OIL PRICES’ INFLATION IMPACT FLEETING H
A GAS pump attendant fills a media vehicle at a gas station in Santiago City, Isabela, on Monday. Oil companies are being called to a meeting with the Department of Energy (DOE) this week to discuss the situation arising from the massive disruption to Saudi Arabia’s supply by an unprecedented drone attack on a major oil facility of the kingdom. CEASAR M. PERANTE
IGHER international oil prices could cause commodity prices to spike in the Philippines but this will be temporary, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) and local economists. In an interview on Tuesday, Neda Undersecretary for Policy and Planning Rosemarie G. Edillon told the BusinessM irror that the agency is still in the process of running the numbers, as the Department of Energy is rushing contingencies in the aftermath of the drone attacks on Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities. Edillon said the Philippines has other trade partners who can supply it with oil, so any uptick in oil prices and inflation may be temporary at this point.
“We’re expecting the US will actually step up. So if they can step up production [the impact will] just [be] temporary,” Edillon said. “It also depends on the response of the US with respect to their production and with respect to the political response.” In a Facebook post, the Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (Acerd) estimated that with higher oil prices, a 1.1-percent inflation in September would be in order. Inflation in September will still be low given that inflation peaked in September 2018 and the decline in rice prices due to rice tariffication will counter any increase in oil prices. Acerd Director Alvin P. Ang told the
B usiness M irror it would be difficult to say whether high oil prices will continue to affect inflation given that geopolitics was a greater factor in why this has happened. “Let’s hope that things settle down internationally and diplomatically. Remember we are entering the cold months when oil prices are seasonally higher,” Ang said. “The faster the international community addresses this issue the better for everyone.” Former Dean of the School of Economics of University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) Peter Lee U said the impact on inflation may be minimal if the oil supply disruption will last for only a few weeks. See “Oil prices,” A2
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A broader look at today’s business
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Wednesday, September 18, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 343
‘Faster growth to slash current account gap’ A
By Bianca Cuaresma & Cai U. Ordinario
@BcuaresmaBM @caiordinario
FTER recording deficits in recent months, the Department of Finance (DOF) said the current account balance of the Philippines is expected to “normalize” on the prospects of faster economic growth in the coming months. “The current account level will normalize as the country’s economic growth recovers and the [expansion] of imports of capital goods resumes,” the DOF said in an economic bulletin
released on Tuesday. The country’s current account is the balance of exports and imports of goods, services and income balances. It is usually largest and most
consistent part of its balance of payments, or the summary of an economy’s transactions with the rest of the world. After years of being in the surplus
1.03%
The Philippine current account deficit vis-a-vis GDP (or $1.74 billion) in the first semester, from 2.36 percent of GDP (or $3.76 billion) in the same period in 2018. territory, the Philippines’s current account was in deficit territory in recent years due to the government’s drive to ramp up infrastructure spending. In the first semester, the Philippine current account deficit improved to 1.03 percent of GDP (or $1.74 billion), from 2.36 percent of GDP (or $3.76 billion) in the same period in 2018. See “Growth,” A2
House nixes ‘dysfunctional’ GIE tax–Salceda
See “GIE tax,” A8
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n
No greater love than to give one’s life for the helpless Teddy Locsin Jr.
FREE FIRE Speech delivered by Foreign Affairs Secretary Teodoro L. Locsin Jr. in celebration of the 2019 International Humanitarian Law Day, September 9, 2019.
S
ENIOR Deputy Executive Secretary Michael Ong, Undersecretary Ricardo David of National Defense, Mr. Boris Michel of the International Committee of the Red Cross, honorable guests, colleagues in the government and the uniformed services, ladies and gentlemen, Good morning. Continued on A6
US grains body asks PHL to be transparent in ASF update reports By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas
W
T
HE chairman of the House Committee on Ways and Means on Tuesday reiterated the lower chamber’s rejection of a “dysfunctional” tax regime based on gross income earned (GIE) under the proposed Corporate Income Tax and Incentives Rationalization Act (Citira). Albay Rep. Joey Sarte Salceda, the panel chairman, said while the lower chamber is willing to give a reduced corporate income tax (CIT) rate as an incentive for qualified business enterprises, it firmly rejects the existence of a dual tax structure—GIE for those with incentives and CIT for the rest. Salceda noted that the reform of the GIE is a central feature of the proposed Citira. “The GIE is the mother of abusive transfer pricing, which resulted in P296 billion in taxes lost to abusive firms.”
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‘BINABOY NILA KAMI’ Marikina Mayor Marcy Teodoro (right) personally facilitated on Tuesday, September 17, 2019, the collection of water samples at the Marikina River for testing. Joining him in collecting samples are the City Health Office, Disaster Risk Reduction Management Team and the River Parks Authority. Asked for his reaction on the scores of dead pigs—suspected to have been downed by African swine fever—that were thrown, apparently by out-of-town entities, into Marikina’s river, Teodoro told the BusinessMirror, “Binaboy nila kami [They disrespected us].” PHOTO COURTESY OF MARIKINA MAYOR’S OFFICE
@jearcalas
ASHINGTON,D.C.—The United States Grains Council (USGC) has encouraged the Philippines to be always transparent in disclosing information about its African swine fever (ASF) outbreaks in order to keep the confidence of its trade partners, particularly American grain exporters. Data gaps—especially between the declared number of affected hogs and the demand for feeds— are bound to show up, it added, citing the case of China. It did not elaborate on whether it had basis to suspect anything amiss in Philippine government actions thus far. USGC Senior Director of Global Programs Cary Sifferath said holding back information about the ASF, as China is suspected to have done, could cost the exporters’ trust in the Philippine government. Being transparent on government efforts in eradicating the ASF would ensure predictability
in trade between the Philippines and its trade partners, Sifferath pointed out. “It would help [that the Philippines] is transparent [with its ASF outbreaks]. The [Chinese] government is trying to keep [its ASF outbreaks] a secret, [announcing] that it is only [present] in this area,” he told Filipino reporters at USGC’s headquarters here on Monday. “The more transparent [the Philippine government] can be, the better [for trade and business],” he added.
‘No comment’—D.A.
IN Manila, the Department of Agriculture (DA) refused to comment on the USGC statement. In a phone interview on Tuesday, DA Spokesman Noel Reyes told the BusinessMirror that Agriculture Secretary William D. Dar was not likely to comment on the statement. “No comment. That’s how we handle ASF,” Reyes said. “I think he will not dignify that. Why the need? What for?”
US 52.2620 n JAPAN 0.4834 n UK 64.9721 n HK 6.6842 n CHINA 7.3937 n SINGAPORE 38.0143 n AUSTRALIA 35.8726 n EU 57.5091 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.9332
See “ASF,” A2
Source: BSP (17 September 2019 )