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Friday, September 14, 2018 Vol. 13 No. 335
TRAIN 2 year-end OK in Senate faces delay A
By Butch Fernandez & Cai U. Ordinario
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BIPARTISAN consensus is shaping up among senators for a more careful consideration of the administration’s second major tax-reform measure, as senators raised the possibility it may not be passed by Christmas—a wish expressed by President Duterte in his recent televised tête-à-tête with Presidential Counsel Salvador Panelo. Several senators both from the majority and the minority told the BusinessMirror on Thursday that rushing the next-round reforms, which would cut corporate income
taxes and “rationalize” fiscal incentives to business, is made difficult mainly by time constraints and the need to vet controversial provisions, especially the projected
loss of tax perks for locators in economic zones. As the nation still has to get fully satisfactory explanations from economic managers about the
“I think our priority is definitely not to make the situation worse in terms of inflation, so any incentive that is taken away that would lead to a possible rise in prices, that’s out of the question.”—Angara
“terrible miscalculations” and “mistaken and inaccurate assumptions” in the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) law that took effect last January 1, 2018, rushing a complex bill like TRAIN 2 when Congress is busy with the 2019 budget doesn’t make sense, Continued on A2
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issues that have been driving up inflation,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said in a statement. The removal of the NTBs, including administrative barriers, can help speed up the entry of imported food items into the country’s borders. The proposed EO will take off from the measures and reforms identified by the EDC to tame food inflation. Immediate to short-term measures include making rice available in the market through immediate release of stocks from National Food Authority warehouses, importation and distribution of projected harvest; monitoring of rice transfer from ports to warehouses and retail outlets; and the speedy passage of the rice tariffication bill. Continued on A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 54.009
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Today’s inflation in light of history
Luis F. Dumlao
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NFLATION in August reached 6.4 percent, topping economists’ expectations that range from 5.8 to 6.2 percent and the Department of Finance’s projection of 5.9 percent immediately before the announcement. More so, inflation in August marks the first time in nine years that it breached 6 percent. So, understandably, policy-makers, economists and finance pundits have rushed to find the cause of the recent uptick in inflation. This essay is an attempt to summarily show the causes of extreme inflation in history and to show where the present inflation is from a historical point of view. The causes of extreme inflation in history can be summarily shown in the attached figure. In the 1970s, inflation peaked at 34.5 percent in 1974 immediately after the 1973 oil crisis, when the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries or Opec embargoed its supply, causing the global price of oil to increase from $3 to $12 (a 300-percent increase). Though less extreme, inflation spiked again at 18.2 percent in 1980 immediately after the 1979 oil crisis due to decreased supply of oil in the midst of the Iranian Revolution, causing the price to increase from roughly $20 to $40 (a 100-percent increase). Continued on A11
Draft EO by Cabinet scraps NTBs on food
HE Economic Development Cluster (EDC) has submitted to the President a draft executive order (EO) that removes nontariff barriers (NTBs) on food items to temper inflation, which surged to a nine-year high in August. The National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) said the EO will focus on fish, rice, sugar, meat and vegetables, which have been considered as the major contributors to inflation in the past two months. The Neda added that fish and seafood, rice and meat, and vegetables accounted for 2.4 percentage points of the 6.4-percent inflation rate in August. “The issuance of the executive order, as well as quick implementation of immediate and short-term measures, will address the supply
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US bidders shun New Clark City By Rea Cu
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BRACING FOR OMPONG The Ipo Dam in Bulacan is seen on Thursday, with a 100.05-meter elevation level, nearing its spilling level of 101.02 meters. It is one of Luzon’s key dams that are under constant watch as the nation braces for Typhoon Ompong, tagged as the strongest typhoon to hit the Philippines this year. Story on A12. NONIE REYES
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HE Department of Finance (DOF) has questioned the absence of American investors in the Duterte administration’s flagship infrastructure project to develop the Clark Freeport Zone, a former United States military air base, into the country’s next big metropolis. In a meeting with United States Assistant Secretary of State Manisha Singh, the finance chief said the absence of American investors in the bidding for the New Clark City development project could indicate that American investors “have no interest” in taking part in the
n JAPAN 0.4855 n UK 70.4817 n HK 6.8814 n CHINA 7.8667 n SINGAPORE 39.3709 n AUSTRALIA 38.7137 n EU 62.8017 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.3990
Continued on A2
Source: BSP (13 September 2018 )