RICE PRICE DIP, PESO HIKE CUT INFLATION?
T BUSINESSMIRROR FILE PHOTO
HE growth of key commodity prices in the country could have fallen back to the 2-percent territory in April, owing largely to the continued decline of rice prices as well as the peso appreciation during the month. In the Bangko Sentral ng Pillipinas’s (BSP) monthly inflation forecast, its Department of Economic Research (DER) announced its projection on Tuesday, for inflation to settle within the 2.7 to 3.5 percent range. “Higher domestic oil prices and the slight upward adjustment in electricity rates are seen to provide upside pressures for the month,” the BSP said. “However, these pressures may be
DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY
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partly offset by the continued decline in rice prices and by the peso appreciation,” the BSP added. Actual inflation in the first three months of the year hit an average of 3.8 percent, with the latest print reaching 3.3 percent. This is a reversal of the previous quarter’s inflation path, where the average rate of the October-toDecember 2018 inflation hit 5.9 percent. In a recent BSP survey on private economists’ inflation views, local analysts projected an average inflation rate of 3.3 percent for this year. This is lower than the 4.1-percent average forecast seen in their December 2018 survey. According to the central bank’s report, the economists’ expectation
of lower inflation emanated from the projected downward price pressures that are expected to dominate the inflation path for the year up until 2020. “Possible downside risks to inflation include the implementation of the rice tariffication law, which is expected to improve domestic rice supply and stabilize prices, and lower global crude oil prices,” the BSP report on the private economists’ views read. “On the other hand, the key upside risks to inflation are seen to emanate from adverse weather conditions such as El Niño, volatile global oil prices and foreign-exchange market, possible
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Wednesday, May 1, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 203
PHL gets its highest credit rating of ‘BBB+’
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By Bianca Cuaresma
@BcuaresmaBM
HE Philippines on Tuesday received its highest credit rating from a major ratings agency to date, as the credit watcher lauded the country’s above-average economic growth. In a statement on Tuesday afternoon, S&P Global Ratings announced that it is assigning a “BBB+” rating on the Philippines’s long-term sovereign credit rating. The Philippines started its ascent at the investment grade ratings
scale ladder in 2013, when Fitch gave the country its first investment grade rating of BBB-. Six years after, the country is now two notches above the minimum investment grade rating for S&P, which cited the rosy future of
the Philippine economy. The new rating is given a “stable” outlook by the ratings agency, which means that no material change is expected of the rating in the next 12 to 18 months. “We raised the rating to reflect
We raised the rating to reflect the Philippines’s strong economic growth trajectory, which we expect to continue to drive constructive development outcomes and underpin broader credit metrics over the medium term.”—S&P
the Philippines’s strong economic growth trajectory, which we expect to continue to drive constructive development outcomes and underpin broader credit metrics over the medium term,” S&P said. See “Credit rating,” A2
By Rea Cu
@ReaCuBM
HILE the country’s GDP likely expanded by more than 6 percent in the first quarter, the rate settled at the lower end of the government’s target due to a reenacted budget, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said GDP growth in the January-to-March period could have been faster if the government was not forced to operate under a reenacted budget in the first four months of 2019. “Maybe [GDP for the first quarter is] more on the lower end because of the reenacted budget. [But] above 6 percent, hopefully [faster than previous quarters],” Pernia, who is also Neda director general, told reporters at the sidelines of the launch of the Sustainable Development Goals web site in Pasig City on Tuesday. In March, the Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) revised downward its GDP growth forecast for 2019 to 6 to 7 percent, from 7 to 8 percent. “The impact on economic growth of budget reenactment is estimated
By Samuel P. Medenilla
F
@sam_medenilla
OR the first time since taking office, President Duterte will not hold any dialogue with labor leaders, even as his labor department faces the expected slew of wage-hike petitions from various groups. Trade Union Congress of the Philippine (TUCP) spokeman Alan Tanjusay told the BusinessMirror they did not get any official invitation for a meeting with Duterte on Labor Day, but are nonetheless willing to meet with him after May 1. In related developments, police stepped up security preparations in areas where Labor Day rallies are expected, while labor groups said they will push the wage-hike agenda in those demonstrations, as well as the security of tenure (SOT) bill touted to end the widespread practice of contractualization.
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.1060
“This will be the first time during the term of Duterte that there will be no Labor Day dialogue,” Tanjusay said. Duterte had personally met with labor leaders on Labor Day in Davao in 2017 and Cebu in 2018. Nagkaisa labor coalition Chairman and Federation of Free Workers (FFW) President Sonny Matula said, “We did not get any official invitation. Before, we got it a month before [the dialogue].” The labor leader, however, said they are still willing to meet with Duterte even after Labor Day. “There may no longer be enough time [to organize that] tomorrow,” he said.
DOLE in Pampanga
TANJUSAY said they were invited by the Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE) to attend its main Labor Day event, which will be held in Pampanga. See “No Labor Day,” A4
ATI flaunts new B’gas Container Terminal
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on April 22, damaged roads and crucial infrastructure projects in Central Luzon, and forced the temporary closure of the Clark International Airport due to structural damage. “The BSP is cognizant that environment and social risks post financial stability concerns that may have protracted effects [on] the economy,” Fonacier said.
BIGGER and smarter trade enabler for Southern Luzon officially opened on Monday as listed Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) unveiled the newly expanded Batangas Container Terminal (BCT). Equipped with more berths, four quay cranes, eight yard cranes and complementary mobile handling equipment, BCT is now more capable of handling the growing trade volumes of Calabarzon (Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal and Quezon) region. BCT is also seen to continuously help decongest the National Capital Region, serving as a viable and competitive port alternative to the ports of Manila. In 2018, BCT handled a record volume of nearly 250,000 TEUs (twenty-foot equivalent units) -- an increase of more than 25 percent from previous year. With the expansion, BCT’s capacity has nearly doubled to over 500,000 TEUs, annually. Unveiling of the terminal was graced by Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, Chairman of DP World, ATI’s foreign equity partner. He was joined by Transportation
See “BSP,” A2
See “ATI,” A4
The GDP growth target of the government for 2019
See “Growth,” A2
BUSINESS NEWS SOURCE OF THE YEAR
NO LABOR DAY DIALOGUE FOR DUTERTE, WORKERS
6-7% at -0.7 to -0.9 percentage points if the budget is reenacted until April 2019; -1.4 to -1.9 ppt if until August 2019; and -2.1 to -2.8 ppt under a full-year reenacted budget,” the DBCC statement read. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) is set to report the country’s first-quarter GDP on May 9. In Apr i l , t he PS A re v i sed the country’s GDP print for the fourth quarter of 2018 to 6.3 percent, from 6.1 percent. The top contributors were the trade and repair of motor vehicles, motorcycles, personal and household goods; public administration and defense; and compulsory social security. Pernia said the adverse impact of the delay in the approval of the 2019 budget could be offset by election spending and lower inflation, which could boost household spending, in the succeeding quarters.
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‘GDP growth in Q1 likely at lower end of target due to budget delay’
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See “Inflation,” A2
VACCINES WORK Health Secretary Francisco Duque III (center) gives an overview of the government immunization program at a briefing on World Immunization Week, which this year has the theme “Protected Together: Vaccine Works”. Joining Duque are Gundo Aurel Weiler, Country Representative of the World Health Organization (left) and Dr. Wigdan Madani, Unicef Chief of Health and Nutrition. Duque cited health workers as vaccine heroes and thanked the agency’s partners in immunizing 3.8 million children aged six months to 59 months against measles since February, at the height of an outbreak in several regions. ROY DOMINGO
BSP pitches sustainable finance after quakes
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HE recent 6.1-magnitude earthquake that rocked Luzon should open the dialogue to higher expectations for sustainable financing among banks in the country, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said on Tuesday. In her keynote address at the Sustainable Finance Dialogue Forum hosted by the Bankers Association of the Philippines, in partnership
with the World Wide Fund (WWF) and the Association of Development Financing Institutions in Asia and the Pacific (Adfiap) in Makati City, BSP Deputy Governor Chuchi Fonacier said the recent earthquake should be a “wake-up call” for banks to prepare for calamities, especially those with a prolonged impact on the economy. The earthquake, which struck Luzon
n JAPAN 0.4668 n UK 67.4200 n HK 6.6435 n CHINA 7.7371 n SINGAPORE 38.2767 n AUSTRALIA 36.7608 n EU 58.2910 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.8946
Source: BSP (30 April 2019 )