSUM Statistic and Limits 325

Table 8.9 Creating Standardized Statistics for Shewhart Charts with Variable Limits 332

Table 8.10 Monthly Hospital System Financial Data ($ Million Units) for Four Years 336

Table 9.1 Average Deviations from Centerline (Month Average – CL) for Each Month 346

Table 10.1 Clinical Quality Measures Comparative Summar y 376

Table 10.2 Excerpt from Long-Term Care Report Card 377

Table 10.3 Excerpt from Medical Center Balanced Scorecard 378

Table 10.4 Aggregate Monthly ADE Data 386

Table 10.5 Initial Drill Down Log for Aggregate ADE Data 386

Table 10.6 Completed Drill Down Log for Aggregate ADE Data 387

Table 10.7 Initial Drill Down Log for Disaggregation by Unit on One Chart 388

Table 10.8 ADE Data Disaggregated for Eight Hospitals and Subgrouped by Quarter 388

Table 10.9 Completed Drill Down Log for Disaggregation by Unit on One Chart 389

Table 10.10 Initial Drill Down Log Studying Special Cause Units 390

Table 10.11 Completed Drill Down Log Studying Special Cause Units 391

Table 10.12 Initial Drill down Log with Each Unit on Separate Chart 392

Table 10.13 Completed Drill Down Log with Each Unit on Separate Chart 393

Table 10.14 Initial Drill Down Log Rationally Subgrouping Aggregate Data by Day of Week 394

Table 10.15 Completed Drill Down Log Rationally Subgrouping Aggregate Data by Day of Week 394

Table 10.16 Initial Drill Down Log Rationally Subgrouping Aggregate Data by Shift 395

Table 10.17 Completed Drill Down Log Rationally Subgrouping Aggregate Data by Shift 395

Table 10.18 Initial Drill Down Log by Unit Rationally Subgrouping Shift 396

Table 10.19 Completed Drill Down Log by Unit Rationally Subgrouping by Shift 397

Table 10.20 Initial Drill Down Log Studying Medications Related to ADEs 398

Table 10.21 Completed Drill Down Log Studying Medications Related to ADEs 398

Table 10.22 Initial Drill Down Log Studying Common Factors Related to ADEs 399

Table 10.23 Completed Drill Down Log Studying Common Factors Related to ADEs 399

Table 12.1 Summary Statistics, Issues, and Tools Used with Patient Satisfaction Data 429

Table 12.2 Shewhart Charts for One Question from Patient Satisfaction Survey 433

Table 12.3 Mankoski Pain Scale 443

Table 13.1 A Summary of Some of the Categories Used to Develop a VOM 454

Table 13.2 Concepts for Measures of a System from Different Perspectives 455

Table 13.3 WSM 2.0: Measures to Assess Health System Performance on the Triple Aim 472

Table 15.1 Summary of Use of Tools and Methods to Learn from Variation in the Case Studies 494

Table 15C.1 Post CABG Infection Rate Data Prior to Improvement Project 514

Table 15C.2 CABG Infection Data After Glucose Protocol Testing 516

Table 15C.3 CABG Infection Data after New Protocol Stratified by Hospital 519

TABLES, AND EXHIBITS xxvii

Table 15C.4 CABG Infection Data after Protocol Subgrouped by Physician 522

Table 15C.5 CABG Infection Rates after New Protocol by Physician with Additional Data 524

Table 15D.1 C-Section Data 528

Table 15E.1 Format of Database for Surgery Team 538

Table 15E.2 Study Design for 3-Factor PDSA Test 546

Table 15F.1 Baseline Data for Hospital Admissions for Current CHF Patients from the Health Plan 552

Table 15G.1 Clinical Quality Measures Comparative Summary 558

Table 15G.2 APL Data Monthly 560

Table 15I.1 Data for Comorbidities versus Days and Charges 592

EXHIBITS

EXHIBIT 1.1 Documentation for Initial Self-Management PDSA Cycle 24

EXHIBIT 2.1 Operational Definition Aspirin at Arrival 49

EXHIBIT 3.1 Constructing a Run Chart 81

EXHIBIT 3.2 On-Time Appointments: Run Chart Example 82

WHO IS THIS BOOK FOR?

This book is designed for those who want to use data to help improve health care. Specifically, this book focuses on deepening skills related to using data for improvement. Our goal is to help those working in health care to make improvements more readily and have greater confidence that their changes truly are improvements. Using data for improvement is a challenge and source of frustration to many. The book is designed to meet this challenge and alleviate frustration.

This book is a good companion to The Improvement Guide: A Practical Approach to Enhancing Organizational Performance, 2nd Edition, Langley and others (JosseyBass, 2009), which provides a complete guide to improvement. Our Chapter 1 summarizes the key content from The Improvement Guide and specific references to The Improvement Guide are made throughout this book. If any of these questions sound familiar, then this book is for you:

● How many measures should I be using with improvement projects?

● What kind of measures do I need? Why should I have outcome, process, and balancing measures for an improvement project?

● What methods do I use to analyze and display my data? How do I choose the correct chart?

● How can I better interpret data from my individual patients?

● How do I know that changes I’ve made are improvements? Do I need to use research methods for improvement projects?

● Why don’t I just look at aggregated data before and after my change? Why use a run or Shewhart chart?

● How do I choose the correct Shewhart chart? How do I interpret it? Where do the limits come from? How do I make limits?

● What are 3-sigma limits? Are they different from confidence intervals?

● When do I create and then revise limits on Shewhart control charts?

● I work with rare events (such as infections, falls, or pressure ulcers). What graphs do I use?

● My data are impacted seasonally. How do I display them appropriately?

● I work with huge databases. How do I use Shewhart charts wisely when working with such large amounts of data?

● How do we learn from patient satisfaction data?

● How do we better understand data from an epidemic?

● How do I best display key organizational measures for the board and other senior leaders?

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