EXPORTERS BEMOAN INDIA‘S EXIT FROM R.C.E.P. By Elijah Felice E. Rosales @alyasjah
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‘TIS THE SEASON People from all walks of life welcome once again the opening of the Ortigas East Christmas Street Musical
NDIA’S decision to opt out of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) may not be much of an issue to the government, but exporters fear that this development might cost them the opportunity to increase shipments to the fast-growing South Asian market. Sergio R. Ortiz-Luis Jr., president of the Philippine Exporters Confederation Inc., argued that India’s decision to bail out of the RCEP could be a double-edged sword for the Philippines. For one, bilateral trade between India and the Philippines is just starting to grow so exporters can manage in the short term. However, with India gone in the RCEP—
at least for now—Ortiz-Luis said exporters might miss out on the opportunity to expand their shipments to a market that has a population of close to 1.4 billion people and an economy growing well above 7 percent annually. “India is a large potential market for exporters, but it has yet to end up as a big trading partner. As far as we are concerned, India is not that important for now, but this could change once it becomes a superpower in a few years,” Ortiz-Luis told the BusinessMirror. Merchandise trade between the Philippines and India has been expanding at a respectable rate under President Duterte, whose self styled independent foreign policy includes securing market access for the country’s exports to nontraditional partners.
Based on records from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), bilateral trade with India went up 24.44 percent to $2.24 billion in 2017, from $1.8 billion in 2016. This further rose by 5.8 percent to an alltime high of $2.37 billion last year. PSA data also showed exports improved over 79 percent in 2017 to $576.59 million, from $322.09 million in 2016, before peaking to $598.52 million last year. Last year, the bulk of the country’s shipments to India are electronic products ($247.5 million), copper concentrates ($69.26 million), manufactured items ($61.47 million), gold ($46.75 million) and minerals ($31.51 million). With India’s withdrawal from the RCEP, Ortiz-Luis said it will now be difficult to increase the volume of See “Exporters,” A2
Light Tunnel located at the Tiendesitas in Pasig City. NONOY LACZA
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Wednesday, November 6, 2019 Vol. 15 No. 27
P25.00 nationwide | 5 sections 42 pages |
‘Costlier pork substitutes imperil benign inflation’ ‘Holidays, infra push to boost factory output’
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HE holidays will bring cheer not only to Filipino children, but also to the local manufacturing sector, which is badly in need of a performance booster, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). The Neda made the pronouncement after the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Tuesday that the country’s manufacturing output declined for the 10th consecutive month in September. The PSA’s Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (Missi) showed that the Volume of Production Index (VoPI) contracted 3 percent in September, a reversal from the 1.3-percent increase recorded last year. “Despite the slowdown in the overall performance of the manufacturing sector for September, we have observed improvements in various subsectors which can be attributed to the upcoming holiday season alongside lower inflation, stable exchange rate, and lower interest rate,” Neda Officer in Charge (OIC) and Undersecretary for Regional Development Adoracion M. Navarro said in a statement. To boost the manufacturing sector over the near term, Navarro said high-impact and “implementable” infrastructure projects under the “Build, Build, Build” program must be rolled out. Navarro said this will sustain the demand for construction-related manufactures as more infrastructure flagship projects reach the construction phase. See “Holidays,” A2
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By Cai U. Ordinario
@caiordinario
HE outbreak of African swine fever (ASF) is a threat to inflation given its potential to cut domestic pork supply and its impact on the prices of alternative protein sources, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda).
The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) on Tuesday said inflation slowed to 0.8 percent, the lowest in three-and-a-half years. However, prices of meat products, such as chicken and beef, as well as eggs have significantly increased. “The livestock industry in ASFstricken areas, which accounts for
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national concern, such as the issue surrounding the South China Sea and the situation in the Korean Peninsula. On the South China Sea issue, both leaders discussed the drafting of the Code of Conduct to address tensions in the affected region…,” Panelo said in a statement on Tuesday. See “Duterte,” A2
See “BSP,” A8
See “Nlex,” A8
@BcuaresmaBM
F EGG FARM Framed by trays of eggs gathered from a poultry farm of thousands of laying chicken in San Isidro, Isabela, veterinarian Dr. Pamela Tan briefs young visitors on an educational tour. According to data from the Philippine Statistics Authority, the prices of eggs, chicken and beef have been rising as pork supply is affected by the African swine fever and people search for substitutes. CEASAR M. PERANTE
Duterte, Abe: COC crucial in S. China Sea
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ANGKOK—President Duterte and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe discussed the South China Sea issue, particularly the need for a Code of Conduct, as the way to go to address tensions in the region.
Presidential Spokesman and Chief Presidential Legal Counsel Salvador S. Panelo said this is one of the key regional and international concerns raised during the bilateral meeting of Duterte and Abe on the sidelines of the 35th Asean Summit on Monday. “Both leaders likewise touched on subjects of regional and inter-
@lorenzmarasigan
OLLOWING the announcement that inflation has hit a 42-month low in October, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) and local and international economists agreed that the growth of consumer prices in the country is on its way to an uptrend in the coming months. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) on Tuesday reported that inflation hit 0.8 percent in October—the lowest for the country since April 2016 when it hit 0.7 percent. This deceleration is a stark contrast to the 6.7-percent inflation in the same month last year and has put the average consumer price growth of the country at 2.6 percent in the first 10 months of the year. The inflation slowdown—from 0.9 percent in the previous month—has been anticipated by the BSP, Governor Benjamin Diokno said in his inflation statement following PSA’s announcement. “The latest inflation outturn is consistent with the BSP’s prevailing assessment that inflation has likely bottomed out in October and could start to pick up slightly in the remaining months of 2019 as base effects start to dissipate,” Diokno said.
See “Inflation,” A2
Spike in year-on-year prices of whole chicken in Metro Manila, per PSA. Egg prices, which have been rising since July, rose 5.2 percent in October. Pure beef meat prices rose 4.6 percent year-on-year
By Bianca Cuaresma
@BNicolasBM
By Lorenz S. Marasigan
LEX Corp. awarded on Tuesday an P8-billion contract to DM Consunji Inc. (DMCI) for the construction of the first phase of the connector road, a critical piece of infrastructure seen as a solution to diverting tens of thousands of vehicles from Metro Manila’s clogged arteries. Luigi L. Bautista, the president of the expressway operator, said the contract covers the construction of the initial segment of the North Luzon Expressway (Nlex) Connector Road that will run from Grace Park, Caloocan City, to España Street, Sampaloc, Manila. “The actual work on the ground would be toward the end of November,” he said. “We are confident that our team, our contractor, and our partners in government will work together to deliver this high-quality elevated expressway.” Public Works Secretary Mark A. Villar noted that his group has so far delivered 50 percent of the right-of-way for the first phase of connector road. “The workable area is now at 50 percent. By next year, we will definitely deliver 100 percent of the right-of-way,” he said. “We are committed to accelerating the right of way acquisition in order to build traffic solutions for our motorists.” Bautista agreed that this significant portion of the easement is workable, and noted that construction works will commence even as the government still works to resolve the other half of the right-of-way. The second phase of the project involves the section that runs from España, Manila to the Polytechnic University of the Philippines in Santa Mesa, Manila. It costs roughly P8 billion. “For Phase 2, we will start the tender process next month. So, toward the end of March next year, we should be able to appoint the contractor for the second section,” Bautista noted.
Inflation has bottomed out, economists, BSP agree
By Bernadette D. Nicolas
Nlex awards P8-B connector road project to DMCI
US 50.4950 n JAPAN 0.4650 n UK 65.0426 n HK 6.4435 n CHINA 7.1823 n SINGAPORE 37.1614 n AUSTRALIA 34.7557 n EU 56.2060 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4650
Source: BSP (5 November 2019 )