BusinessMirror May 23, 2019

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JUST 1 MORE RATE CUT SEEN IN 2019 By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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HE Philippines is due for only one more rate cut for this year, an international research group predicted on Wednesday, as it described the current leadership in the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) as a “pro-growth” thinker. Fitch Solutions, the research arm of the Fitch Group, said the BSP will likely pull off another 25-basis-point cut in September as the country’s economic growth and global markets give it scope to further ease their monetary settings. The BSP in May cut its main policy

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A broader look at today’s business n Thursday, May 23, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 225

Ecozones see growth as ‘Trabaho’ bill founders

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By Elijah Felice E. Rosales

@alyasjah

CONOMIC zone developers are eyeing to expand business in the Philippines over the next months, as they take advantage of the looming non-passage of the Tax Reform for Attracting Better and High-Quality Opportunities (Trabaho) bill. This could be crucial to the Philippine Economic Zone Authority (Peza) that is trying to rebound from a 41-percent decline in investment approvals last year. Business activities in economic zones endured slow-

downs that were blamed on the uncertainties brought about by the Trabaho bill, which the government said would rationalize the existing fiscal incentives to business. Among those seen most affected by such proposed

rationalization are investors in economic zones. However, as the 17th Congress concludes in June and with the measure nowhere near approval in the Senate, members of the Philippine Ecozones Association (Philea) look

40.97% The rate at which Peza-registered investments slumped in 2018, to P140.24 billion from P237.57 billion in 2017

to take advantage of the retention of the existing corporate tax and incentives regime. Philea President Francisco S. Zaldarriaga admitted that economic zone developers are in a wait-and-see mode on whether the Trabaho bill will be transmitted to Malacañang under the 17th Congress, which resumed sessions on May 20 and only has nine session days left before adjourning. See “Trabaho bill,” A2

House prods Senate on 11 priority measures

See “Rate,” A12

HE leadership of the House of Representatives is making a last-ditch effort to push for the passage of 11 economic priority measures of the Duterte administration in the last few days of the 17th Congress. In a letter sent to Senate President Vicente Sotto III dated May 21, Speaker Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo said the House is now awaiting Senate action on 11 priority measures that have been passed by the House but still pending in the upper chamber. These 11 proposed priority measures are topbilled by: the Security of Tenure Act; creation of the Coconut Industry Trust Fund; National Land Use Act; Department of Disaster Resilience Act; Tax Reform for Attracting Better and HighQuality Opportunities and the fiscal regime for the mining industry. Also on Arroyo’s list: higher excise taxes on alcohol products; increasing the excise tax rate on tobacco products; instituting reforms in the real property valuation and assessment in the Philippines;

THE 12 new senators of the republic stand onstage after their proclamation on Wednesday by the Commission on Elections at the PICC in Pasay City. The senators-elect are, from left: Ramon “Bong “Revilla Jr., Manuel “Lito” Lapid, Francis Tolentino, Ronald “Bato” dela Rosa, Christopher Lawrence “Bong“ Go, Cynthia Villar, Grace Poe, Pia Cayetano, Nancy Binay, Imee Marcos, Juan Edgardo Angara and Aquilino “Koko” Pimentel III. Villar, a reelectionist, topped the May 13 midterm polls with a vote of 25,283,727. See story on A12. ROY DOMINGO

Fishing boat activity rises Jan-April; alert up By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

OMMERCIAL fishing boats detected in municipal waters increased by nearly a third in the first four months of the year, according to data released by Oceana Philippines on Wednesday. Oceana Philippines data showed there were a total of 18,564 com-

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.5510

mercial in the January-to-April period this year from the 14,089 commercial vessels detected in the same period last year. This represented an increase of 31.76 percent. The data was obtained using Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), a tool that aims to combat illegal fishing and protect marine biodiversity, specifically in municipal waters.

“Irresponsible fishing has reduced many wild fish populations to historically low levels at a time when the world needs its oceans more than ever,” Oceana Philippines Vice President Gloria Estenzo Ramos said. The locality that recorded the highest number of commercial vessels was Zamboanga City with 1,045 boats. See “Fishing boat,” A2

BUSINESS NEWS SOURCE OF THE YEAR

Mass poverty: Falling, persisting or swelling? Rene E. Ofreneo

LABOREM EXERCENS

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MAJOR development target of the Duterte administration is the reduction of the percentage of the population considered as poor, to go down to 13 to 15 percent by 2022, from 21.6 percent recorded in 2015. Relatedly, the unemployment rate is projected to decline to 3 to 5 percent in 2022 (from 5.5 percent in 2016), and underemployment, to 16 to 18 percent (from 19.7 percent in 2016). All these targets are part of what Neda calls as the inequality-reducing development framework or “Pagbabago.” The overriding goal is for the Philippines to become a developed middle-class society by 2040. Is the government on course to achieve the above development targets outlined in the Philippine Development Plan 2017-2022 and the AmBisyon 2040? Continued on A11

PHL’s banana exports tripled in Q1 on higher demand in key markets

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@joveemarie

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By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas

By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz

See “House,” A2

ther rise of prices in 2018. The total hikes amounted to 175 basis points during the year. In 2019, inflation was contained and the latest reading from the Philippine Statistics Authroity (PSA) showed that the growth of the prices of the top consumer goods in the country hit 3 percent in April this year—well within the 2- to 4-percent target band of the BSP for the year. Growth, on the other hand, slowed to 5.6 percent in the first quarter of the year due to the delays in the national government’s budget implementation.

BusinessMirror

www.businessmirror.com.ph

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rate by 25 basis points on the back of easing inflationary pressures. “We see scope for a further cut as early as September, given the economic and global market backdrop provides some room for further easing. New BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno is perceived by markets as pro-growth, with a dovish bias, and the rate cut at his second policy meeting adds weight to this view,” Fitch Solutions said. Before Diokno assumed office as the BSP chief and when inflation was hitting highs of 6.7 percent, the Central Bank let out an aggressive tightening stance to control the fur-

@jearcalas

HILIPPINE banana exports in the first quarter tripled to 1.05 million metric tons (MMT), fueled by record-high purchases by China which accounted for more than a third of the total imports, preliminary data from the government showed. The country’s total shipments of the tropical fruit in the Januaryto-March period rose by 200.72 percent from the 349,213.540 MT recorded in the same period last year, according to Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) data obtained by the BusinessMirror. Also, the value of total shipments ballooned by 177.49 percent to $473.777 million from last year’s $170.737 million, PSA data analyzed by the BusinessMirror showed. China imported 34 percent of the country’s total banana shipments in the first quarter with both volume and value of purchase posting triple-digit growth, according to PSA data. Philippine banana ex ports to China more than tripled to 376,410.192 MT from last year’s 107,347.773 MT, with total value reaching $160.671 million, 175.2 percent higher than the $62.646

1.05 MMT The volume of bananas exported by the Philippines in the first quarter

million recorded last year, PSA data showed. “China has become our No. 1 importer since 2018 and it is driven by their huge population as well as affordability [of our product],” Pilipino Banana Growers and Exporters Executive Director Stephen A. Antig told the BusinessMirror in a phone interview. Data from Chinese customs reported to the International Trade Centre (Intracen) showed that China bought nearly 450,000 MT of bananas from the Philippines valued at $274.956 million. Intracen’s trade map data indicated that this is the highest first-quarter banana purchases of China from the Philippines since 2005, when data from the East Asian nation was first made available. China dethroned Japan last year as the top buyer of Philippine bananas as Filipino growers took advantage of the expanding Chinese economy and population. See “Banana,” A12

n JAPAN 0.4756 n UK 66.7818 n HK 6.6950 n CHINA 7.6130 n SINGAPORE 38.1662 n AUSTRALIA 36.1709 n EU 58.6627 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.0144

Source: BSP (22 May 2019 )


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