BusinessMirror May 29, 2020

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4-mo FPI net outflows breach $2B F

OREIGN portfolio investments (FPI) breached the $2-billion mark in April, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported, as more foreign players pull out short-term investments from the Philippines. FPIs yielded a net outflow of $660.38 million in April alone this year, putting the total net outflows of FPIs to $2.07 billion in the first four months of the year. This is a steep reversal of the $37.27-million net inflow seen in the same four-month period in 2019. FPIs are known as “hot” or “speculative” money because they are easily pulled in and out of the local platforms in the slight change of global and local sentiment. This type of foreign investment is usually a measure of the global economy’s investing sentiment for the

WORKERS are seen at the Lawton area in Manila putting the finishing touches to kiosks made by City Hall for street vendors expected to go back to business with the lifting of the quarantine. The new kiosks will be distributed to barangays in a move to rid the city of illegal vendors, and ease traffic and pedestrian flow. ROY DOMINGO

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Philippines in short-term prospects for yields, in contrast to foreign direct investments (FDI), which are investments placed in the Philippines in search for long-term yield. According to the BSP, FPIs to the country were affected by the disruptions caused by the coronavirus disease (Covid-19) pandemic. Other key events earlier in the year also affected these flows to the country, including the continuing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran; ongoing trade negotiations between the US and China; and renegotiation of the contracts of the country’s water concessionaires. Broken down for April, a total of $627.02 million was still invested as FPIs to the Philippines. This was, however, overwhelmed by the $1.3-billion FPIs that were pulled out

of the country during the month. The $627-million registered investments for the month reflected a 34.3-percent decline from the $954-million figure in March 2020 and is also the lowest recorded monthly gross inflow since July 2010. About 91.2 percent of investments registered were in PSElisted securities—pertaining mainly to holding firms, property companies, banks, food, beverage and tobacco firms and telecommunications companies—while the remaining 8.8 percent went to investments in Peso government securities. The United Kingdom, the United States, Singapore, Hong Kong and Switzerland were the top five investor countries for the month, with combined share to total at 85.5 percent.

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

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SPECIAL SESSION URGED FOR ‘CREATE’, STIMULUS www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Friday, May 29, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 232

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

CRISIS PER DECADE: BUDGET TWEAKED TO DEAL WITH COVID By Cai U. Ordinario

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S the pandemic wreaks havoc on the country’s health system and the economy, the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) warned a crisis is bound to happen every 10 years. In two online forums on Thursday, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said this is behind the government’s efforts to reprioritize the national budget and continue structural reforms. For 2021 and 2022, Chua said, the focus on the national budget will be on health, infrastructure and agriculture, which, together with structural reforms, could make the economy stronger and more resilient to shocks. “Unfortunately, we know that we will get some crisis or global shock every 10 years because of the Asian Financial Crisis in 1998, the Global Financial Crisis in 2009,” Chua said. “[While] we were actually very ready to face such a crisis because the global economy was slowing down and there was a trade war, no one thought that this crisis would be in the form of a virus, an invisible enemy. So now we have to rethink everything that we do,” he said.

Growth, jobs, incomes

AN e-Trike fitted with plastic sheets to comply with physical-distancing regulations ferries riders in Barangay Cupang, Antipolo City. BERNARD TESTA

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By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

F all else fails, a special session of Congress should be called to pass two key measures—a stimulus plan and a corporate recovery bill—to revive the economy and help millions impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic, a key House leader said on Thursday, as both chambers are nearing a June 5 adjournment.

House Ways and Means Chairman Joey Sarte Salceda urged President Duterte to call for a special session of Congress to pass the economic stimulus plan and the proposed Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) Act to secure a “V-shaped” economic recovery after the Covid-19 pandemic. Salceda explained that a delay in the passage of an “adequate” economic recovery plan costs the economy up to P100 billion in new economic activity every week.

“Every single week that we are unable to pass an economic stimulus plan and the corporate tax reform causes us hundreds of billions of pesos in foregone opportunities every week,” he said. Salceda estimates that up to $12 billion in foreign investments have already been foregone due to the two-year delay in passing the Citira (CREATE’s previous name), which was approved by the Cabinet in January 2018. See “Create,” A2

CHUA said for the 2021 and 2022 budgets, the government intends to focus on the Build, Build, Build (BBB) program, particularly those that have the strongest impact on growth, jobs and poverty reduction. These projects, he said, should also have high multiplier effects on the economy and promote confidence in the country, to help the Philippines attract local and foreign investments. The country’s chief economist said digital infrastructure is also a very important aspect of the infrastructure development. This will help the Philippines adjust to the changes needed under the Fourth Industrial Revolution. In terms of health, the government will prioritize increasing health infrastructure and capacity; housing under new normal conditions; and water and sanitation, according to the Neda chief. The government also intends to consider the procurement and budget flexibility to fast-track project implementation and delivery. Continued on A2

Staggered credit provisions to aid balance sheet Tyrone Jasper C. Piad

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Y spreading out for a longer period the recognition for provisions on potential credit losses, the banking sector can better manage its balance sheet during the coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic. Amid heightened credit risk due to the pandemic, the banks have been increasing their buffer for loan loss to protect their portfolio and, ultimately, financial position. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), through Memorandum M-2020-008, offered regulatory

RICAFORT: “This regulatory relief measure will provide banks greater leeway/flexibility on managing their balance sheets, especially in terms of allowing banks to effectively increase/leverage on risks assets especially on loans and other investments.”

relief measures for the financial sector. One of these is allowing the banks and other financial institutions to recognize the bad debt

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.5930

provisions on a staggered basis for over a maximum of five years. “This regulatory relief measure will provide banks greater leeway/flexibility on managing their balance sheets, especially in terms of allowing banks to effectively increase/leverage on risks assets especially on loans and other investments,” RCBC Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort told the BusinessMirror. He stressed that the banks should be able to recognize the provisions eventually, especially if economic conditions improve. With more flexibility, Ricafort said the banks can better accom-

modate more borrowing clients. He said earlier that policy rate cuts and incentives provided by the Central Bank to boost lending for the micro, small and medium enterprises could spur demand for loans despite the slump in economic activities due to lockdowns. Total loans reached P10.12 trillion as of end-March, higher than P8.92 trillion a year ago for the same period and P9.87 trillion in February, according to BSP data. “The benefits of the regulatory relief measure on banks also effectively extends to some borrowing clients as well in terms of greater See “Credit,” A2

SAN Juan City Mayor Francis Zamora shows the operating guidelines for tricycle drivers under the modified enhanced community quarantine during his visit at a tricycle terminal in Agora market in San Juan City. NONOY LACZA

n JAPAN 0.4698 n UK 62.0473 n HK 6.5247 n CHINA 7.0582 n SINGAPORE 35.6314 n AUSTRALIA 33.4723 n EU 55.6877 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4753

Source: BSP (May 28, 2020)


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