BusinessMirror September 04, 2020

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ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

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EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

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DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

DATA CHAMPION

AS JOBLESS RATES STAY HIGH, GROWTH ‘LIMPING’ www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Friday, September 4, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 330

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

By Cai U. Ordinario

HE double-digit national jobless rate will continue to hobble Philippine economic performance in the third quarter, local analysts said on Thursday following the release of the results of the July Labor Force Survey (LFS).

The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said the country’s jobless rate increased to 10 percent in July 2020 from 5.4 percent in July 2019. However, the rate is an improvement from the 17.7 percent posted in April 2020. The PSA noted that among the regions with the highest unemployment rates are the country’s primary growth centers—National Capital Region, Calabarzon and Central

Luzon with unemployment rates of 15.8 percent, 12.4 percent and 10.9 percent, respectively. “As long as unemployment is high, output will still be limping. We expect Q3 [third quarter] GDP at -10.6 percent, seemingly reflecting this latest 10-percent unemployment rate,” Unionbank Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion told the BusinessMirror. Continued on A2

PANDEMIC COULD WIPE OUT PHL’S ECONOMIC GAINS, MOODY’S WARNS

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OODY’S Investors Service warned the Philippines of potential “acute cyclical challenges” to its previously touted economic strength due to the coronavirus disruptions, all while lowering its growth estimate for the country further for 2020. The credit watcher said it now sees a 7-percent contraction for the Philippine economy in 2020, further dampening hopes of recovery for the year. Moody’s previous forecast was a decline of just 4.5 percent for this year. “This scenario is balanced against the risk that the economy’s potential is hit more significantly than we currently estimate and/or that fiscal and economic reform momentum does not resume, leaving the Philippines’s economic and fiscal strength somewhat weaker. In particular, the near- to medium-term economic outlook remains uncertain given the persistence of coronavirus infections both domestically and globally, especially among the Philippines’s largest trading partners and key destinations and sectors for overseas labor,” economists at Moody’s said. “Continued domestic transmission poses risks of a wider return to stricter lockdown conditions, impeding the recovery projected to commence during the second half of 2020. Lower remittances from overseas Filipinos could also weigh on incomes and consumption to a greater extent than we currently estimate,” it added. The projected 7-percent contraction is a sharp contrast to the strong 6-percent growth seen in 2019 and the 6.6-percent average growth in the preceding five years. Moody’s raised concerns that the pandemic may wipe off the gains seen in the past six years. “The Philippines’s credit profile has been characterized in recent years by strong economic performance, a strengthening fiscal position and limited vulner-

See “Moody’s,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.5910

EXCAVATORS fill the 500-meter stretch of the famed baywalk on Manila Bay with white sand as part of the bay’s rehabilitation efforts. The Department of Environment and Natural Resources is working double time to finish the project in time for International Coastal Cleanup Day on September 19, 2020. NONIE REYES

House opens hearings on ₧4.5-T ’21 budget By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

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HE House of Representatives will start on Friday (today) scrutinizing the P4.5-trillion 2021 National Expenditure Program (NEP). Invited to the first day of the budget hearing at the plenary hall are members of the Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC): Budget Secretary Wendel Avisado, Finance Secretary Carlos Dominguez, acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick Chua, and Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Benjamin Diokno. Unlike the previous hearings, Deputy Speaker for Finance Luis Raymund Villafuerte

said a maximum of 50 attendees will be present physically in Congress, including representatives from each agency to be chosen by their respective departments. He said the rest of the House members and the national agencies’ officials will join the deliberations via teleconferencing apps. “The leadership really has to make sure that aside from being transparent and deliberative, the hearings must be safe. That’s why the number of people present has to be limited, but at the same time it doesn’t mean that those participating through Zoom cannot participate. However, if there are issues in which they must be personally present, they can be summoned,” he said.

Speaker Alan Peter Cayetano said the House is eyeing to finish the budget hearings before the end of this month and immediately transmit the expenditure program to the Senate for its own deliberations. “For the first time in history, we can sign the budget maybe late November or mid-November as a sign of unity by our country,” he said. Under the schedule, the budget hearings for Department of Agrarian Reform, Department of Energy, Energy Regulatory Commission, Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office, Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corp. will be on Monday, September 7.

Facing the House on Tuesday are Department of National Defense, Department of Environment and Natural Resources, Department of Foreign Affairs, and Department of Social Welfare and Development. On Wednesday, the Department of Science and Technology, Department of Trade and Industry, Technical Skills and Development Authority, Department of Labor and Employment and Commission on Higher Education are expected to defend their budget. On Thursday, invited to the budget hearings are Department of the Interior and Local Government, Department of Tourism, and Department of Agriculture.

See “Budget,” A2

n JAPAN 0.4577 n UK 64.8981 n HK 6.2700 n CHINA 7.1065 n SINGAPORE 35.6527 n AUSTRALIA 35.6366 n EU 57.6143 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.9565

Source: BSP (September 3, 2020)


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