BusinessMirror March 11, 2019

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PHL RICE IMPORTS TO HIT 2.6 MMT–U.S.D.A. By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas

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HE opening up of the Philippine rice market could push its imports this year to a record-high 2.6 million (MMT) metric tons, making it the secondbiggest buyer of the staple since the 2008 rice price crisis, according to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). In its monthly grains report, the USDA projected that rice exports to the Philippines would expand by 4 percent to 2.6 MMT, from the estimated volume of 2.5 MMT in 2018. The USDA also revised upward its February forecast for Philippine rice imports in 2019 from 2.3 MMT to 2.6 MMT.

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The USDA attributed the hike in imports to the implementation of the rice trade liberalization (RTL) law, paving the way for a new trade regime for the Philippines. Under the RTL law, importers would just have to secure a sanitary and phytosanitary import-clearance (SPS-IC) from the Bureau of Plant and Industry prior to shipment arrivals. The law also deregulated the National Food Authority (NFA), removing all its power over rice trade in the country. “As a result of this legislation, higher rice imports are expected from nearby Association of Southeast Asian Nations membercountries, with their relative low cost and preferential access to the Philippines,” the USDA said in the report, published over

A broader look at today’s business n

Monday, March 11, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 152

GDP growth cut 1.5% if ’18 budget runs till Aug T

By Butch Fernandez @butchfBM & Rea Cu @ReaCuBM

HE Senate and the House of Representatives appeared headed for a standoff over last-minute changes in the P3.7trillion national budget for 2019, and, “from all indications,” the government may operate under a reenacted budget until August, denting economic growth, Sen, Panfilo M. Lacson Sr. said on Sunday. Initial numbers conveyed to senators by the Department of Finance (DOF), according to Lacson, showed such pushback of the budget approval until August could mean losses of P500 million daily to the economy, which, in turn, will shave off at least 1.5 percent

from the GDP growth targets. Reached separately by phone, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III confirmed Lacson’s claim that the DOF will crunch the numbers next week to come up with firmer estimates on the economic impact of extending the period of

the reenacted 2018 budget. Dominguez told the BusinessMirror in a text message that the DOF “will update the estimates tomorrow.” In January, the DOF had pointed out that the delay in the passage of the 2019 national budget results in a reduction in government

₧500M

The economic losses daily from extending the period of the reenacted budget till August 2019, according to initial DOF estimates cited by Sen. Lacson spending by P46 billion, which will affect the growth in gross domestic product (GDP). Lacson said in a radio interview on Sunday the nation will have to live under the old budget, “at least until August” if Speaker Gloria MacapagalArroyo does not take back “lastminute changes” in the bicameral conference committee-approved budget bill that both chambers had separately ratified weeks ago. See “GDP,” A2

Neda, economists cite implications of budget delay By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

HE National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) and local economists expressed concern that further delay in the passage of the 2019 budget could dampen the country’s growth prospects this year. Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia told the BusinessMirror that the longer the economy waits for the passage of the budget, the more adverse the impact it will have on the country’s growth this year. The Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC) target GDP growth is 7 to 8 percent in 2019 until 2022 annually. “The longer the delay, the more the adverse effect on growth,” Pernia said. “Of course, it is [a concern] and should be dismaying to all citizenry, including business and investors, who are invariably affected!” Local economists also shared their insights after Sen. Panfilo Lacson said on Sunday that “from all indications,” the country will live under a reenacted budget until August, as the terms the incumbent Speaker and House appropriations panel chairman end in late July. Lacson said this because Speaker Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo and Appropriations panel chief Rolando G. Andaya Jr. are insisting on keeping the changes they made See “Neda,” A2

See “Rice imports,” A2

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the weekend. “[The 2.6-million metric ton import volume] is a record not seen since the international price spike in 2008 and would make the Philippines the second-largest global importer in 2019,” it added. Government data submitted to the World Trade Organization indicated that this could be the biggest volume of rice to be imported by the Philippines in history, overshadowing the volume it purchased in 2008. In 2008, the Philippines imported 2.39 MMT of rice, with 2.297 MMT of the total volume being bought by the NFA; while in 2010, the country purchased 2.369 MMT.

Sunday, in the latest sign of the hot spell’s impact. The Sunday (March 10) water level as of 11 a.m. had reached 68.95 meters . Story on A12. NONIE REYES

‘House did nothing illegal with 2019 budget’ By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz

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@joveemarie

MID issues on the lumpsum funds in the stalled P3.757-trillion national budget for 2019, the chairman of the House Committee on

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Appropriations on Sunday reiterated there is nothing illegal in itemizing the national budget even after its ratification by both chambers of Congress. Camarines Sur Rep. Rolando Andaya Jr., in a statement, said the lower chamber has the record

to prove the legality of the national budget, which has not been submitted to President Duterte for signing into law, weeks after both chambers had separately voted to ratify the bicameral conference committee-approved version. See “House,” A2

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As inflation eases, BSP may cut policy rates by 100 bps By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) could cut its monetary-policy rates by as much as 100 basis points this year, according to an international bank economist, as inflation is expected to soften further into 2019. In a recent research assessment, Standard Chartered Economist for Asia Chidu Narayanan said they are revising their earlier expectation of a rate hold for the entire 2019, to a total of 100 basis points spread over the May, June and August meetings. “We expect inflation to fall further to below 2 percent in the third quarter due to a high base and the fading of one-off boosts from tax reforms and poor weather. Lower inflation is likely to further tighten already-tight monetary conditions. We now expect BSP to respond with policy rate cuts starting in May 2019, partially reversing last year’s hikes,”

Narayanan said. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) announced recently that the monthly inflation print went back to withintarget in February to 3.8 percent after about 12 months of shooting off target. Inflation came from a peak of 6.7 percent in September and October 2018, as the higher rice prices, increases in global oil rates and new taxes brought upward pressure in inf lation. After several mone t a r y - p ol ic y a c t ion s, from the BSP, as well as nonmonetary policies from the n at ion a l gover n ment , i nf lation started to go down in November to 6 percent, to 5.1 percent in December and down to 4.4 percent in January 2019. As such, Narayanan said they are also revising their inflation forecast for the Philippines, to take into consideration the faster-than-expected slowdown in the growth of consumer prices in the country. See “Policy rates,” A2

Truckers: Steps to ease port congestion lacking

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NEAR CRITICAL The water level at La Mesa Dam reached its lowest in 12 years on Friday, and further neared the critical level of 69 meters on

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HE Confederation of Truckers A ssociat ion of t he Philippines (CTAP) has acknowledged the measures taken by the Bureau of Customs (BOC) and the Philippine Ports Authority (PPA) to ease port congestion, but said much remained to be done to solve the problem, blamed for crippling trade and commerce in the country. In a news conference on Friday in Manila, CTAP members said the shipping lines doing business in the country need to have their own container yards for storing empty containers, which will free up space at the ports and ensure a seamless operation for truckers. “In fairness to the PPA and BOC, they are trying their best to solve the problem. But their solutions are half-cooked, it’s just like a band-aid solution. PPA issued a notice to the BOC to withdraw containers within 15 days. How can we collect these containers when we have empty containers in our trucks?” said CTAP Chairman Ruperto S. Bayocot. Last week, the Manila International Container Port (MICP) of the Bureau of Customs (BOC), together with officials from international shipping lines doing

business in the country, agreed to load out more empty containers per day, to bring yard utilization to ideal levels and resolve the recurring issues in returning empty containers. MICP’s District Collector Atty. Erastus Sandino B. Austria, who is also the BOC’s spokesman, explained that the carriers will be taking advantage of the additional double transaction slots that International Container Terminal Services Inc. (ICTSI) will be opening on weekends starting March 9 to 10. If the measures agreed upon succeed, the MICP said that it sees around 17,500 empty twenty-foot equivalent units loaded out in a week compared to its high average of only 10,000 TEUs. “CTAP is asking the general manager of the PPA to issue a memorandum order to the shipping lines that they should have their own container yard. We hope that the PPA requires international shipping lines to have their empties returned to any available container yard for us to effectively haul [within] the said 15 days. We cannot haul because there are a lot of empty containers,” he added. See “Port congestion,” A2

n JAPAN 0.4674 n UK 68.2044 n HK 6.6447 n CHINA 7.7696 n SINGAPORE 38.3248 n AUSTRALIA 36.5537 n EU 58.3305 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.9097

Source: BSP (8 March 2019 )


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BusinessMirror March 11, 2019 by BusinessMirror - Issuu