Sports // Rugby // Football // Horse Racing // Monday 5 Sept, 2009
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AIR NEW ZEALAND CUP Form
Teams
Latest Match
Round Eleven P
W
L
D
Last Met
Win TAB Value ASAP % Odds Odds Margin
Ratings Trend 30-07-09
Round 11 - 7:35pm Thursday October 8, Napier - Sky Sport 1 WLWWWW Hawke's Bay LLWLLL C-Manukau
W 22-19 v BOP
10
6
3
1
45 - 14
60%
$1.05
$1.30 W by 16
L 17-28 v Canterbury
10
2
8
0
14/9/08
20%
$8.00
$4.00
Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Christchurch - Sky Sport 1 WLWWWW Canterbury LLLLLL Manawatu
W 28-17 v Counties
10
8
2
0
24 - 25
80%
$1.05
$1.15 W by 21
L 15-43 v Wellington
10
3
7
0
2/8/08
30%
$8.00
$8.00
W 38-10 v Otago
10
5
4
1
6 - 22
50%
$1.90
$2.10
WWWLLW Auckland
W 27-13 v Southland
10
5
5
0
10/8/08
50%
$1.85
$1.90
WWLWWW Waikato
L 10-38 v Taranaki
10
3
7
0
10 - 39
30%
$2.35
$2.10
W 33-22 v N Harbour
10
6
4
0
26/9/08
60%
$1.55
$1.90
W by 1
Otago fought hard on Taranaki’s day. With Thompson inspiring they bring plenty to the breakdown and the lineout. Down south they’ll make it tough for Waikato who are now 5 from 6. They’re looking more stable with Leonard, Donald and De Malmanche back. Sweeney is in everything and if they can lower the error rate and close some holes they could make the semis.
W by 2
Expect a gut buster. Both desperately need this for the semis and play similar no nonsense rugby. Southland were flat, even Robinson’s kicking was off, v Auckland. Back home they’ll show, driven by the work rates of Rutledge and McIntosh. Tasman again adapted best to ugly conditions in Whangarei. MacDonald, Goodman, Petenise and Cook are firing but mainly they bring team and can win this too.
W by 8
BOP are another who remain in the semi race. They battled tough v the ‘Bay’, but defensive lapses eventually cost them. NH were also downed in a close one v Waikato. They pounce on errors, can find wide and will have targeted this. Still, you’d think the ability of Bourke and Delaney to control options will give them territory and they’ll look to expose Harbour’s often sleepy defence.
W by 13
The stiff 1st half wind didn’t faze Northland who put in again v Canterbury. The reality is they lack the class to break good line defences. They haven’t beaten Wellington since 2000 and its difficult to see that changing here. The latter are finding some shape despite missing ABs and injury forced re-shuffles. Schwalger, Vito, Ramasy, Leuia, and Mathewson are all standing up and Jane is exceptional.
Round 11 - 5:30pm Saturday October 10, Invercargill - Sky Sport 1 WDWWLL Southland
L 13-27 v Auckland
10
6
3
1
6-3
60%
$1.55
$2.10
LWWLWW Tasman
W 21-16 v Northland
10
6
4
0
19/9/08
60%
$2.35
$1.90
Round 11 - 7:35pm Saturday October 10, Albany - Sky Sport 1 LLLWWL Nth Harbour
L 22-33 v Waikato
10
3
7
0
31 - 38
30%
$2.00
$2.10
LWLWLL BOP
L 19-22 v Hawkes Bay
10
6
4
0
16/8/08
60%
$1.75
$1.90
Round 11 - 2:35pm Sunday October 11, Whangarei - Sky Sport 1 LDLWLL Northland LWLLWW Wellington
L 16-21 v Tasman
10
3
6
1
27 - 43
30%
$5.50
$4.00
W 43-15 v Manawatu
10
6
4
0
13/8/05
60%
$1.13
$1.30
Despite an 11th table position and early positives, the ‘ASAP Ratings’ have Manawatu second last. They’ve fought hard and got a few individuals but they couldn’t compete up front or out back with Wellington. Canterbury were patchy away v Counties but will plan their run at the title now. With plenty of ABs back and at home with a shield to protect you’d expect a comfortable win.
W by 1
Round 11 - 2:35pm Saturday October 10, Dunedin - Sky Sport 1 WLLLWL Otago
The ‘Bay’ took advantage of BOP’s erratic defence to just get up. They could possibly drop one and still make the semis but it wouldn’t want to be this. With Waldrom, Guilford and Dagg excelling and Berquist’s accuracy that’s unlikely, albeit the careless handling and option issues. Counties again showed their talent for turning scraps into points out wide v Canterbury, but lack 80 minute grunt.
This should end the slim semi chances of one. Taranaki brought cohesion, defence and some width v Otago led by Tony Penn and Jason Eaton. Ripia’s territorial grasp continues to grow and that game would really trouble Auckland. The latter brought some urgency for a change and found enough running chances to get over a flat Southland. Kaino. Afoa, and Moeke looked good but the team will face real unity here.
Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Nplymouth - Sky Sport 2 (Replayed 9.30pm Sky Sport 1) WWWLLW Taranaki
Match Day Form
04-10-09
Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.
are all standing up and Jane is exceptional.
RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS Ratings Last Rank Week 1 1 2 2 3 3
Ratings Performance Meter
Teams Canterbury Wellington Auckland
P 10 10 10
W 8 6 5
L 2 4 5
D Streak 0 W4 0 W2 0 W1
Pts For 289 262 199
Pts Ave % Agst Score Win 176 29 80% 203 26 60% 191 20 50%
Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings 5 37 1 33.5 5 29 3 28.7 6 26 7 26.7
TAB Odds $2.15 $4.00 $9.00
4 5 6 7 8
4 8 5 6 7
Hawke's Bay Taranaki Tasman BOP Southland
10 10 10 10 10
6 5 6 6 6
3 4 4 4 3
1 1 0 0 1
W4 W1 W2 L2 L2
266 209 229 209 181
208 188 174 182 173
27 21 23 21 18
60% 50% 60% 60% 60%
4 2 4 2 2
30 24 28 26 28
2 9 4 6 5
25.3 24.7 24.2 23.9 21.5
$9.00 $30.00 $30.00 $12.00 $12.00
9 10 11 12 13 14
10 9 11 12 13 14
Waikato Otago Nth Harbour Northland Manawatu C-Manukau
10 10 10 10 10 10
6 3 3 3 3 2
4 7 7 6 7 8
0 0 0 1 0 0
W3 L1 L1 L2 L6 L3
205 188 187 187 210 192
223 229 234 241 268 323
21 19 19 19 21 19
60% 30% 30% 30% 30% 20%
2 6 4 2 5 3
26 18 16 16 17 11
8 10 12 13 11 16
20.4 19 15.8 15.6 12.6 9.6
$9.00 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
TEAMS
ASAP Rating
Graph
Form Guide Key
Copyright ASAP Index © 2009
AUCKLAND From: Tevita Mailau, Pauliasi Manu, Charlie Faumuina , Paea Fa’anunu, Francis Smith, Tom McCartney, Kurtis Haiu, Jay Williams, Andrew Van der Heijden, Dean Budd, Chris Lowrey, Peter Saili, Onosa’i Auva’a, Hamish Paterson, Taniela Moa, Grayson Hart, Ash Moeke, Daniel Bowden, Benson Stanley, Winston Stanley, Jamie Helleur, Teddy Stanaway , Thomas Timani, Dave Thomas, Atieli Pakalani, Paul Williams, John Afoa, Jerome Kaino, Keven Mealamu, Joe Rokocoko, Isaia Toeava
BAY OF PLENTY From: James McGougan, Marcel Cummings-Toone, Culum Rettalick, Luke Braid, Joe Savage, Matt Vant Leven, Josh Hohneck, Zac Hohneck, Josh Olsen, John Moore, Ted Tauroa, Colin Bourke, John Pareanga , Josh Katene, Solomon King, Junior Poluleuligaga, Josh Hall, Phil Burliegh, Mike Delaney, Cory Aporo, Zar Lawrence, Lance MacDonald, Jason Hona, Wayne Hughson, Clinton Toopi, Nick McCashin, Nigel Hunt, Tanerau Latimer, Andre Ellison (ol), Ben Smith (ol)
COUNTIES-MANAKU STEELERS From: Cody Martin, Courtney McKay, Sikeli Nabou, Sherwin Stowers, Matt Holloway, Augustine Pulu, DJ Forbes, Siale Piutau, Waka Setitaia, Josh Hall, Ahsee Tuala,Fritz Lee, Jamie Metcalf, Lelia Masaga, Mark Selwyn, Samisoni Fisilau, Tim Nanai Williams, Siua Halanukonuka, Ilisa Maasi, Jason Roache, Rees Logan, Viliami Fihaki, David Raikuna, Graham Dewes, Jamie Chipman, Seremaia Tagicakibau, Kojak Faioso, Notise Tauafao, Simon Lemalu, Tasesa Lavea, Josh Hall (ol), Matt Holloway (ol)
HAWKE’S BAY From: Hika Elliot, Ash Dixon, Clint Newland, Sona Taumalolo, Josh Keys, Jodi Allen, Ross Kennedy, Bryn Evans, Matt Egan, Michael Johnson, Karl Lowe, Thomas Waldrom, George Naoupu, Adam Bradey, Hugh Reed, Pama Petia, Chris Eaton, Dane Shelford, Matt Berquist, Andrew Horrell, Aayden Clarke, Sam Giddens, Jason Shoemark (captain), Richard Buckman, Mark Jackman, Israel Dagg, Zac Guildford, Jason Kupa, Neil Thomson, Bryn Evans
MANAWATU TURBOS CANTERBURY From: Andrew Olorenshaw, Rodney Ah You,Peter Borlase, Corey Flynn, Ti’i Paulo, Will Catherwood, Luke Romano, James Broadhurst, Sam Whitelock, Matt Todd, Michael Paterson, George Whitelock, Ash Parker, Nasi Manu, Willie Heinz, Tyson Keats, Andy Ellis, Dan Carter, Colin Slade, Stephen Brett, Tim Bateman, Ryan Crotty, Adam Whitelock, Casey Laulala, Chris Small, Sean Maitland, Tu Umaga-Marshall, James Paterson, Sam Monaghan, Isaac Ross, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Kieran Read, Richie McCaw, Wyatt Crockett
From: Grant Polson, Talau Hala, David Te Moana, Ma’afu Fia, Sean O’Connor, Rob Foreman, James Goode, Reece Robinson, Lisiate Fa’aoso, Michael FitzgeraldNick Crosswell, Hamish Gosling, Josh Bradnock, Doug Tietjens, Bertus MulderBrent Thompson, Aaron Smith, Aaron Good, Aaron Cruden, Isaac Thompson,Francis Bryant, Johnny Leota, Tavita Taufui, Andre Taylor, Lote Raikabula, Tomasi Cama, Kurt Baker, Casey Stone
NORTH HARBOUR From: James Afoa, Mike Reid, Ben Afeaki, James Parsons, Michael Mayhew, Anthony Boric, Filo Paulo, James King, Chris Smith, Malakai Ravulo, Tom Chamberlain, Richard Mayhew, Robbie Colhoun, Vili Ma’afu , Chris Smylie, Matt France, Mike Harris, Ben Botica, Andrew Mailei,, Anthony Tuitavake, George Pisi , Nafi Tuitavake, Josh York, Rudi Wulf, Jack McPhee, Ken Pisi, Tony Woodcock, Luke McAlister
NORTHLAND From: Baker Steve Caine Rhyan, Carpenter Derek Clutterbuck Matt, Collins Justin, Collins Nick, Davies Justin, Dow Tim, Eyre Cameron, Fakafanua Damien, Fonua Sione, Gadolo Eroni, Gilmore Brook, Goodwin Dan, Griffin Roy, Haitana Karl, Hamilton Luke, Jowitt Cameron, McKenty Joel, Munroe Lachie, Murray Bronson, O’Connor Pat, Payne Jared, Ranger Rene, Tuu’u Mikaele, Wallis Matt, Woodman Troy, Elrick Jon
OTAGO From: Keith Cameron, Tom Donnelly, Paul Grant, Sam Hibbard, Eben Joubert, Seko Kalou, Jason Macdonald, Hoani Matenga, Kees Meeuws, Peter Mirrielees, Ben Nolan, Charlie O’Connell, Steven Setephano, Alando Soakai (Captain), Adam Thomson, Hayden Triggs, Sean Romans (Vice Captain), Johnny Legg, Chris Noakes, Aaron Bancroft, Luke Herden, Glenn Dickson, Andrew Parata, Brett Mather, Karne Hesketh, Lucky Mulipola, Fetu’u Vainikolo, Ben Smith, Ryan Shortland, Michael Witt
SOUTHLAND From: Andrew Olorenshaw, Rodney Ah You,Peter Borlase, Corey Flynn, Ti’i Paulo, Will Catherwood, Luke Romano, James Broadhurst, Sam Whitelock, Matt Todd, Michael Paterson, George Whitelock, Ash Parker, Nasi Manu, Willie Heinz, Tyson Keats, Andy Ellis, Dan Carter, Colin Slade, Stephen Brett, Tim Bateman, Ryan Crotty, Adam Whitelock, Casey Laulala, Chris Small, Sean Maitland, Tu Umaga-Marshall, James Paterson, Sam Monaghan, Isaac Ross, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Kieran Read, Richie McCaw, Wyatt Crockett
TARANAKI From: T. Penn (Captain), C. Carmichael, L. Corlett, J. Hincho, T. Tutavaha, A. Hore,S. Cleaver, M. Bent, N. Soqeta, C. Clark (vice Captain), L. Power, J. EatonJ. Willis, B. Souness, C. Walker, S. Waldrom, J. Hoeata, S. Vunisa, B. Goodin, B. Phillips, K. O’ Donnell, W. Ripia, J. Hayward, J. Cameron, N. Hohaia, W. Rickardsm, S. Austin, P. Perez, E. Jenkins, A. Malo, Andrew Hore, Jason Eaton
TASMAN From: Hamish Cochrane, Ben Franks, Tristan Moran, Sakaria Taulafo, Quentin MacDonald, Daniel Perrin, Alex Ainley, Anthony Elisala, James Foster, Joseph Wheeler, Mark Bright, Daniel Crichton, Glen Gregory, Daniel Hyatt, Jonathan Poff, Zane Winslade, Shaun Begg, Kahn Fotualii, Matty James, James Marshall, Andrew Goodman, Sione Holani, Ammon Matuauto, Mike Pehi, Kade Poki, Blair Cook, James Kamana, Afeleki Pelenise, Robbie Malneek.
WAIKATO From: Ole Avei, Vern Kamo, Hikairo Forbes, Ben May, Kieran Ramage, Nathan White, Kent Fife, Romana Graham, Toby Lynn, Kevin O’Neill, Ray Allen, Jack Lam, Sione Lauaki, Liam Messam (captain), Jordan Smiler, Dominiko Waqaniburotu, David Bason, Josh Sutherland, Sam Christie, Trent Renata, Callum Bruce, Roimata Hansell-Pune, Jackson Willison, Tim Mikkelson, Henry Speight, Dwayne Sweeney, Savenaca Tokula, Sosene Anesi, Aled de Malmanche, Stephen Donald, Brendon Leonard, Mils Muliaina, Sitiveni Sivivatu
WELLINGTON From: Adrian Barone, Anthony Bradshaw, Dane Coles, Arden David, Fa’atonu Fili, Scott Fuglistaller, Kaipati Gaualofa, Joe Hill, Michael Hobbs, Daniel Kirkpatrick, Alapati Leiua, Faifili Levave, Serge Lilo, Matt Luamanu, Motu Matu’u, Chris Middleton, Api Naikatini, Charlie Ngatai, Tomasi Palu, Anthony Perenise, Brett Pigott, Buxton Popoalii, Daniel Ramsey, Mark Reddish, Ged Robinson, Julian Savea, David Smith, Apoua Stewart, Shaun Treeby, Frae Wilson, Rodney So’oialo, Neemia Tialata, Hosea Gear, Cory Jane, Ma’a Nonu, Conrad Smith, Piri Weepu
HEARTLAND Championship Form
Teams
Round Seven
Latest Match
P
W
L
D
Last Met
Win TAB Value ASAP % Odds Odds Margin
Ratings Trend 30-07-08
This looks a possible final again. Wanganui found the full team effort they’d threatened v S Canty. They broke the latter with Middleton, Tikorituma, and Tyrell scoring at will. Mid Canty’s committed and abrasive pack held the territory their pivots gained v H-Kapiti. In Ashburton this could be close, but you get the feeling MC will be better still in a few weeks.
Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Ashburton -WWLWWW Mid Cbury
W 34-19 v H-Kapiti
6
5
1
0
83%
$3.20
$2.60
-WLWWWW Wanganui
W 59-14 v S Canty
6
5
1
0 25/10/08 83%
$1.55
$1.70
12 - 27
W by 4
Poverty Bay are hard to measure. They struggled v W Bush but turned on a traditional late running attack and got up on the whistle. You’d think in Gisborne they could get H-Kapiti as well but it wont be easy. The latter were to loose against a tremendously determined Mid Canty team. If they can better respect possession their own pack can match P Bay.
Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Gisborne -WWWLWW Poverty Bay
W 18-17 v W Bush
6
5
1
0
83%
$1.55
$1.90
-WWLWWL H-Kapiti
L 19-34 v Mid Canty
6
4
2
0 25/10/08 67%
$2.30
$2.10
26 - 5
W by 2
W-Bush went down on the gong to P Bay. With the points carry through this is a must win. They’ve got will and team ethic and Karaitiana is finding good position. They’ll need to tighten the defence and close S Canty’s excellent half back Sekope Maea. S Canty were exposed by Wanganui but they were served a ‘day of’ trip to Wanganui. They should compete better here.
Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Timaru -WLWWLL Sth Cbury
L 14-59 v Wanganui
6
3
3
0
19 - 27
50%
$1.85
$2.60
-LWWLWL Wair-Bush
L 17-18 v Poverty Bay
6
3
3
0
30/8/08
50%
$1.85
$1.70
W by 10
This decade its 4-3 E Coast. Both have lost all 6 this season and in the Heartland Cship TV are on 11 straight losses having not won since this meeting last season. EC’s streak is 14. TV contested up front in the rain, but failed at the loose ball v W Coast. They’re favoured to get this. EC were flattened by a resurgent N Otago but that fate waits others as well.
Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Aroha -LLLLLL Thames Val
L 3-27 v West Coast
6
0
6
0
20 - 3
0%
$1.16
$1.70
-LLLLLL East Coast
L 8-63 v North Otago
6
0
6
0
6/9/08
0%
$4.50
$2.60
W by 7
North Otago got going to late. That’s why they’re in the Lochore Cup. According to the ‘ASAP Ratings’ the division is a no contest. They opened up E Coast, winning by over 50 with ten players scoring. Buller have been close often this season. They finally got there second, tipping up K Country. Higginson and Tafua deliver decent work rates but its hard to see them turning NO who are peaking.
Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Oamaru -LLWWLW North Otago -LWLLLW Buller
W 63-8 v Est Cst
6
3
3
0
22 - 18
50%
$1.11
$1.15 W by 22
W 20-17 v K Country
6
2
4
0
13/9/08
33%
$5.50
$8.50
The merit of K Country’s win over S Canty the previous week was exposed when Wanganui beat the latter by over 40 points. As it proved KC couldn’t repeat v Buller in Te Kuiti, done by greater desire. W Coast’s pack stood up in tough conditions v TV and they found some space later. Hughes and Merritt offer plenty of skills and even up north WC should have too much.
Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Kuiti -LWLLWL K Country -WLWWLW West Coast
L 17-20 v Buller
6
2
4
0
22 - 24
33%
$1.40
$2,60
W 27-3 v Thames V
6
4
2
0 11/10/08 67%
$2.70
$1.70
W by 1
MEADS CUP – Rankings – Ratings - Odds Ratings Last Rank Week Teams 1 2 Wanganui 2 4 Mid Cbury 3 5 Wair-Bush 4 6 H-Kapiti 5 3 Poverty Bay 6 7 Sth Cbury
P W L D 6 5 1 0 6 5 1 0 6 3 3 0 6 4 2 0 6 5 1 0 6 3 3 0
Streak W4 W3 L1 L1 W2 L2
Pts For 205 149 121 154 127 102
Pts Ave % Agst Score Win 85 34 83% 113 25 83% 84 20 50% 108 26 67% 104 21 83% 153 17 50%
Ratings Performance Meter Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings 5 25 1 25.5 2 22 2 16.1 3 15 3 10.6 2 18 4 10.1 2 22 3 9.7 1 13 6 -0.6
TAB Odds $1.65 $3.75 $25.00 $40.00 $4.25 $25.00
Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings 4 16 1 23.7 0 16 2 5.0 4 12 3 1.9
TAB Odds n/a n/a n/a
LOCHORE CUP – Rankings – Ratings - Odds Ratings Last Rank Week Teams P W L D 1 1 North Otago 6 3 3 0 2 8 West Coast 6 4 2 0 3 9 Buller 6 2 4 0
Streak W1 W1 W1
Pts For 206 118 120
Pts Ave % Agst Score Win 95 34 50% 120 20 67% 110 20 33%
Match Day Form
03-10-09
Merritt offer plenty of skills and even up north WC should have too much.
Competion Ratings and Performance
MEADS CUP – Rankings – Ratings - Odds Ratings Last Rank Week 1 2
Teams P W L D
2 4
Wanganui 6 Mid Cbury 6
5 5
1 1
0 0
Ratings Performance Meter
Streak
Pts For
Pts Ave % Agst Score Win
W4 W3
205 149
85 113
34 25
83% 83%
Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings 5 2
25 22
1 2
25.5 16.1
TAB Odds $1.65 $3.75
3
5
Wair-Bush 6
3
3
0
L1
121
84
20
50%
3
15
3
10.6
$25.00
4 5
6 3
H-Kapiti 6 Poverty Bay 6
4 5
2 1
0 0
L1 W2
154 127
108 104
26 21
67% 83%
2 2
18 22
4 3
10.1 9.7
$40.00 $4.25
6
7
Sth Cbury 6
3
3
0
L2
102
153
17
50%
1
13
6
-0.6
$25.00
ASAP Ratings
TAB Odds
23.7 5.0
n/a n/a
LOCHORE CUP – Rankings – Ratings - Odds Ratings Last Rank Week 1 2
1 8
Streak
Pts For
Pts Ave % Agst Score Win
0 0
W1 W1
206 118
95 120
Teams P W L D North Otago 6 West Coast 6
3 4
3 2
34 20
50% 67%
Bon Comp Comp Pts Pts Rank 4 0
16 16
1 2
3
9
Buller 6
2
4
0
W1
120
110
20
33%
4
12
3
1.9
n/a
4 5
10 12
K Country 6 Thames Val 6
2 0
4 6
0 0
L1 L11
117 84
131 190
20 14
33% 0%
3 3
11 3
4 5
1.0 -6.6
n/a n/a
6
11
East Coast 6
0
6
0
L14
57
267
10
0%
0
0
6
-13.4
n/a
ASAP Rating
Graph
Form Guide Key
Copyright ASAP Index © 2009
Teams Buller From: Glen Atkin , Hein Gerber , Phil Beveridge , Clark Nelson , Craig Moore , Ryan Hughes , Ben Coman , Jamie Paul , Brad Walters , Louis Roache , Luke Brownlee , Matt Parata , Jay Smith , Nick Makea , Nathan Thompson , Sam Marris , Daniel Hooper , Mitieli Kaloudigibeci , Marcus Taylor , Matt Bonisch , Stu Neighbours , Tema Faifua , Peni Nabainavalu , Kevin Moore , Michael Mumm East Coast From: TBA Horowhenua-Kapiti From: TBA King Country From: TBA
Mid Canterbury From: Daniel Bokser, Jon Dampney, Paddy Davis, James Carr, Richard Fridd, Jason Gill, Joel Hewson, Jason Rickard, Travis Thompson (Southern), Michael Connell, Malcolm Cairns, Hayden Dwyer, Daniel Maw, Peter McAndrew, Matt Ryan, Tim O’Sullivan (Methven), James Buchanan, Jason Feutz (Celtic), Siaola Fifita, Siale Lolohea, Manase Nonu, Tokulua Tolu (Hampstead), Jeff Naish, Chad Stewart (Collegiate), Craig Dunlea (Rakaia) North Otago From: Palenapa Mafi, Mike Essex, Tavite Mafi, Cowan Finch, Seko Kalou, Viliami Leo, Ross Hay (captain), Joe Mamea, Nick Webster, Daniel Waenga, Lemi Masoe, Mike Mullins, Ekeroma Sefo, Ofa Fatai, Peter Breen. Reserves: Fraser Fletcher, Tokelau Tatafu, Lei’ataua Limuloa, Samisoni Tongotongo, Paula Fonokalafi, Jason Forrest, Hamish Clare.
Poverty Bay From: Matt Gray, Josh Maynard, Colin Hovell, Murray Hewson, Chris Bell, Sione Ngatu, Ryan Sayer, Tavita Maka, Kele Bola, Scott Leighton (captain), John Stewart, Campbell Te Rito, Wade Owen, Josh Mahoni, Kahu Tamatea. Bench: Ralph McInally, Warwick Knox, Petelo Piliu, Jono Naoupu, Brent Ingram, Sam Bunny, Clayton Kiwara. South Canterbury
Wanganui From: Matt Gilbert (Utiku), Sheldon O’Hagen (Ruapehu), Shaun McDonough (Ruapeheu), Justin Lock (Marist), Shane Ratima (Hunterville), Cole Baldwin (Pirates), Jon Smyth (Pirates), Nick Cranston (Ruapeheu), Fraser Hammond (Ruapehu), Peter Rowe (Ruapehu), David Gower (Ruapehu), Darren Munro (Kaierau), Denning Tyrell (Kaierau), Ricky Alabaster (Taihape), Leon Mason (Ratana), Steelie Koro (Marist), Vance Pereka (Ratana), Lasa Ulukuta (Kaierau), Waisake Ratunideuba (City College), Cameron Crowley (Marist), Sam Scown (Marist), Asaeli Tikoirotuma (Kaierau), Fraser Middleton (Petone)
From: Matt Fetu, Tenari Fagalima, Ben Hewitson, Simana Paea, Fainga’a Saviete, Andrew Scarlett, Brad Mori, Shannon McRae, Maikara Deer, Eric Smith, Jarrod Hayman, Sekope Maea, Phil Wairarapa-Bush Candy, Scott Norton, Tristran Johnston, Tanu Suavine, Ewen Campbell, Kalifi Latu, Pat Tupuola, Malakai Fonua, James From: Kurt Simmonds Jared Brock, Nick Beavon, Brett Rudman, Ben Pereira, Owen, Ritchie Preston, Gideon Snow Richard Puddy, Adam Marshall, Tomasi Kedrabuka, Andrew McLean, Brandon Thames Valley Young, Nathan Rolls, Duncan Law, Joe Feast, Joss Tua-Davidson, Jared Hawkins, Chris Senior, Nick Risdon, Api Matenga, From: Glen Townsend, Duncan Leask, Byron Karaitiana, Nathan Couch, Sili Jamie Gifkin, Klinton Wade, Sean Tugaga, Sam Mitchell, Tommy Harmon, Bagshaw (Waihou), Hayden RasmusHeemi Tupaea, Jordan Watene, Junior sen, Dion Silvester, Chris Doak, Bevan Togia, Nick Olson, Siaosi Anamani Robinson, Brendan Firth, Blair Rawlins (Paeroa West), Gavin Brewster, Simon Adams, David Harrison (Hauraki North), West Coast Mike Nation, Luke McFarland (Tairua), Jarod Nel, Joe Murray (Thames), Hayden Cullen, Jarrad Hill (Mercury Bay), Esau From: TBA Uiesi (Paeroa Old Boys), Vesi Raulini, Ben Titoko (Morrinsville Sports), Sam Clarke (East Coast Bays)
Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.
HYUNDAI A-LEAGUE Form
Teams
Round Ten
Latest Match
P
W
L
Last Met
D
Win %
TAB Odds
Value ASAP Odds Margin
Ratings Trend 7-8-09
Round 10 - 10:00pm Friday October 9, Etihad St - Sky Sport 2 LDDWWW Mlb Victory
W 2-1 v Brisbane
9
4
2
3
44%
$2.20
$1.65 W by 2
WLLWLW Sydney
W 1-0 v Mariners
9
5
3
1 27/12/08 56%
$3.00
$5.00
3-2
Draw Price:
$3.20
$5.00
Round 10 - 12:00pm Friday October 9, Members Equity St - Sky Sport 2 WLDWWD Perth Glory
D 1-1 v Fury
9
4
3
2
0-1
44%
DDWLWD Adelaide Utd
D 1-1 v Newcastle
9
3
3
3
7/8/09
33%
Draw Price:
$2.25 $2.90 $3.20
$2.90
Draw
$2.90 $3.20
Round 10 - 3:00pm Sunday October 11, Bluetongue St - Sky Sport 1 LWLWDL CC Mariners
L 0-1 v Sydney
9
3
3
3
Not
33%
$1.66
$2.15 W by 1
DDWDLD Nth Qld Fury
D 1-1 v Perth
9
1
4
4
Met
11%
$5.10
$4.35
Draw Price:
$3.30
$3.20
Round 10 - 7:00pm Sunday October 11, Suncorp St - Sky Sport 2 WDWLWL Brisbane Roar L 1-2 v Melbourne V LWDLLD Gold Coast
D 0-0 v Wellington
9
3
3
3
1-3
33%
$2.40
9
4
3
2
8/8/09
44%
$2.70
Draw Price:
$3,20
$2.40 W by 1 $3.60 $3.20
RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS Ratings Last Rank Week 1 1
Match Day Form
5-10-09 Victory top the ‘ASAP Ratings’ for the 3rd week. They’re now 3 straight after showing too much voltage up front for Roar. Muscat brings not only infinite class but stability and Fabiano, Hernandez, Thompson, Leijer, and Moss are all lifting. They’ll draw another 20,000 plus here v Sydney who came with a season best v CCM. They passed sharp and dominated possession, but will need it all here. Following their great away trot Glory failed to get the win over Fury at home. Against 10 men for 55 mins, they couldn’t finish hit by another albeit disputed blunder by GK Velaphi. The ‘Reds’ have the defence for Glory as they showed mostly keeping out a 1st half onslaught from the Jets in a 1-1 draw. Dodd failed, but if they bring their finish opposed to their slow starts this could go either way. Fury again showed above their table position drawing in Perth. Down to 10 for 55 mins, spirit and fortune got them a share of the points. They’ve a committed defence and will compete even at Blue Tongue. CCM haven’t had the luck since the big win over GC. They struck Sydney at their best last week and are missing Simon. Still, McGlinchy is commanding the middle and Fury will find them tough to break. Although done in Melbourne, Roar played well across the park against the top ‘rater’. They lost Henrique in the process but if they can finish better this is a chance. Bleiberg and GC are yet to match the hype reflected by a crowd of 4000 last week. Admittedly short staffed v Phoenix they rarely looked likely and were lucky to get a draw. They have plenty to prove.
Ratings Performance Meter
TAB Pts Pts Ave % Bon Comp Comp ASAP Teams P W L D Streak For Agst Score Win Pts Pts Rank Ratings Odds Melbourne 9 4 2 3 W3 14 12 2 44% 0 15 2 1.5 $4.75
2 3
2 6
Brisbane 9 Sydney 9
3 5
3 3 3 1
L1 W1
14 10
14 7
2 1
33% 56%
0 0
12 16
6 1
1.3 1.1
$7.00 $4.25
4 5 6
5 4 8
Adelaide 9 Gold Coast 9 Phoenix 9
3 4 1
3 3 3 2 2 6
D1 D1 D5
9 16 8
10 11 10
1 2 1
33% 44% 11%
0 0 0
12 14 9
7 3 8
1 1 0.9
$15.00 $4.00 $18.00
7 8 9 10
7 3 9 10
4 3 1 2
3 3 4 4
D1 L1 D1 D1
14 8 9 8
11 5 17 13
2 1 1 1
44% 33% 11% 22%
0 0 0 0
14 12 7 9
4 5 10 9
0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7
$9.00 $13.00 $28.00 $20.00
Perth Mariners Fury Newcastle
9 9 9 9
2 3 4 3
ASAP Rating
Graph
Form Guide Key
Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record Copyright ASAP Index © 2009 a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.
-LWWLLW Burnley L 0-4 v Liverpool Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Molineux St WeekWLDLWL 6 - Sunday September 27,LSt2-5 Andrews St Wolves v Sunderland
22 -08 -08 29 -09 -09
W 3-1 v Sunderland
6
3
3
0
W 2-1 v Fulham -LWDLLW L V W 1-0vvAston HullCity LLLLLL Birmingham Portsmouth L 0-1 0-1 vv Aston Everton L 0-2 V L-LLLWD Bolton W 3-2 v Portsmouth D 1-1 v Stoke Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Turf Moor - Sky Sport 3 (delayed 12pm) WeekWWLLWL 6 - Sunday September 27,LDW Burnley 0-5St v Tottenham W 3-1 v Sunderland
7 6 7 5
2 2 0 1
4 3 7 3
1 0-0 29% 1 0-3 33% 0 31/1/04 0% 1 22/12/07 20% Draw Price: Draw Price:
$0.00 $2.25 $0.00 $3.10 $0.00 $3.20
$2.55 $2.40 $3.30 $3.65 $3.20 $3.20
7 -WLLLWL W 1-0vvBolton West Ham L 6 WDLLWL Wigan Birmingham L 1-2 W0-4 1-0vvArsenal HullCity 7 -WWWWWW Chelsea W 2-1 v Stoke W 3-0 v Tottenham 6 Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Communications St - Sky Sport 3 (delayed 10pm) Week LWDLLL 6 - Sunday 27,LBritannia St HullSeptember City 1-6 v Liverpool L 0-1 v Birmingham 7
3 2 2 6
4 4 4 0
0 0 1 0
$0.00 $11.00 $0.00 $1.30 $0.00 $4.50
$3.55 $3.95 $2.45 $1.95 $3.20 $4.25
1 6 7 2 3 6 5 P W
5 2 4 1L
1 0-1 14% $0.00 2 0-1 33% $10.00 0 22/3/09 Last 43% Win $0.00 TAB 0 83% $1.33 Draw Price: D 26/12/08 Met % $0.00 Odds Draw Price: $4.50
$4.80 $3.25 $2.05 W by 1 Value ASAP $2.60 Margin W by 1 $3.20 Odds $3.20
6 6 7 67 8
2 4 5 14 7
3 2 2 42 1
6 5 7 57 8
3 2 2 35 2
3 3 3 22 5
6 66 67 8
1 32 23 2
4 34 33 5
1 3-2 33% $0.00 0 3-1 67% 0 31/1/09 71% $1.11 $0.00 1 0 1 57% $0.00 $0.00 1 25/4/09 17% $18.00 Draw Price: 0 21/2/09 88% $8.00 $0.00 Draw Price: Draw Price: $0.00 0 3-1 50% $0.00 0 0-0 40% 2 14/3/09 29% $6.25 $0.00 1 Draw - 1 Price: 71% $0.00 $0.00 00 28/2/09 60% $1.65 1 12/1/08 25% $3.50 $0.00 Draw Price: Draw Price: $0.00 1 3-1 17% $0.00 00 18/1/09 Not 50% 33% $1.70 $0.00 1Met - 2 Price: 43% $0.00 $0.00 11 33% $5.00 Draw 1 1/5/04 25% $3.40 $0.00 Draw Price: Draw Price: $0.00 0 2-1 86% $0.00 00 11/4/09 0-1 80% 57% $1.40 $0.00 1 Draw - 0 Price: 75% $0.00 $0.00 11 1/3/09 20% $8.00 2 17/1/09 29% $4.10 $0.00 Draw Price: Draw Price: $0.00 0 4-0 67% $0.00 1 14/3/09 33% $0.00 0 1Draw - 1 Price: 13% $0.00 $0.00 1 18/1/09 63% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00 0 0-2 86% $0.00 0 1/2/09 71% $0.00 3 0 Draw - 1 Price: 25% $0.00 $0.00 2 2/5/09 14% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00 0 0-2 67% $2.55 0 4/3/09 83% $2.60 1 0Draw - 2 Price: 50% $3.30 $0.00 0 3/3/09 63% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00
$2.90 $1.35 $2.85 $2.90 $10.15 $3.20 $2.85 $6.25 $3.20 $2.10 $3.15 $4.00 $1.50 $2.70 $3.55 $5.80 $3.20 $6.25 $2.65 $2.25 $3.15 $1.50 $4.00 $3.20 $7.30 $3.20 $5.05 $1.60 $1.80 $4.65 $1.65 $4.40 $6.15 $4.40 $4.65 $5.65 $1.65 $4.60 $3.65 $5.30 $2.40 $3.20 $2.55 $3.30 $2.25 $3.20 $4.00 $3.20 $2.70 $3.10 $3.00 $3.20 $2.75 $3.20
Barclays PREMIER LEAGUE
-WLDWLD L 1-2 D 1-1 vv Arsenal Bolton LLLWLW Stoke Wigan W 3-1vvChelsea Chelsea L 0-4 -WLWWWW Man Teams United W 3-1 v Tottenham W 4-3 v Man City Form Latest Match Prev Match Week 7 - 2:55am Sunday October 4, Reebok St - Sky Sport 2 Week 6 - Sunday September 27,WAnfield -LLLWDW Bolton 2-1 v Birmingham D 1-1 v Stoke Week 8 - 12:40am Sunday October 18, Villa Pk - Sky Sport 2 -LWLWWW W W 3-2vvChelsea West Ham WWWLLW Liverpool Tottenham W 4-0 5-0 vv Burnley Burnley L 0-3 WWWWLD Aston Villa D 1-1 Man City 1-2 vv Birmingham Blackburn -LLWDLL Hull City L 1-4 vv Sunderland LL 0-1 WWWWLW Chelsea W 2-0 Pk v Liverpool L 1-3 v Wigan Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Goodison Week 6 - 4:00am Sunday September Craven Cottage Skyv Sport 2 -LLWLWW Everton W 1-027, v Portsmouth W -3-0 Blackburn Week 8 - 2.55am Sunday October 18, Emirates St - Sky Sport 2 L-WLLWL W 2-1vvMan Everton L LDWLDL Fulham Stoke L 0-2 U D 1-2 1-1 vv Wolves Bolton WLLWWW Arsenal Arsenal 6-2vvMan Blackburn W 4-0 1-0 vv Wigan Fulham W-WWLLW LW2-4 City W Birmingham L 1-2 L 1-2 v Bolton Week DLLWLL 7 - Sunday October 4, Upton Pk v Burnley Week 6 - 3:55am St City of Light - Sky 2 -WLDLLL WestMonday Ham September L 1-3 v28, Man L 2-3Sport v Liverpool Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Goodison Pk -WLWLWL Sunderland 4-1v Arsenal v HullCity 1-3v vWolverhampton Burnley -WLLWLL Fulham LW0-1 LL1-2 LWLWWD Wolves Everton 1-1 vv Blackburn Stoke W 2-1 1-0 vv Fulham Portsmouth -LWLDLW LD 1-3 W Wolves L 0-1 v Portsmouth 2-5 v2 Sunderland Week LDLWLL 7 - 5:25am Sunday October 4, Old Trafford - Sky LSport Week 6 - 7:55am City of Manchester - Sky Sport LWWWWW ManTuesday United September W 2-0 29, v Stoke W 4-3 v Man City2 Week 8 - 5am Sunday October 18, Old Trafford - Sky Sport 2 (Delayed) W-WWWWL Man City W5-2 4-2vvWolverhampton Arsenal L L3-4 U LWLWLW Sunderland W 1-3v vMan Burnley WWWWWD Man United 2-2 vv Wigan Sunderland LW2-3 2-0vvLiverpool Stoke W-WLDLL West Ham LD 0-1 Bolton D 2-2 v Tottenham 2-1 2v Birmingham WeekLLWDWD 7 - 1:25am Monday October 5, Emirates St - Sky W Sport
7 6 1 57 44 13 58 16 31 7 2 3
-WWLLWW Arsenal W 1-0 v Fulham W 4-0 v Wigan Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Fratton Park -LLDWLW Blackburn W 2-1 v Aston V L 0-3 v Everton LLLLLW Portsmouth W 1-0 v Wolverhampton L 0-1 v Everton WWLLWD Tottenham D 2-2 v Bolton W 5-0 v Burnley Week 7 - 3:45am Monday October 5, Stamford Bridge - Sky Sport 2
6 4 2 6 2 3 8 1 7 8 5 2
WWWWWL Chelsea L 1-3 v Wigan W 3-0 v Tottenham Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Britannia St WLWWWW Liverpool W 6-1 v HullCity W 3-2 v West Ham DWLDLD Stoke D 1-1 v Everton L 0-2 v Man U LDLLLD West Ham D 2-2 v Fulham L 1-3 Week 7 - 7:55am Tuesday October 6, Villa Pk - Sky Sport 2 v Man City
7 7 8 7
-LWWWWL Aston Villa L 1-2 v Blackburn Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Stadium Of Light -WWWWLW Man City W 3-1 v West Ham WLWLWD Sunderland D 2-2 v Man U L 0-2 v Chelsea LWWWWL Liverpool
6 5 2 1
1 2 3 4
W 2-0 v Portsmouth 6 4 2 L 3-4 v Man U 6 5 1 W 5-2 v Wolverhampton 8 4 3 W 6-1 v HullCity 8 5 3
Week 8 - 12:55am Monday October 19, Ewood Park - Sky Sport 2 LLWLWL Wigan WWWLWD Man City
L 1-2 v HullCity D 1-1 v Aston V
W 3-1 v Chelsea W 3-1 v West Ham
L 2-6 v Arsenal W 2-1 v Birmingham
W 2-1 v Aston V L 0-5 v Tottenham
Not 1Met -2 28/2/09 Draw Draw
D 2-2 v West Ham n/a
L 0-1 v Arsenal 0
1 2
3 2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
1 4 5 8 7 6 11 9 14
W by 2 Draw W by 4 W by 1 W by 1 W by 3 W by 4 W by 3 W by 3 W by 3 W by 1 W by 1 W by 1 Draw Draw
0 1
0-1 38% $0.00 17/1/09 71% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00
$3.30 $2.60 $3.20
7 8
2 4
4 4
1 0
Not 29% $0.00 Met 50% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00
$2.15 $4.40 $3.20
W by 1
7 0
2 0
4 0
1 0
Not 29% $0.00 Met 0% $0.00 Draw Price: $0.00
$1.90 $5.15 $3.50
W by 2
Pts Pts Ave % Streak For Agst Score Win
Bon Comp Comp ASAP Pts Pts Rank Ratings
TAB Odds
Teams P
W
L
D
Liverpool 7 Man United 7
5 6
2 1
0 0
W4 W5
21 17
9 6
3 2
71% 86%
0 0
15 18
3 1
3.5 3.4
$6.50 $2.50
Chelsea Arsenal Man City Tottenham Everton Aston Villa Fulham Stoke Sunderland
6 4 5 5 3 4 2 2 4
1 2 1 2 3 2 4 3 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
L1 W2 W1 W1 W2 L1 L2 L1 W1
16 18 14 17 8 8 4 5 14
6 8 7 10 10 4 8 9 11
2 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
86% 67% 83% 71% 50% 67% 33% 29% 57%
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 12 15 15 9 12 6 8 12
2 6 5 4 9 7 17 12 8
3.1 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.8
$2.70 $8.50 $9 $125 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
7 6 6 7 6 6 6 7 7
Draw W by 4 Draw
5 1
RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS Ratings Last Rank Week
W by 1 W by 2
3 5
Week 8 - 7:55am Tuesday October 20, Craven Cottage - Sky Sport 2 LLWLLD Fulham n/a Hull City
43% 33% 29% 100% Price: Price:
Draw W by 1
8 7
Week 8 - 3:55am Monday October 19, DW St - Sky Sport 2 LDWLWL Blackburn WLLWLW Burnley
Met 50% $11.00 $4.70 Draw Price: $4.50 $3.90
W by 1
Bolton copped plenty of flack from their followers as the struggled to stay with Stoke at home. TheyLEAGUE got out withMatters a late draw. PREMIER Stoke are rating quite well having beaten Five goal wins Liverpool and Tottenham Sunderland andbyonly going down by 1 to over Hullin and Burnley respectively Chelsea their last two. highlighted last week along with Wigan’s Birmingham got oneThe away for ahas change flooring of Chelsea. upshot moved albeit against Hull The latter are bottom both Liverpool and 1-0. Manchester United above ranked by the ‘ASAP Ratings’, while Chelsea on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. Liverpool Birmingham are midfield. turf who were predicted to winAtby 4, Moor are on top, Burnley surprised with margin of 2, despite being 3rd on thea table. defeating Sunderland 3-1, with striker David Ratings Nugent ending his drought getting two. Trend Wigan competed well Wolves and were Among had otheralready lower ranked teams, 1-1 whenFulham Petr Cech sent 22 -08 -08 06 -10 -09 downed 2-1 was to get up leaving to 12th on the Chelsea with 10 for most of the16th 2nd or table although themen ‘Ratings’ suggest half. They the their penalty and again late 17th mightscored be nearer mark. to deliver coach Ancelotti his first loss. Over Liverpool are now on a 3 streak, 4 from at Ewood Park, Blackburn showedand how its PREMIER LEAGUE Matters 6 for the after downing a dogged done withseason 10 men, a late penalty giving them goals vUpton Blackburn Chelsea West away atAston Park. and did aArsenal’s 2-1 Ham and six ending Villa’s 4Torres win streak. imposing themselves 2-0 they on Liverpool the damage with two and rank 3rdat by Portsmouth’s losing streak went to 7 Stamford Bridge were among highlights both the ‘ratings’ and the table.the West Ham courtesy of Everton’s Louis Saha who had last week, along with Portsmouth announced the signing of Mexicangetting striker a threatened all day.during Portsmouth competed win over Wolves, something their home but Guillermo Franco the week. this was tough home crowd. supporters are on yet the to see. And another of the ‘topother five’, hand Arsenal, Liverpool fans on the are feeling Arsenal home moved to against the top Wigan of the ‘ASAP cruised 4-0 who which are something. The 6-1 drubbing of Hull, Ratings’ despite being 5th on the table. rating like3 relegation even to though included by Torres,candidates sent the winner the There’s under half a goal between the top they’re 15th on the table. Defender Thomas top of the ‘ASAP Ratings’ and the loser to four and Bolton made the top ten. At the Vermaelen managed two for Arsenal. the bottom. other end Hull, Wolves and Burnley are the Portsmouth away couldn’t take trick verse Tottenham, 6th by thea‘ASAP three lowest although ranked. Aston going down 2-0.4They’re now 6 Ratings’Villa moved into the top on the table from on the loss count.5-0 Although at home after 6slamming Burnley at home, Robbie Hull City got their 2nd,that upsetting Wigan who to Everton this tooongoing is looking Keane nailing 4.week, Despite the injury couldn’tofreproduce thefinds form that bowled ominous as latter some form.United Their issues Riothe Ferdinand, Manchester Chelsea the previous week. Its unlikley to super striker 2 to11 give showed their Louis great Saha depth bagged by making assisttheir thefor pressured management. Equally them 2nd this at ahome over changes thewin, second time in week. troubled’if not more so, Portsmouth, Blackburn 3-1. rolling Everton is reported to on be a 7 These included Ryan Giggs off the loss streak, got one over Wolves. The chasing Neill. bench toSocceroo secure a Lucas win over Stoke away. The former has them a newthis owner, Saudi businessman 2-0 makes week’s dinner host. Michael Owen repaid some debt as the hero Ali Al-Faraj. nailing an injury time up goal to get Sunderland backed their big Manchester win over The with quality of the above wins should United upanother, 4-3 over Manchester City. It will Hull 5-2 over Wolves atbe home. considered in the light positions go down asCottage another of of thetheir great clasheson At Craven Fulham produced the ‘ASAP Ratings’. Prior, three of the four delivering some spectacular football, and chances all match but were denied by keeper werewith the lowest ranked withagain Wigan ranked City, the showing they’re Mannone andluck, a quality Van Persie strike to 14.down here to play season. Meanwhile, go 0-1this to Arsenal. Bolton got City their striker Adebayor copped 3their matches for the second win upsetting Birmingham away Burnley came back from 0-5 v2-1 Van Persie stomping the thanks to a with late score by previous Chung-Yong. Tottenham a hungry 2nd half week. to get up 2-1early overdays Birmingham at home. The latter Its but new Chelsea coach Carlo Manchester City’s authority over most now has a confirmed Hong Kong based Chinese Ancelotti couldn’t haveagain hoped a better teams was byfor a 3-1 over owner, Carsen Yeung’s Grandtop Holdings. start. now 6 from 6 asputting Cole, Drogba, West They’re Ham with Carlos Tevez two on Away to Bolton, Tottenham were and Ballack all found the net in a down his former club. twice in the match before getting out commanding 3-0 over Tottenham at of Turf The this weekdraw is unquestionably Moorhighlight withBridge. a predicted at 2-2. Stamford Liverpool’s trip to Stamford Bridge (Chelsea), Everton who were expected tofirst winwin at This week3.45am Portsmouth seek a2. over Monday Sky Sport Earlier comfortably at home Stoke justatmanaged Everton, Saturday Sky Sport 2, 1.25am Sky Sport 2 to have Arsenal v11.40pm. a draw after a brilliant late strikers goal by Sky Sport while 2 alsoon has Arsenalmorning at Fulham, Blackburn, Sunday from Leon Osman. At Emirates Stadium, Sunday 4am,Sport Wolves at Sunderland, 2.55am Sky 2 have Bolton v Arsenal, who had 3.55am, been labelled to win by 3 West by the v Monday and hosting Tottenham followed by City Manchester United ‘ratings’, delivered 6 goals pulverising Ham, Tuesday 7.55am. Sunderland. Blackburn 6-2.
Week Eight
At Old Trafford Manchester United were looking certain to go down to Sunderland but the latter’s defence weakened when Ricardson was sent with 5 minutes to go and under pressure Anton Ferdinand deflected to his own goal in injury time to making it 2-2. The neighbours Manchester City also encounterd problems at the back as Aston Villa proved difficult to contain before Bellamy secured the predicted draw 1-1. Villa are showing plenty and have a shot at the top five or six. Highlights this week include Aston Villa hosting Chelsea then Arsenal hosting Birmingham from 12.40am Sunday Sky Sport 2. On Monday Sky Sport 2 coverage commences at 12.55am with Blackburn v Burnley followed by City at Wigan. Tuesday 7.55am Sky Sport 2 has Hull at Craven Cottage v Fulham.
12 12 Bolton 6 2 3 1 W1 8 9 1 33% 0 7 13 1.7 n/a 13 18 Wigan 7 3 4 0 W1 7 13 1 43% 0 9 10 1.7 n/a 14 15 Blackburn 6 2 3 1 W1 6 9 1 33% 0 7 15 1.6 n/a 15 10 Birmingham 7 2 4 1 L1 4 6 1 29% 0 7 14 1.5 n/a 16 13 West Ham 6 1 4 1 L3 6 9 1 17% 0 4 18 1.4 n/a 17 19 Portsmouth 7 0 7 0 L8 3 13 0 0% 0 0 20 1 n/a 18 17 Wolves 7 2 4 1 L1 7 13 1 29% 0 7 16 0.9 n/a Ratings Last Pts Pts Ave % Bon Comp Comp ASAP TAB Rank Week Teams P L D For Agst Score Win Pts Pts Rank Ratings Odds 19 16 Burnley 7 W 3 4 0 Streak L1 5 15 1 43% 0 9 11 0.7 n/a 0 4 Arsenal 5 5 2 1 0 W3 24 10 3 71% 15 5 3.3 $6.50 20 20 Hull City 7 1 L3 6 19 1 14% 0 4 19 0.4 n/a 2 3 Chelsea 8 7 1 0 W1 18 6 2 ASAP 88%Rating 0 21 1 3.3 Form$2.10 Graph Guide Key Source: The All Sports and Prices by ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record 3 2 Man United 8 6 Index 1 1(ASAP D1 Index) 19 produced 8 2 Cogito 75% Limited. 0 19 2 3.2 $2.75 Copyright ASAP Index © 2009 a 4computerised rating. This rating on of the sport. Factors which go the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The 1 Liverpool 8 5 is3based 0 L1the scoring 21 11mechanism 3 63% 0 15 6 3.1towards $10.00
RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS
Graph: The the 7trend the dates and the4 future 2.7 margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The 5 5 graph tracks Man City 5 of1the1ratings D1 between 15 8 displayed 2 71% 0 predicts 16 $10 form indicates the last8 6 matches. home 19 team 12 is listed2first.63% The ‘Value odds’ the$90 odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP 6 column 6 Tottenham 5 2 1 TheD1 0 16 column 3 indicates 2.5 Margin’ forecasts the likely Ratings’. All Sports And © Copyright 7 8 Aston Villawinning 7 4 margin 2 1 based D1 on the 9 ‘ASAP 5 1 57% 0 13 Prices 7 Index 2.2 n/a 2009. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
7 11 12 10 9 16 13 15
Everton Sunderland Bolton Stoke Fulham West Ham Wigan Birmingham
7 8 7 8 7 7 8 8
3 4 2 2 2 1 3 2
3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5
1 1 2 3 1 2 0 1
D1 D1 D1 D1 D1 D1 L1 L2
9 16 10 6 6 8 8 5
11 13 11 10 10 11 15 8
1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
43% 50% 29% 25% 29% 14% 38% 25%
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 13 8 9 7 5 9 7
10 8 13 11 15 19 12 14
2.2 2 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Rosehill 10/10 Rail: True
Weather: Fine
www.racingservice.com.au
Track: Slow 7
Email: racingservice@iprimus.com.au
Previous Rail & Bias: 6M 19/09 – Handy some ++
Possible Bias Today: With track rain affected hard to know how track will play. ?? pattern.
Phone: 02 93143902
Mobile: 0425 263481
Meeting Comment: Track likely to stay Slow. Watch pattern of racing. Bookie
Rating
1.
5.00
7.00
Race 1: 1.00 – 1100m
AMERICAN CREW
Munce
Video comment last run.
Form comment
4
57
F/S. Slow out & ran on ok in trial. Niggled.
2.
9.00
17.0
BALTIC
Parr
Ran home well in trial & did have improvement in him.
11
57
F/S. Sat 4th wide & ran on ok in trial. Ran about !!
3.
17.0
26.0
CIRCLE OF POWER
Callow
Green in trial. Blinkers on should be ++. A query ???
13
57
F/S. Sat 2
4.
26.0
34.0
HOWDIDDYDOIT
Robl
12
57
F/S. Led 3 off & faded last 100 in trial DT. Pushed.
Wide in trial but time was nothing special.
5.
6.50
4.20
INTERTIDAL
Schofield
10
57
F/S. Sat 3rd & ran on ok to win trial. Niggled.
Hit line well in trial. Sectionals good. Chance.
6.
6.50
8.00
ROCKAWAY STAR
Agnew
1
57
F/S. O/side lead & pushed along to win trial.
Pushed to win trial but is bred for the wet.
7.
8.00
6.00
LOHAN
Palmer
6
55.5
Slow out then 3rd 3 wide f/u. Ran on well to win.
Did good job to win at Tamworth. Bred for wet. Has experience.
8.
13.0
17.0
BELLA BELLAGIO
Buckley
8
55
F/S. Sat 2
9.
51.0
101.
CHI COMANDA
N Berry
5
55
F/S. Slow out & ran on evenly in trial DT. Niggled.
Trial nothing special. Would need to be a swimmer !!
10.
5.00
8.00
CIRCUS ROCK
Quinnell
7
55
Bit slow out DT f/u. Ran on evenly.
Went ok last Sat on slow track. Does have experience on most.
11.
19.0
11.0
MAGNOLIA LANE
T Berry
9
55
F/S. GB &ran on ok last bit in trial. Niggled.
Hit line well alst bit in trial & form good from that heat.
12.
13.0
17.0
MILANESA
Ford
2
55
F/S. Slow out & ran on ok to win trial. Niggled.
Pushed to win trial but did have some improvement in her.
13.
81.0
101.
MIRACLE MAGIC
Quinn
3
55
F/S. Slow out & ran on evenly in trial DT. Niggled.
Trial nothing special. Would need to be a swimmer !!
120%
110%
Outside Fence
nd
nd
& battled on ok in trial. Niggled.
& battled ok in trial DT. Niggled.
Trial was ok only but is bred for the wet ???
Trial ok. Did show speed.
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Baltic
Circle of P
Howdiddydoit
Magnolia Lane
Circus Rock
Lohan
Intertidal
Miracle Magic
Chi Comanda
Milanesa
Pace: Even/Fast Note: Map hard to do.
Bella Bellagio
American Crew Rockaway Star
Race Comment: No wet form to go on with the 2 year olds. Like the way Intertidal hit line in his trial. Lohan went good at Tamworth & although up in grade does have race experience. Thought Magnolia Lane had a chance at odds.
● 7. Lohan ● 11. Magnolia Lane ● 10. Circus Rock ● 1. American Crew ● 6. Rockaway Star
Nos: 5. Intertidal Bookie
Rating
1.
5.50
7.00
Race 2: 1.40 – 1300m
TURF EXPRESS
Avdulla
5
58
2.
5.50
4.40
EL SONADOR
Agnew
2
54.5
3.
4.40
5.50
NEESON
Robl
6
54
4.
13.0
21.0
KIMBERLEY KID
Quinnell
8
5.
11.0
21.0
OUR JOAN OF ARC
Schofield
1
6.
7.00
8.00
MY COOKIE MONSTER
T Berry
9
7.
11.0
8.00
FLIGHT COMMAND
Penza
8.
6.00
6.00
KHAS KURA
Quinn
9.
16.0
21.0
MAZZINI
120%
110%
Outside Fence
Munce
Video comment last run.
Form comment
Box seated l/s. Battled away. EC.
Drops a grade & claim ++ but failed on run slow/heavy ??
Used to lead l/s. Battled away.
Drops in grade & has won on slow/heavy. Chance.
Led l/s. Attacked at 700. Battled on ok.
Did not get much peace l/s. Handles wet. Fitter !!.
53.5
Box seated DT l/s. Battled ok. EC.
Not far away last start but El Sonador was better same race.
53.5
Midfield wide DT l/s. Faded last 200m.
Given no hope in Melb l/s but was beaten long way out. D Day!
53
Midfield l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Up a grade but is showing improvement. Untried slow/heavy ??
4
53
F/U. Sat 3rd & ran on ok to win trial. Not pressured.
Showed improvement last prep. Trialled well. Handles the wet.
7
53
F/U. Sat 2nd & niggled along to win trial.
Given easy trial. Untried slow/heavy ??
3
53
Midfield l/s. Tight 800. Railed up. Battled away.
Excuses but did not finish off last start. Untried slow/heavy ??
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Pace: Even
Outside fence:
My Cookie M
Kimberley Kid
Khas Kura
Mazzini
Turf Express
Flight Command
Our Joan Of Arc
El Sonador
Race Comment: A couple of queries here makes it a bit tricky. E/way El Sonador.
Nos: 2. El Sonador
● 3. Neeson ● 7. Flight Command ● 1. Turf Express ● 8. Khas Kura
Neeson
Bookie
Rating
Race 3: 2.20 – 1200m
Video comment last run.
Form comment
1.
3.20
3.80
STRAWBERRY FIELD
N Berry
4
58
Midfield f/u. Ran on ok. EC.
Hit line well first up. Has won in wet . Claim ++
2.
3.70
5.00
BEADED
Parr
1
55
Midfield l/s. railed up. Ran on ok. EC.
Dream runs both runs this prep. Soft draw ++. Untried slow/heavy
3.
10.0
15.0
INDIRECT
Schofield
9
55
Midfield f/u. Wide 600. Ran on evenly.
?? Went ok first up & did have improvement in her. Not sure wet ?
4.
21.0
26.0
ZAROCK
T Berry
6
55
Led l/s. Faded last 200. EC.
Did not show much fight last start & wet no ++
5.
Scr
Scr
SHATTERS
-Scr-
3
54.5
6.
14.0
17.0
LALETTA
Avdulla
5
54
F/U. Bit slow out & ran on ok in trial. Niggled.
New stable. Trial ok but nothing special. Has won in wet.
7.
6.00
5.00
JERSEY LILY
Ford
8
53
GB f/u. Railed up. No room from 200.
Would not have won but SHBC f/u. Fitter & handles wet.
8.
4.80
3.80
APOLLO'S PRIDE
Munce
10
53
GB f/u. Pushed wide. Ran on ok.
Hit line well f/u. Bigger track ++. Handled dead only wet run.
9.
Scr
Scr
DANZA DOLL
-Scr-
2
53
-Scr-
10.
Scr
Scr
TEMPO MANOR
-Scr-
7
53
-Scr-
120%
110%
Outside Fence
-Scr-
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Pace: Slow/Even
Apollo’s Pride
Jersey Lily
Strawberry F
Indirect
Laletta
Beaded
Zarock
Race Comment: The four picks all look to have chances. Like the way Apollo’s Pride hit the line at Canterbury first up.
● 7. Jersey Lily ● 1. Strawberry Field ● 2. Beaded
Nos: 8. Apollo’s Pride Bookie
Rating
Video comment last run.
Form comment
1.
3.20
4.00
Race 4: 3.00 – 1900m
GOD'S HAND
Avdulla
2
57
GB HT l/s. Pushed wide. Ran on evenly.
Ran well last Sat but that was on a bog ??
2.
10.0
15.0
ALEXANDER OF HALES
M Beadman
4
56
F/U. Sat 4th & ran on ok in trial. Niggled.
Trial nothing special. Wet form patchy. 1900m first up.
3.
7.00
5.00
FORT 'N' WON
Buckley
6
54
Box seated l/s. Tight 500/400 then battled away.
Slight excuses l/s. Wet ok.
4.
Scr
Scr
GOOD SAMARITAN
-Scr-
5
54
-Scr-
5.
5.50
6.50
MORECAMBE BAY
Palmer
8
54
Box seated l/s. Battled away. EC.
Beaten a long way into 3 rd last start but wet is some ++
6.
41.0
51.0
MR GILLY
N Berry
7
54
Slow out f/u. Only plugged.
Fitter but nothing special first up & wet no ++
7.
12.0
15.0
ROLLINS
Ford
1
54
Led HT l/s. Faded last 300m. EC.
Drops in grade but God’s Own better same race in wet last Sat.
8.
4.00
5.00
SIR FUSSALOT
T Berry
9
54
Led l/s. Battled ok. EC.
Tried hard l/s & drops 4kg here but wet is some ??
9.
8.00
8.00
TERANABA
Robl
3
54
120%
110%
Outside Fence
Sat 2
nd
ST l/s. Battled away. EC.
Ran well last Sat but that was on a bog ??
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Pace: Even
Mr Gilly
Morecambe B
Fort N Won
God’s Hand
Alex Of Hales
Teranaba
Sir Fussalot
Rollins
Race Comment: Very tricky. God’s Own & Terranaba both went ok at Randwick last Saturday but that was on a bog track. Not sure ??
● 1. God’s Own ● 9. Teranaba ● 8. Sir Fussalot
Nos: 3. Fort ‘N’ Won Bookie
Rating
1.
6.50
11.0
2.
31.0
8.00
3.
5.00
4.
Race 5: 3.40 – 1100m
Video comment last run.
Form comment
F/U. GB & ran on ok in trial. Not pressured.
Given an easy trial. Big weight & is better on dry !!
F/U. Led & not pressured to win trial.
Long time off & new stable. Trialled v/well at Wyong. Wet ++
Bit slow out then led l/s. Battled ok.
Freshened & suited 1100 around here but is better on dry.
F/U. No trial.
Honest without winning last prep. Wet ok but draw ??
56
Midfield l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Freshened since last run. Did run well in wet 2 ago ??
2
56
Wide then led ST l/s. Stuck on well to win.
Up in grade but did win easy on slow track at Q/beyan l/s.
9
55
O/side lead DT l/s. Faded last 250m. EC.
Did not show much fight last start but wetter the better for him.
Agnew
6
53.5
O/side lead l/s. Faded last 150. EC.
Did not show much fight last start but wet is some ++
MERCONMAN
Munce
11
53.5
Sat 3rd 3 wide l/s. Battled ok.
Wide & his run good last start but wet is some ??
11.0
BUDABAR
Avdulla
3
53
F/U. Led off fence & niggled along to win trial.
Trialled well. Has won in wet. No weight.
34.0
51.0
FULLAFIBZ
O’Hara
12
53
F/U. No trial.
Nothing special alst prep & wet form ok only.
7.00
17.0
GUDERIAN
Wells
1
53
F/U. Sat 4th & battled ok in trial. Niggled.
Trials nothing special & doubt wet ++
13.
21.0
26.0
MORE THAN CASH
Quinn
7
53
Sat 3rd 3 wide l/s. Faded last 200m.
Given no hope l/s. Wet ok. Not hopeless.
14.
15.0
11.0
EL CAIRO
Robl
8
53
Slow out f/u. Railed up. Ran on ok.
Hit line well first up. Gets back & needs luck but handles wet.
120%
110%
I'VE GOT TALENT
N Berry
10
61
MINDREADER
T Berry
4
58.5
6.50
EMPIRE PLACE
Callow
5
57
26.0
34.0
FASHION STREET
Buckley
14
56.5
5.
5.50
5.00
HUSSENOR
Schofield
13
6.
6.50
11.0
ZARATONE
Quinnell
7.
41.0
34.0
SANDBLASTER
Ford
8.
21.0
26.0
CONQUERING QUEEN
9.
11.0
17.0
10.
14.0
11. 12.
Outside Fence
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Fashion Street
Sandblaster
Empire Place
Pace: Fast I’ve Got Talent
Hussenor
Fullafbiz
El Cairo
Merconman
Mindreader
Conquering Q
More Than Cash
Budabar
Guderian
Zaratone
Race Comment: There does look a stack of speed here. Hussenor likes the wet & should be suited by the fast pace. Mindreader has had a long time off & is nine but did trial well at Wyong, likes wet & is good odds.
Nos: 5. Hussenor
● 2. Mindreader ● 14. El Cario ● 10. Budabar ● 3. Empire Place
Bookie
Rating
1.
3.00
4.00
Race 6: 4.20 – 1400m
FAULCONBRIDGE
Avdulla
3
58
Video comment last run.
Form comment
Box seated f/u. Wide 500. Battled ok.
2.
7.00
5.50
BERNICIA
Munce
5
Ok first up & claim ++ but the wet track slight ??
56.5
GB f/u. Ran on ok. EC.
3.
Scr
Scr
INNINGS
-Scr-
8
Ok first up & had improvement in her. Fitter & wet is ++
56.5
-Scr-
4.
6.50
8.00
LET ME ADAM
Palmer
10
56
5.
4.60
4.00
CENTENNIAL PARK
Quinnell
9
54.5
6.
41.0
51.0
EMPERATOR
Wells
6
7.
34.0
34.0
RHYNO CHASER
Buckley
8.
8.00
8.00
ROYAL ESPRIT
Ford
9.
26.0
34.0
TIBER
M Beadman
4
53.5
10.
9.00
11.0
SPEED DUBAI
O'Hara
2
53
120%
110%
GB f/u. Ran on ok.
Hit line well first up. Fitter & handles wet. Claim ++
Midfield wide l/s. Ran on ok.
Wide last start & trialled well since. Handles wet. Claim ++
54
Bit slow out l/s. Made some ground.
Slight excuses but nothing special l/s. Fitter. Not hopeless.
7
54
Slow out f/u. Only plugged.
Did nothing last start but did look new. Might need one more.
1
54
GB l/s. Tight 400. Ran on evenly.
Slight excuses last start. Weight drop is ++. Handles wet.
Outside Fence
Sat 3
rd
fast run race l/s. Battled away.
Fitter but really nothing special alst start. Untried slow/heavy !!
GB f/u. Came wide & ran on ok. EC.
Raced well fresh & hit line well. Handles wet. Chance.
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Pace: Even
Rhyno Chaser
Let Me Adam
Centennial Park
Speed Dubai
Bernicia
Emperator
Tiber
Royal Esprit
Faulconbridge
Race Comment: Just some reservations about Faulconbridge in the wet at the short odds. Something on Centennial Parl & Bernicia.
● 2. Bernicia ● 1. Faulconbridge ● 4. Let Me Adam ● 8. Royal Esprit
Nos: 5. Centennial Park Bookie
Rating
1.
9.00
6.00
Race 7: 5.00 – 1300m
HANDSUPFORDETROIT
Quinnell
4
58.5
Video comment last run.
Form comment
GB l/s. Wide & forward at 800. Ran on evenly.
2.
5.50
8.00
BUTTIDO
T Berry
2
Given no hope l/s. Good only run in wet !!
57
Midfield l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
3.
26.0
51.0
KING'S FIRST
Palmer
6
Going well this prep. Just some ?? in wet.
57
F/U. Sat 4th & battled ok in trial. Niggled.
4.
Scr
Scr
NORTH DAKOTA
-Scr-
Trial ok but nothing special. Wet form ok only !!
16
57
-Scr-
5.
4.20
5.00
MAYBE I
Schofield
20
56.5
6.
Scr
Scr
DE LIGHTNING RIDGE
-Scr-
17
56
-Scr-
FIVEOCLOCKSHADOW
-Scr-
TRESCORPIONI
Avdulla
1
56
-Scr-
11
56
14
55.5
Box seated l/s. Ran on well to win. EC. -Scr-
Box seated f/u. Ran on well to win. EC.
Draw out but not much speed so should get over. Wet slight ??
7.
Scr
Scr
8.
10.0
17.0
9.
Scr
Scr
BACI AMORE
-Scr-
10.
17.0
11.0
RUUD ROY
M Beadman
9
55.5
GB ST l/s. Railed up & ran on well t win. EC.
Got dream run to win at M/brook l/s but did win easy. Wet ++
11.
13.0
17.0
HILLBILLY DANCER
Ward
13
55
Box seated HT l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Won easy on heavy at Albury l/s & did run fast sectionals.
12.
11.0
15.0
SHAKETHEGROUND
Ford
12
55
Slow out f/u. Railed up & ran on ok.
Will improve he jumps & leads. Wet form patchy ??. Winkers on.
13.
Scr
Scr
KINGS PRIDE
-Scr-
18
53
-Scr-
14.
18.0
26.0
STARZANDO
Penza
7
53
F/U. GB & ran on ok in trial. Niggled.
Trial was & wet ++. Not hopeless.
15.
51.0
51.0
DOURAYA
Robl
10
53
F/U. GB & did not get much room in trial.
Hard to get a guide on trial. Untried slow/heavy ??
16.
21.0
34.0
ADMIRALS HONOUR
O’Hara
8
53
GB l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.
Bit disappointing last start. Wet form patchy ??
17.
34.0
34.0
RAPAURIC
Quinn
3
53
Midfield l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Hit line ok at Kembla l/s. Wet form patchy ??
18.
13.0
15.0
STA VOLANDO
Munce
19
53
GB DT f/u. Railed up & only wacked away. EC.
Trial ok since failing first up. Blinkers back on. Wet ok. Draw ??
19.
7.00
8.00
MADIBAGOLD
Callow
5
57
Bit slow out l/s. Ran on evenly.
Ok last start & form is good from race. Wet ok.
20.
Scr
Scr
JERSEY LILY
-Scr-
120%
110%
Outside Fence
15
53.5
Got good run to win at Canberra l/s. Wet ok. No hopeless.
-Scr-
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Pace: Even
Star Volando
Douraya
Outside fence:
Rudd Roy
Admiral’s Honour
Starzando
King’s First
Rapauric
Handsupfordet
Buttido
Race Comment: Handsupfordetriot has been costly but do think the wet track is his go & he was given no hope last start.
Nos: 1. Handsupfordetroit
● 10. Rudd Roy ● 5. Maybe I ● 19. Madibagold ● 2. Buttido
Hillbilly Dancer
Maybe I
Trescorpioni Shaketheground
Bookie
Rating
1.
Scr
Scr
2.
67.0
67.0
3.
Scr
Scr
4.
11.0
13.0
5.
Scr
Scr
6.
41.0
7.
13.0
8.
Race 8: 5.40 – 1500m
Video comment last run.
Form comment
AUSBRED KING
-Scr-
16
60.5
EL MEROO
Palmer
15
58
Slow out l/s. Railed up Only wacked away.
SNOW ALERT
-Scr-
3
58
-Scr-
DOTHIS DOTHAT
N Berry
13
57
Midfield f/u. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.
EQUABLE
-Scr-
18
57
-Scr-
61.0
BRIGHT MIND
M Beadman
4
56.5
F/U. GB & ran on evenly in trial. Niggled.
Trial nothing special. Wet form patchy ??
21.0
COUSIN WAL
Ford
6
55.5
Sat 5th 3 wide l/s. Faded last 250m.
Wide but beaten long way l/s. Failed only run slow/heavy.
Scr
Scr
MADIBAGOLD
-Scr-
10
54.5
-Scr-
9.
41.0
11.0
FOR CRUYFF'S SAKE
M Beadman
11
54
GB f/u. Ran on evenly. EC.
Nothing special at Canberra first up but fitter & wet is ++
10.
2.60
2.60
SOPHISTICATION
T Berry
2
54
Led l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Impressive 2nd go for Pride l/s. hard to get guide in wet ??
11.
17.0
13.0
STARRY LIGHT
Quinnell
14
53
Slow out l/s. Made some ground.
Excuses l/s. Does like the wet. No weight !!
12.
Scr
Scr
SUGARFOOT
-Scr-
19
53
-Scr-
13.
21.0
26.0
COMMANDS A SMILE
O'Hara
9
53
Led then box seated l/s. Battled away. EC.
Ok last start & does like wet.
14.
101.
201.
LE BRON
Buckley
1
53
GB l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.
Nothing special last start. Failed last run slow/heavy !!
15.
8.50
8.00
MESSENGER
Schofield
17
53
Midfield l/s. Tight 600. Ran on well to win.
Ok winning last start. Drops in weight & handles wet !!
16.
Scr
Scr
STONE CANYON
-Scr-
20
53
-Scr-
17.
6.00
8.00
WILLY JIMMY
Munce
5
53
GB l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Hit line well to win at Newcastle l/s. Ok only run in wet !!
18.
8.50
13.0
THIRD ESTATE
Quinn
7
53
Slow out f/u. Ran on fair in worst of track.
Excuses first up but did go ordinary Wet ++. ????
19.
51.0
201.
HALFAMETRESHORT
Wells
8
53
Midfield wide f/u. Faded last 200m.
Wide but beaten long way first up. Fitter & wet ok. Not hopeless
20.
26.0
34.0
VALIDATED
Robl
12
53
GB wide l/s. Ran on ok.
Given no hope l/s. Wet ok. Can’t dismiss.
120%
110%
Outside Fence
Pace: Even
-Scr-
Disappointing l/s. Fitter & wet will help but is D Day !!
Ok f/u & will be fitter. Wet form patchy but has some good wet run s.
Speed Map: Likely position run :
El Meroo
Starry Light
Dothis Dothat
Outside fence:
Validated
For Cruyffs S
Halfametreshort
Commands A S
Messenger
Third Estate
Le Bron
Willy Jimmy
Bright Mind
Cousin Wal
Sophistication
Race Comment: Sophistication shorts but hard not to be impressed with him at Warwick Farm 2 nd up for Pride. Looking back through his wet form his failures have been when he had been failing on the dry as well. He does have won good wet track back when he was racing well a few years ago. For Cruyff’s Sake likes the wet & has a chance at odds.
Nos: 10. Sophistication
● 9. For Cruyff’s Sake ● 15. Messenger ● 11. Starry Light ● 4. Dothis Dothat ● 17. Willy Jimmy
Diary of Meetings covered: October 09 Wednesday –
Thursday – 1st
Friday – 2nd
Saturday – 3rd
Sunday – 4th
Randwick Flemington
Monday – 5th
Tuesday – 6th
Wednesday – 7th
Thursday – 8th
Friday – 9th
Saturday – 10th
Warwick Farm
Rosehill
(Public Holiday)
Caulfield
Monday – 12th
Tuesday – 13th
Wednesday – 14th
Thursday – 15th
Friday – 16th
Kensington
Tuesday – 20th
Wednesday – 21st
Sunday – 18th
Randwick Caulfield
(Free Service)
Monday – 19th
Saturday – 17th
Sunday – 11th
Thursday – 22nd
Friday – 23rd
Saturday – 24th
Sunday – 25th
Rosehill M/Valley
Monday – 26th
Tuesday – 27th
Wednesday – 28th
Thursday – 29th
Friday – 30th
Saturday – 31st Rosehill Flemington
Abbrev: EC: Every Chance
RTS: Run To Suit
F/S: First Start
PTS: Prefer To See
F/U: First Up
GB. Got Back
F/U: First Up. RTS: Run To Suit
SHBC: Should Have Been Closer
ST: Slow Track
DT: Dead track
HT: Heavy Track
Bookies Market: Fixed odds markets @ 9.45 race morning. Market percentage close to 120% Rating Market: Our Assessment of what we think each horse’s price should be. Market Percentage close to 110%
Free SMS update & possible late mail service for Saturday & Public Holiday Meetings. The first three races are monitored and advice is sent via SMS to your mobile phone as to how we think the track is playing. Sometimes we get some late mail that might be handy. Submit your mobile if interested.
Weather: Fine
Caulfield 10/10 Rail: True
www.racingservice.com.au
Track: Dead 4
Email: racingservice@iprimus.com.au
Previous Rail & Bias: True 19/09 – Looked even.
Phone: 02 93143902
Possible Bias Today: Track even at last meeting with rail in similar position. ?? pattern.
Mobile: 0425 263481
Meeting Comment: Track should be upgraded early in the day. Bookie
Rating
Video comment last run.
Form comment
1.
11.0
15.0
Race 1: 12.00 – 1200m
RUSSIAN HEART
Newitt
3
57
Box seated ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Tried hard last start but sectionals that race were slow.
2.
5.00
3.80
TROUNCE
Boss
6
56.5
Box seated ST f/u. Ran on ok. EC.
Beaten in fast sectionals f/u & had improvement in him. 1200 +
3.
21.0
21.0
BEYOND PARDON
Hall
9
56
Slow out ST l/s. Ran on ok.
Excuses & went ok first up. Winkers on. Draw some ??
4.
6.00
7.00
LA BELLA ENCOSTA
Williams
5
55.5
Led DT l/s. Battled on ok. EC.
Would prefer at 1000m but does look the leader.
5.
11.0
11.0
ORINOCO
N Rawiller
2
55.5
Midfield ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Hit line well last start. Dryer track probably a ++
6.
15.0
13.0
GOVERNANCE
McEvoy
4
55
F/U. No trial.
Raced well fresh in Sydney last prep. No trial. A ??
7.
2.70
3.80
KING PULSE
Zahra
8
55
O/side lead DT f/u. Ran on well to win. EC.
8.
12.0
17.0
UNDERCURRENT
Nikolic
7
55
Bit slow out then sat 4
9.
31.0
61.0
DEMPSEY
Oliver
10
54
Midfield ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
All favours to win at Geelong last start. PTS up in grade.
10.
15.0
17.0
YES SIR YES SIR
Rodd
1
54
O/side lead l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Horse he beat at Seymour l/s beaten at Benalla since.
120%
110%
Outside Fence
th
ST l/s. Battled away.
Acid test but impressive at Geelong f/u running fast sectionals. Slow out but did have his chance last start. Dry could help ??
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Beyond Pardon
Pace: Even King Pulse
La Bella Enc
Russian Heart
Trounce
Yes Sir Yes Sir
Undercurrent
Orinoco
Dempsey
Governance
Race Comment: King Pulse was impressive at Geelong & obviously has a good chance. He has been off the map in Fixed odds so hard to come into the short odds now. Trounce ran well first up & did have improvement in him. E/way.
● 7. King Pulse ● 4. La Bella Encosta
Nos: 2. Trounce Bookie
Rating
1.
10.0
15.0
Race 2: 12.35 – 1400m
PHILDA
Williams
2.
4.20
5.50
ROMNEYA
3.
51.0
51.0
4.
7.00
8.00
5.
41.0
6.
● 5. Orinoco ● 6. Governance
Video comment last run.
Form comment
11
57.5
Box seated l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Racing well but is up 3.5kg for winning last start.
McEvoy
8
57.5
Wide then o/side lead DT l/s. Stuck on well to win
Prefer in Mares grade but is very honest.
DOWN UNDER BOY
Boss
1
57
GB ST f/u. Ran on evenly. EC.
Fitter but only just a run first up. PTS.
LARRY'S NEVER LATE
Nikolic
9
56.5
F/U. No trial.
Won 1400m first up last prep. 3 f/u runs for 3 wins !!
41.0
MONSIEUR FERAUD
Symons
13
56.5
Midfield wide ST f/u. Battled away.
Wide & ok first up but is drawn for similar fate here.
12.0
17.0
ARCH SYMBOL
Oliver
12
56
Box seated ST l/s. Battled ok. EC.
Fitter but touch disappointing both runs this prep. D Day here.
7.
9.00
8.00
LA ROCKET
Baster
3
56
Wide then o/side lead l/s. Battled on ok.
Worked in run & ran well last start. Soft darw ++
8.
21.0
41.0
SILKY SMOOTH
B Rawiller
14
55.5
Box seated l/s. Only wacked away. EC.
Has been disappointing this prep. Needs wet !!
9.
Scr
Scr
COUNT TO ZERO
-Scr-
7
55
-Scr-
10.
4.40
4.00
MAXISUN
Shinn
6
55
Sat 3rd 3 wide l/s. Battled on ok.
Wide & his run good last start. Too far back 2 ago. Chance.
11.
51.0
61.0
POISED TO WIN
Bowman
4
55
F/U. No trial.
Failed first up last prep after winning a trial. PTS.
12.
Scr
Scr
NINE TALES
-Scr-
10
54
-Scr-
13.
7.00
5.50
BY THE WAY
Newitt
2
53
Midfield ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Hit line well with 57kg to win l/s. improving horse on limit.
14.
21.0
51.0
ROYAL STRIKER
Dunn
5
53
GB ST f/u. Only plugged. EC.
Fitter but went terrible first up. PTS.
120%
110%
Outside Fence
Silky Smooth
Monsieur Feraud
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Pace: Even/Fast Philda
La Rocket
Romneya
Maxisun
Arch Symbol
By The Way
Larry’s Never L
Down Under Boy
Royal Striker
Poised To Win
Race Comment: Competitive race & typical of the day. Maxisun was wide last start & draw to get all favours here. E/way. By The Way with no weight has a chance.
Nos: 10. Maxisun
● 13. By The Way ● 2. Romneya ● 7. La Rocket ● 4. Larry’s Never Late
Bookie
Rating
Video comment last run.
Form comment
1.
13.0
11.0
Race 3: 1.15 – 1200m
HEADWAY
Boss
17
56.5
Box seated DT l/s. Battled ok. EC.
Bit disappointing last start. Draw no help but back to 1200 ++
2.
6.00
8.00
ROSTOVA
King
8
56.5
GB ST l/s. Railed up. Ran on ok.
Nothing special either run this prep. Dry could help. D Day !!
3.
151.
151.
GOLD ROCKS
Arnold
7
56.5
O/side lead DT l/s. Faded last 200. EC.
Has been disappointing since trialling very well on heavy. PTS.
4.
2.60
4.40
AVENUE
Oliver
10
56.5
Led ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Impressive at valley last start. More pressured here some ??
5.
12.0
11.0
GIBRALTAR MOON
Dunn
15
55.5
O/side lead ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Fas sectionals winning f/u. Out to 1200 with more pressure ??
6.
13.0
6.50
KANZAN
McEvoy
9
55.5
Sat 3rd 3 wide f/u. Battled ok.
Wide & her run ok in Sydney first up. Fitter. Chance.
7.
31.0
51.0
QUEEN OEDIPUS
B Rawiller
1
55.5
F/U. No trial.
Not up to this grade last prep but soft ++ so not hopeless.
8.
21.0
26.0
SO ANYWAY
Shinn
6
54
GB slow run race l/s. Ran on evenly.
Coming back from 1500m & can’t see that being any ++
9.
31.0
31.0
TALE OF LOVE
Hall
10.
11.0
6.50
MARQUARDT
Bowman
4
54
Midfield ST f/u. Ran on evenly. EC.
Nothing special first up but has trialled ok since. Not hopeless.
11
54
F/U. Sat 3rd & niggled along to win trial.
11.
31.0
41.0
QUICK BLUSH
Zahra
Trialled well in Sydney. Raced well last prep. Bowman ++
2
54
GB ST l/s. Railed up & battled away. EC.
12.
Scr
Scr
MY GIRL HELEN
Nothing special either run this prep. Has to improve a lap.
-Scr-
16
54
-Scr-
13.
Scr
Scr
14.
HUSH UP
-Scr-
14
54
-Scr-
61.0
MIRACULOUS MISS
Rodd
12
54
61.0
15.
17.0
GB slow run race DT l/s. Battled away.
Slow pace against her last start but did get beaten a long way.
26.0
CLOCKED
Newitt
3
54
Led DT l/s. Battled away. EC.
16.
Flattered by a soft lead last start & won’t get that here.
41.0
51.0
HERE NO TEARS
Nikolic
5
54
F/U. Sat 4th & niggled along to win trial HT.
17.
Trial ok & blinkers on but has found very tough race first up.
11.0
15.0
HILTON HEAD
Williams
13
54
F/U. No trial.
Impressive in Brisbane only run last prep but it was a weak race
120%
110%
Outside Fence
Hilton Head
Gibraltar Moon
Avenue
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Headway
Gold Rocks
Kanzan
Here No Fear
Clocked
Rostova
Quick Blush
Marquardt
Miraculous M
Queen Oedipus
Tale Of Love
So Anyway
Race Comment: Tricky race with queries on top two in weights (Headway & Rostova) & just some query on Avenue if the pressured is on. Worth nothing both her wins have been at M/Valley. Something on Marquardt & Kanzan.
● 6. Kanzan ● 4. Avenue ● 1. Headway ● 2. Rostova
Nos: 10. Marquardt Bookie
Rating
Video comment last run.
Form comment
1.
3.00
3.80
Race 4: 2.00 - 1000m
APACHE CAT
Oliver
8
58.5
Too far back ST f/u. Ran on ok.
Back to 1000m slight ?? but given no hope f/u. Good here !!
2.
Scr
Scr
TURFFONTEIN
-Scr-
3
58.5
-Scr-
3.
5.00
3.90
LUCKY SECRET
N Rawiller
12
58.5
Led 1 off fence ST l/s. Faded last 100m.
Doubt quick back up suited him l/s. Suited back to 1000m.
4.
15.0
34.0
WILANDER
McEvoy
6
58.5
O/side lead f/u. Faded last 200m. EC.
Fitter but gave up in a stride first up.
5.
Scr
Scr
KING HOAKS
-Scr-
2
58.5
-Scr-
6.
81.0
201.
HAPPY GLEN
Holland
9
58.5
Midfield ST f/u. Only plugged. EC.
7.
9.00
11.0
MORGAN DOLLAR
King
5
58.5
Midfield l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Back to dry ++ but got beat a long way on slow track first up. PTS. Ran well 1000m WFA l/s. Freshened since & that suits him.
8.
61.0
101.
UNCLE IVAN
Rose
11
58.5
O/side lead ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Good 1000m horse but not suited under WFA conditions.
9.
Scr
Scr
BOCUSE
-Scr-
10
58.5
-Scr-Scr-
10.
Scr
Scr
SEEKING ATTENTION
-Scr-
4
56.5
11.
5.00
3.90
WANTED
Newitt
1
53
Sat 3rd 3 wide ST l/s. Battled on ok.
Big run at valley l/s. Back to 1000 slight ?? but soft draw big +
12.
19.0
26.0
COMMON INTEREST
Dunn
13
53
O/side lead ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Not overly impressive at valley but big weight drop ++
13.
5.00
6.50
PAPRIKA
Brown
120%
110%
7
51
Outside Fence
Morgan Dollar
Paprika
Uncle Ivan
Wilander
Wanted
& niggled along to win trial.
Trial not sensational but has good record & no weight ???
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Pace: Even/Fast
Common Interest
Lucky Secret
F/U. Sat 3
rd
Apache Cat
Happy Glen
Race Comment: Could have tipped any of the top three picks & not sure about Paprika. Have a small share in Wanted so going to tip him E/way.
Nos: 11. Wanted
● 1. Apache Cat ● 3. Lucky Secret ● 13. Paprika ● 7. Morgan Dollar
Outside fence:
Bookie
Rating
Video comment last run.
Form comment
1.
13.0
17.0
Race 5: 2.40 – 2000m
MASTER O'REILLY
Duric
2
59
Midfield DT l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.
Probably fitter but was bit flattered railing up last start.
2.
16.0
26.0
VISION AND POWER
Bowman
7
59
Midfield l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.
Getting fitter but really nothing special l/s. Prefer on soft !!
3.
11.0
11.0
NOM DU JEU
N Rawiller
3
59
Midfield pulling ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Ok in Sydney last Sat but their WFA form does look suspect.
4.
41.0
101.
DOURO VALLEY
Nikolic
8
59
GB DT l/s. Only plugged. EC.
Fitter but did nothing last start. D Day here for the Spring.
5.
16.0
17.0
BAUGHURST
Melham
1
59
Midfield l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Honest last start. Would need all favours but no hopeless.
6.
2.00
2.50
WHOBEGOTYOU
Oliver
5
58
GB DT l/s. Wide 600. Ran on ok.
Flushed out early last start. Small field & slow pace will suit.
7.
3.50
2.50
HEART OF DREAMS
Newitt
4
58
Midfield DT l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Hard to knock last win. He has beaten Whobegotyou last 2.
8.
16.0
21.0
ZARITA
Dunn
6
57
Midfield DT l/s. Only plugged. EC.
Was reported lame last start so can improve.
120%
110%
Outside Fence
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Pace: Slow Douro Valley Vision And Power Heart Of Dreams
Whobegotyou
Zarita
Note: No genuine leader engaged. Anything could lead. Baughurst
Nom Du Jeu
Master O’Reilly
Race Comment: Not much between Whobegotyou & Heart Of Dreams but not much value. Going with better odds.
● 6. Whobegotyou ● 3. Nom Du Jeu
Nos: 7. Heart Of Dreams Bookie
Rating
Video comment last run.
Form comment
1.
11.0
17.0
RACING TO WIN
Bowman
11
58.5
Box seated fast run race l/s. Only plugged.
Chance on his win 2 ago. Has none on his last run. ??????
2.
5.50
7.00
BLACK PIRANHA
Angland
9
56.5
GB l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Both runs good this prep. Fitter. Chance.
3.
16.0
26.0
KING MUFHASA
Oliver
16
54.5
Midfield ST l/s. Tight 200. Battled away.
Excuses on slow track in NZ last Sat. Draw no help but dry ++
4.
81.0
101.
MENTALITY
King
14
54
O/side lead fast run race l/s. Faded last 200m.
Did the chasing but gave up in stride l/s. Past best !!
5.
11.0
11.0
ROCK KINGDOM
Williams
15
54
Wide then o/side lead HT l/s. Stuck on well to win.
Improved with blinkers on to win in wet last Sat. Dry no worry.
6.
9.00
9.00
GOLD SALUTE
Pegus
17
53.5
Midfield ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Hit line well to win with 59.5kg l/s. Good horse wet or dry !!
7.
11.0
21.0
CHASM
Benbow
12
53
Midfield l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.
Has not really finished off his last 2 runs. D Day here.
8.
5.50
4.40
RAHEEB
Shinn
2
53
O/side lead l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Ran fast sectionals winning with 56kg last Sat. Drops 3kg.
9.
26.0
26.0
MAGICAL PEARL
Tourneur
8
52.5
Box seated l/s. Battled away. EC.
10.
Scr
Scr
PINNACLES
-Scr-
10
52.5
-Scr-
Nothing special last start but is lot better suited at weights here.
11.
19.0
26.0
GALLICA
Newitt
13
52
Sat 4th 3 wide l/s. Battled away.
Given no hope last & went ok. Not hopeless.
12.
31.0
41.0
STICKPIN
Gauci
18
52
GB DT l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.
Bit flattered railing up last start. Strong 1600 & draw ??
13.
6.00
6.00
RAFFAELLO
Brown
1
52
Too far back DT l/s. Tight 700/400. Ran on ok.
No luck & just a ride last start. Just needs luck from back inside.
14.
81.0
101.
TEARS I CRY
Puls
3
52
Midfield ST l/s. Railed up. Battled away. EC.
Just a run last start & dryer track no real ++
15.
51.0
51.0
FAMOUS ROMAN
Symons
6
52
Bit slow out l/s. Ran on evenly.
Was entitled to have finished off bit better l/s.
16.
19.0
21.0
ALL AMERICAN
Boss
4
52
Midfield DT l/s. Tight 500/400. Ran on ok.
Excuses last start. Can improve but forever has excuses.
17.
101.
101.
PILLAR OF HERCULES
Baster
5
52
GB l/s. Made some ground late. EC.
Fitter but nothing special last start. Has to imp.
18.
31.0
31.0
ALLEZ WONDER
Payne
7
52
Midfield DT l/s. Railed up & ran on well to win. EC
Honest win last start but up in grade here.
120%
110%
Rock Kingdom
Raheeb
Race 6: 3.20 – 1600m
Mentality
Tears I Cry
Outside Fence
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Pace: Even
King Mufhasa
Gold Salute
Stickpin
Gallica
All American
Allez Wonder
Black Piranha
Pillar Of Hercules
Famous Roman
Raffaello
Magical Pearl
Outside fence:
Racing To Win
Chasm
Race Comment: The two weight horses Raheeb & Raffaello. Raffaello just needs a bit of luck from back inside.
Nos: 8. Raheeb
● 13. Raffaello ● 2. Black Piranha ● 5. Rock Kingdom ● 6. Gold Salute
Bookie
Rating
Video comment last run.
Form comment
1.
2.70
2.40
Race 7: 4.00 – 1600m
DENMAN
McEvoy
7
55.5
Sat 2nd l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Month off into last win & has improvement in him. Good horse.
2.
8.0
13.0
MANHATTAN RAIN
Shinn
6
55.5
O/side lead f/u. Battled on ok. EC.
Had had chance first up but will be fitter. Can’t dismiss.
3.
19.0
31.0
TICKETS
Arnold
8
55.5
Box seated l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
All favours to get home last Sat. Lot harder here.
4.
16.0
21.0
CARRARA
Brown
2
55.5
O/side lead ST l/s. Stuck on well to win. EC.
Very honest & has won last 3 but acid test this grade.
5.
12.0
15.0
STARSPANGLEDBANNER
Nikolic
1
55.5
Box seated DT l/s. Held up 250. Ran on ok.
Had excuses last start but just slight query at strong 1600m.
6.
4.60
4.20
TRUSTING
Williams
10
55.5
Slow out DT l/s. Ran on ok.
Hit line well l/s. Up to 1600 ++ but will give Denman a start.
7.
6.00
6.00
SO YOU THINK
Rodd
11
55.5
Midfield /s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Likely to be last & need luck but blinkers on is a ++ for him.
8.
19.0
26.0
EXTRA ZERO
N Rawiller
5
55.5
Midfield ST l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.
Fitter but had his chance last start & this harder.
rd
9.
61.0
101.
NICASTRO
Dunn
9
55.5
Sat 3
10.
101.
201.
RIVER'S LANE
Hall
3
55.5
GB ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Hit line ok last start but this harder.
11.
101.
201.
ECLAIR FASTPASS
Newitt
4
55.5
Midfield wide/cover l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.
Nothing special last Sat & this a lot harder.
120%
110%
Outside Fence
Manhattan Rain
Carrara
Starspangled
Won in slow sectionals last start & back to dry no ++
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Extra Zero
Éclair Fastpass
ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Denman
Tickets
Trusting
So You Think
Outside fence:
Pace: Slow/Even
River’s Lane
Race Comment: two good colts in Denman & Trusting. Trusting always has to give Denman a start but could not argue with Trusting E/way.
● 6. Trusting ● 7. So You Think ● 5. Starspangledbanner ● 2. Manhattan Rain
Nos: 1. Denman Bookie
Rating
1.
Scr
Scr
Race 8: 4.40 – 2400m
C'EST LA GUERRE
-Scr-
Video comment last run.
2.
51.0
101.
KIBBUTZ
3.
13.0
17.0
4.
15.0
5.
Form comment
16
57.5
B Rawiller
9
56
Midfield ST l/s. Railed up & battled away. EC.
Fitter but was flattered railing up at Valley last start.
ZAVITE
N Rawiller
7
56
Used to lead l/s. Attacked 1100. Battled away.
No peace in Sydney l/s. Fitter. Looks leader !!. can improve.
11.0
YOUNG CENTAUR
Nikolic
15
55
GB ST l/s. Ran on evenly. EC.
Back to dry ++. Will improve !!
6.50
6.00
CAPECOVER
Williams
2
54.5
GB DT l/s. Tight 300/250. Ran on ok.
Given no hope last start. No luck 2 ago. Chance.
6.
6.50
6.00
HISSING SID
Newitt
3
54.5
Slow out DT l/s. Pushed wide. Ran on ok.
Hit line well last start & had excuses. Chance.
7.
5.00
6.00
ALCOPOP
Tourneur
6
54
Midfield ST l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Got good run to win last start but does look to be on the up.
8.
31.0
61.0
FIGURE OF SPEECH
Rodd
10
54
GB l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.
Has been a bit flattered by dream runs his last 3.
9.
16.0
21.0
SAND HAWK
Shinn
5
53.5
Wide then o/side lead DT l/s. Stuck on well to win
Overcame difficulties to win last start but up in grade here.
10.
31.0
51.0
MR TIPSY
King
20
53
GB l/s. Wide 600. Only plugged.
Poor in Sydney last 2. Winkers on but PTS.
11.
101.
101.
HOORANG
Yendall
19
52
Midfield l/s. Tight 450. Ran on evenly.
Every possible railing up last Sat. Needs wet ??
12.
21.0
41.0
BRITOMART
Symons
11
52
GB DT l/s. Railed up & ran on ok. EC.
Has hit line ok last 2 but very best has been on heavy tracks.
13.
5.00
4.40
SHOCKING
Brown
8
52
Midfield wide ST l/s. Ran on ok.
Not suited by M/Valley last 2. Expect big improvement.
14.
41.0
101.
LADY AVACAN
Robertson
1
52
Box seated DT l/s. Battled ok. EC.
Every possible last start & this lot harder.
15.
9.00
17.0
PRECEDENCE
Boss
14
52
Midfield ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Fitter & 2400m ++ but not convinced he is any start.
16.
31.0
41.0
DANDAAD
Payne
17
52
GB ST l/s. Ran on evenly. Tight 100.
Did look beaten when has checked l/s. Fitter & dry could help ?
17.
51.0
61.0
ARAPAHO MISS
Holland
18
52
GB DT l/s. Wide 600. Ran on ok.
Lot better last start but will need luck from wide draw.
18.
Scr
Scr
COURTNEY
-Scr-
4
52
-Scr-
19.
Scr
Scr
FORDEE
-Scr-
12
52
-Scr-
20.
Scr
Scr
OAK HEART
-Scr-
13
52
-Scr-
120%
110%
Outside Fence
-Scr-
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Outside fence:
Mr Tipsy
Hoorang
Dandaad
Arapaho Miss
Pace: Slow/Even Precedence
Zavite
Lady Avacan
Alcopop
Sand Hawk
Figure Of Speech
Hissing Sid
Shocking
Capecover
Britomart
Young Centaur
Kibbutz
Race Comment: Competitive race. Expecting improvement from Shocking now he is away from M/Valley. Something on Hissing Sid.
Nos: 13. Shocking
● 6. Hissing Sid ● 5. Capecover ● 4. Young Centaur ● 7. Alcopop
1.
Bookie
Rating
11.0
13.0
Race 9: 5.20 – 1200m
RUSSETING
Arnold
14
56.5
Video comment last run.
Form comment
Sat 4th fast run race ST f/u. Faded late.
Given no hope first up. Fitter & dry +++
rd
2.
5.50
6.00
CHAMPAGNE HARMONY
Rodd
11
56.5
Wide then sat 3
3.
6.00
7.00
VELOCITEA
Williams
1
55.5
Midfield DT l/s. Ran on well to win. EC.
Got good run to win last start but draw for all favours here.
4.
41.0
34.0
ANTARCTIC MISS
Zahra
9
55.5
F/U. Sat 3rd & niggled along to win trial ST.
New stable. Disappointing last prep but did trial well. ???
5.
7.00
11.0
ROSE SYRAH
B Rawiller
2
55.5
GB ST f/u. Ran on ok. EC.
Hit line well at Valley first up but is up a grade here.
6.
13.0
13.0
ARMS WIDE OPEN
Symons
7
54
F/U. No trial.
No luck first up last prep. Did win 3rd up. A query ??
th
1 out DT l/s. Battled ok.
7.
51.0
51.0
DANEHILL SMILE
Brown
5
53
F/U. Sat 4
8.
Scr
Scr
DELYARA
-Scr-
16
53
-Scr-
15
53
Midfield DT l/s. Tight 300. Ran on ok.
Excuses both runs this prep. Fitter. Just needs a bit of luck.
3
53
Slow out then box seated l/s. Battled ok.
Ok in Adel l/s. Drops 3kg. Soft draw ++Not hopeless.
13
53
-Scr-
9.
6.00
5.50
TOOTSIE
Boss
10.
11.0
13.0
LA GOULUE
Shinn
11.
Scr
Scr
CROWN RUBY
-Scr-
12.
31.0
31.0
RUN ROXY RUN
Payne
13.
61.0
61.0
MOONDANCING
Newitt
14.
13.0
15.0
OUR LONA
15.
41.0
41.0
16.
9.00
9.00
120%
110%
& ran on evenly in trial. Niggled.
Did some work in run last start. Fitter. Chance.
4
53
F/U. GB trial ST. Not pressured.
Trialled ok but has found tough race first up.
10
53
Wide then led l/s. Battled ok.
Did not get much peace last start but is up in grade here.
Pegus
6
53
GB DT l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Hit line well l/s. Up a grade here but probably not hopeless.
BELLE'S READY
Dunn
8
53
GB ST l/s. Ran on ok. EC.
Ok last start but is up in grade here.
ABOUT READY
Smith
12
53
Box seated ST l/s. Held up 400. Battled ok.
Excuses l/s. Wide draw & winkers on ++. Will imp.
Outside Fence
Speed Map: Likely position run :
Russeting
Champagne H
Trial nothing special in Sydney. Has had problems ??
About Ready
Antarctic Miss
La Goulue
Velocitea
Outside fence:
Pace: Even Moondancing
Run Roxy Run
Our Lona
Rose Syrah
Belle’s Ready
Danehill Smile
Tootsie
Note: Russeting, forward, back or wide ??
Arms Wide Open
Race Comment: Mares !!. A lot of chances. Tootie has had excuses her last two. Just needs a bit of luck.
Nos: 9. Tootsie
● 2. Champagne Harmony ● 3. Velocitea ● 16. About Ready ● 1. Russetting