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NTERNATIONAL credit ratings agency Moody’s Investors Service is looking to revise downward its growth forecast of the Philippines, following recent developments that put the country out of the so-called economic sweet spot of high growth and low inflation.
With advent of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, PIDS urges government to prepare social protection nets for illiterate, elderly.
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In an interview with the BusinessMirror, Moody’s Vice President and Senior Credit Officer Christian de Guzman confirmed that they will revise their current 6.8-percent growth forecast of the Philippines downward, following the weaker-than-expected 6-percent growth in the second quarter of the year. De Guzman said the disappointing 6-percent second-quarter growth, coupled with the rapid
tightening monetary policy levers and the negative outlook on external demand, will cause the economy to fall short of their earlier growth trajectory projection. The Philippines’ persistently high inflation rate, de Guzman also said, reinforced their July view that taming the strong growth of consumer prices poses material challenges to local policy makers. Despite public concerns on
slower growth, the Moody’s official said the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has made the “appropriate response” in dealing with the stubbornly high inflation rate of the country, and lauded its “datadependent” moves. In a separate response to the BusinessMirror, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Resident Representative to the Philippines Yongzheng Yang also affirmed that they are currently monitoring de-
velopments in the local economy and will revise forecasts when warranted. Yang also specifically mentioned the need for further tightening from the BSP, even after the Central Bank already hiked its main policy rates by a total of 100 basis points in the past months. “Specifically, there is a need for further tightening of monetary policy by raising interest Continued on A2
CASUALTIES OF CHANGE
By Cai U. Ordinario
NEW set of social protection programs is needed to ensure that the needs of Filipinos expected to be displaced by the Fourth Industrial Revolution (FIR) will be addressed, according to the Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS). In an interview at the sidelines of the commemoration of the Development Policy Research Month (DPRM) early this week, PIDS senior research fellow Jose Ramon
Albert said the FIR will leave behind some Filipinos, particularly the illiterate and elderly. This year’s DPRM theme is “Harnessing the Fourth Industrial
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By Bianca Cuaresma
SKYPIXEL | DREAMSTIME.COM
With high inflation, credit raters eyeing tweaks to growth forecasts for PHL
Revolution: Creating Our Future Today” (Filipino translation: “Isulong ang Fourth Industrial Revolution Tungo sa Katuparan ng Ating Kinabukasan Ngayon”). “This is where social protection comes in. That’s why you have to rethink. The traditional mode of thinking when it comes to social protection and even labor policy has always been job security, that’s why the endo [is] being removed, but is it the right thing? If you will be moving from one job to another, shouldn’t we think of income security rather than job security?” Albert said. “Right now, our concept of pantawid [stopgap cash dole-out] is just the poor people identified, they have children, but what if they don’t have children? What if they are already seniors? We don’t have a road map [for them that’s why] we know some people will potentially be left behind,” he explained.
Out-of-the-box ideas
ALBERT said for those Filipinos who will find themselves out of jobs in the event that their companies auContinued on A2
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Source: BSP (September 6, 2018 )