BusinessMirror November 05, 2019

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‘CHINA BLOCKING ASEAN ACCESS TO $2.5-T ENERGY RESOURCES IN SOUTH CHINA SEA’

B RELIEF FOR MINDANAO Workers from the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD)-National Resource and Logistics Management Bureau in Pasay City arrange food packs to be brought to different parts of Mindanao affected by three strong earthquakes in October. NONIE REYES

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ANGKOK—The United States has accused China of blocking Southeast Asia Nations’ access to $2.5 trillion of energy resources in the South China Sea. This comes as a Filipino-manned ship was allegedly harassed by a Chinese warship in Scarborough Shoal and Vietnam’s foreign ministry recently accused a Chinese oil survey vessel and its escorts of violating its sovereignty and demanded that Beijing remove its ships from the area. After a tense standoff with the

Vietnamese, the vessel reportedly sped away from Vietnam’s exclusive economic zone toward China. “Beijing has used intimidation to try to stop Asean nations from exploiting their offshore resources, blocking access to $2.5 trillion in oil and gas reserves alone,” W hite House National Security Adviser Robert O’Brien said in a speech during the Asean-US Summit on Monday. “These tactics go against the rules of respect, fairness and international law,” he added.

Tuesday, November 5, 2019 Vol. 15 No. 26

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‘Slow inflation, catch-up spending to buoy growth’

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By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario & Bernadette D. Nicolas @BNicolasBM

LOW inflation and a rebound in government spending will help secure the low-end of the government’s growth targets for the year, according to a local think tank. And, in the view of Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III, the country’s third quarter economic growth would “definitely” be better than the last two quarters of the year. In its latest Market Call report, First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC)-University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) Capital Market Research said GDP growth could average 6 percent to 6.5 percent this year, within the gov-

ernment’s 6-percent to 7-percent target.The think tank said September inf lation of 0.9 percent is the lowest in 40 months while government spending grew 8.8 percent in August. “Positive economic data point to a rebound in H2, bolstering our view that full-year GDP expansion will hover between 6-6.5 percent,” the think tank said. “We expect a rebound in GDP starting [in the third quarter] as

ever lower inflation and high employment rates combine to boost consumer spending, while NG [national government] continues to ramp up infrastructure expenditures in [the second half of the year],” it added. From Bangkok for the 35th Asean Summit, Dominguez still expressed optimism the country can achieve at least the lower end of the government’s full-year GDP growth target of 6 percent to 7 percent.

“Definitely, definitely. That is going to happen because our spending did ramp up in the last third quarter. We haven’t caught up yet, I think we are still 5 percent short, but we are getting there.”—Dominguez

3rd quarter growth

SOUGHT for comment on some analysts’ predictions on the country’s economic growth for the third quarter, Dominguez said: “Definitely, definitely. That is going to happen because our spending did ramp up in the last third quarter. We haven’t caught up yet, I think we are still 5 percent short, but we are getting there.” With this, Dominguez said he sees the country’s economic growth for the year reaching at least the lower end of the government’s target considering that there was a delay in the budget passage and the election ban. See “Growth,” A2

Moreover, O’Brien said America has since been helping its A sean friends to uphold their sovereignt y in the last three years, noting that they have prov ided $1.3 billion in secur it y assistance in the Indo-Pacific. “The [Asean] region has no interest in a new imperial era, where a big country can rule others on the theory that might makes right,” he said. Malacañang earlier played down the recently reported incident in the Scarborough Shoal involving a

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NO SURPRISE: CHRISTMAS HAM COSTLIER IN 2019 By Elijah Felice E. Rosales

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@alyasjah

T’S a costly Christmas for Filipinos this year. The traditional ham that families put on their table for Noche Buena is P25 pricier now, as meat processors struggle to find new sources of pork in the face of the African swine fever (ASF) crisis. Prices of all 31 ham products monitored by the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) went up by as much as P76 based on the suggested retail price (SRP) list for Noche Buena items as of October 31. The BusinessMirror computed an average price hike of P25.49 in the ham shelf. Trade Undersecretary Ruth B. Castelo said the DTI approved the price increases on the request of meat processors and manufacturers, who cited the dreaded ASF hounding many countries, including the Philippines, as one of the reasons for petitioning the hike. “Some gave ASF as a reason because, due to the ASF in China, other countries had to source from new suppliers. [This resulted in] fewer supply in the

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@BcuaresmaBM

HILIPPINE manufacturing growth outpaced most of the region anew in October, the most recent Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data showed. Manufacturers, however, showed weaker optimism for the coming months as the rest of the region’s manufacturing sector slumps. Global think tank IHS Markit on Monday reported that the country’s PMI hit 52.1 in October, up from 51.8 in September. This is the highest reading of the country since July this year when it also hit 52.1. The PMI is a composite index meant to gauge the health of the country’s manufacturing sector. It is calculated as a weighted average of five individual subcomponents. Readings above the 50 threshold signal a growth in the manufacturing sector while readings below 50 show deterioration in the industry. “Posting at 52.1 in October, the IHS Markit Philippines Manufacturing PMI signaled little change in the rate of improvement in operating conditions from September. Production expanded at a slightly quicker rate, alongside a

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marginal uptick in the pace of new order growth. On the other hand, employment rose at a slower rate, while stock of purchases grew to the least extent for three months,” IHS Markit economist David Owen said. The Philippines was the only other country to report an uptick during the period, with Myanmar leading the pack with a PMI reading of 53. Coming in next to the Philippines is Thailand and Vietnam with a PMI reading of 50. “A standout from October data was a further fall in the pace of output charge inflation [of the Philippine manufacturing sector], which reached the weakest since January 2016. Despite a solid rise in cost burdens, many firms looked to keep prices unchanged in order to maintain a strong market environment,” Owen said. Malaysia, on the other hand, reported a deterioration in business conditions to hit a PMI reading of 49.3. Indonesia’s headline index fell to a near four-year low of 47.7. Singapore ranked last, with the latest headline figure of 41.4 hitting the lowest in the survey history since August 2012. See “PMI,” A8

international market,” Castelo said in a text message to the BusinessMirror. Aside from the ASF crisis, meat processors had to raise the prices of ham to make up for cost increases, particularly in packaging, Castelo added. Prices of ham products weighing 500 grams ballooned nearly P13 on average; the highest were the P20 hikes in Virginia Brick Ham and Virginia Pear-Shaped Ham. The DTI added Swift Noche Buena Ham 500 grams, priced P135, in its SRP monitoring. Further, the price of King Sue Pear Shaped Cooked Ham Loaf 700 grams went up P4 to P194, from P190 last year. On the other hand, prices of ham weighing 800 grams rose an average P20, the sharpest were the increases of P20 in Virginia Pear Shaped Ham, P26 in CDO Pear Shaped Ham and P25 in Purefoods Pear Shaped Ham. The DTI also included Swift Pear Shaped Ham 800 grams, sold P196, under its price watch. The price of the lone 850gram ham product on the SRP list, CDO Jamon de Bola inSee “Christmas ham,” A2

BSP chief: 2019 policy easing over

PMI: PHL manufacturing outpaces most of Asean By Bianca Cuaresma

See “China,” A8

T ‘SIN’ TAX, PART 2 With Congress resuming sessions on Monday, the lobbying for tax reforms has begun. From left, Dr. Aurelia Leus and Dr. Yul Doroteo of the Philippine Medical Association and Dr. Maricar Limpin of the Philippine College of Physicians present prescription pad to Sen. Pia Cayetano, chief of the Ways and Means committee, recommending passage of a bill to raise taxes on alcohol and e-cigarettes. They were joined by representatives of the National Sin Tax Coalition in a press conference. ROY DOMINGO

No pork, no parked funds in 2020 budget–House By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz

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@joveemarie

S issues of “funds parking” were raised over the 2020 national budget, the leadership of the House of Representatives on Monday reiterated that

its approved budget is “pork- and parked fund-free.” Speaker Alan Peter Cayetano made the assurance following the claim of Sen. Panfilo Lacson that there were P20 billion worth of questionable projects in the proposed P4.1-trillion General Appro-

priations Act for 2020. “I can assure all of the people, including Senator Lacson, that there will be no parked fund and no pork. We will try to eradicate corruption or avenues of corruption,” he said. See “2020 budget,” A2

HE Philippine Central Bank is done with easing monetary policy for this year after it cut interest rates three times and pumped liquidity into the banking system, Bangko Sentral Governor Benjamin Diokno said. When asked if there would be no more reductions in the benchmark rate or reserve requirement ratio in 2019, Diokno said “absolutely.” Monetary authorities have done “more than enough” for the year, he said in a text message from his mobile phone. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas has lowered its policy rate by a total of 75 basis points this year and will bring down the reserve ratio to 14 percent by December from 18 percent in May. The Central Bank has two scheduled rate decisions for the rest of the year: next week and December 12. The Central Bank has been loosening policy this year in the face of slowing inflation and a weakening economy. Data on Tuesday will probably show a further slowdown in inflation to 0.8 percent in October. Bloomberg News

US 50.7690 n JAPAN 0.4691 n UK 65.6443 n HK 6.4792 n CHINA 7.2144 n SINGAPORE 37.4210 n AUSTRALIA 35.1169 n EU 56.7090 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.5395

Source: BSP (4 November 2019 )


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