BMReports
Can PHL wean itself off coal? By Rea Cu
@ReaCuBM
Conclusion
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REPORT for educational and informational purposes by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) and the Institute for Climate and Sustainable Cities (ICSC) provides an overview of the country’s coal sector. “The 10,423 megawatts [MW] of coal-fired power plants in the current pipeline is emblematic of the Philippines’s growing dependence on imported coal,” the report titled “Carving out Coal in the Philippines: Stranded Coal Plant Assets and the Energy Transition,” said. The report, penned by IEEFA energy financial analyst Sara Jane Ahmed and ICSC energy policy advisor Jose Logarta Jr., said the Philippines imports 15 million tons of coal per year. This amount represents 80 percent of the country’s coal requirements. The majority of the imports—95
percent—come from Indonesia, “a source that has not always been reliable.” The Philippines’s average coal inventory is 30 to 40 days. “Should a ban on coal exports from any supplier nation be declared, the Philippines would experience coal-supply issues in about a month,” Ahmed and Logarta wrote. The authors named Australia, South Africa and Russia as the other nations the Philippines imports coal from.
Production
ACCORDING to the report, which was released this month, the Philippines imported more than $1 billion (P50 billion) of coal last year at a cost increase of 140.3 percent from 2015. Coal prices doubled between May 2016 and December 2016, from $51.20 to $ 100.69, citing Delft, The Netherlands-based Van der Schaar Investments B.V. Continued on A2
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EU won’t commit if PHL will keep trade privileges $1.8B E A
Context of the Myanmar humanitarian crisis
By Catherine N. Pillas
conomic and diplomatic relations between the Philippines and the European Union (EU) are still headed toward different directions, as diplomacy is going south due to President Duterte’s rants against foreign interference in domestic affairs while bilateral trade continues to soar.
The value of Philippine exports that entered the EU duty-free under the GSP+ scheme in 2016
This was evident during discussions at the EU-Philippines Business Summit on Tuesday. See “EU,” A2
Peso seen hitting 52 to $1 by year-end
See “Peso,” A2
free fire
ction speaks louder than words. Francis Wade, in his book Myanmar’s Enemy Within: Buddhist Violence and the Making of a Muslim ‘Other’, writes “that the roots of ethnic and religious conflict in Myanmar, especially in relation to anti-Muslim hatred… stretches back more than a thousand years before the camps sprang up along the Rakhine State coastline….” He is quoted by Brandon Tensley in his LARB review of the book. Continued on A10
PIÑOL TO OVERHAUL FAILED CATTLE-BREEDING PROGRAM By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas
T
T
he local currency is expected to end the year’s trade at 52 to a dollar this year, on the back of the current-account balance’s deterioration, according to an international bank. In its recent economic outlook on Asia, the ANZ Bank said the peso exchange rate will continuously weaken toward the end of the year and hit 52 to a dollar by year-end. On Tuesday the local currency traded at 51.33 against the US dollar, slightly strengthening from the 51.39 to a dollar in its last trading day. The expectation of a weaker peso came as the ANZ Bank said that, although current-account balance rose to surplus in the second quarter of the year, the risk of a deficit remains due to continued strong import growth. “Domestic interest rates are not high enough to attract sufficient foreign portfolio flows to fund the deficit,” the bank said. “While the tax reforms should boost sentiment when they are implemented next year, we remain watchful of persistent import growth,” it added. Thus, the weaker current-account balance due to expectations of import-growth acceleration will force the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to hike rates to prevent the peso from falling further toward 2018.
Teddy Locsin Jr.
@c_pillas29
BUSINESS MADE SIMPLE Canon Marketing Philippines Inc. President and CEO Kazuhiro Ozawa delivers his opening remarks during the Canon POP (Pros of Productivity) Business Expo, which kicked off at a hotel in Mandaluyong City on Tuesday. The first-ever technology and solutions expo features insights of the pros and leaders of various industries about how they foster productivity in the workplace, and provide a better understanding of its impact and long-term benefits for both the employees and company as a whole. NONOY LACZA
Filipinos favor unrestricted executive power
F
ifty-five percent of respondents polled in India say a system in which a strong leader can make decisions without parliamentary or judicial interference is a “somewhat” or “very” good way of governing their country, according to a Pew Research Center survey released on Monday. Indonesia, the Philippines, Russia and South Africa round out the top 5 nations indicating support for unconstrained executive power. Meanwhile, only 6 percent of Germans and 9 percent of Swedes back such a political system. Twenty-two percent of Americans are in favor, about four percentage points below the median for the 38 countries surveyed from February 16 to May 8. People in wealthier nations “tend to be more committed to representative democracy,” according to the report. And in many countries, people with less education and those on the ideological right are “more willing to consider nondemocratic alternatives,” the authors found. Bloomberg News
PESO exchange rates n US 51.3850
@jearcalas
he Department of Agriculture (DA) is overhauling its live cattle-importation program, removing the direct distribution of animals to farmers, as it failed to achieve the goal of the government to improve the local sector’s productivity. Agriculture Secretary Emmanuel F. Piñol has always pointed out that the direct distribution of live animals to individuals did more harm than good, stressing that most of the time, the animals distributed to individuals were eventually sold or slaughtered. “It did not work; and it would not work,” Piñol told the BusinessMirror, referring to the DA’s previous direct animal-distribution system to farmers. “We will not repeat the same mistake all over again.” This time, Piñol said, the agriculture department would venture into a new system that aims to increase the country’s cattle herd to 5 million, from the current 2.5 million, before President Duterte steps down from office. “Unlike the failed cattle-development program in the past where imported animals were t u r ne d o ve r i nd iv idu a l ly to farmers, which eventually were
2.5M
The estimated total cattle herd in the country, which Piñol hopes to double by 2022 either sold or slaughtered, the Livestock and Dair y Program under t he administration of President Duterte will implement the ‘Multiplier Farm Concept,’ where breeding and dairy farms with 100 heads each will be established as a community project and managed by groups of farmers,” Piñol said. Under this new system, the DA would band cattle and dairy farmers into one cooperative to handle one unit of multiplier farm, according to Piñol. Each multiplier farm would have a minimum of 100 heifers and would serve as a breeding farm, a dairy-production area and a learning center. He added that they would also encourage more woman-raisers to participate in the program, as they are more efficient than their male counterparts.
n japan 0.4577 n UK 68.1571 n HK 6.5814 n CHINA 7.7978 n singapore 38.0038 n australia 40.1779 n EU 60.7987 n SAUDI arabia 13.7023
See “Piñol,” A2
Source: BSP (13 October 2017 )