Govt to lose ₧667B from CIT rate cut By Cai U. Ordinario & Bernadette D. Nicolas
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HE government’s losses due to the reduction in corporate income tax (CIT) may reach at least P667 billion between 2020 and 2027, according to the Department of Finance (DOF). Finance Assistant Secretary Antonio Joselito Lambino II told the BusinessMirror total revenue losses could reach P625 billion between 2021 and 2025, and P42 billion in the second semester of 2020. The estimate still does not include specific projections for 2026 and 2027, when CIT is expected to further decrease. “Our estimate is a revenue reduction of close to P42 billion for the second half of 2020, and P625 billion for the succeeding five years. It is the largest stimulus package through corporate tax reform in the country’s history,” Lambino said. In a recent webinar of the Financial
REPATRIATED overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) get tested for Covid-19 at the Palacio de Maynila, a bayside events venue converted into a “mega swabbing” facility, on Roxas Boulevard in Manila. The job prospects for OFWs have been dampened by recessions in host countries as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. ROY DOMINGO
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Executives of the Philippines (Finex), Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said the government is keen on reducing the CIT to around 20 percent by 2027, earlier than the initial estimate of 2029. This after Chua said in a presentation to the House of Representatives that the CIT will be reduced to 25 percent from the current 30 percent this year. The target of the government is to implement this by July 2020. This is part of the repackaged Corporate Income Tax and Incentives Rationalization Act (Citira), which will now be called Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises Act, or CREATE. Lambino said after the reduction in CIT this year, the tax will be reduced by one percentage point annually between 2023 and 2027. With this, the CIT will reach 24 percent in 2023 followed by 23 percent in 2024; 22 percent in 2025; 21 percent in 2026; and 20
percent in 2027. “The reform will put more money in the hands of businesses to support their employees and reinvigorate their operations post ECQ [enhanced community quarantine], Lambino said. In the presentation earlier obtained by the BusinessMirror, Chua said the proposed CREATE is part of the recovery stage under the Philippine Program for Recovery with Equity (PH-Progreso), or the proposed economic recovery program of the Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC). The government plans to implement the recovery stage from June to December 2020. According to Chua, the repackaged tax incentives will include an across-the-board lower tax rate for all firms and enhanced net operating loss carry-over (Nolco). Chua said the CIT rate reduction for all, or the immediate lowering to 25 percent from the current 30 percent, will have a
revenue impact of a total of P226.8 billion or P41.96 billion in July 2020 onwards, P89.46 billion in 2021 and P95.36 billion in 2022. Also included in the CREATE, Chua said, is the longer transition period or additional two years for existing firms receiving incentives. This will cost the government P32.65 billion, or P3.78 billion in July 2020 onwards, P12.55 billion in 2021 and P16.32 billion in 2022. He said the targeted and timebound tax incentives to support Balik Probinsya, Bagong Pag-asa Program are also included. Under the CREATE proposal, the Fiscal Incentives Review Board (FIRB) is tasked to improve the governance of tax incentives by tailoring programs to the individual companies’ needs, Chua said. The original Citira tasked the FIRB, which will be institutionalized, to review and approve all projects seeking incentives from the government. Under the proposal, the Finance Secretary chairs FIRB.
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Monday, May 18, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 221
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK
FOOD PRODUCERS FACE NEW PROBLEMS AFTER LOCKDOWNS By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas
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LUCKY Chinatown mall in Binondo, Manila, still decked in Year of the Rat décor, greets visitors for the first time in months as the government implements a modified enhanced community quarantine, allowing select businesses to reopen. In the Chinese Zodiac, the Rat is associated with the hour before and after midnight, representing new beginnings. NONIE REYES
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By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad
EMITTANCES from Filipinos abroad are likely to continue declining in the coming months after recently posting an eight-month low.
Latest data from Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed that personal remittances dipped by 10.9 percent to $2.62 billion in February from $2.94 billion the previous month. This was the lowest since remittances registered at $2.55 billion in June last year. Year-on-year, however, figures were up by 2.6 percent from $2.56 billion in 2019. In the first two months, personal remittances climbed by 5 percent to $5.56 billion from $5.3 billion year-on-year. While the February figure showed a month-on-month plunge, ING Bank Manila Economist Nicholas T. Mapa told the BusinessMirror that it was not able to capture the full impact of the pandemic on the remittance flows yet. Lockdowns in major economies in Europe and the United States only started in March, he explained.
“Going forward we expect remittances to take a tumble as immense pressure from work stoppages and lockdowns challenge even the most determined of our OFWs [overseas Filipino workers],” he said. Citing government data, Mapa said over 230,000 OFWs were already affected by the pandemic as they seek cash assistance. A study by the Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development (Acerd) and Institute for Migration and Development Issues (Imdi), meanwhile, revealed that around 300,000 to 400,000 OFWs will be laid off or receive pay cuts amid the pandemic. That the top host countries in terms of remittances flows are facing possible recession or zero growth is dampening job prospects for the OFWs as well, Mapa said, noting that half of them are major oil exporters—and oil prices are markedly low right
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now, which makes their path to recovery longer. The BSP said the US had the highest share to overall remittances, followed by Singapore, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Canada, Hong Kong and Korea. “All in all, we believe OFWs will continue to fight to get home those remittances, but the challenge posed by Covid-19 appears extremely daunting,” Mapa said. He said remittances will likely contract by 2.5 percent to 6.7 percent this year. Former Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia earlier said that remittances would slip by 20 percent to 30 percent due to the pandemic. RCBC Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort, for his part, agreed that OFW remittances could slow down beginning March as many host countries experience the economic pressures caused by the pandemic. He said that remittances could register nearly zero year-on-year growth or even shrink by at least low single-digit levels beginning March given the current situation. Still, this can be “offset by some OFWs who could still send money to the Philippines by tapping their savings for the meantime to tide them
over during the lockdowns until the restart of the economies in various host countries,” Ricafort told this newspaper.
Sign of recovery
UNIONBANK Chief Economist Ruben Carlo O. Asuncion, in an e-mail to the BusinessMirror, said OFW remittances may rebound after the lockdown is lifted in host countries, especially those where most of the money transfers occur. While easing the lockdowns can help recovery, Ricafort said that it would only be seen to pace gradually in the latter part of the year as stringent measures are still in place to contain the virus. “Positive OFW remittances growth could realistically resume in 2021 largely due to lower base/ denominator effects, provided that the deployment of OFWs also picks up again by 2021, especially for many of those OFWs displaced in 2020 to be able to work again overseas by then,” he added. Globally, the RCBC analyst said the economy is facing a Ushaped recovery and it could take one to two years given that the virus has been contained already. Personal remittances grew by 3.89 percent to $33.47 billion last year from $32.21 billion in 2018, according to BSP data.
OCAL food producers must brace for a new challenge after lockdowns are lifted in the country: slower and lower food demand, industry players and experts told the BusinessMirror. Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS) senior research fellow Roehlano M. Briones said even if food remains essential, demand for these products would still take a blow as Filipinos try to survive the impact of Covid-19. Briones added that Filipinos may opt to repay debts or even borrow more to recoup exhausted savings to survive post-enhanced community quarantine (ECQ). “It doesn’t mean all savings will shift to food. Remember, incomes have dropped across the board, and even food demand will not grow as fast,” he told the BusinessMirror. “We should be in survival mode for months with businesses trying to keep afloat while the situation [moves toward a new] normal,” he added. Briones said consumers, especially those considered poor, may also cut on their consumption of meat products as they continue to tighten their belts due to lost income and savings. “The poorest of the poor are somehow now in crisis. Food demand, despite being an essential, would not be as strong as before, in the next few months,” he said. Briones said the implementation of health safety measures like social distancing in the food-service sector, such as restaurants, as part of the “new normal” would result in lower customer capacity, hence, lesser food demand. Briones pointed out that small- and medium-sized eateries, particularly carinderias, would take the biggest hit post-ECQ as consumers abide by precautionary measures against Covid-19. Consumers would be afraid to eat now in carinderias. Plus, these eateries have lost a lot of working capital due to the ECQ,” he said. “Sad to say: this is a full-scale slaughter of micro-, small- and medium-sized food restaurants,” he added. Continued on A2
A STREET vendor selling bottled water is back in business as vehicles begin to fill the once-empty roads with the easing of Covid-19 lockdowns. NONOY LACZA
n JAPAN 0.4698 n UK 61.6251 n HK 6.4981 n CHINA 7.1006 n SINGAPORE 35.3985 n AUSTRALIA 32.5554 n EU 54.4471 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4129
Source: BSP (May 15, 2020)