BSP may cut rates anew if M3 growth below 10% By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad
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PUBLIC Works Secretary Mark Villar inspects the Cavite-Laguna Expressway (Calax) Subsection 5, from Santa Rosa Laguna to Silang Cavite East Interchange, construction of which is now in full swing. Once completed, this section provides an additional 6 kilometers to the already operational 10-km Laguna segment. The expressway’s projected full length is 42 kilometers and the entire stretch is targeted to open in 2022. ROY DOMINGO
@Tyronepiad
FTER hitting pause on monetary policy easing twice, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) may cut the key interest rates again should domestic liquidity growth slip below 10 percent, according to MUFG Bank Ltd. “In terms of M3 [domestic liquidity] growth, I guess the BSP’s
comfort level could be anything below 10 percent with regards to M3 growth. Then, they can be comfortable with another rate cut,” MUFG Global Markets Research Analyst Sophia Ng said in a briefing on Thursday. The Central Bank said that domestic liquidity rose by 14.2 percent to P13.6 trillion in August yearon-year, driven by the demand for credit. Meanwhile, the overnight re-
verse repurchase facility is currently at 2.5 percent after it was cut by a total of 175 basis points (bps) so far. Overnight deposit and lending rates stood at 1.75 percent and 2.75 percent, respectively. Ng said the BSP has maintained the interest rates because the financial system remains flooded with liquidity. “The BSP clearly refrained from cutting rates in the past two meetings due to the splash of liquidity
in the system, equivalent to 7.3 percent of GDP [gross domestic products],” she explained. “If M3 [domestic liquidity] growth remains elevated until year end...it is likely to push back the timing of the next rate cut.” Still, Ng said that the BSP’s monetary policy is seen to be accommodative in the next two years as the economy struggles amid the pandemic. See “BSP,” A2
PCCI TO GOVT: BIZ NEEDS HELP, NOT TAX PERKS CUT
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n Friday, October 9, 2020 Vol. 16 No. 01
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages |
LUIS ANTONIO G. CARDINAL TAGLE visited the Philippine Red Cross Molecular Lab in Mandaluyong City to have his swab test, together with PRC Chairman and CEO Richard Gordon. He ended his visit by blessing the laboratory facility and expressing his appreciation of the hardwork of the Philippine Red Cross volunteers and staff in fighting this global pandemic. Cardinal Tagle has just recovered from a Covid-19 infection, which was detected days after he flew in from Rome last month. PHOTO COURTESY OF PHIL. RED CROSS
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By Elijah Felice E. Rosales
@alyasjah
HE country’s largest business network has called on the government to extend long-term fiscal and nonfiscal incentives to investors as finance bureaucrats and lawmakers are pushing to rationalize tax perks. The Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PCCI) on Thursday asked the government to provide incentives to private firms
to revive their activity that got disrupted by the Covid-19 pandemic. Granting them incentives will boost their chances of recovering
losses and retaining their workers, the group argued. The PCCI appealed with the Department of Labor and Employment to sustain its wage subsidy program for as long as employers need assistance in paying their employees. It also pleaded with the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) and financial institutions to suspend loan amortization without penalties. Either this, or they can restructure loans without additional interest and postpone mortgage foreclosures for defaulting borrowers, it added. Likewise, the PCCI petitioned the BSP and state and private
banks to extend for more than six months the amortization of outstanding loans availed of by micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) to give them time to survive the pandemic and recoup losses after. The PCCI also sought to lower assessment fees and lighten the conditions in getting business permits. It also demanded that state agencies, including local government units, refrain from imposing new requirements both to corporations and individuals until the economy resets to its performance prior the health crisis. Continued on A2
ADB: Worst over for PHL economy, but recovery slow By Cai U. Ordinario
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@caiordinario
HE worst may already be over for the Philippine economy but the recovery will remain slow, according to the Asian Development Bank (ADB). In a statement at the signing of the North-South Commuter Railway (NSCR) project on Thursday, ADB Southeast Asia Department Director General Ramesh Subramaniam said indicators point to a recovery for the Philippine economy. Subramaniam said encouraging data on cement and vehicle sales as well as the purchasers manufacturing index signal the possibility that the Philippine economy is already
on the mend. “Recent microeconomic data we are seeing such as cement and vehicle sales, exports of goods, and the purchasers manufacturing index show that the worst is over, and that is fantastic news, although we expect a slow recovery for the rest of the year as the economy opens up further,” Subramaniam said. Subramaniam said the Philippine economy, along with the entire Asia-Pacific region, was significantly affected by the ongoing pandemic. The Philippine economy contracted 9 percent in the first semester of the year. In the first quarter, the economy contracted 0.7 percent and in the second quarter, plunged 16.5 percent.
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.4440
Millions of Filipinos suffered from the pandemic, and these included not only those who were infected but also those rendered jobless when the government i mposed loc kdow ns st a r t i ng March. As of April, around 5 million Filipinos lost their jobs, bringing the total number of unemployed Filipinos to 7.25 million. However, there was a slight reduction in the unemployed to around 4.57 million in July. This represented a 2.68-million drop from those reported jobless in April. Neda and other economists cited the gradual reopening of the economy as one reason for this. The government also highlighted the efforts of its development partners
in helping the country weather the pandemic. “ADB is fully committed to supporting the Philippines through this health crisis and for the economy to come out stronger after we find the vaccine,” Subramaniam said. Subramaniam said ADB approved close to $1.8 billion in assistance to the Philippines between April and May. T his was fol lowed by t he $125-million health sector loan called the HEAL project in August, to help the Department of Health scale up its Covid-19 response. He added that ADB also approved a Disaster Financing Facility for $500 million to provide fiscal support in the event of further natural and health disasters.
DUTERTE MAY CERTIFY BUDGET BILL; SENATE, HOUSE TRADE BARBS By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz @joveemarie
& Butch Fernandez @butchfBM
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RESIDENT Duterte is seen to certify as urgent the 2021 budget bill, which got snagged amid the leadership row at the House of Representatives, and became the subject of a word war between Speaker Alan Peter Cayetano and senators, whom he said would bear the blame if the money measure is not passed by December. The option for the President to certify it as urgent—to preclude having a reenacted budget—was floated by Sen. Christopher “Bong” Go, even as Duterte said, in a Wednesday night address, that he did not relish being dragged into messy political intramurals. He signaled deep disappointment at how the speakership battle could deteriorate so quickly. L a t e We d n e s d a y, S e n a t e President Vicente Sotto III said he accepted the apology of Cayetano, who had said on Tuesday night that if the budget bill is delayed, it would be the fault of the Senate. He insisted that his controversial move on Mon-
day to “railroad” second-reading approval and abruptly suspend sessions until November 16 had only caused the Senate a loss of “one day” in its own timetable. Senators, however, said the Cayetano gambit—widely seen as meant to forestall an October 14 vote to seal the turnover of the speakership to Marinduque Rep. Lord Allan Velasco—had wiped off a full month in their tight timetable for reviewing and approving their budget version after the House transmits it to them in late November. Cayetano said, “I called Senator Sotto and asked him if he can extend to the whole Senate that I apologize that my statement was taken out of context and [appeared] that I am passing the blame to the Senate if there is a delay in the budget,” he added. Before Cayetano apologized, though, Sotto had angrily reacted “the nerve!” to Cayetano’s remark that any budget delay would be on the Senate’s head, not his. Sen. Panfilo Lacson and Minority Leader Franklin M. Drilon were also angered by Cayetano’s insistence that his gambit shed off a mere one day from the budget timetable. See “Budget,” A2
n JAPAN 0.4572 n UK 62.5654 n HK 6.2508 n CHINA 7.1085 n SINGAPORE 35.6442 n AUSTRALIA 34.5745 n EU 57.0089 n SAUDI ARABIA 12.9153
Source: BSP (October 8, 2020)