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PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY
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BusinessMirror
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A broader look at today’s business n
Thursday, October 11, 2018 Vol. 14 No. 1
8-month trade deficit widens 64.7% to $26B I By Cai U. Ordinario
@cuo_bm
NCREASED imports of equipment and other capital goods are expected to further widen the country’s trade deficit in the coming years, according to local economists.
Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) data released on Wednesday showed the country’s trade deficit ballooned to $26 billion in the January-to-August period. This
was a 64.7-percent increase from $15.79 billion in the same period in 2017. Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (Acerd)
Director Alvin P. Ang told the BusinessMirror, however, that the growth in the trade deficit is not yet a cause for concern. “A big chunk of the country’s imports are still infrastructurerelated,” Ang said. “As long as this increase is not caused by consumer goods, the widening of the trade deficit is not a cause for concern.” Ang expects the trade deficit to continue widening beyond 2022 because of the government’s “Build, Build, Build” (BBB) program and investment growth. University of Asia and the Pacific School of Economics Dean
A big chunk of the country’s imports are still infrastructurerelated. As long as this increase is not caused by consumer goods, the widening of the trade deficit is not a cause for concern.”—Ang
Cid Terosa said the view that the trade deficit is not a cause for concern is only applicable from a long-term view. See “Trade deficit,” A2
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Jobs or environment?
‘US-China trade war could cause bigger damage’
T
HE high degree of uncertainty resulting from the trade war between the United States and China could cause a “larger than expected” damage to global and economic growth, according to economists from the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The assessment was made by ADB Economic Research and Regional Cooperation Department Principal Economist Donghyun Park, Senior Economics Officer Cynthia Castillejos Petalcorin, and Eonomist Shu Tian in an Asian Development Blog. The ADB team said, however, that the impact of the trade war on developing Asian countries is still limited. But if it escalates, the impact will be larger and will also hurt financial markets, the ADB economists said. “At the moment, with a great deal of uncertainty surrounding the eventual evolution of the China-US trade dispute, the financial markets seem to be rationally taking a wait-and-see stance. Nevertheless, if the dispute escalates significantly, the damage to trade and growth is likely to be tangibly larger,” they said.
Rene E. Ofreneo
LABOREM EXERCENS
J
OBS or environment? The firm answer by environmental advocates is both. One can clean up the environment while preserving existing jobs or creating new and better ones. And yet, the public is told—by some economic technocrats or vested interest groups—that it is an either-or situation. For example, mining in hazardous areas, done large scale or small, is justified in the name of employment and the survival of poor mining communities. Continued on A21
In BusinessMirror file photo, hundreds of container vans are stacked at a portion of a port in Manila.
The authors noted that the impact of the US-China trade war on Asian stock markets have been “statistically significant.” The stock index of China dropped 0.37 percent, or 37 basis points, while Japan, South Korea, Malaysia and Singapore lost 32 to 46 basis points. They added that the stock indexes of Hong Kong, China, Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam and the
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 54.1660
Philippines also slipped by 34 to 118 basis points. The Philippine Stock Exchange index has been one of, if not the worst, performing stock markets in Asia. Last week the PSEi was down 17.3 percent, or 1,730 basis points. The PSEi reached its highest level at 9,058.62 and its lowest at 6,986.88 this year.
ALYSA SALEN
“Financial markets typically react on the announcement days to incorporate the new information into asset prices. However, uncertain wty about implementation means that actual implementation may also produce a market reaction,” the authors said. Earlier, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development See “Trade war,” A4
DOF plays down impact of fuel tax suspension
F
By Bernadette D. Nicolas
@BNicolasBM
OLLOWING the President’s pronouncement that he may suspend excise taxes on oil, the Department of Finance said on Wednesday the suspension will not significantly lower oil prices. This was after President Duterte said late Tuesday in a press briefing with Palace reporters that he may suspend excise taxes on oil under the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) law. Related story on B3-3. See “DOF,” A23
n JAPAN 0.4796 n UK 71.2066 n HK 6.9150 n CHINA 7.8206 n SINGAPORE 39.1967 n AUSTRALIA 38.4687 n EU 62.2476 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.4420
Source: BSP (10 October 2018 )