BusinessMirror September 17, 2020

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₧3-T borrowing plan cut? ‘Let’s see’ T

HE government may opt to borrow less than the P3-trillion program it set this year amid the Covid-19 pandemic should the collection of state revenues continue to improve for the rest of the year, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said. This, after the government’s two main revenue-collection agencies—Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and Bureau of Customs (BOC)—surpassed by 7.17 percent the P1.527-trillion adjusted combined target set by the Cabinet-level Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC). However, Dominguez was quick to point out that combined revenues collected by BIR and BOC are still down 12 percent year-on-year as businesses were affected by the pandemic. For January to August, the government collected P1.637 trillion, lower than P1.864 trillion in the same period last year. “We are still short than what we would like ideally, but then again, revenue agencies have

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ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

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By Bernadette D. Nicolas

shown that they are still very active and that they are taking their job very seriously and have, in fact, exceeded the revised targets. But again I want to emphasize we are still about 12 percent below last year, so our borrowing program will be informed by these new developments and if these new developments are of course positive and we may not need to borrow as much as we did; but again, we are waiting to see how the rest of the year goes by,” Dominguez told Finance reporters in a news conference on Tuesday following the signing of the ¥50-billion loan agreement with Japan International Cooperation Agency for the second phase of the Post-Disaster Standby Loan (PDSL). Because revenues are down due to the pandemic, the government needed to borrow more to finance its spending requirements and cover its budget deficit. From an initial P1.4-trillion borrowing program, the government ramped up its borrowing program to P3 trillion this year and another P3 tril-

lion next year. The bulk of the borrowings will be sourced locally. As of end-July this year, government’s gross borrowings have already doubled to P1.86 trillion from only P839.75 billion in the same period in 2019. The Department of Finance has so far secured over $9.4 billion or roughly P455 billion in loans and grants from foreign lenders to beef up the government’s war chest against the Covid-19 pandemic. The DBCC also expects the country’s debt-toGDP ratio this year to increase to 53.91 percent of GDP—a level it has not seen in over a decade— from a record low of 39.6 percent of GDP last year. By the end of this year, the national government expects its outstanding debt to reach P10.16 trillion, up by 31.42 percent from last year’s amount. As tax collections are down amid the pandemic, the DBCC projects the country’s budget deficit to more than double to 9.6 percent of GDP or P1.815 trillion from only 3.4 percent of GDP or P660.2 billion last year.

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

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2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS

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DATA CHAMPION

ARRIVALS DOWN 76%, BUT TRAVEL FAIR NETS BUYERS I www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Thursday, September 17, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 343

By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo

WB FLAGS BAD PHL SERVICES FOR KIDS’ EDUCATION, HEALTH

Special to the BusinessMirror

NTERNATIONAL tourist arrivals fell by a whopping 76.3 percent to some 1.32 million in January to August this year, as travel restrictions in the Philippines and around the world continued to prevent the movement of travelers.

Data from the Department of Tourism (DOT), a copy of which was obtained by the BusinessMirror, similarly showed inbound visitor receipts slumping by 75.2 percent to P81.05 billion. The arrivals were computed based on reports by the Bureau of Immigration, according to the DOT. The visitor receipts for 2019 were based on DOT’s Visitor Sample Survey, and were used to provisionally compute this year’s figures. Despite these dire numbers, interest in the Philippines as a tourism destination appears to have been sustained, as 124 buyers from around the world are joining this year’s Philippine Travel Exchange (Phitex 2020), the largest government-organized travel trade event in the country. Tourism Promotions Board (TPB) Chief Operating Officer Maria Anthonette Velasco-Allones said in a virtual presser on Wednesday, “Many of the buyers, surprisingly, are from opportunity markets” and nontraditional markets such as Brazil, Bulgaria, Slovenia, Kazakhstan, the Czech Republic, Israel, Kenya, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Turkey, among others. The largest group of buyers, as per her presentation, are from key markets such as Indonesia (13), China (9), South Korea (9), Russia (9), the United States (9), and the United Kingdom (8). Phitex, to be held from September 22 to 24, will be conducted on a hybrid mode, with most international buyers attending virtually and sellers presenting their proposed tours and packages in online meetings from Panglao, Bohol, the host of this year’s event. There are 161 confirmed sellers from Albay, Baguio, Batanes, Batangas, Bohol, Boracay, Cagayan de Oro, Camarines Sur, Cavite, Clark, Cebu, Davao, Ilocos Sur, Iloilo, La Union, Laguna, Manila, Masbate, Palawan, Tagaytay, Rizal, Samar, Sorsogon, Zambales and Zamboanga, the bulk of which are hotels and resorts (92) and tour operators (63). See “Travel,” A2

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By Cai U. Ordinario

T

HE poor quality of education and health services received by Filipino children today will prevent them from achieving their full potential as adults, according to a report released by the World Bank. In the Human Capital Index (HCI), the World Bank said the Philippines’s HCI score was only 0.52, lower than its HCI score of 0.55 in 2018. This means that children born in the country today will still fail to achieve almost half their potential. The HCI ranges from 0 to 1. An economy where a child born today can expect to achieve complete education and full health will score a value of 1 on the index. In its report, the World Bank said with some alarm that the Covid-19 pandemic is already threatening whatever gains were achieved by countries, including the Philippines. Of the Philippine case, the report stated: “The importance that governments in the 1970s accorded to mass education in the country jumpstarted an expansion in school enrollment, with primary gross enrollment rates at about 100 percent and rates nearing 90 percent at the secondary level in 2017.” The report added: “However, while access has increased, quality remains an issue, with 15-yearold Philippine students scoring lower than students in nearly all other participating countries in the latest round of PISA [Program for International Student Assessment] in 2018.” Data showed that in the PISA 2018 examinations, about four-fifths of Filipino students or 81 percent recorded a below-minimum level in reading proficiency. A similarly high percentage of students performed below the minimum level of proficiency in mathematics. Continued on A2

A MAKESHIFT shelter housing a family of three on Delpan Bridge stands in stark contrast to the highrises undergoing construction in the background. Despite the government’s efforts to boost human capital development through programs such as the Conditional Cash Transfer and the Pantawid ng Pamilyang Pilipino Program, the Philippines continues to be a laggard in terms of the World Bank’s Human Capital Index among its Asean neighbors. NONIE REYES

T

HE updating of the regular foreign investment negative list (RFINL) will have to take a backseat given government efforts needed to recover from the pandemic, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). Neda Undersecretary for Planning and Policy Rosemarie G. Edillon said that Neda and other key government agencies are currently busy working on ReCharge PH, the government’s efforts to recover from the pandemic. Edillon said, however, that the

Neda will start reviewing the existing RFINL which was released in 2018 and saw the opening of several professions to foreign nationals. “The last RFINL was issued in 2018. We would have worked on the new one, but we were overtaken by events,” Edillon told the BusinessMirror. “We’ll work on it next year. Hopefully, we will already be able to incorporate proposed amendments to FIA [Foreign Investments Act], PSA [Public Service Act] and RTLA [Rice Trade Liberation Act].” The RFINL consists of a list of areas

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.4280

or sectors and professions where foreign investment is not allowed or limited in the country. It consists of two categories and the first is List A, or areas of investment where foreign ownership is not allowed or limited by mandate of the Constitution and specific laws. List B, meanwhile, cites areas where foreign ownership is limited due to national security, health, morals, and as protection for small and medium enterprises. Edillon said that with the postponement of the RFINL updating moved to

next year, the existing RFINL will continue to be in effect. She said the President does not need to issue a new Executive Order to extend the validity of the existing RFINL. The President signed Executive Order 65 on October 29, 2018, which promulgated the 11th RFINL. Under RA 7042 or the Foreign Investment Act of 1991, Neda has “the right and sole responsibility to determine whether to recommend to the President to promulgate the area of investment” in the RFINL. See “RFINL,” A2

ROY DOMINGO

Pandemic focus delays RFINL updating

THE BROADER LOOK » A4-A5

PRIVATE SECTOR’S JOURNEY AMID PANDEMIC MARKED BY FORTITUDE, INNOVATIONS

n JAPAN 0.4595 n UK 62.4334 n HK 6.2488 n CHINA 7.1409 n SINGAPORE 35.5905 n AUSTRALIA 35.3428 n EU 57.3823 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.9111

Source: BSP (September 16, 2020)


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