Sports Form Guide - 5 October 2009

Page 1

Sports // Rugby // Football // Horse Racing // Monday 5 Sept, 2009

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Rose Hill Caufield

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AIR NEW ZEALAND CUP Form

Teams

Latest Match

Round Eleven P

W

L

D

Last Met

Win TAB Value ASAP % Odds Odds Margin

Ratings Trend 30-07-09

Round 11 - 7:35pm Thursday October 8, Napier - Sky Sport 1 WLWWWW Hawke's Bay LLWLLL C-Manukau

W 22-19 v BOP

10

6

3

1

45 - 14

60%

$1.05

$1.30 W by 16

L 17-28 v Canterbury

10

2

8

0

14/9/08

20%

$8.00

$4.00

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Christchurch - Sky Sport 1 WLWWWW Canterbury LLLLLL Manawatu

W 28-17 v Counties

10

8

2

0

24 - 25

80%

$1.05

$1.15 W by 21

L 15-43 v Wellington

10

3

7

0

2/8/08

30%

$8.00

$8.00

W 38-10 v Otago

10

5

4

1

6 - 22

50%

$1.90

$2.10

WWWLLW Auckland

W 27-13 v Southland

10

5

5

0

10/8/08

50%

$1.85

$1.90

WWLWWW Waikato

L 10-38 v Taranaki

10

3

7

0

10 - 39

30%

$2.35

$2.10

W 33-22 v N Harbour

10

6

4

0

26/9/08

60%

$1.55

$1.90

W by 1

Otago fought hard on Taranaki’s day. With Thompson inspiring they bring plenty to the breakdown and the lineout. Down south they’ll make it tough for Waikato who are now 5 from 6. They’re looking more stable with Leonard, Donald and De Malmanche back. Sweeney is in everything and if they can lower the error rate and close some holes they could make the semis.

W by 2

Expect a gut buster. Both desperately need this for the semis and play similar no nonsense rugby. Southland were flat, even Robinson’s kicking was off, v Auckland. Back home they’ll show, driven by the work rates of Rutledge and McIntosh. Tasman again adapted best to ugly conditions in Whangarei. MacDonald, Goodman, Petenise and Cook are firing but mainly they bring team and can win this too.

W by 8

BOP are another who remain in the semi race. They battled tough v the ‘Bay’, but defensive lapses eventually cost them. NH were also downed in a close one v Waikato. They pounce on errors, can find wide and will have targeted this. Still, you’d think the ability of Bourke and Delaney to control options will give them territory and they’ll look to expose Harbour’s often sleepy defence.

W by 13

The stiff 1st half wind didn’t faze Northland who put in again v Canterbury. The reality is they lack the class to break good line defences. They haven’t beaten Wellington since 2000 and its difficult to see that changing here. The latter are finding some shape despite missing ABs and injury forced re-shuffles. Schwalger, Vito, Ramasy, Leuia, and Mathewson are all standing up and Jane is exceptional.

Round 11 - 5:30pm Saturday October 10, Invercargill - Sky Sport 1 WDWWLL Southland

L 13-27 v Auckland

10

6

3

1

6-3

60%

$1.55

$2.10

LWWLWW Tasman

W 21-16 v Northland

10

6

4

0

19/9/08

60%

$2.35

$1.90

Round 11 - 7:35pm Saturday October 10, Albany - Sky Sport 1 LLLWWL Nth Harbour

L 22-33 v Waikato

10

3

7

0

31 - 38

30%

$2.00

$2.10

LWLWLL BOP

L 19-22 v Hawkes Bay

10

6

4

0

16/8/08

60%

$1.75

$1.90

Round 11 - 2:35pm Sunday October 11, Whangarei - Sky Sport 1 LDLWLL Northland LWLLWW Wellington

L 16-21 v Tasman

10

3

6

1

27 - 43

30%

$5.50

$4.00

W 43-15 v Manawatu

10

6

4

0

13/8/05

60%

$1.13

$1.30

Despite an 11th table position and early positives, the ‘ASAP Ratings’ have Manawatu second last. They’ve fought hard and got a few individuals but they couldn’t compete up front or out back with Wellington. Canterbury were patchy away v Counties but will plan their run at the title now. With plenty of ABs back and at home with a shield to protect you’d expect a comfortable win.

W by 1

Round 11 - 2:35pm Saturday October 10, Dunedin - Sky Sport 1 WLLLWL Otago

The ‘Bay’ took advantage of BOP’s erratic defence to just get up. They could possibly drop one and still make the semis but it wouldn’t want to be this. With Waldrom, Guilford and Dagg excelling and Berquist’s accuracy that’s unlikely, albeit the careless handling and option issues. Counties again showed their talent for turning scraps into points out wide v Canterbury, but lack 80 minute grunt.

This should end the slim semi chances of one. Taranaki brought cohesion, defence and some width v Otago led by Tony Penn and Jason Eaton. Ripia’s territorial grasp continues to grow and that game would really trouble Auckland. The latter brought some urgency for a change and found enough running chances to get over a flat Southland. Kaino. Afoa, and Moeke looked good but the team will face real unity here.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Nplymouth - Sky Sport 2 (Replayed 9.30pm Sky Sport 1) WWWLLW Taranaki

Match Day Form

04-10-09

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.


are all standing up and Jane is exceptional.

RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS Ratings Last Rank Week 1 1 2 2 3 3

Ratings Performance Meter

Teams Canterbury Wellington Auckland

P 10 10 10

W 8 6 5

L 2 4 5

D Streak 0 W4 0 W2 0 W1

Pts For 289 262 199

Pts Ave % Agst Score Win 176 29 80% 203 26 60% 191 20 50%

Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings 5 37 1 33.5 5 29 3 28.7 6 26 7 26.7

TAB Odds $2.15 $4.00 $9.00

4 5 6 7 8

4 8 5 6 7

Hawke's Bay Taranaki Tasman BOP Southland

10 10 10 10 10

6 5 6 6 6

3 4 4 4 3

1 1 0 0 1

W4 W1 W2 L2 L2

266 209 229 209 181

208 188 174 182 173

27 21 23 21 18

60% 50% 60% 60% 60%

4 2 4 2 2

30 24 28 26 28

2 9 4 6 5

25.3 24.7 24.2 23.9 21.5

$9.00 $30.00 $30.00 $12.00 $12.00

9 10 11 12 13 14

10 9 11 12 13 14

Waikato Otago Nth Harbour Northland Manawatu C-Manukau

10 10 10 10 10 10

6 3 3 3 3 2

4 7 7 6 7 8

0 0 0 1 0 0

W3 L1 L1 L2 L6 L3

205 188 187 187 210 192

223 229 234 241 268 323

21 19 19 19 21 19

60% 30% 30% 30% 30% 20%

2 6 4 2 5 3

26 18 16 16 17 11

8 10 12 13 11 16

20.4 19 15.8 15.6 12.6 9.6

$9.00 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

TEAMS

ASAP Rating

Graph

Form Guide Key

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

AUCKLAND From: Tevita Mailau, Pauliasi Manu, Charlie Faumuina , Paea Fa’anunu, Francis Smith, Tom McCartney, Kurtis Haiu, Jay Williams, Andrew Van der Heijden, Dean Budd, Chris Lowrey, Peter Saili, Onosa’i Auva’a, Hamish Paterson, Taniela Moa, Grayson Hart, Ash Moeke, Daniel Bowden, Benson Stanley, Winston Stanley, Jamie Helleur, Teddy Stanaway , Thomas Timani, Dave Thomas, Atieli Pakalani, Paul Williams, John Afoa, Jerome Kaino, Keven Mealamu, Joe Rokocoko, Isaia Toeava

BAY OF PLENTY From: James McGougan, Marcel Cummings-Toone, Culum Rettalick, Luke Braid, Joe Savage, Matt Vant Leven, Josh Hohneck, Zac Hohneck, Josh Olsen, John Moore, Ted Tauroa, Colin Bourke, John Pareanga , Josh Katene, Solomon King, Junior Poluleuligaga, Josh Hall, Phil Burliegh, Mike Delaney, Cory Aporo, Zar Lawrence, Lance MacDonald, Jason Hona, Wayne Hughson, Clinton Toopi, Nick McCashin, Nigel Hunt, Tanerau Latimer, Andre Ellison (ol), Ben Smith (ol)

COUNTIES-MANAKU STEELERS From: Cody Martin, Courtney McKay, Sikeli Nabou, Sherwin Stowers, Matt Holloway, Augustine Pulu, DJ Forbes, Siale Piutau, Waka Setitaia, Josh Hall, Ahsee Tuala,Fritz Lee, Jamie Metcalf, Lelia Masaga, Mark Selwyn, Samisoni Fisilau, Tim Nanai Williams, Siua Halanukonuka, Ilisa Maasi, Jason Roache, Rees Logan, Viliami Fihaki, David Raikuna, Graham Dewes, Jamie Chipman, Seremaia Tagicakibau, Kojak Faioso, Notise Tauafao, Simon Lemalu, Tasesa Lavea, Josh Hall (ol), Matt Holloway (ol)

HAWKE’S BAY From: Hika Elliot, Ash Dixon, Clint Newland, Sona Taumalolo, Josh Keys, Jodi Allen, Ross Kennedy, Bryn Evans, Matt Egan, Michael Johnson, Karl Lowe, Thomas Waldrom, George Naoupu, Adam Bradey, Hugh Reed, Pama Petia, Chris Eaton, Dane Shelford, Matt Berquist, Andrew Horrell, Aayden Clarke, Sam Giddens, Jason Shoemark (captain), Richard Buckman, Mark Jackman, Israel Dagg, Zac Guildford, Jason Kupa, Neil Thomson, Bryn Evans

MANAWATU TURBOS CANTERBURY From: Andrew Olorenshaw, Rodney Ah You,Peter Borlase, Corey Flynn, Ti’i Paulo, Will Catherwood, Luke Romano, James Broadhurst, Sam Whitelock, Matt Todd, Michael Paterson, George Whitelock, Ash Parker, Nasi Manu, Willie Heinz, Tyson Keats, Andy Ellis, Dan Carter, Colin Slade, Stephen Brett, Tim Bateman, Ryan Crotty, Adam Whitelock, Casey Laulala, Chris Small, Sean Maitland, Tu Umaga-Marshall, James Paterson, Sam Monaghan, Isaac Ross, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Kieran Read, Richie McCaw, Wyatt Crockett

From: Grant Polson, Talau Hala, David Te Moana, Ma’afu Fia, Sean O’Connor, Rob Foreman, James Goode, Reece Robinson, Lisiate Fa’aoso, Michael FitzgeraldNick Crosswell, Hamish Gosling, Josh Bradnock, Doug Tietjens, Bertus MulderBrent Thompson, Aaron Smith, Aaron Good, Aaron Cruden, Isaac Thompson,Francis Bryant, Johnny Leota, Tavita Taufui, Andre Taylor, Lote Raikabula, Tomasi Cama, Kurt Baker, Casey Stone

NORTH HARBOUR From: James Afoa, Mike Reid, Ben Afeaki, James Parsons, Michael Mayhew, Anthony Boric, Filo Paulo, James King, Chris Smith, Malakai Ravulo, Tom Chamberlain, Richard Mayhew, Robbie Colhoun, Vili Ma’afu , Chris Smylie, Matt France, Mike Harris, Ben Botica, Andrew Mailei,, Anthony Tuitavake, George Pisi , Nafi Tuitavake, Josh York, Rudi Wulf, Jack McPhee, Ken Pisi, Tony Woodcock, Luke McAlister

NORTHLAND From: Baker Steve Caine Rhyan, Carpenter Derek Clutterbuck Matt, Collins Justin, Collins Nick, Davies Justin, Dow Tim, Eyre Cameron, Fakafanua Damien, Fonua Sione, Gadolo Eroni, Gilmore Brook, Goodwin Dan, Griffin Roy, Haitana Karl, Hamilton Luke, Jowitt Cameron, McKenty Joel, Munroe Lachie, Murray Bronson, O’Connor Pat, Payne Jared, Ranger Rene, Tuu’u Mikaele, Wallis Matt, Woodman Troy, Elrick Jon

OTAGO From: Keith Cameron, Tom Donnelly, Paul Grant, Sam Hibbard, Eben Joubert, Seko Kalou, Jason Macdonald, Hoani Matenga, Kees Meeuws, Peter Mirrielees, Ben Nolan, Charlie O’Connell, Steven Setephano, Alando Soakai (Captain), Adam Thomson, Hayden Triggs, Sean Romans (Vice Captain), Johnny Legg, Chris Noakes, Aaron Bancroft, Luke Herden, Glenn Dickson, Andrew Parata, Brett Mather, Karne Hesketh, Lucky Mulipola, Fetu’u Vainikolo, Ben Smith, Ryan Shortland, Michael Witt

SOUTHLAND From: Andrew Olorenshaw, Rodney Ah You,Peter Borlase, Corey Flynn, Ti’i Paulo, Will Catherwood, Luke Romano, James Broadhurst, Sam Whitelock, Matt Todd, Michael Paterson, George Whitelock, Ash Parker, Nasi Manu, Willie Heinz, Tyson Keats, Andy Ellis, Dan Carter, Colin Slade, Stephen Brett, Tim Bateman, Ryan Crotty, Adam Whitelock, Casey Laulala, Chris Small, Sean Maitland, Tu Umaga-Marshall, James Paterson, Sam Monaghan, Isaac Ross, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Kieran Read, Richie McCaw, Wyatt Crockett

TARANAKI From: T. Penn (Captain), C. Carmichael, L. Corlett, J. Hincho, T. Tutavaha, A. Hore,S. Cleaver, M. Bent, N. Soqeta, C. Clark (vice Captain), L. Power, J. EatonJ. Willis, B. Souness, C. Walker, S. Waldrom, J. Hoeata, S. Vunisa, B. Goodin, B. Phillips, K. O’ Donnell, W. Ripia, J. Hayward, J. Cameron, N. Hohaia, W. Rickardsm, S. Austin, P. Perez, E. Jenkins, A. Malo, Andrew Hore, Jason Eaton

TASMAN From: Hamish Cochrane, Ben Franks, Tristan Moran, Sakaria Taulafo, Quentin MacDonald, Daniel Perrin, Alex Ainley, Anthony Elisala, James Foster, Joseph Wheeler, Mark Bright, Daniel Crichton, Glen Gregory, Daniel Hyatt, Jonathan Poff, Zane Winslade, Shaun Begg, Kahn Fotualii, Matty James, James Marshall, Andrew Goodman, Sione Holani, Ammon Matuauto, Mike Pehi, Kade Poki, Blair Cook, James Kamana, Afeleki Pelenise, Robbie Malneek.

WAIKATO From: Ole Avei, Vern Kamo, Hikairo Forbes, Ben May, Kieran Ramage, Nathan White, Kent Fife, Romana Graham, Toby Lynn, Kevin O’Neill, Ray Allen, Jack Lam, Sione Lauaki, Liam Messam (captain), Jordan Smiler, Dominiko Waqaniburotu, David Bason, Josh Sutherland, Sam Christie, Trent Renata, Callum Bruce, Roimata Hansell-Pune, Jackson Willison, Tim Mikkelson, Henry Speight, Dwayne Sweeney, Savenaca Tokula, Sosene Anesi, Aled de Malmanche, Stephen Donald, Brendon Leonard, Mils Muliaina, Sitiveni Sivivatu

WELLINGTON From: Adrian Barone, Anthony Bradshaw, Dane Coles, Arden David, Fa’atonu Fili, Scott Fuglistaller, Kaipati Gaualofa, Joe Hill, Michael Hobbs, Daniel Kirkpatrick, Alapati Leiua, Faifili Levave, Serge Lilo, Matt Luamanu, Motu Matu’u, Chris Middleton, Api Naikatini, Charlie Ngatai, Tomasi Palu, Anthony Perenise, Brett Pigott, Buxton Popoalii, Daniel Ramsey, Mark Reddish, Ged Robinson, Julian Savea, David Smith, Apoua Stewart, Shaun Treeby, Frae Wilson, Rodney So’oialo, Neemia Tialata, Hosea Gear, Cory Jane, Ma’a Nonu, Conrad Smith, Piri Weepu


HEARTLAND Championship Form

Teams

Round Seven

Latest Match

P

W

L

D

Last Met

Win TAB Value ASAP % Odds Odds Margin

Ratings Trend 30-07-08

This looks a possible final again. Wanganui found the full team effort they’d threatened v S Canty. They broke the latter with Middleton, Tikorituma, and Tyrell scoring at will. Mid Canty’s committed and abrasive pack held the territory their pivots gained v H-Kapiti. In Ashburton this could be close, but you get the feeling MC will be better still in a few weeks.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Ashburton -WWLWWW Mid Cbury

W 34-19 v H-Kapiti

6

5

1

0

83%

$3.20

$2.60

-WLWWWW Wanganui

W 59-14 v S Canty

6

5

1

0 25/10/08 83%

$1.55

$1.70

12 - 27

W by 4

Poverty Bay are hard to measure. They struggled v W Bush but turned on a traditional late running attack and got up on the whistle. You’d think in Gisborne they could get H-Kapiti as well but it wont be easy. The latter were to loose against a tremendously determined Mid Canty team. If they can better respect possession their own pack can match P Bay.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Gisborne -WWWLWW Poverty Bay

W 18-17 v W Bush

6

5

1

0

83%

$1.55

$1.90

-WWLWWL H-Kapiti

L 19-34 v Mid Canty

6

4

2

0 25/10/08 67%

$2.30

$2.10

26 - 5

W by 2

W-Bush went down on the gong to P Bay. With the points carry through this is a must win. They’ve got will and team ethic and Karaitiana is finding good position. They’ll need to tighten the defence and close S Canty’s excellent half back Sekope Maea. S Canty were exposed by Wanganui but they were served a ‘day of’ trip to Wanganui. They should compete better here.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Timaru -WLWWLL Sth Cbury

L 14-59 v Wanganui

6

3

3

0

19 - 27

50%

$1.85

$2.60

-LWWLWL Wair-Bush

L 17-18 v Poverty Bay

6

3

3

0

30/8/08

50%

$1.85

$1.70

W by 10

This decade its 4-3 E Coast. Both have lost all 6 this season and in the Heartland Cship TV are on 11 straight losses having not won since this meeting last season. EC’s streak is 14. TV contested up front in the rain, but failed at the loose ball v W Coast. They’re favoured to get this. EC were flattened by a resurgent N Otago but that fate waits others as well.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Aroha -LLLLLL Thames Val

L 3-27 v West Coast

6

0

6

0

20 - 3

0%

$1.16

$1.70

-LLLLLL East Coast

L 8-63 v North Otago

6

0

6

0

6/9/08

0%

$4.50

$2.60

W by 7

North Otago got going to late. That’s why they’re in the Lochore Cup. According to the ‘ASAP Ratings’ the division is a no contest. They opened up E Coast, winning by over 50 with ten players scoring. Buller have been close often this season. They finally got there second, tipping up K Country. Higginson and Tafua deliver decent work rates but its hard to see them turning NO who are peaking.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Oamaru -LLWWLW North Otago -LWLLLW Buller

W 63-8 v Est Cst

6

3

3

0

22 - 18

50%

$1.11

$1.15 W by 22

W 20-17 v K Country

6

2

4

0

13/9/08

33%

$5.50

$8.50

The merit of K Country’s win over S Canty the previous week was exposed when Wanganui beat the latter by over 40 points. As it proved KC couldn’t repeat v Buller in Te Kuiti, done by greater desire. W Coast’s pack stood up in tough conditions v TV and they found some space later. Hughes and Merritt offer plenty of skills and even up north WC should have too much.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Kuiti -LWLLWL K Country -WLWWLW West Coast

L 17-20 v Buller

6

2

4

0

22 - 24

33%

$1.40

$2,60

W 27-3 v Thames V

6

4

2

0 11/10/08 67%

$2.70

$1.70

W by 1

MEADS CUP – Rankings – Ratings - Odds Ratings Last Rank Week Teams 1 2 Wanganui 2 4 Mid Cbury 3 5 Wair-Bush 4 6 H-Kapiti 5 3 Poverty Bay 6 7 Sth Cbury

P W L D 6 5 1 0 6 5 1 0 6 3 3 0 6 4 2 0 6 5 1 0 6 3 3 0

Streak W4 W3 L1 L1 W2 L2

Pts For 205 149 121 154 127 102

Pts Ave % Agst Score Win 85 34 83% 113 25 83% 84 20 50% 108 26 67% 104 21 83% 153 17 50%

Ratings Performance Meter Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings 5 25 1 25.5 2 22 2 16.1 3 15 3 10.6 2 18 4 10.1 2 22 3 9.7 1 13 6 -0.6

TAB Odds $1.65 $3.75 $25.00 $40.00 $4.25 $25.00

Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings 4 16 1 23.7 0 16 2 5.0 4 12 3 1.9

TAB Odds n/a n/a n/a

LOCHORE CUP – Rankings – Ratings - Odds Ratings Last Rank Week Teams P W L D 1 1 North Otago 6 3 3 0 2 8 West Coast 6 4 2 0 3 9 Buller 6 2 4 0

Streak W1 W1 W1

Pts For 206 118 120

Pts Ave % Agst Score Win 95 34 50% 120 20 67% 110 20 33%

Match Day Form

03-10-09


Merritt offer plenty of skills and even up north WC should have too much.

Competion Ratings and Performance

MEADS CUP – Rankings – Ratings - Odds Ratings Last Rank Week 1 2

Teams P W L D

2 4

Wanganui 6 Mid Cbury 6

5 5

1 1

0 0

Ratings Performance Meter

Streak

Pts For

Pts Ave % Agst Score Win

W4 W3

205 149

85 113

34 25

83% 83%

Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings 5 2

25 22

1 2

25.5 16.1

TAB Odds $1.65 $3.75

3

5

Wair-Bush 6

3

3

0

L1

121

84

20

50%

3

15

3

10.6

$25.00

4 5

6 3

H-Kapiti 6 Poverty Bay 6

4 5

2 1

0 0

L1 W2

154 127

108 104

26 21

67% 83%

2 2

18 22

4 3

10.1 9.7

$40.00 $4.25

6

7

Sth Cbury 6

3

3

0

L2

102

153

17

50%

1

13

6

-0.6

$25.00

ASAP Ratings

TAB Odds

23.7 5.0

n/a n/a

LOCHORE CUP – Rankings – Ratings - Odds Ratings Last Rank Week 1 2

1 8

Streak

Pts For

Pts Ave % Agst Score Win

0 0

W1 W1

206 118

95 120

Teams P W L D North Otago 6 West Coast 6

3 4

3 2

34 20

50% 67%

Bon Comp Comp Pts Pts Rank 4 0

16 16

1 2

3

9

Buller 6

2

4

0

W1

120

110

20

33%

4

12

3

1.9

n/a

4 5

10 12

K Country 6 Thames Val 6

2 0

4 6

0 0

L1 L11

117 84

131 190

20 14

33% 0%

3 3

11 3

4 5

1.0 -6.6

n/a n/a

6

11

East Coast 6

0

6

0

L14

57

267

10

0%

0

0

6

-13.4

n/a

ASAP Rating

Graph

Form Guide Key

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

Teams Buller From: Glen Atkin , Hein Gerber , Phil Beveridge , Clark Nelson , Craig Moore , Ryan Hughes , Ben Coman , Jamie Paul , Brad Walters , Louis Roache , Luke Brownlee , Matt Parata , Jay Smith , Nick Makea , Nathan Thompson , Sam Marris , Daniel Hooper , Mitieli Kaloudigibeci , Marcus Taylor , Matt Bonisch , Stu Neighbours , Tema Faifua , Peni Nabainavalu , Kevin Moore , Michael Mumm East Coast From: TBA Horowhenua-Kapiti From: TBA King Country From: TBA

Mid Canterbury From: Daniel Bokser, Jon Dampney, Paddy Davis, James Carr, Richard Fridd, Jason Gill, Joel Hewson, Jason Rickard, Travis Thompson (Southern), Michael Connell, Malcolm Cairns, Hayden Dwyer, Daniel Maw, Peter McAndrew, Matt Ryan, Tim O’Sullivan (Methven), James Buchanan, Jason Feutz (Celtic), Siaola Fifita, Siale Lolohea, Manase Nonu, Tokulua Tolu (Hampstead), Jeff Naish, Chad Stewart (Collegiate), Craig Dunlea (Rakaia) North Otago From: Palenapa Mafi, Mike Essex, Tavite Mafi, Cowan Finch, Seko Kalou, Viliami Leo, Ross Hay (captain), Joe Mamea, Nick Webster, Daniel Waenga, Lemi Masoe, Mike Mullins, Ekeroma Sefo, Ofa Fatai, Peter Breen. Reserves: Fraser Fletcher, Tokelau Tatafu, Lei’ataua Limuloa, Samisoni Tongotongo, Paula Fonokalafi, Jason Forrest, Hamish Clare.

Poverty Bay From: Matt Gray, Josh Maynard, Colin Hovell, Murray Hewson, Chris Bell, Sione Ngatu, Ryan Sayer, Tavita Maka, Kele Bola, Scott Leighton (captain), John Stewart, Campbell Te Rito, Wade Owen, Josh Mahoni, Kahu Tamatea. Bench: Ralph McInally, Warwick Knox, Petelo Piliu, Jono Naoupu, Brent Ingram, Sam Bunny, Clayton Kiwara. South Canterbury

Wanganui From: Matt Gilbert (Utiku), Sheldon O’Hagen (Ruapehu), Shaun McDonough (Ruapeheu), Justin Lock (Marist), Shane Ratima (Hunterville), Cole Baldwin (Pirates), Jon Smyth (Pirates), Nick Cranston (Ruapeheu), Fraser Hammond (Ruapehu), Peter Rowe (Ruapehu), David Gower (Ruapehu), Darren Munro (Kaierau), Denning Tyrell (Kaierau), Ricky Alabaster (Taihape), Leon Mason (Ratana), Steelie Koro (Marist), Vance Pereka (Ratana), Lasa Ulukuta (Kaierau), Waisake Ratunideuba (City College), Cameron Crowley (Marist), Sam Scown (Marist), Asaeli Tikoirotuma (Kaierau), Fraser Middleton (Petone)

From: Matt Fetu, Tenari Fagalima, Ben Hewitson, Simana Paea, Fainga’a Saviete, Andrew Scarlett, Brad Mori, Shannon McRae, Maikara Deer, Eric Smith, Jarrod Hayman, Sekope Maea, Phil Wairarapa-Bush Candy, Scott Norton, Tristran Johnston, Tanu Suavine, Ewen Campbell, Kalifi Latu, Pat Tupuola, Malakai Fonua, James From: Kurt Simmonds Jared Brock, Nick Beavon, Brett Rudman, Ben Pereira, Owen, Ritchie Preston, Gideon Snow Richard Puddy, Adam Marshall, Tomasi Kedrabuka, Andrew McLean, Brandon Thames Valley Young, Nathan Rolls, Duncan Law, Joe Feast, Joss Tua-Davidson, Jared Hawkins, Chris Senior, Nick Risdon, Api Matenga, From: Glen Townsend, Duncan Leask, Byron Karaitiana, Nathan Couch, Sili Jamie Gifkin, Klinton Wade, Sean Tugaga, Sam Mitchell, Tommy Harmon, Bagshaw (Waihou), Hayden RasmusHeemi Tupaea, Jordan Watene, Junior sen, Dion Silvester, Chris Doak, Bevan Togia, Nick Olson, Siaosi Anamani Robinson, Brendan Firth, Blair Rawlins (Paeroa West), Gavin Brewster, Simon Adams, David Harrison (Hauraki North), West Coast Mike Nation, Luke McFarland (Tairua), Jarod Nel, Joe Murray (Thames), Hayden Cullen, Jarrad Hill (Mercury Bay), Esau From: TBA Uiesi (Paeroa Old Boys), Vesi Raulini, Ben Titoko (Morrinsville Sports), Sam Clarke (East Coast Bays)

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.


HYUNDAI A-LEAGUE Form

Teams

Round Ten

Latest Match

P

W

L

Last Met

D

Win %

TAB Odds

Value ASAP Odds Margin

Ratings Trend 7-8-09

Round 10 - 10:00pm Friday October 9, Etihad St - Sky Sport 2 LDDWWW Mlb Victory

W 2-1 v Brisbane

9

4

2

3

44%

$2.20

$1.65 W by 2

WLLWLW Sydney

W 1-0 v Mariners

9

5

3

1 27/12/08 56%

$3.00

$5.00

3-2

Draw Price:

$3.20

$5.00

Round 10 - 12:00pm Friday October 9, Members Equity St - Sky Sport 2 WLDWWD Perth Glory

D 1-1 v Fury

9

4

3

2

0-1

44%

DDWLWD Adelaide Utd

D 1-1 v Newcastle

9

3

3

3

7/8/09

33%

Draw Price:

$2.25 $2.90 $3.20

$2.90

Draw

$2.90 $3.20

Round 10 - 3:00pm Sunday October 11, Bluetongue St - Sky Sport 1 LWLWDL CC Mariners

L 0-1 v Sydney

9

3

3

3

Not

33%

$1.66

$2.15 W by 1

DDWDLD Nth Qld Fury

D 1-1 v Perth

9

1

4

4

Met

11%

$5.10

$4.35

Draw Price:

$3.30

$3.20

Round 10 - 7:00pm Sunday October 11, Suncorp St - Sky Sport 2 WDWLWL Brisbane Roar L 1-2 v Melbourne V LWDLLD Gold Coast

D 0-0 v Wellington

9

3

3

3

1-3

33%

$2.40

9

4

3

2

8/8/09

44%

$2.70

Draw Price:

$3,20

$2.40 W by 1 $3.60 $3.20

RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS Ratings Last Rank Week 1 1

Match Day Form

5-10-09 Victory top the ‘ASAP Ratings’ for the 3rd week. They’re now 3 straight after showing too much voltage up front for Roar. Muscat brings not only infinite class but stability and Fabiano, Hernandez, Thompson, Leijer, and Moss are all lifting. They’ll draw another 20,000 plus here v Sydney who came with a season best v CCM. They passed sharp and dominated possession, but will need it all here. Following their great away trot Glory failed to get the win over Fury at home. Against 10 men for 55 mins, they couldn’t finish hit by another albeit disputed blunder by GK Velaphi. The ‘Reds’ have the defence for Glory as they showed mostly keeping out a 1st half onslaught from the Jets in a 1-1 draw. Dodd failed, but if they bring their finish opposed to their slow starts this could go either way. Fury again showed above their table position drawing in Perth. Down to 10 for 55 mins, spirit and fortune got them a share of the points. They’ve a committed defence and will compete even at Blue Tongue. CCM haven’t had the luck since the big win over GC. They struck Sydney at their best last week and are missing Simon. Still, McGlinchy is commanding the middle and Fury will find them tough to break. Although done in Melbourne, Roar played well across the park against the top ‘rater’. They lost Henrique in the process but if they can finish better this is a chance. Bleiberg and GC are yet to match the hype reflected by a crowd of 4000 last week. Admittedly short staffed v Phoenix they rarely looked likely and were lucky to get a draw. They have plenty to prove.

Ratings Performance Meter

TAB Pts Pts Ave % Bon Comp Comp ASAP Teams P W L D Streak For Agst Score Win Pts Pts Rank Ratings Odds Melbourne 9 4 2 3 W3 14 12 2 44% 0 15 2 1.5 $4.75

2 3

2 6

Brisbane 9 Sydney 9

3 5

3 3 3 1

L1 W1

14 10

14 7

2 1

33% 56%

0 0

12 16

6 1

1.3 1.1

$7.00 $4.25

4 5 6

5 4 8

Adelaide 9 Gold Coast 9 Phoenix 9

3 4 1

3 3 3 2 2 6

D1 D1 D5

9 16 8

10 11 10

1 2 1

33% 44% 11%

0 0 0

12 14 9

7 3 8

1 1 0.9

$15.00 $4.00 $18.00

7 8 9 10

7 3 9 10

4 3 1 2

3 3 4 4

D1 L1 D1 D1

14 8 9 8

11 5 17 13

2 1 1 1

44% 33% 11% 22%

0 0 0 0

14 12 7 9

4 5 10 9

0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7

$9.00 $13.00 $28.00 $20.00

Perth Mariners Fury Newcastle

9 9 9 9

2 3 4 3

ASAP Rating

Graph

Form Guide Key

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record Copyright ASAP Index © 2009 a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.


-LWWLLW Burnley L 0-4 v Liverpool Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Molineux St WeekWLDLWL 6 - Sunday September 27,LSt2-5 Andrews St Wolves v Sunderland

22 -08 -08 29 -09 -09

W 3-1 v Sunderland

6

3

3

0

W 2-1 v Fulham -LWDLLW L V W 1-0vvAston HullCity LLLLLL Birmingham Portsmouth L 0-1 0-1 vv Aston Everton L 0-2 V L-LLLWD Bolton W 3-2 v Portsmouth D 1-1 v Stoke Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Turf Moor - Sky Sport 3 (delayed 12pm) WeekWWLLWL 6 - Sunday September 27,LDW Burnley 0-5St v Tottenham W 3-1 v Sunderland

7 6 7 5

2 2 0 1

4 3 7 3

1 0-0 29% 1 0-3 33% 0 31/1/04 0% 1 22/12/07 20% Draw Price: Draw Price:

$0.00 $2.25 $0.00 $3.10 $0.00 $3.20

$2.55 $2.40 $3.30 $3.65 $3.20 $3.20

7 -WLLLWL W 1-0vvBolton West Ham L 6 WDLLWL Wigan Birmingham L 1-2 W0-4 1-0vvArsenal HullCity 7 -WWWWWW Chelsea W 2-1 v Stoke W 3-0 v Tottenham 6 Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Communications St - Sky Sport 3 (delayed 10pm) Week LWDLLL 6 - Sunday 27,LBritannia St HullSeptember City 1-6 v Liverpool L 0-1 v Birmingham 7

3 2 2 6

4 4 4 0

0 0 1 0

$0.00 $11.00 $0.00 $1.30 $0.00 $4.50

$3.55 $3.95 $2.45 $1.95 $3.20 $4.25

1 6 7 2 3 6 5 P W

5 2 4 1L

1 0-1 14% $0.00 2 0-1 33% $10.00 0 22/3/09 Last 43% Win $0.00 TAB 0 83% $1.33 Draw Price: D 26/12/08 Met % $0.00 Odds Draw Price: $4.50

$4.80 $3.25 $2.05 W by 1 Value ASAP $2.60 Margin W by 1 $3.20 Odds $3.20

6 6 7 67 8

2 4 5 14 7

3 2 2 42 1

6 5 7 57 8

3 2 2 35 2

3 3 3 22 5

6 66 67 8

1 32 23 2

4 34 33 5

1 3-2 33% $0.00 0 3-1 67% 0 31/1/09 71% $1.11 $0.00 1 0 1 57% $0.00 $0.00 1 25/4/09 17% $18.00 Draw Price: 0 21/2/09 88% $8.00 $0.00 Draw Price: Draw Price: $0.00 0 3-1 50% $0.00 0 0-0 40% 2 14/3/09 29% $6.25 $0.00 1 Draw - 1 Price: 71% $0.00 $0.00 00 28/2/09 60% $1.65 1 12/1/08 25% $3.50 $0.00 Draw Price: Draw Price: $0.00 1 3-1 17% $0.00 00 18/1/09 Not 50% 33% $1.70 $0.00 1Met - 2 Price: 43% $0.00 $0.00 11 33% $5.00 Draw 1 1/5/04 25% $3.40 $0.00 Draw Price: Draw Price: $0.00 0 2-1 86% $0.00 00 11/4/09 0-1 80% 57% $1.40 $0.00 1 Draw - 0 Price: 75% $0.00 $0.00 11 1/3/09 20% $8.00 2 17/1/09 29% $4.10 $0.00 Draw Price: Draw Price: $0.00 0 4-0 67% $0.00 1 14/3/09 33% $0.00 0 1Draw - 1 Price: 13% $0.00 $0.00 1 18/1/09 63% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00 0 0-2 86% $0.00 0 1/2/09 71% $0.00 3 0 Draw - 1 Price: 25% $0.00 $0.00 2 2/5/09 14% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00 0 0-2 67% $2.55 0 4/3/09 83% $2.60 1 0Draw - 2 Price: 50% $3.30 $0.00 0 3/3/09 63% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00

$2.90 $1.35 $2.85 $2.90 $10.15 $3.20 $2.85 $6.25 $3.20 $2.10 $3.15 $4.00 $1.50 $2.70 $3.55 $5.80 $3.20 $6.25 $2.65 $2.25 $3.15 $1.50 $4.00 $3.20 $7.30 $3.20 $5.05 $1.60 $1.80 $4.65 $1.65 $4.40 $6.15 $4.40 $4.65 $5.65 $1.65 $4.60 $3.65 $5.30 $2.40 $3.20 $2.55 $3.30 $2.25 $3.20 $4.00 $3.20 $2.70 $3.10 $3.00 $3.20 $2.75 $3.20

Barclays PREMIER LEAGUE

-WLDWLD L 1-2 D 1-1 vv Arsenal Bolton LLLWLW Stoke Wigan W 3-1vvChelsea Chelsea L 0-4 -WLWWWW Man Teams United W 3-1 v Tottenham W 4-3 v Man City Form Latest Match Prev Match Week 7 - 2:55am Sunday October 4, Reebok St - Sky Sport 2 Week 6 - Sunday September 27,WAnfield -LLLWDW Bolton 2-1 v Birmingham D 1-1 v Stoke Week 8 - 12:40am Sunday October 18, Villa Pk - Sky Sport 2 -LWLWWW W W 3-2vvChelsea West Ham WWWLLW Liverpool Tottenham W 4-0 5-0 vv Burnley Burnley L 0-3 WWWWLD Aston Villa D 1-1 Man City 1-2 vv Birmingham Blackburn -LLWDLL Hull City L 1-4 vv Sunderland LL 0-1 WWWWLW Chelsea W 2-0 Pk v Liverpool L 1-3 v Wigan Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Goodison Week 6 - 4:00am Sunday September Craven Cottage Skyv Sport 2 -LLWLWW Everton W 1-027, v Portsmouth W -3-0 Blackburn Week 8 - 2.55am Sunday October 18, Emirates St - Sky Sport 2 L-WLLWL W 2-1vvMan Everton L LDWLDL Fulham Stoke L 0-2 U D 1-2 1-1 vv Wolves Bolton WLLWWW Arsenal Arsenal 6-2vvMan Blackburn W 4-0 1-0 vv Wigan Fulham W-WWLLW LW2-4 City W Birmingham L 1-2 L 1-2 v Bolton Week DLLWLL 7 - Sunday October 4, Upton Pk v Burnley Week 6 - 3:55am St City of Light - Sky 2 -WLDLLL WestMonday Ham September L 1-3 v28, Man L 2-3Sport v Liverpool Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Goodison Pk -WLWLWL Sunderland 4-1v Arsenal v HullCity 1-3v vWolverhampton Burnley -WLLWLL Fulham LW0-1 LL1-2 LWLWWD Wolves Everton 1-1 vv Blackburn Stoke W 2-1 1-0 vv Fulham Portsmouth -LWLDLW LD 1-3 W Wolves L 0-1 v Portsmouth 2-5 v2 Sunderland Week LDLWLL 7 - 5:25am Sunday October 4, Old Trafford - Sky LSport Week 6 - 7:55am City of Manchester - Sky Sport LWWWWW ManTuesday United September W 2-0 29, v Stoke W 4-3 v Man City2 Week 8 - 5am Sunday October 18, Old Trafford - Sky Sport 2 (Delayed) W-WWWWL Man City W5-2 4-2vvWolverhampton Arsenal L L3-4 U LWLWLW Sunderland W 1-3v vMan Burnley WWWWWD Man United 2-2 vv Wigan Sunderland LW2-3 2-0vvLiverpool Stoke W-WLDLL West Ham LD 0-1 Bolton D 2-2 v Tottenham 2-1 2v Birmingham WeekLLWDWD 7 - 1:25am Monday October 5, Emirates St - Sky W Sport

7 6 1 57 44 13 58 16 31 7 2 3

-WWLLWW Arsenal W 1-0 v Fulham W 4-0 v Wigan Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Fratton Park -LLDWLW Blackburn W 2-1 v Aston V L 0-3 v Everton LLLLLW Portsmouth W 1-0 v Wolverhampton L 0-1 v Everton WWLLWD Tottenham D 2-2 v Bolton W 5-0 v Burnley Week 7 - 3:45am Monday October 5, Stamford Bridge - Sky Sport 2

6 4 2 6 2 3 8 1 7 8 5 2

WWWWWL Chelsea L 1-3 v Wigan W 3-0 v Tottenham Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Britannia St WLWWWW Liverpool W 6-1 v HullCity W 3-2 v West Ham DWLDLD Stoke D 1-1 v Everton L 0-2 v Man U LDLLLD West Ham D 2-2 v Fulham L 1-3 Week 7 - 7:55am Tuesday October 6, Villa Pk - Sky Sport 2 v Man City

7 7 8 7

-LWWWWL Aston Villa L 1-2 v Blackburn Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Stadium Of Light -WWWWLW Man City W 3-1 v West Ham WLWLWD Sunderland D 2-2 v Man U L 0-2 v Chelsea LWWWWL Liverpool

6 5 2 1

1 2 3 4

W 2-0 v Portsmouth 6 4 2 L 3-4 v Man U 6 5 1 W 5-2 v Wolverhampton 8 4 3 W 6-1 v HullCity 8 5 3

Week 8 - 12:55am Monday October 19, Ewood Park - Sky Sport 2 LLWLWL Wigan WWWLWD Man City

L 1-2 v HullCity D 1-1 v Aston V

W 3-1 v Chelsea W 3-1 v West Ham

L 2-6 v Arsenal W 2-1 v Birmingham

W 2-1 v Aston V L 0-5 v Tottenham

Not 1Met -2 28/2/09 Draw Draw

D 2-2 v West Ham n/a

L 0-1 v Arsenal 0

1 2

3 2

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

1 4 5 8 7 6 11 9 14

W by 2 Draw W by 4 W by 1 W by 1 W by 3 W by 4 W by 3 W by 3 W by 3 W by 1 W by 1 W by 1 Draw Draw

0 1

0-1 38% $0.00 17/1/09 71% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00

$3.30 $2.60 $3.20

7 8

2 4

4 4

1 0

Not 29% $0.00 Met 50% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00

$2.15 $4.40 $3.20

W by 1

7 0

2 0

4 0

1 0

Not 29% $0.00 Met 0% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00

$1.90 $5.15 $3.50

W by 2

Pts Pts Ave % Streak For Agst Score Win

Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings

TAB Odds

Teams P

W

L

D

Liverpool 7 Man United 7

5 6

2 1

0 0

W4 W5

21 17

9 6

3 2

71% 86%

0 0

15 18

3 1

3.5 3.4

$6.50 $2.50

Chelsea Arsenal Man City Tottenham Everton Aston Villa Fulham Stoke Sunderland

6 4 5 5 3 4 2 2 4

1 2 1 2 3 2 4 3 3

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0

L1 W2 W1 W1 W2 L1 L2 L1 W1

16 18 14 17 8 8 4 5 14

6 8 7 10 10 4 8 9 11

2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2

86% 67% 83% 71% 50% 67% 33% 29% 57%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

18 12 15 15 9 12 6 8 12

2 6 5 4 9 7 17 12 8

3.1 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.8

$2.70 $8.50 $9 $125 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

7 6 6 7 6 6 6 7 7

Draw W by 4 Draw

5 1

RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS Ratings Last Rank Week

W by 1 W by 2

3 5

Week 8 - 7:55am Tuesday October 20, Craven Cottage - Sky Sport 2 LLWLLD Fulham n/a Hull City

43% 33% 29% 100% Price: Price:

Draw W by 1

8 7

Week 8 - 3:55am Monday October 19, DW St - Sky Sport 2 LDWLWL Blackburn WLLWLW Burnley

Met 50% $11.00 $4.70 Draw Price: $4.50 $3.90

W by 1

Bolton copped plenty of flack from their followers as the struggled to stay with Stoke at home. TheyLEAGUE got out withMatters a late draw. PREMIER Stoke are rating quite well having beaten Five goal wins Liverpool and Tottenham Sunderland andbyonly going down by 1 to over Hullin and Burnley respectively Chelsea their last two. highlighted last week along with Wigan’s Birmingham got oneThe away for ahas change flooring of Chelsea. upshot moved albeit against Hull The latter are bottom both Liverpool and 1-0. Manchester United above ranked by the ‘ASAP Ratings’, while Chelsea on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. Liverpool Birmingham are midfield. turf who were predicted to winAtby 4, Moor are on top, Burnley surprised with margin of 2, despite being 3rd on thea table. defeating Sunderland 3-1, with striker David Ratings Nugent ending his drought getting two. Trend Wigan competed well Wolves and were Among had otheralready lower ranked teams, 1-1 whenFulham Petr Cech sent 22 -08 -08 06 -10 -09 downed 2-1 was to get up leaving to 12th on the Chelsea with 10 for most of the16th 2nd or table although themen ‘Ratings’ suggest half. They the their penalty and again late 17th mightscored be nearer mark. to deliver coach Ancelotti his first loss. Over Liverpool are now on a 3 streak, 4 from at Ewood Park, Blackburn showedand how its PREMIER LEAGUE Matters 6 for the after downing a dogged done withseason 10 men, a late penalty giving them goals vUpton Blackburn Chelsea West away atAston Park. and did aArsenal’s 2-1 Ham and six ending Villa’s 4Torres win streak. imposing themselves 2-0 they on Liverpool the damage with two and rank 3rdat by Portsmouth’s losing streak went to 7 Stamford Bridge were among highlights both the ‘ratings’ and the table.the West Ham courtesy of Everton’s Louis Saha who had last week, along with Portsmouth announced the signing of Mexicangetting striker a threatened all day.during Portsmouth competed win over Wolves, something their home but Guillermo Franco the week. this was tough home crowd. supporters are on yet the to see. And another of the ‘topother five’, hand Arsenal, Liverpool fans on the are feeling Arsenal home moved to against the top Wigan of the ‘ASAP cruised 4-0 who which are something. The 6-1 drubbing of Hull, Ratings’ despite being 5th on the table. rating like3 relegation even to though included by Torres,candidates sent the winner the There’s under half a goal between the top they’re 15th on the table. Defender Thomas top of the ‘ASAP Ratings’ and the loser to four and Bolton made the top ten. At the Vermaelen managed two for Arsenal. the bottom. other end Hull, Wolves and Burnley are the Portsmouth away couldn’t take trick verse Tottenham, 6th by thea‘ASAP three lowest although ranked. Aston going down 2-0.4They’re now 6 Ratings’Villa moved into the top on the table from on the loss count.5-0 Although at home after 6slamming Burnley at home, Robbie Hull City got their 2nd,that upsetting Wigan who to Everton this tooongoing is looking Keane nailing 4.week, Despite the injury couldn’tofreproduce thefinds form that bowled ominous as latter some form.United Their issues Riothe Ferdinand, Manchester Chelsea the previous week. Its unlikley to super striker 2 to11 give showed their Louis great Saha depth bagged by making assisttheir thefor pressured management. Equally them 2nd this at ahome over changes thewin, second time in week. troubled’if not more so, Portsmouth, Blackburn 3-1. rolling Everton is reported to on be a 7 These included Ryan Giggs off the loss streak, got one over Wolves. The chasing Neill. bench toSocceroo secure a Lucas win over Stoke away. The former has them a newthis owner, Saudi businessman 2-0 makes week’s dinner host. Michael Owen repaid some debt as the hero Ali Al-Faraj. nailing an injury time up goal to get Sunderland backed their big Manchester win over The with quality of the above wins should United upanother, 4-3 over Manchester City. It will Hull 5-2 over Wolves atbe home. considered in the light positions go down asCottage another of of thetheir great clasheson At Craven Fulham produced the ‘ASAP Ratings’. Prior, three of the four delivering some spectacular football, and chances all match but were denied by keeper werewith the lowest ranked withagain Wigan ranked City, the showing they’re Mannone andluck, a quality Van Persie strike to 14.down here to play season. Meanwhile, go 0-1this to Arsenal. Bolton got City their striker Adebayor copped 3their matches for the second win upsetting Birmingham away Burnley came back from 0-5 v2-1 Van Persie stomping the thanks to a with late score by previous Chung-Yong. Tottenham a hungry 2nd half week. to get up 2-1early overdays Birmingham at home. The latter Its but new Chelsea coach Carlo Manchester City’s authority over most now has a confirmed Hong Kong based Chinese Ancelotti couldn’t haveagain hoped a better teams was byfor a 3-1 over owner, Carsen Yeung’s Grandtop Holdings. start. now 6 from 6 asputting Cole, Drogba, West They’re Ham with Carlos Tevez two on Away to Bolton, Tottenham were and Ballack all found the net in a down his former club. twice in the match before getting out commanding 3-0 over Tottenham at of Turf The this weekdraw is unquestionably Moorhighlight withBridge. a predicted at 2-2. Stamford Liverpool’s trip to Stamford Bridge (Chelsea), Everton who were expected tofirst winwin at This week3.45am Portsmouth seek a2. over Monday Sky Sport Earlier comfortably at home Stoke justatmanaged Everton, Saturday Sky Sport 2, 1.25am Sky Sport 2 to have Arsenal v11.40pm. a draw after a brilliant late strikers goal by Sky Sport while 2 alsoon has Arsenalmorning at Fulham, Blackburn, Sunday from Leon Osman. At Emirates Stadium, Sunday 4am,Sport Wolves at Sunderland, 2.55am Sky 2 have Bolton v Arsenal, who had 3.55am, been labelled to win by 3 West by the v Monday and hosting Tottenham followed by City Manchester United ‘ratings’, delivered 6 goals pulverising Ham, Tuesday 7.55am. Sunderland. Blackburn 6-2.

Week Eight

At Old Trafford Manchester United were looking certain to go down to Sunderland but the latter’s defence weakened when Ricardson was sent with 5 minutes to go and under pressure Anton Ferdinand deflected to his own goal in injury time to making it 2-2. The neighbours Manchester City also encounterd problems at the back as Aston Villa proved difficult to contain before Bellamy secured the predicted draw 1-1. Villa are showing plenty and have a shot at the top five or six. Highlights this week include Aston Villa hosting Chelsea then Arsenal hosting Birmingham from 12.40am Sunday Sky Sport 2. On Monday Sky Sport 2 coverage commences at 12.55am with Blackburn v Burnley followed by City at Wigan. Tuesday 7.55am Sky Sport 2 has Hull at Craven Cottage v Fulham.

12 12 Bolton 6 2 3 1 W1 8 9 1 33% 0 7 13 1.7 n/a 13 18 Wigan 7 3 4 0 W1 7 13 1 43% 0 9 10 1.7 n/a 14 15 Blackburn 6 2 3 1 W1 6 9 1 33% 0 7 15 1.6 n/a 15 10 Birmingham 7 2 4 1 L1 4 6 1 29% 0 7 14 1.5 n/a 16 13 West Ham 6 1 4 1 L3 6 9 1 17% 0 4 18 1.4 n/a 17 19 Portsmouth 7 0 7 0 L8 3 13 0 0% 0 0 20 1 n/a 18 17 Wolves 7 2 4 1 L1 7 13 1 29% 0 7 16 0.9 n/a Ratings Last Pts Pts Ave % Bon Comp Comp ASAP TAB Rank Week Teams P L D For Agst Score Win Pts Pts Rank Ratings Odds 19 16 Burnley 7 W 3 4 0 Streak L1 5 15 1 43% 0 9 11 0.7 n/a 0 4 Arsenal 5 5 2 1 0 W3 24 10 3 71% 15 5 3.3 $6.50 20 20 Hull City 7 1 L3 6 19 1 14% 0 4 19 0.4 n/a 2 3 Chelsea 8 7 1 0 W1 18 6 2 ASAP 88%Rating 0 21 1 3.3 Form$2.10 Graph Guide Key Source: The All Sports and Prices by ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record 3 2 Man United 8 6 Index 1 1(ASAP D1 Index) 19 produced 8 2 Cogito 75% Limited. 0 19 2 3.2 $2.75 Copyright ASAP Index © 2009 a 4computerised rating. This rating on of the sport. Factors which go the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The 1 Liverpool 8 5 is3based 0 L1the scoring 21 11mechanism 3 63% 0 15 6 3.1towards $10.00

RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS

Graph: The the 7trend the dates and the4 future 2.7 margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The 5 5 graph tracks Man City 5 of1the1ratings D1 between 15 8 displayed 2 71% 0 predicts 16 $10 form indicates the last8 6 matches. home 19 team 12 is listed2first.63% The ‘Value odds’ the$90 odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP 6 column 6 Tottenham 5 2 1 TheD1 0 16 column 3 indicates 2.5 Margin’ forecasts the likely Ratings’. All Sports And © Copyright 7 8 Aston Villawinning 7 4 margin 2 1 based D1 on the 9 ‘ASAP 5 1 57% 0 13 Prices 7 Index 2.2 n/a 2009. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

7 11 12 10 9 16 13 15

Everton Sunderland Bolton Stoke Fulham West Ham Wigan Birmingham

7 8 7 8 7 7 8 8

3 4 2 2 2 1 3 2

3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5

1 1 2 3 1 2 0 1

D1 D1 D1 D1 D1 D1 L1 L2

9 16 10 6 6 8 8 5

11 13 11 10 10 11 15 8

1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1

43% 50% 29% 25% 29% 14% 38% 25%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

10 13 8 9 7 5 9 7

10 8 13 11 15 19 12 14

2.2 2 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3

n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a


Rosehill 10/10 Rail: True

Weather: Fine

www.racingservice.com.au

Track: Slow 7

Email: racingservice@iprimus.com.au

Previous Rail & Bias: 6M 19/09 – Handy some ++

Possible Bias Today: With track rain affected hard to know how track will play. ?? pattern.

Phone: 02 93143902

Mobile: 0425 263481

Meeting Comment: Track likely to stay Slow. Watch pattern of racing. Bookie

Rating

1.

5.00

7.00

Race 1: 1.00 – 1100m

AMERICAN CREW

Munce

Video comment last run.

Form comment

4

57

F/S. Slow out & ran on ok in trial. Niggled.

2.

9.00

17.0

BALTIC

Parr

Ran home well in trial & did have improvement in him.

11

57

F/S. Sat 4th wide & ran on ok in trial. Ran about !!

3.

17.0

26.0

CIRCLE OF POWER

Callow

Green in trial. Blinkers on should be ++. A query ???

13

57

F/S. Sat 2

4.

26.0

34.0

HOWDIDDYDOIT

Robl

12

57

F/S. Led 3 off & faded last 100 in trial DT. Pushed.

Wide in trial but time was nothing special.

5.

6.50

4.20

INTERTIDAL

Schofield

10

57

F/S. Sat 3rd & ran on ok to win trial. Niggled.

Hit line well in trial. Sectionals good. Chance.

6.

6.50

8.00

ROCKAWAY STAR

Agnew

1

57

F/S. O/side lead & pushed along to win trial.

Pushed to win trial but is bred for the wet.

7.

8.00

6.00

LOHAN

Palmer

6

55.5

Slow out then 3rd 3 wide f/u. Ran on well to win.

Did good job to win at Tamworth. Bred for wet. Has experience.

8.

13.0

17.0

BELLA BELLAGIO

Buckley

8

55

F/S. Sat 2

9.

51.0

101.

CHI COMANDA

N Berry

5

55

F/S. Slow out & ran on evenly in trial DT. Niggled.

Trial nothing special. Would need to be a swimmer !!

10.

5.00

8.00

CIRCUS ROCK

Quinnell

7

55

Bit slow out DT f/u. Ran on evenly.

Went ok last Sat on slow track. Does have experience on most.

11.

19.0

11.0

MAGNOLIA LANE

T Berry

9

55

F/S. GB &ran on ok last bit in trial. Niggled.

Hit line well alst bit in trial & form good from that heat.

12.

13.0

17.0

MILANESA

Ford

2

55

F/S. Slow out & ran on ok to win trial. Niggled.

Pushed to win trial but did have some improvement in her.

13.

81.0

101.

MIRACLE MAGIC

Quinn

3

55

F/S. Slow out & ran on evenly in trial DT. Niggled.

Trial nothing special. Would need to be a swimmer !!

120%

110%

Outside Fence

nd

nd

& battled on ok in trial. Niggled.

& battled ok in trial DT. Niggled.

Trial was ok only but is bred for the wet ???

Trial ok. Did show speed.

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Baltic

Circle of P

Howdiddydoit

Magnolia Lane

Circus Rock

Lohan

Intertidal

Miracle Magic

Chi Comanda

Milanesa

Pace: Even/Fast Note: Map hard to do.

Bella Bellagio

American Crew Rockaway Star

Race Comment: No wet form to go on with the 2 year olds. Like the way Intertidal hit line in his trial. Lohan went good at Tamworth & although up in grade does have race experience. Thought Magnolia Lane had a chance at odds.

● 7. Lohan ● 11. Magnolia Lane ● 10. Circus Rock ● 1. American Crew ● 6. Rockaway Star

Nos: 5. Intertidal Bookie

Rating

1.

5.50

7.00

Race 2: 1.40 – 1300m

TURF EXPRESS

Avdulla

5

58

2.

5.50

4.40

EL SONADOR

Agnew

2

54.5

3.

4.40

5.50

NEESON

Robl

6

54

4.

13.0

21.0

KIMBERLEY KID

Quinnell

8

5.

11.0

21.0

OUR JOAN OF ARC

Schofield

1

6.

7.00

8.00

MY COOKIE MONSTER

T Berry

9

7.

11.0

8.00

FLIGHT COMMAND

Penza

8.

6.00

6.00

KHAS KURA

Quinn

9.

16.0

21.0

MAZZINI

120%

110%

Outside Fence

Munce

Video comment last run.

Form comment

Box seated l/s. Battled away. EC.

Drops a grade & claim ++ but failed on run slow/heavy ??

Used to lead l/s. Battled away.

Drops in grade & has won on slow/heavy. Chance.

Led l/s. Attacked at 700. Battled on ok.

Did not get much peace l/s. Handles wet. Fitter !!.

53.5

Box seated DT l/s. Battled ok. EC.

Not far away last start but El Sonador was better same race.

53.5

Midfield wide DT l/s. Faded last 200m.

Given no hope in Melb l/s but was beaten long way out. D Day!

53

Midfield l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Up a grade but is showing improvement. Untried slow/heavy ??

4

53

F/U. Sat 3rd & ran on ok to win trial. Not pressured.

Showed improvement last prep. Trialled well. Handles the wet.

7

53

F/U. Sat 2nd & niggled along to win trial.

Given easy trial. Untried slow/heavy ??

3

53

Midfield l/s. Tight 800. Railed up. Battled away.

Excuses but did not finish off last start. Untried slow/heavy ??

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Pace: Even

Outside fence:

My Cookie M

Kimberley Kid

Khas Kura

Mazzini

Turf Express

Flight Command

Our Joan Of Arc

El Sonador

Race Comment: A couple of queries here makes it a bit tricky. E/way El Sonador.

Nos: 2. El Sonador

● 3. Neeson ● 7. Flight Command ● 1. Turf Express ● 8. Khas Kura

Neeson


Bookie

Rating

Race 3: 2.20 – 1200m

Video comment last run.

Form comment

1.

3.20

3.80

STRAWBERRY FIELD

N Berry

4

58

Midfield f/u. Ran on ok. EC.

Hit line well first up. Has won in wet . Claim ++

2.

3.70

5.00

BEADED

Parr

1

55

Midfield l/s. railed up. Ran on ok. EC.

Dream runs both runs this prep. Soft draw ++. Untried slow/heavy

3.

10.0

15.0

INDIRECT

Schofield

9

55

Midfield f/u. Wide 600. Ran on evenly.

?? Went ok first up & did have improvement in her. Not sure wet ?

4.

21.0

26.0

ZAROCK

T Berry

6

55

Led l/s. Faded last 200. EC.

Did not show much fight last start & wet no ++

5.

Scr

Scr

SHATTERS

-Scr-

3

54.5

6.

14.0

17.0

LALETTA

Avdulla

5

54

F/U. Bit slow out & ran on ok in trial. Niggled.

New stable. Trial ok but nothing special. Has won in wet.

7.

6.00

5.00

JERSEY LILY

Ford

8

53

GB f/u. Railed up. No room from 200.

Would not have won but SHBC f/u. Fitter & handles wet.

8.

4.80

3.80

APOLLO'S PRIDE

Munce

10

53

GB f/u. Pushed wide. Ran on ok.

Hit line well f/u. Bigger track ++. Handled dead only wet run.

9.

Scr

Scr

DANZA DOLL

-Scr-

2

53

-Scr-

10.

Scr

Scr

TEMPO MANOR

-Scr-

7

53

-Scr-

120%

110%

Outside Fence

-Scr-

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Pace: Slow/Even

Apollo’s Pride

Jersey Lily

Strawberry F

Indirect

Laletta

Beaded

Zarock

Race Comment: The four picks all look to have chances. Like the way Apollo’s Pride hit the line at Canterbury first up.

● 7. Jersey Lily ● 1. Strawberry Field ● 2. Beaded

Nos: 8. Apollo’s Pride Bookie

Rating

Video comment last run.

Form comment

1.

3.20

4.00

Race 4: 3.00 – 1900m

GOD'S HAND

Avdulla

2

57

GB HT l/s. Pushed wide. Ran on evenly.

Ran well last Sat but that was on a bog ??

2.

10.0

15.0

ALEXANDER OF HALES

M Beadman

4

56

F/U. Sat 4th & ran on ok in trial. Niggled.

Trial nothing special. Wet form patchy. 1900m first up.

3.

7.00

5.00

FORT 'N' WON

Buckley

6

54

Box seated l/s. Tight 500/400 then battled away.

Slight excuses l/s. Wet ok.

4.

Scr

Scr

GOOD SAMARITAN

-Scr-

5

54

-Scr-

5.

5.50

6.50

MORECAMBE BAY

Palmer

8

54

Box seated l/s. Battled away. EC.

Beaten a long way into 3 rd last start but wet is some ++

6.

41.0

51.0

MR GILLY

N Berry

7

54

Slow out f/u. Only plugged.

Fitter but nothing special first up & wet no ++

7.

12.0

15.0

ROLLINS

Ford

1

54

Led HT l/s. Faded last 300m. EC.

Drops in grade but God’s Own better same race in wet last Sat.

8.

4.00

5.00

SIR FUSSALOT

T Berry

9

54

Led l/s. Battled ok. EC.

Tried hard l/s & drops 4kg here but wet is some ??

9.

8.00

8.00

TERANABA

Robl

3

54

120%

110%

Outside Fence

Sat 2

nd

ST l/s. Battled away. EC.

Ran well last Sat but that was on a bog ??

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Pace: Even

Mr Gilly

Morecambe B

Fort N Won

God’s Hand

Alex Of Hales

Teranaba

Sir Fussalot

Rollins

Race Comment: Very tricky. God’s Own & Terranaba both went ok at Randwick last Saturday but that was on a bog track. Not sure ??

● 1. God’s Own ● 9. Teranaba ● 8. Sir Fussalot

Nos: 3. Fort ‘N’ Won Bookie

Rating

1.

6.50

11.0

2.

31.0

8.00

3.

5.00

4.

Race 5: 3.40 – 1100m

Video comment last run.

Form comment

F/U. GB & ran on ok in trial. Not pressured.

Given an easy trial. Big weight & is better on dry !!

F/U. Led & not pressured to win trial.

Long time off & new stable. Trialled v/well at Wyong. Wet ++

Bit slow out then led l/s. Battled ok.

Freshened & suited 1100 around here but is better on dry.

F/U. No trial.

Honest without winning last prep. Wet ok but draw ??

56

Midfield l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Freshened since last run. Did run well in wet 2 ago ??

2

56

Wide then led ST l/s. Stuck on well to win.

Up in grade but did win easy on slow track at Q/beyan l/s.

9

55

O/side lead DT l/s. Faded last 250m. EC.

Did not show much fight last start but wetter the better for him.

Agnew

6

53.5

O/side lead l/s. Faded last 150. EC.

Did not show much fight last start but wet is some ++

MERCONMAN

Munce

11

53.5

Sat 3rd 3 wide l/s. Battled ok.

Wide & his run good last start but wet is some ??

11.0

BUDABAR

Avdulla

3

53

F/U. Led off fence & niggled along to win trial.

Trialled well. Has won in wet. No weight.

34.0

51.0

FULLAFIBZ

O’Hara

12

53

F/U. No trial.

Nothing special alst prep & wet form ok only.

7.00

17.0

GUDERIAN

Wells

1

53

F/U. Sat 4th & battled ok in trial. Niggled.

Trials nothing special & doubt wet ++

13.

21.0

26.0

MORE THAN CASH

Quinn

7

53

Sat 3rd 3 wide l/s. Faded last 200m.

Given no hope l/s. Wet ok. Not hopeless.

14.

15.0

11.0

EL CAIRO

Robl

8

53

Slow out f/u. Railed up. Ran on ok.

Hit line well first up. Gets back & needs luck but handles wet.

120%

110%

I'VE GOT TALENT

N Berry

10

61

MINDREADER

T Berry

4

58.5

6.50

EMPIRE PLACE

Callow

5

57

26.0

34.0

FASHION STREET

Buckley

14

56.5

5.

5.50

5.00

HUSSENOR

Schofield

13

6.

6.50

11.0

ZARATONE

Quinnell

7.

41.0

34.0

SANDBLASTER

Ford

8.

21.0

26.0

CONQUERING QUEEN

9.

11.0

17.0

10.

14.0

11. 12.

Outside Fence

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Fashion Street

Sandblaster

Empire Place

Pace: Fast I’ve Got Talent

Hussenor

Fullafbiz

El Cairo

Merconman

Mindreader

Conquering Q

More Than Cash

Budabar

Guderian

Zaratone

Race Comment: There does look a stack of speed here. Hussenor likes the wet & should be suited by the fast pace. Mindreader has had a long time off & is nine but did trial well at Wyong, likes wet & is good odds.

Nos: 5. Hussenor

● 2. Mindreader ● 14. El Cario ● 10. Budabar ● 3. Empire Place


Bookie

Rating

1.

3.00

4.00

Race 6: 4.20 – 1400m

FAULCONBRIDGE

Avdulla

3

58

Video comment last run.

Form comment

Box seated f/u. Wide 500. Battled ok.

2.

7.00

5.50

BERNICIA

Munce

5

Ok first up & claim ++ but the wet track slight ??

56.5

GB f/u. Ran on ok. EC.

3.

Scr

Scr

INNINGS

-Scr-

8

Ok first up & had improvement in her. Fitter & wet is ++

56.5

-Scr-

4.

6.50

8.00

LET ME ADAM

Palmer

10

56

5.

4.60

4.00

CENTENNIAL PARK

Quinnell

9

54.5

6.

41.0

51.0

EMPERATOR

Wells

6

7.

34.0

34.0

RHYNO CHASER

Buckley

8.

8.00

8.00

ROYAL ESPRIT

Ford

9.

26.0

34.0

TIBER

M Beadman

4

53.5

10.

9.00

11.0

SPEED DUBAI

O'Hara

2

53

120%

110%

GB f/u. Ran on ok.

Hit line well first up. Fitter & handles wet. Claim ++

Midfield wide l/s. Ran on ok.

Wide last start & trialled well since. Handles wet. Claim ++

54

Bit slow out l/s. Made some ground.

Slight excuses but nothing special l/s. Fitter. Not hopeless.

7

54

Slow out f/u. Only plugged.

Did nothing last start but did look new. Might need one more.

1

54

GB l/s. Tight 400. Ran on evenly.

Slight excuses last start. Weight drop is ++. Handles wet.

Outside Fence

Sat 3

rd

fast run race l/s. Battled away.

Fitter but really nothing special alst start. Untried slow/heavy !!

GB f/u. Came wide & ran on ok. EC.

Raced well fresh & hit line well. Handles wet. Chance.

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Pace: Even

Rhyno Chaser

Let Me Adam

Centennial Park

Speed Dubai

Bernicia

Emperator

Tiber

Royal Esprit

Faulconbridge

Race Comment: Just some reservations about Faulconbridge in the wet at the short odds. Something on Centennial Parl & Bernicia.

● 2. Bernicia ● 1. Faulconbridge ● 4. Let Me Adam ● 8. Royal Esprit

Nos: 5. Centennial Park Bookie

Rating

1.

9.00

6.00

Race 7: 5.00 – 1300m

HANDSUPFORDETROIT

Quinnell

4

58.5

Video comment last run.

Form comment

GB l/s. Wide & forward at 800. Ran on evenly.

2.

5.50

8.00

BUTTIDO

T Berry

2

Given no hope l/s. Good only run in wet !!

57

Midfield l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

3.

26.0

51.0

KING'S FIRST

Palmer

6

Going well this prep. Just some ?? in wet.

57

F/U. Sat 4th & battled ok in trial. Niggled.

4.

Scr

Scr

NORTH DAKOTA

-Scr-

Trial ok but nothing special. Wet form ok only !!

16

57

-Scr-

5.

4.20

5.00

MAYBE I

Schofield

20

56.5

6.

Scr

Scr

DE LIGHTNING RIDGE

-Scr-

17

56

-Scr-

FIVEOCLOCKSHADOW

-Scr-

TRESCORPIONI

Avdulla

1

56

-Scr-

11

56

14

55.5

Box seated l/s. Ran on well to win. EC. -Scr-

Box seated f/u. Ran on well to win. EC.

Draw out but not much speed so should get over. Wet slight ??

7.

Scr

Scr

8.

10.0

17.0

9.

Scr

Scr

BACI AMORE

-Scr-

10.

17.0

11.0

RUUD ROY

M Beadman

9

55.5

GB ST l/s. Railed up & ran on well t win. EC.

Got dream run to win at M/brook l/s but did win easy. Wet ++

11.

13.0

17.0

HILLBILLY DANCER

Ward

13

55

Box seated HT l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Won easy on heavy at Albury l/s & did run fast sectionals.

12.

11.0

15.0

SHAKETHEGROUND

Ford

12

55

Slow out f/u. Railed up & ran on ok.

Will improve he jumps & leads. Wet form patchy ??. Winkers on.

13.

Scr

Scr

KINGS PRIDE

-Scr-

18

53

-Scr-

14.

18.0

26.0

STARZANDO

Penza

7

53

F/U. GB & ran on ok in trial. Niggled.

Trial was & wet ++. Not hopeless.

15.

51.0

51.0

DOURAYA

Robl

10

53

F/U. GB & did not get much room in trial.

Hard to get a guide on trial. Untried slow/heavy ??

16.

21.0

34.0

ADMIRALS HONOUR

O’Hara

8

53

GB l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.

Bit disappointing last start. Wet form patchy ??

17.

34.0

34.0

RAPAURIC

Quinn

3

53

Midfield l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Hit line ok at Kembla l/s. Wet form patchy ??

18.

13.0

15.0

STA VOLANDO

Munce

19

53

GB DT f/u. Railed up & only wacked away. EC.

Trial ok since failing first up. Blinkers back on. Wet ok. Draw ??

19.

7.00

8.00

MADIBAGOLD

Callow

5

57

Bit slow out l/s. Ran on evenly.

Ok last start & form is good from race. Wet ok.

20.

Scr

Scr

JERSEY LILY

-Scr-

120%

110%

Outside Fence

15

53.5

Got good run to win at Canberra l/s. Wet ok. No hopeless.

-Scr-

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Pace: Even

Star Volando

Douraya

Outside fence:

Rudd Roy

Admiral’s Honour

Starzando

King’s First

Rapauric

Handsupfordet

Buttido

Race Comment: Handsupfordetriot has been costly but do think the wet track is his go & he was given no hope last start.

Nos: 1. Handsupfordetroit

● 10. Rudd Roy ● 5. Maybe I ● 19. Madibagold ● 2. Buttido

Hillbilly Dancer

Maybe I

Trescorpioni Shaketheground


Bookie

Rating

1.

Scr

Scr

2.

67.0

67.0

3.

Scr

Scr

4.

11.0

13.0

5.

Scr

Scr

6.

41.0

7.

13.0

8.

Race 8: 5.40 – 1500m

Video comment last run.

Form comment

AUSBRED KING

-Scr-

16

60.5

EL MEROO

Palmer

15

58

Slow out l/s. Railed up Only wacked away.

SNOW ALERT

-Scr-

3

58

-Scr-

DOTHIS DOTHAT

N Berry

13

57

Midfield f/u. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.

EQUABLE

-Scr-

18

57

-Scr-

61.0

BRIGHT MIND

M Beadman

4

56.5

F/U. GB & ran on evenly in trial. Niggled.

Trial nothing special. Wet form patchy ??

21.0

COUSIN WAL

Ford

6

55.5

Sat 5th 3 wide l/s. Faded last 250m.

Wide but beaten long way l/s. Failed only run slow/heavy.

Scr

Scr

MADIBAGOLD

-Scr-

10

54.5

-Scr-

9.

41.0

11.0

FOR CRUYFF'S SAKE

M Beadman

11

54

GB f/u. Ran on evenly. EC.

Nothing special at Canberra first up but fitter & wet is ++

10.

2.60

2.60

SOPHISTICATION

T Berry

2

54

Led l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Impressive 2nd go for Pride l/s. hard to get guide in wet ??

11.

17.0

13.0

STARRY LIGHT

Quinnell

14

53

Slow out l/s. Made some ground.

Excuses l/s. Does like the wet. No weight !!

12.

Scr

Scr

SUGARFOOT

-Scr-

19

53

-Scr-

13.

21.0

26.0

COMMANDS A SMILE

O'Hara

9

53

Led then box seated l/s. Battled away. EC.

Ok last start & does like wet.

14.

101.

201.

LE BRON

Buckley

1

53

GB l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.

Nothing special last start. Failed last run slow/heavy !!

15.

8.50

8.00

MESSENGER

Schofield

17

53

Midfield l/s. Tight 600. Ran on well to win.

Ok winning last start. Drops in weight & handles wet !!

16.

Scr

Scr

STONE CANYON

-Scr-

20

53

-Scr-

17.

6.00

8.00

WILLY JIMMY

Munce

5

53

GB l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Hit line well to win at Newcastle l/s. Ok only run in wet !!

18.

8.50

13.0

THIRD ESTATE

Quinn

7

53

Slow out f/u. Ran on fair in worst of track.

Excuses first up but did go ordinary Wet ++. ????

19.

51.0

201.

HALFAMETRESHORT

Wells

8

53

Midfield wide f/u. Faded last 200m.

Wide but beaten long way first up. Fitter & wet ok. Not hopeless

20.

26.0

34.0

VALIDATED

Robl

12

53

GB wide l/s. Ran on ok.

Given no hope l/s. Wet ok. Can’t dismiss.

120%

110%

Outside Fence

Pace: Even

-Scr-

Disappointing l/s. Fitter & wet will help but is D Day !!

Ok f/u & will be fitter. Wet form patchy but has some good wet run s.

Speed Map: Likely position run :

El Meroo

Starry Light

Dothis Dothat

Outside fence:

Validated

For Cruyffs S

Halfametreshort

Commands A S

Messenger

Third Estate

Le Bron

Willy Jimmy

Bright Mind

Cousin Wal

Sophistication

Race Comment: Sophistication shorts but hard not to be impressed with him at Warwick Farm 2 nd up for Pride. Looking back through his wet form his failures have been when he had been failing on the dry as well. He does have won good wet track back when he was racing well a few years ago. For Cruyff’s Sake likes the wet & has a chance at odds.

Nos: 10. Sophistication

● 9. For Cruyff’s Sake ● 15. Messenger ● 11. Starry Light ● 4. Dothis Dothat ● 17. Willy Jimmy


Diary of Meetings covered: October 09 Wednesday –

Thursday – 1st

Friday – 2nd

Saturday – 3rd

Sunday – 4th

Randwick Flemington

Monday – 5th

Tuesday – 6th

Wednesday – 7th

Thursday – 8th

Friday – 9th

Saturday – 10th

Warwick Farm

Rosehill

(Public Holiday)

Caulfield

Monday – 12th

Tuesday – 13th

Wednesday – 14th

Thursday – 15th

Friday – 16th

Kensington

Tuesday – 20th

Wednesday – 21st

Sunday – 18th

Randwick Caulfield

(Free Service)

Monday – 19th

Saturday – 17th

Sunday – 11th

Thursday – 22nd

Friday – 23rd

Saturday – 24th

Sunday – 25th

Rosehill M/Valley

Monday – 26th

Tuesday – 27th

Wednesday – 28th

Thursday – 29th

Friday – 30th

Saturday – 31st Rosehill Flemington

Abbrev: EC: Every Chance

RTS: Run To Suit

F/S: First Start

PTS: Prefer To See

F/U: First Up

GB. Got Back

F/U: First Up. RTS: Run To Suit

SHBC: Should Have Been Closer

ST: Slow Track

DT: Dead track

HT: Heavy Track

Bookies Market: Fixed odds markets @ 9.45 race morning. Market percentage close to 120% Rating Market: Our Assessment of what we think each horse’s price should be. Market Percentage close to 110%

Free SMS update & possible late mail service for Saturday & Public Holiday Meetings. The first three races are monitored and advice is sent via SMS to your mobile phone as to how we think the track is playing. Sometimes we get some late mail that might be handy. Submit your mobile if interested.


Weather: Fine

Caulfield 10/10 Rail: True

www.racingservice.com.au

Track: Dead 4

Email: racingservice@iprimus.com.au

Previous Rail & Bias: True 19/09 – Looked even.

Phone: 02 93143902

Possible Bias Today: Track even at last meeting with rail in similar position. ?? pattern.

Mobile: 0425 263481

Meeting Comment: Track should be upgraded early in the day. Bookie

Rating

Video comment last run.

Form comment

1.

11.0

15.0

Race 1: 12.00 – 1200m

RUSSIAN HEART

Newitt

3

57

Box seated ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Tried hard last start but sectionals that race were slow.

2.

5.00

3.80

TROUNCE

Boss

6

56.5

Box seated ST f/u. Ran on ok. EC.

Beaten in fast sectionals f/u & had improvement in him. 1200 +

3.

21.0

21.0

BEYOND PARDON

Hall

9

56

Slow out ST l/s. Ran on ok.

Excuses & went ok first up. Winkers on. Draw some ??

4.

6.00

7.00

LA BELLA ENCOSTA

Williams

5

55.5

Led DT l/s. Battled on ok. EC.

Would prefer at 1000m but does look the leader.

5.

11.0

11.0

ORINOCO

N Rawiller

2

55.5

Midfield ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Hit line well last start. Dryer track probably a ++

6.

15.0

13.0

GOVERNANCE

McEvoy

4

55

F/U. No trial.

Raced well fresh in Sydney last prep. No trial. A ??

7.

2.70

3.80

KING PULSE

Zahra

8

55

O/side lead DT f/u. Ran on well to win. EC.

8.

12.0

17.0

UNDERCURRENT

Nikolic

7

55

Bit slow out then sat 4

9.

31.0

61.0

DEMPSEY

Oliver

10

54

Midfield ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

All favours to win at Geelong last start. PTS up in grade.

10.

15.0

17.0

YES SIR YES SIR

Rodd

1

54

O/side lead l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Horse he beat at Seymour l/s beaten at Benalla since.

120%

110%

Outside Fence

th

ST l/s. Battled away.

Acid test but impressive at Geelong f/u running fast sectionals. Slow out but did have his chance last start. Dry could help ??

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Beyond Pardon

Pace: Even King Pulse

La Bella Enc

Russian Heart

Trounce

Yes Sir Yes Sir

Undercurrent

Orinoco

Dempsey

Governance

Race Comment: King Pulse was impressive at Geelong & obviously has a good chance. He has been off the map in Fixed odds so hard to come into the short odds now. Trounce ran well first up & did have improvement in him. E/way.

● 7. King Pulse ● 4. La Bella Encosta

Nos: 2. Trounce Bookie

Rating

1.

10.0

15.0

Race 2: 12.35 – 1400m

PHILDA

Williams

2.

4.20

5.50

ROMNEYA

3.

51.0

51.0

4.

7.00

8.00

5.

41.0

6.

● 5. Orinoco ● 6. Governance

Video comment last run.

Form comment

11

57.5

Box seated l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Racing well but is up 3.5kg for winning last start.

McEvoy

8

57.5

Wide then o/side lead DT l/s. Stuck on well to win

Prefer in Mares grade but is very honest.

DOWN UNDER BOY

Boss

1

57

GB ST f/u. Ran on evenly. EC.

Fitter but only just a run first up. PTS.

LARRY'S NEVER LATE

Nikolic

9

56.5

F/U. No trial.

Won 1400m first up last prep. 3 f/u runs for 3 wins !!

41.0

MONSIEUR FERAUD

Symons

13

56.5

Midfield wide ST f/u. Battled away.

Wide & ok first up but is drawn for similar fate here.

12.0

17.0

ARCH SYMBOL

Oliver

12

56

Box seated ST l/s. Battled ok. EC.

Fitter but touch disappointing both runs this prep. D Day here.

7.

9.00

8.00

LA ROCKET

Baster

3

56

Wide then o/side lead l/s. Battled on ok.

Worked in run & ran well last start. Soft darw ++

8.

21.0

41.0

SILKY SMOOTH

B Rawiller

14

55.5

Box seated l/s. Only wacked away. EC.

Has been disappointing this prep. Needs wet !!

9.

Scr

Scr

COUNT TO ZERO

-Scr-

7

55

-Scr-

10.

4.40

4.00

MAXISUN

Shinn

6

55

Sat 3rd 3 wide l/s. Battled on ok.

Wide & his run good last start. Too far back 2 ago. Chance.

11.

51.0

61.0

POISED TO WIN

Bowman

4

55

F/U. No trial.

Failed first up last prep after winning a trial. PTS.

12.

Scr

Scr

NINE TALES

-Scr-

10

54

-Scr-

13.

7.00

5.50

BY THE WAY

Newitt

2

53

Midfield ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Hit line well with 57kg to win l/s. improving horse on limit.

14.

21.0

51.0

ROYAL STRIKER

Dunn

5

53

GB ST f/u. Only plugged. EC.

Fitter but went terrible first up. PTS.

120%

110%

Outside Fence

Silky Smooth

Monsieur Feraud

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Pace: Even/Fast Philda

La Rocket

Romneya

Maxisun

Arch Symbol

By The Way

Larry’s Never L

Down Under Boy

Royal Striker

Poised To Win

Race Comment: Competitive race & typical of the day. Maxisun was wide last start & draw to get all favours here. E/way. By The Way with no weight has a chance.

Nos: 10. Maxisun

● 13. By The Way ● 2. Romneya ● 7. La Rocket ● 4. Larry’s Never Late


Bookie

Rating

Video comment last run.

Form comment

1.

13.0

11.0

Race 3: 1.15 – 1200m

HEADWAY

Boss

17

56.5

Box seated DT l/s. Battled ok. EC.

Bit disappointing last start. Draw no help but back to 1200 ++

2.

6.00

8.00

ROSTOVA

King

8

56.5

GB ST l/s. Railed up. Ran on ok.

Nothing special either run this prep. Dry could help. D Day !!

3.

151.

151.

GOLD ROCKS

Arnold

7

56.5

O/side lead DT l/s. Faded last 200. EC.

Has been disappointing since trialling very well on heavy. PTS.

4.

2.60

4.40

AVENUE

Oliver

10

56.5

Led ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Impressive at valley last start. More pressured here some ??

5.

12.0

11.0

GIBRALTAR MOON

Dunn

15

55.5

O/side lead ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Fas sectionals winning f/u. Out to 1200 with more pressure ??

6.

13.0

6.50

KANZAN

McEvoy

9

55.5

Sat 3rd 3 wide f/u. Battled ok.

Wide & her run ok in Sydney first up. Fitter. Chance.

7.

31.0

51.0

QUEEN OEDIPUS

B Rawiller

1

55.5

F/U. No trial.

Not up to this grade last prep but soft ++ so not hopeless.

8.

21.0

26.0

SO ANYWAY

Shinn

6

54

GB slow run race l/s. Ran on evenly.

Coming back from 1500m & can’t see that being any ++

9.

31.0

31.0

TALE OF LOVE

Hall

10.

11.0

6.50

MARQUARDT

Bowman

4

54

Midfield ST f/u. Ran on evenly. EC.

Nothing special first up but has trialled ok since. Not hopeless.

11

54

F/U. Sat 3rd & niggled along to win trial.

11.

31.0

41.0

QUICK BLUSH

Zahra

Trialled well in Sydney. Raced well last prep. Bowman ++

2

54

GB ST l/s. Railed up & battled away. EC.

12.

Scr

Scr

MY GIRL HELEN

Nothing special either run this prep. Has to improve a lap.

-Scr-

16

54

-Scr-

13.

Scr

Scr

14.

HUSH UP

-Scr-

14

54

-Scr-

61.0

MIRACULOUS MISS

Rodd

12

54

61.0

15.

17.0

GB slow run race DT l/s. Battled away.

Slow pace against her last start but did get beaten a long way.

26.0

CLOCKED

Newitt

3

54

Led DT l/s. Battled away. EC.

16.

Flattered by a soft lead last start & won’t get that here.

41.0

51.0

HERE NO TEARS

Nikolic

5

54

F/U. Sat 4th & niggled along to win trial HT.

17.

Trial ok & blinkers on but has found very tough race first up.

11.0

15.0

HILTON HEAD

Williams

13

54

F/U. No trial.

Impressive in Brisbane only run last prep but it was a weak race

120%

110%

Outside Fence

Hilton Head

Gibraltar Moon

Avenue

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Headway

Gold Rocks

Kanzan

Here No Fear

Clocked

Rostova

Quick Blush

Marquardt

Miraculous M

Queen Oedipus

Tale Of Love

So Anyway

Race Comment: Tricky race with queries on top two in weights (Headway & Rostova) & just some query on Avenue if the pressured is on. Worth nothing both her wins have been at M/Valley. Something on Marquardt & Kanzan.

● 6. Kanzan ● 4. Avenue ● 1. Headway ● 2. Rostova

Nos: 10. Marquardt Bookie

Rating

Video comment last run.

Form comment

1.

3.00

3.80

Race 4: 2.00 - 1000m

APACHE CAT

Oliver

8

58.5

Too far back ST f/u. Ran on ok.

Back to 1000m slight ?? but given no hope f/u. Good here !!

2.

Scr

Scr

TURFFONTEIN

-Scr-

3

58.5

-Scr-

3.

5.00

3.90

LUCKY SECRET

N Rawiller

12

58.5

Led 1 off fence ST l/s. Faded last 100m.

Doubt quick back up suited him l/s. Suited back to 1000m.

4.

15.0

34.0

WILANDER

McEvoy

6

58.5

O/side lead f/u. Faded last 200m. EC.

Fitter but gave up in a stride first up.

5.

Scr

Scr

KING HOAKS

-Scr-

2

58.5

-Scr-

6.

81.0

201.

HAPPY GLEN

Holland

9

58.5

Midfield ST f/u. Only plugged. EC.

7.

9.00

11.0

MORGAN DOLLAR

King

5

58.5

Midfield l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Back to dry ++ but got beat a long way on slow track first up. PTS. Ran well 1000m WFA l/s. Freshened since & that suits him.

8.

61.0

101.

UNCLE IVAN

Rose

11

58.5

O/side lead ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Good 1000m horse but not suited under WFA conditions.

9.

Scr

Scr

BOCUSE

-Scr-

10

58.5

-Scr-Scr-

10.

Scr

Scr

SEEKING ATTENTION

-Scr-

4

56.5

11.

5.00

3.90

WANTED

Newitt

1

53

Sat 3rd 3 wide ST l/s. Battled on ok.

Big run at valley l/s. Back to 1000 slight ?? but soft draw big +

12.

19.0

26.0

COMMON INTEREST

Dunn

13

53

O/side lead ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Not overly impressive at valley but big weight drop ++

13.

5.00

6.50

PAPRIKA

Brown

120%

110%

7

51

Outside Fence

Morgan Dollar

Paprika

Uncle Ivan

Wilander

Wanted

& niggled along to win trial.

Trial not sensational but has good record & no weight ???

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Pace: Even/Fast

Common Interest

Lucky Secret

F/U. Sat 3

rd

Apache Cat

Happy Glen

Race Comment: Could have tipped any of the top three picks & not sure about Paprika. Have a small share in Wanted so going to tip him E/way.

Nos: 11. Wanted

● 1. Apache Cat ● 3. Lucky Secret ● 13. Paprika ● 7. Morgan Dollar

Outside fence:


Bookie

Rating

Video comment last run.

Form comment

1.

13.0

17.0

Race 5: 2.40 – 2000m

MASTER O'REILLY

Duric

2

59

Midfield DT l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.

Probably fitter but was bit flattered railing up last start.

2.

16.0

26.0

VISION AND POWER

Bowman

7

59

Midfield l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.

Getting fitter but really nothing special l/s. Prefer on soft !!

3.

11.0

11.0

NOM DU JEU

N Rawiller

3

59

Midfield pulling ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Ok in Sydney last Sat but their WFA form does look suspect.

4.

41.0

101.

DOURO VALLEY

Nikolic

8

59

GB DT l/s. Only plugged. EC.

Fitter but did nothing last start. D Day here for the Spring.

5.

16.0

17.0

BAUGHURST

Melham

1

59

Midfield l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Honest last start. Would need all favours but no hopeless.

6.

2.00

2.50

WHOBEGOTYOU

Oliver

5

58

GB DT l/s. Wide 600. Ran on ok.

Flushed out early last start. Small field & slow pace will suit.

7.

3.50

2.50

HEART OF DREAMS

Newitt

4

58

Midfield DT l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Hard to knock last win. He has beaten Whobegotyou last 2.

8.

16.0

21.0

ZARITA

Dunn

6

57

Midfield DT l/s. Only plugged. EC.

Was reported lame last start so can improve.

120%

110%

Outside Fence

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Pace: Slow Douro Valley Vision And Power Heart Of Dreams

Whobegotyou

Zarita

Note: No genuine leader engaged. Anything could lead. Baughurst

Nom Du Jeu

Master O’Reilly

Race Comment: Not much between Whobegotyou & Heart Of Dreams but not much value. Going with better odds.

● 6. Whobegotyou ● 3. Nom Du Jeu

Nos: 7. Heart Of Dreams Bookie

Rating

Video comment last run.

Form comment

1.

11.0

17.0

RACING TO WIN

Bowman

11

58.5

Box seated fast run race l/s. Only plugged.

Chance on his win 2 ago. Has none on his last run. ??????

2.

5.50

7.00

BLACK PIRANHA

Angland

9

56.5

GB l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Both runs good this prep. Fitter. Chance.

3.

16.0

26.0

KING MUFHASA

Oliver

16

54.5

Midfield ST l/s. Tight 200. Battled away.

Excuses on slow track in NZ last Sat. Draw no help but dry ++

4.

81.0

101.

MENTALITY

King

14

54

O/side lead fast run race l/s. Faded last 200m.

Did the chasing but gave up in stride l/s. Past best !!

5.

11.0

11.0

ROCK KINGDOM

Williams

15

54

Wide then o/side lead HT l/s. Stuck on well to win.

Improved with blinkers on to win in wet last Sat. Dry no worry.

6.

9.00

9.00

GOLD SALUTE

Pegus

17

53.5

Midfield ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Hit line well to win with 59.5kg l/s. Good horse wet or dry !!

7.

11.0

21.0

CHASM

Benbow

12

53

Midfield l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.

Has not really finished off his last 2 runs. D Day here.

8.

5.50

4.40

RAHEEB

Shinn

2

53

O/side lead l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Ran fast sectionals winning with 56kg last Sat. Drops 3kg.

9.

26.0

26.0

MAGICAL PEARL

Tourneur

8

52.5

Box seated l/s. Battled away. EC.

10.

Scr

Scr

PINNACLES

-Scr-

10

52.5

-Scr-

Nothing special last start but is lot better suited at weights here.

11.

19.0

26.0

GALLICA

Newitt

13

52

Sat 4th 3 wide l/s. Battled away.

Given no hope last & went ok. Not hopeless.

12.

31.0

41.0

STICKPIN

Gauci

18

52

GB DT l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.

Bit flattered railing up last start. Strong 1600 & draw ??

13.

6.00

6.00

RAFFAELLO

Brown

1

52

Too far back DT l/s. Tight 700/400. Ran on ok.

No luck & just a ride last start. Just needs luck from back inside.

14.

81.0

101.

TEARS I CRY

Puls

3

52

Midfield ST l/s. Railed up. Battled away. EC.

Just a run last start & dryer track no real ++

15.

51.0

51.0

FAMOUS ROMAN

Symons

6

52

Bit slow out l/s. Ran on evenly.

Was entitled to have finished off bit better l/s.

16.

19.0

21.0

ALL AMERICAN

Boss

4

52

Midfield DT l/s. Tight 500/400. Ran on ok.

Excuses last start. Can improve but forever has excuses.

17.

101.

101.

PILLAR OF HERCULES

Baster

5

52

GB l/s. Made some ground late. EC.

Fitter but nothing special last start. Has to imp.

18.

31.0

31.0

ALLEZ WONDER

Payne

7

52

Midfield DT l/s. Railed up & ran on well to win. EC

Honest win last start but up in grade here.

120%

110%

Rock Kingdom

Raheeb

Race 6: 3.20 – 1600m

Mentality

Tears I Cry

Outside Fence

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Pace: Even

King Mufhasa

Gold Salute

Stickpin

Gallica

All American

Allez Wonder

Black Piranha

Pillar Of Hercules

Famous Roman

Raffaello

Magical Pearl

Outside fence:

Racing To Win

Chasm

Race Comment: The two weight horses Raheeb & Raffaello. Raffaello just needs a bit of luck from back inside.

Nos: 8. Raheeb

● 13. Raffaello ● 2. Black Piranha ● 5. Rock Kingdom ● 6. Gold Salute


Bookie

Rating

Video comment last run.

Form comment

1.

2.70

2.40

Race 7: 4.00 – 1600m

DENMAN

McEvoy

7

55.5

Sat 2nd l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Month off into last win & has improvement in him. Good horse.

2.

8.0

13.0

MANHATTAN RAIN

Shinn

6

55.5

O/side lead f/u. Battled on ok. EC.

Had had chance first up but will be fitter. Can’t dismiss.

3.

19.0

31.0

TICKETS

Arnold

8

55.5

Box seated l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

All favours to get home last Sat. Lot harder here.

4.

16.0

21.0

CARRARA

Brown

2

55.5

O/side lead ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.

Very honest & has won last 3 but acid test this grade.

5.

12.0

15.0

STARSPANGLEDBANNER

Nikolic

1

55.5

Box seated DT l/s. Held up 250. Ran on ok.

Had excuses last start but just slight query at strong 1600m.

6.

4.60

4.20

TRUSTING

Williams

10

55.5

Slow out DT l/s. Ran on ok.

Hit line well l/s. Up to 1600 ++ but will give Denman a start.

7.

6.00

6.00

SO YOU THINK

Rodd

11

55.5

Midfield /s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Likely to be last & need luck but blinkers on is a ++ for him.

8.

19.0

26.0

EXTRA ZERO

N Rawiller

5

55.5

Midfield ST l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.

Fitter but had his chance last start & this harder.

rd

9.

61.0

101.

NICASTRO

Dunn

9

55.5

Sat 3

10.

101.

201.

RIVER'S LANE

Hall

3

55.5

GB ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Hit line ok last start but this harder.

11.

101.

201.

ECLAIR FASTPASS

Newitt

4

55.5

Midfield wide/cover l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.

Nothing special last Sat & this a lot harder.

120%

110%

Outside Fence

Manhattan Rain

Carrara

Starspangled

Won in slow sectionals last start & back to dry no ++

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Extra Zero

Éclair Fastpass

ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Denman

Tickets

Trusting

So You Think

Outside fence:

Pace: Slow/Even

River’s Lane

Race Comment: two good colts in Denman & Trusting. Trusting always has to give Denman a start but could not argue with Trusting E/way.

● 6. Trusting ● 7. So You Think ● 5. Starspangledbanner ● 2. Manhattan Rain

Nos: 1. Denman Bookie

Rating

1.

Scr

Scr

Race 8: 4.40 – 2400m

C'EST LA GUERRE

-Scr-

Video comment last run.

2.

51.0

101.

KIBBUTZ

3.

13.0

17.0

4.

15.0

5.

Form comment

16

57.5

B Rawiller

9

56

Midfield ST l/s. Railed up & battled away. EC.

Fitter but was flattered railing up at Valley last start.

ZAVITE

N Rawiller

7

56

Used to lead l/s. Attacked 1100. Battled away.

No peace in Sydney l/s. Fitter. Looks leader !!. can improve.

11.0

YOUNG CENTAUR

Nikolic

15

55

GB ST l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.

Back to dry ++. Will improve !!

6.50

6.00

CAPECOVER

Williams

2

54.5

GB DT l/s. Tight 300/250. Ran on ok.

Given no hope last start. No luck 2 ago. Chance.

6.

6.50

6.00

HISSING SID

Newitt

3

54.5

Slow out DT l/s. Pushed wide. Ran on ok.

Hit line well last start & had excuses. Chance.

7.

5.00

6.00

ALCOPOP

Tourneur

6

54

Midfield ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Got good run to win last start but does look to be on the up.

8.

31.0

61.0

FIGURE OF SPEECH

Rodd

10

54

GB l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.

Has been a bit flattered by dream runs his last 3.

9.

16.0

21.0

SAND HAWK

Shinn

5

53.5

Wide then o/side lead DT l/s. Stuck on well to win

Overcame difficulties to win last start but up in grade here.

10.

31.0

51.0

MR TIPSY

King

20

53

GB l/s. Wide 600. Only plugged.

Poor in Sydney last 2. Winkers on but PTS.

11.

101.

101.

HOORANG

Yendall

19

52

Midfield l/s. Tight 450. Ran on evenly.

Every possible railing up last Sat. Needs wet ??

12.

21.0

41.0

BRITOMART

Symons

11

52

GB DT l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.

Has hit line ok last 2 but very best has been on heavy tracks.

13.

5.00

4.40

SHOCKING

Brown

8

52

Midfield wide ST l/s. Ran on ok.

Not suited by M/Valley last 2. Expect big improvement.

14.

41.0

101.

LADY AVACAN

Robertson

1

52

Box seated DT l/s. Battled ok. EC.

Every possible last start & this lot harder.

15.

9.00

17.0

PRECEDENCE

Boss

14

52

Midfield ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Fitter & 2400m ++ but not convinced he is any start.

16.

31.0

41.0

DANDAAD

Payne

17

52

GB ST l/s. Ran on evenly. Tight 100.

Did look beaten when has checked l/s. Fitter & dry could help ?

17.

51.0

61.0

ARAPAHO MISS

Holland

18

52

GB DT l/s. Wide 600. Ran on ok.

Lot better last start but will need luck from wide draw.

18.

Scr

Scr

COURTNEY

-Scr-

4

52

-Scr-

19.

Scr

Scr

FORDEE

-Scr-

12

52

-Scr-

20.

Scr

Scr

OAK HEART

-Scr-

13

52

-Scr-

120%

110%

Outside Fence

-Scr-

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Outside fence:

Mr Tipsy

Hoorang

Dandaad

Arapaho Miss

Pace: Slow/Even Precedence

Zavite

Lady Avacan

Alcopop

Sand Hawk

Figure Of Speech

Hissing Sid

Shocking

Capecover

Britomart

Young Centaur

Kibbutz

Race Comment: Competitive race. Expecting improvement from Shocking now he is away from M/Valley. Something on Hissing Sid.

Nos: 13. Shocking

● 6. Hissing Sid ● 5. Capecover ● 4. Young Centaur ● 7. Alcopop


1.

Bookie

Rating

11.0

13.0

Race 9: 5.20 – 1200m

RUSSETING

Arnold

14

56.5

Video comment last run.

Form comment

Sat 4th fast run race ST f/u. Faded late.

Given no hope first up. Fitter & dry +++

rd

2.

5.50

6.00

CHAMPAGNE HARMONY

Rodd

11

56.5

Wide then sat 3

3.

6.00

7.00

VELOCITEA

Williams

1

55.5

Midfield DT l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.

Got good run to win last start but draw for all favours here.

4.

41.0

34.0

ANTARCTIC MISS

Zahra

9

55.5

F/U. Sat 3rd & niggled along to win trial ST.

New stable. Disappointing last prep but did trial well. ???

5.

7.00

11.0

ROSE SYRAH

B Rawiller

2

55.5

GB ST f/u. Ran on ok. EC.

Hit line well at Valley first up but is up a grade here.

6.

13.0

13.0

ARMS WIDE OPEN

Symons

7

54

F/U. No trial.

No luck first up last prep. Did win 3rd up. A query ??

th

1 out DT l/s. Battled ok.

7.

51.0

51.0

DANEHILL SMILE

Brown

5

53

F/U. Sat 4

8.

Scr

Scr

DELYARA

-Scr-

16

53

-Scr-

15

53

Midfield DT l/s. Tight 300. Ran on ok.

Excuses both runs this prep. Fitter. Just needs a bit of luck.

3

53

Slow out then box seated l/s. Battled ok.

Ok in Adel l/s. Drops 3kg. Soft draw ++Not hopeless.

13

53

-Scr-

9.

6.00

5.50

TOOTSIE

Boss

10.

11.0

13.0

LA GOULUE

Shinn

11.

Scr

Scr

CROWN RUBY

-Scr-

12.

31.0

31.0

RUN ROXY RUN

Payne

13.

61.0

61.0

MOONDANCING

Newitt

14.

13.0

15.0

OUR LONA

15.

41.0

41.0

16.

9.00

9.00

120%

110%

& ran on evenly in trial. Niggled.

Did some work in run last start. Fitter. Chance.

4

53

F/U. GB trial ST. Not pressured.

Trialled ok but has found tough race first up.

10

53

Wide then led l/s. Battled ok.

Did not get much peace last start but is up in grade here.

Pegus

6

53

GB DT l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Hit line well l/s. Up a grade here but probably not hopeless.

BELLE'S READY

Dunn

8

53

GB ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.

Ok last start but is up in grade here.

ABOUT READY

Smith

12

53

Box seated ST l/s. Held up 400. Battled ok.

Excuses l/s. Wide draw & winkers on ++. Will imp.

Outside Fence

Speed Map: Likely position run :

Russeting

Champagne H

Trial nothing special in Sydney. Has had problems ??

About Ready

Antarctic Miss

La Goulue

Velocitea

Outside fence:

Pace: Even Moondancing

Run Roxy Run

Our Lona

Rose Syrah

Belle’s Ready

Danehill Smile

Tootsie

Note: Russeting, forward, back or wide ??

Arms Wide Open

Race Comment: Mares !!. A lot of chances. Tootie has had excuses her last two. Just needs a bit of luck.

Nos: 9. Tootsie

● 2. Champagne Harmony ● 3. Velocitea ● 16. About Ready ● 1. Russetting


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