BusinessMirror September 11, 2020

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Debt-to-GDP ratio to hit 46.7% in 2020 By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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HE country’s general government (GG) debt-to-GDP ratio is seen to rise to 46.7 percent this year as the government borrows more to boost its war chest against the Covid-19 pandemic despite revenue erosion from the economic shock. Despite the foreseen increase in the country’s GG debt ratio from 34.1 percent in 2019, National Treasurer Rosalia V. de Leon told senators on Thursday that this level would put the Philippines in the median of its credit rating peers. “For 2020, our general government debt as a percentage of GDP is about 46.7 percent and we will be in the middle of the pack against

FILIPINO seafarers leave the tugboat Jabbah, which transported them from their ship, the MV Dapeng Star, during the first crew-change operation in the Subic Bay Freeport on Thursday. Story on A2. HENRY EMPEÑO

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other…countries like Thailand, 49.5 [percent], Malaysia, 65.5 [percent], and Mexico, 65.9 [percent],” De Leon said on the second day of the briefing by the Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) before the Senate on the proposed 2021 national budget. GG debt includes outstanding debt of the national government, social security institutions and local government units minus the intra-sector debt holding of government securities, including those under the Bond Sinking Fund. The government’s projection on the share of GG debt compared to its economy is also below the Fitch Ratings’ expectation of 47.8 percent this year. Nonetheless, Fitch said this would still be

below the projected peer median of 51.7 percent, although it is a “substantial increase” from the 2019 level. Moving forward, Fitch also sees the country’s GG debt ratio rising to 49.8 percent in 2021 and 50.1 percent in 2022. For this year, the Cabinet-level DBCC expects the country’s national government debtto-GDP ratio to surge to 49.8 percent from 39.6 percent last year. The DBCC also expects the country’s debtto-GDP ratio this year to increase to 53.91 percent of GDP—a level that it has not seen in over a decade—from a record low of 39.6 percent of GDP last year. For 2021 and 2022, this is seen to surge to 58.1 percent and 59.9 percent, respectively.

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Friday, September 11, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 337

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

A MOTH accompanies a visitor paying respects to the martyrs and heroes who fought against the Marcos dictatorship at the “Wall of Remembrance” installed at the Bantayog ng mga Bayani monument, museum and historical research center in Quezon City. The House of Representatives recently approved House Bill 7137, declaring every September 11 as “President Ferdinand Edralin Marcos Day” in Ilocos Norte. BERNARD TESTA

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By Cai U. Ordinario

HILIPPINE export earnings retreated again in July, but the single-digit contraction is seen as an improvement by the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda).

On Thursday, data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) showed export earnings contracted 9.6 percent to $5.65 billion in July 2020. This was better than the 12.5 percent posted in June 2020. In a budget hearing at the Senate on Thursday, Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said the improvement is one of the signs that their 6.5-percent to 7.5-percent growth expectation is achievable next year.

“We think that the 6.5 to 7.5 [percent growth] under our base assumptions is achievable provided that the recovery continues,” Chua said. “The times right now are very uncertain and every month we are looking at monthly data on exports, manufacturing production, imports, prices, labor force, all of them actually show significant improvement, especially the trade Continued on A2

House panel accepts Price Act amendments By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

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HE House Committee on Trade and Industry on Thursday accepted the proposals amending the Republic Act 7581 or Price Act to include several basic commodities in the coverage of the law. During the hearing of the committee on the proposed amendments to RA 7581, Trade Undersecretary Ruth Castelo said the 28-year-old Price Act is now “very old law and needs to be updated.”

House Committee on Trade and Industry Chairman Weslie Gatchalian approved the proposals of the DTI, which will be consolidated with the three other bills seeking the same amendments. Gatchalian said these bills include HBs 1278 and 2662 providing protection to consumers by expanding the definition of basic necessities and prime commodities; HB 5176 imposing an automatic price control on prices of construction materials during certain situations; and HB 6658 declaring personal protective

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.6150

equipment (PPE), face masks, safety goggles and medical devices as prime commodities. Gatchalian also backed the DTI’s proposals to include tea, cereal, ready mixed coffee, alcohol, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, infrared body thermometers, PPE including face masks of all kinds, gloves, coveralls, hair caps, shoe covers, face shields and goggles as basic necessities. The lawmaker also backed the inclusion of bicycles and laptops in the coverage of the law.

Toothbrushes, toothpastes, shampoos, dippers, pails, umbrellas, raincoats, school supplies, rough forest lumber, LED fluorescent lamps/bulbs and fluorescent have also been pushed for inclusion in the proposal. Moreover, Castelo said the DTI proposals seek to adapt to the present conditions dealing with price stabilization and to update the loss of basic necessities and prime commodities. She said the proposal also

ADB PILOTS 1ST DISASTER INSURANCE SCHEME, OKs $500-M LOAN FOR PHL

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HE Asian Development Bank (ADB) has approved a $500-million loan to help the Philippines prepare for natural hazards or public health emergencies, including piloting the first disaster insurance scheme in Southeast Asia. In a statement, the ADB said the new policy-based loan supports pending legislation in Congress to merge the functions of the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council and the Office of Civil Defense under a new Department of Disaster Resilience. This is seen to speed up the government’s disaster response and substantially reduce coordination and bureaucratic inefficiencies. ADB Vice President Ahmed M. Saeed said this financing will help the country since it has been hit not only by the pandemic but by major disasters in recent years, including Supertyphoon Haiyan (Yolanda) in 2013 and the Taal Volcano eruption in January 2020. “This new contingent disaster financing instrument will help the government manage fiscal risks posed by those shocks and lessen the economic and social impacts on people’s livelihoods and the country’s economy,” Saeed added. The disaster insurance scheme will be piloted in several cities across the country to bolster their fiscal resilience. It also aims to provide a predictable, timely source of financing for post-disaster response. See “ADB,” A2

See “Price Act,” A2

n JAPAN 0.4579 n UK 63.2092 n HK 6.2724 n CHINA 7.1158 n SINGAPORE 35.5607 n AUSTRALIA 35.3966 n EU 57.3851 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.9623

Source: BSP (September 10, 2020)


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