China’s Migrants Overview and Trends 2010
BEIJING ⏐ SHANGHAI BEIJING ⏐ SHANGHAI
The Next 10 Years? • China government simply attempting to quietly learn how to manage; allowing NGOs to play a role, though on a leash
• China is increasingly moving in the direction of the rule of law • NGOs playing an increasingly important role, particularly Chinese NGOs; a genuine shift in government stance on registration of social entities, either local or foreign (kept off balance) may actually happen within 2 years
• Chinese media is an increasingly powerful force (ex: crackdown of summer 2006) • Believe we will see migrants “gently” organizing themselves in “soft” groups to represent their interests
• Education reform will likely happen (could be catch 22 for govt) • Economic patterns show that people flow to emerging markets and naturally become a part of the growth themselves; might be painful initially but China should not be afraid
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