NG budget deficit in Q1 down 18% as spending dips By Bernadette D. Nicolas
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HE national government recorded a narrower budget deficit in the first quarter of the year at P74 billion, down by 17.97 percent from last year’s P90.2 billion as government spending fell below target, latest data from the Bureau of the Treasury showed. The cumulative deficit of P74 billion also lagged behind the P332.9-billion program by 77.76 percent. Relative to GDP, the Q1 2020 deficit stood at 1.65 percent, declining from last year’s 2.04 percent deficit-to-GDP ratio. Government expenditures as of endMarch only reached P849.2 billion, falling 14.48 percent short of the 993-billion program for the period due to the delays in program implementation with the enhanced community quarantine and lower-
MECHANICAL engineers headed by businessman and Rosita Soliman Foundation Director Jojo Soliman rush to produce surgical masks at their warehouse in Tondo, Manila, where around 200,000 masks are made per day to be delivered to medical stores in the country. ROY DOMINGO
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than-programmed interest payments and net lending. Nonetheless, government spending for the first quarter of the year still exceeded last year’s P778 billion. On the other hand, revenues for the first three months reached P775.2 billion, surging 12.72 percent from P687.7 billion posted in the same period in 2019. The government also exceeded its P660.1-billion revenue target for the period by 17.43 percent. A budget deficit occurs when expenditures exceed revenues. For March alone, the national government incurred a wider budget deficit for this year at P59.5 billion, reflecting a 1.83-percent increase from 2019’s P58.4 billion. “The higher fiscal gap is due to the larger nominal increase in government spending compared to revenue growth,” the Treasury said in a statement on Monday.
Of the P775.2-billion revenues as of end-March, 80 percent or P620.8 billion came from tax revenues, while 20 percent or P154.4 billion came from nontax revenues. Nontax collections for the period more than doubled from last year due to the early remittance of dividends from governmentowned and -controlled corporations (GOCCs) in line with the implementation of the Bayanihan to Heal as One Act. Revenues collected by the Bureau of the Treasury skyrocketed to P111.2 billion, three times higher compared to its achievement in the first quarter last year. To date, the Treasury has already breached its fullyear target of P82.3 billion, mainly on account of higher dividend remittances and interest on advances to GOCCs which have both exceeded full-year targets by P63.4 billion and P7.4 billion, respectively. See “Deficit,” A2
BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business
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BANK SECTOR TO BOOK P557-B BAD LOANS IN ’20 www.businessmirror.com.ph
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Tuesday, May 12, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 215
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PCCI PLEA TO BANKS: GIVE FIRMS 1-YEAR REPRIEVE ON LOANS
METROPOLITAN Manila Development Authority Chairman Danilo Lim (left), Interior Secretary Eduardo Año (right) and Rosita Soliman Foundation Director Jojo Soliman (center) inspect the misting equipment donated by the foundation that will be used for disinfecting the streets in the fight against coronavirus. Año himself contracted the coronavirus in March. ROY DOMINGO
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By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad
HE Philippine banking industry may need to beef up protection against credit losses because nonperforming loans (NPLs) are seen rising to as much as over half a trillion pesos this year, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said.
BSP Managing Director Lyn I. Javier, during the digital meeting of the Committee on Banks and Financial Intermediaries on Monday, said that bad loans could reach P556.6 billion this year due to the coronavirus disease 2019
(Covid-19) pandemic slowing down economic activities. This is equivalent to 5 percent in NPL ratio—portion of NPL to total loans—which is more than double of what the banking sector has been dealing with in recent years.
It was still better, however, compared to 8.6 percent during the Asian financial crisis. As of February this year, gross NPL ratio stood at 1.74 percent. The said figure has been below 2 percent for, at least, the last four years, according to BSP data. Gross NPL, meanwhile, reached P172.38 billion in February. Last year, it was at P156.53 billion. Javier added that the banking sector might not be able to recover 50 percent to 80 percent of the bad loans. This translates to losses of around P278.3 billion to P445.28 billion. Still, the Central Bank has yet to conduct a base-line survey to further evaluate the actual impact of the pandemic. “As we highlighted earlier, the NPL increases over time, so we may
be able to capture the initial impact for the next six months. But we are expecting a progression on the level of NPL through the time,” she said. Still, Javier gave assurances that banks are well-capitalized to shield the impact of the pandemic, noting that the industry’s risk-based capital adequacy ratio was at 15.4 percent in solo basis as of end-2019. “The buffers appear sufficient to cover the initial impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on banks’ liquidity, asset quality and solvency,” she added. Loan loss reserves of the banking system stood at P181.14 billion as of end-February.
BAP estimates
MEANWHILE, the Bankers Association of the Philippines (BAP) See “Loans,” A2
Save lives, livelihoods first, lofty goals can wait–Diokno
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DIOKNO
HE Philippines’s goal of achieving an A-rating by 2022 can wait, as the country’s political and economic leaders should all be focusing on one thing: saving lives, according to Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno. In a statement to reporters on Monday, Diokno said that amid the crisis brought about by the coronavi-
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.4580
rus disease (Covid-19) pandemic, the Philippines should be focused on preparing for a “new economy”—one that should be better, safer and more technologically ready. “The political leadership and the economic managers should focus on saving lives, saving livelihoods and saving jobs. The lofty goals of getting A-rating by 2022 and achieving upper
middle-income status this year can wait,” Diokno said. Fitch Ratings—one of the Philippines’s first beacons of hope to achieve its first A rating—earlier decided to revise its outlook of the country from “positive” to “stable” amid the crisis. A positive outlook means the country is pending for an assessment for upgrade See “Diokno,” A2
WHAT used to be a busy central business district of Makati is now almost empty and still uncertain as to when its buildings will be filled with workers again, as experts debate on the lifting or extension of the enhanced community quarantine on May 15, 2020. NONIE REYES
By Elijah Felice Rosales
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HE country’s largest business group on Monday appealed to banks to extend for at least one year the deadline payment for loans availed of by firms to help them survive the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. The Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PCCI) asked banks and nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs) for a one-year extension of loan maturities that are due between March 16 and December 31. PCCI President Benedicto V. Yujuico argued that this will help firms survive the lockdown that kept operations suspended for roughly two months now. For instance, members of the PCCI reported they are suffering from deteriorating cash positions and diminishing ability to avoid massive layoffs on the prolonged implementation of the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) in Luzon. “The ECQ has brought substantially all businesses to a sudden and unexpected stop,” Yujuico added in a statement. “Many are now facing economic distress, forcing them to resort to drastic cost-cutting, layoffs and pay cuts.” “Even as the government slowly relaxes the quarantine measures, we expect that the effects of the crisis will continue to be felt and that businesses will continue to struggle through the end of 2020,” he said. As such, PCCI is asking banks and NBFIs to extend the payment deadline for loans availed of by micro, small and medium enterprises, as well as those by corporations. This is to allow them to preserve their liquidity and be able to pay for operating expenses. Yujuico explained that creditor willingness to restructure loans maturing this year will go a long way toward firms preserving their labor force and averting permanent closure; otherwise, “many businesses will likely be forced to shut down.” The PCCI listed the transportation; automotive; arts and entertainment; hospitality; real estate; mining; manufacturing; construction; financial and insurance; professional and scientific; and the administrative and support service industries as most affected by the ECQ. Their operations are severed by lockdown regulations on public transport and mass gatherings, Yujuico said. “The PCCI expressed hope that its proposal will be considered to mitigate the potentially fatal effects that Covid-19 is having on many business enterprises,” the PCCI chief said.
n JAPAN 0.4730 n UK 62.6184 n HK 6.5095 n CHINA 7.1320 n SINGAPORE 35.7250 n AUSTRALIA 32.9037 n EU 54.6662 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4376
Source: BSP (May 11, 2020)