Businessmirror May 10, 2019

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DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

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Friday, May 10, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 212

Q1 growth a mere 5.6%, UMIC goal seen delayed

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By Cai U. Ordinario

@caiordinario

HE Philippines may not be able to attain upper middle-income country (UMIC) status by the end of the year given the economy’s lackluster 5.6 percent performance in the first quarter and major headwinds that could dampen growth and incomes this year. Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia made this pronouncement during the news briefing on the National Income Accounts on Thursday. Pernia said, however, that the National Economic and Development Authority

(Neda) still needs to make the necessary computations, the country’s GDP growth prospects are not as rosy this year. In the first quarter, the economy only grew 5.6 percent, slower than the 6.5 percent posted in the

same period in 2018. The growth is also the slowest in 16 quarters, or since the first quarter of 2015 when growth was at 5.1 percent. “That [reaching UMIC status this year] is now ‘iffy’ because to achieve upper middle-income

6%-7% The government’s GDP growth target for 2019

country [status], we’re talking about GNI [gross national income], not GDP per capita. We’ll have to do some calculations if we can still reach $3,980 per capita by this year,” Pernia said. Local economists such as Calixto Chikiamco said attaining UMIC status is really not in the cards for the Philippines this year or even in the next three to five years. He said it is important to note that economic growth under the Duterte administration has been declining. See “Q1 growth,” A2

WITH INFLATION ENTERING 2% LEVEL IN ’19, B.S.P. CUTS RATES BY 25 BASIS POINTS By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) on Thursday eased its monetary-policy stance with a main policy rate cut, following an assessment of a further decline of both inflation and growth rates in recent months. A 25-basis-point cut to its overnight reverse repurchase was made at its monetary-policy meeting, effective Friday, May 10—as broadly called for by markets for this meeting. The interest rates on the overnight lending and deposit facilities were reduced accordingly. BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno told reporters that their decision to cut after several months of unchanged monetary-policy stance and aggressive rate hikes in 2018 was based on their assessment that the inflation outlook continues to be manageable,

production capacities. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said recent sporadic rains that occurred in the afternoon and in the evening is brought about by loc a l i zed t hu nder storms and should not be mistaken as the start of the rainy season. Although sporadic rains are expected within the next two days, weather forecaster Jomaila Garrido said the rain can normally last up to an hour or two, not enough to raise the water level at Angat or La Mesa dam to ensure adequate raw water supply. She explained that, while there are rains, these rains may not necessarily fall directly on the right watershed to increase existing water reserves at dams, such as La Mesa or Angat. See “Water levels,” A2

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.0240

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Despite rains, dam water levels still below normal W ATER levels at La Mesa Dam and Angat Dam remain below normal levels despite a spate of sporadic rains for the past few days. As of 6 a.m. on May 9, the water level at La Mesa is 68.55 meters above sea level (asl). This is still below its normal level of 78 to 79 meters above sea level. As of the same period, the water level at Angat is 174.78 meters. The minimum operating water level at Angat is 180 meters. Angat Dam is the source of about 96 percent of water for Metro Manila’s close to 12 million population. While the two private water contractors and agents of the Metropolitan Waterworks and Sewerage System (MWSS) are drawing water from Laguna de Bay, recent conditions such as the algae bloom—because of the warm weather—limit their water

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with easing price pressures owing to the decline in food prices and improved supply conditions. Inflation, according to BSP Deputy Governor Diwa Guinigundo, is projected to fall further than earlier expected for this year—with their forecast now at 2.9 percent, from the earlier 3-percent forecast about two months ago. The deputy governor said the reduction in their inflation forecast was based on the lower actual monthly inflation in the first four months of 2019, the lower growth for the year, lower cash supply growth as well as the lower global growth for the year. For next year, however, their inflation projection was scaled upward to 3.1 percent from the earlier 3-percent forecast—which Guinigundo attributed to increases in global oil prices and adjustments in jeepney fares. See “Rates,” A2

NGCP on 24/7 mode for polls

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HE National Grid Corp. of the Philippines (NGCP) said on Thursday it will activate the 24/7 operations of its Overall Command Center (OCC) starting May 10 until May 16 as part of its preparations to secure power transmission operations and facilities for Monday’s midterm elections. The grid operator has also put in place contingency plans to monitor and quickly address any grid disturbance. May 13 has been declared a special nonworking day, but NGCP’s critical units, such as System Operations (SO) and Operations and Maintenance (O&M), remain fully staffed and operational. Line crews, AFTER heavy rains on Wednesday night, La Mesa Dam’s water level rose by a mere 0.10, from 68.45 to 68.55. NONOY LACZA

See “NGCP,” A2

n JAPAN 0.4725 n UK 67.6884 n HK 6.6280 n CHINA 7.6696 n SINGAPORE 38.1912 n AUSTRALIA 36.3544 n EU 58.2253 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.8731

Source: BSP (9 May 2019 )


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