BusinessMirror June 25, 2020.pdf

Page 1

IMF sees worse pandemic fallout By Cai U. Ordinario

T

HE economic fallout caused by the coronavirus 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic is now expected to be worse with countries expected to post even slower growth this year, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Based on the World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update, the IMF said this includes the Philippines, whose GDP is now expected to contract 3.6 percent this year, lower than the initial estimate of 0.6 percent in April. The IMF also downgraded its forecast for 2021 to 6.8 percent from the 7.6-percent estimate it

THE BROADER LOOK » B4-B5

WILL PINOYS ABROAD SHRUG OFF PHILHEALTH’S NOTIFICATIONS?

ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

2006 National Newspaper of the Year 2011 National Newspaper of the Year 2013 Business Newspaper of the Year 2017 Business Newspaper of the Year 2019 Business Newspaper of the Year

made in April. The government expects the economy to contract 2 percent to 3.4 percent this year and rebound to 8 percent to 9 percent next year. “Consumption growth, in particular, has been downgraded for most economies, reflecting the larger-than-anticipated disruption to domestic activity,” the IMF said in its update. “The projections of weaker private consumption reflect a combination of a large adverse aggregate demand shock from social distancing and lockdowns, as well as a rise in precautionary savings,” it added. The IMF also expects investment growth to be tempered

globally. However, it said policy support would offset some of the uncertainty caused by the decline in domestic demand. These are crucial growth drivers for the Philippines as consumption accounts for a huge chunk of the country’s GDP. Inflation in the country has also indicated a slowdown in demand, with the increase in prices slowing to only 2.1 percent in May. Emerging market and developing economies, which include the Philippines, are expected to see a contraction of 3 percent in 2020, 2 percentage points below the April 2020 WEO forecast. The IMF noted that the downward revision on the growth forecast

for emerging market and developing economies over 2020-21 of 2.8 percentage points is higher than the revision for advanced economies at 1.8 percentage points. But excluding China, the IMF said the downward revision for emerging market and developing economies over 2020-21 is 3.6 percentage points. “The hit to activity from domestic disruptions is projected closer to the downside scenario envisaged in April, more than offsetting the improvement in financial market sentiment. The downgrade also reflects larger spillovers from weaker external demand,” the IMF said. See “IMF,” A2

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

BUSINESS NEWS SOURCE OF THE YEAR (2017, 2018)

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

DATA CHAMPION

3-TRANCHE STIMULUS www.businessmirror.com.ph

n

Thursday, June 25, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 259

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 20 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

PACKAGE MOVING SOON AS COVID UPENDS LIFE OF OFWs, MIGRATION POLICY TWEAK URGED By Butch Fernandez

W

THESE plump and luscious grapes are not from the vineyards in California’s Napa Valley, but from the Twin Lakes community in Laurel, Batangas. Three grape variants grow in the vineyard, a feature of Megaworld subsidiary Global-Estate Resorts Inc.’s (GERI) 1,200-hectare mixed-use leisure and resort community. The grape variants are the Catawba grapes, the Brazilian hybrid and the Red Cardinals. Contrary to popular belief, grapes thrive in tropical countries like the Philippines, where hot weather extends for months throughout the year. CONTRIBUTED PHOTO

By Bernadette D. Nicolas & Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

T

HE economic managers are set to come up with an agreement with both houses of Congress on the fate of the stimulus packages that are expected to keep the economy afloat amid the pandemic, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said.

Although he did not answer categorically whether a special session would be called to tackle the measures needed to cushion the economic impact of the pandemic, Dominguez said they will make sure the special session would be “productive” should the President call for it. “We’ll see. We’ll see if it’s, you know, a special session if that is called by the Office of the President. But we want to make sure that if there’s a special session for

that actually we will come out with something rather than nothing,” he said at the Kapihan sa Manila Bay forum on Wednesday. Dominguez’s remarks came just a day before the last day of effectivity of the Bayanihan to Heal As One Act today, June 25. In a related development, House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Joey Sarte Salceda also said on Wednesday that a special session will be called for the

ITH 345,000 overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) displaced by the Covid-19 pandemic, and tens of thousands still awaiting repatriation, the call to revisit the country’s labor migration policy has become more urgent, with immediate focus on upskilling the repatriates as the local job market now also faces millions of laid-off workers. The huge challenge was laid down on Wednesday by the chairman of the Senate Labor committee, as resource persons from government and migrant solidarity groups painted the grim reality facing the OFWs, who for four decades have shored up the Philippine economy but now face the biggest crisis as host countries are whipped by the pandemic. “The problems that plagued us in government are no laughing matter. I think it’s but appropriate to give credit to the efforts of DOLE, DFA and all other agencies directly and indirectly involved in the repatriation of OFWs and extension of all possible assistance to our workers, especially on the implementation of TUPAD, CAMP and SBWS,” said Sen. Joel Villanueva. Earlier, he and other senators heard the problems on the ground of the Departments of Foreign Affairs (DFA) and of Labor and Employment (DOLE), whose lean manpower is beset by lack of funding, Covid-19 infections, and the restrictions imposed by host countries which make it harder for them to reach out to OFWs in distress. Former Labor Undersecretary Susan “Toots” Ople, participating remotely in the hearing, cited nonstop reports reaching the NGO she runs, the Blas F. Ople Policy Center, of OFWs rendered jobless by the pandemic but unable to come home because repatriation flights are subject to restrictions both in the host countries and the Philippines. Many face hunger, abuse, homelessness, but not everyone can be helped at the same time since the labor officers and consulate employees have also been hit by infections. The Labor committee also touched on the DOLE and DFA challenge in repatriating at least 62,000 more workers who have expressed intention to come home, besides the 59,000-plus who have been flown home since February. Compounding their problem, Saudi Arabia, which hosts the biggest number of OFWs, gave Philippine authorities a 72-hour Continued on A2

Continued on A2

DOLE: Remittances may dip 30-40% By Samuel P. Medenilla

T

HE Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE) on Wednesday said it expects a 30- to 40-percent reduction in remittances from overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) this year due to the effects of the novel coronavirus disease (Covid-19) pandemic. “Based on the number of repatriations we are getting, your honors, and based on the number of displaced OFWs, we are expecting

a reduction of 30 to 40 percent [in remittances],” Labor and Employment Secretary Silvestre H. Bello III said at a Senate Labor committee hearing. This is higher than the remittance decline projected by economic experts, which only ranges between 2.5 percent and 6.7 percent. Earlier this month, the DOLE said the Covid-19 crisis affected the employment of at least 341,000 OFWs. It noted this may still increase

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 50.1830

as many countries are still struggling with the effects of Covid-19. On Wednesday, summing up the hearing, Labor Committee chairman Sen. Joel Villanueva cited a figure of 345,000 reaching his office. Last year, over $33.5 billion worth of remittances from OFWs abroad was injected in the economy. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, however, has already reported a 10.9-percent dip in remittances in February, when the pandemic

was starting to be felt around the world, to $2.62 billion from $2.94 billion in the previous month.

OWWA’s dilemma

ALSO at the Senate hearing, lawmakers were told the soaring number of returning OFWs is expected to whittle down the P18-billion trust fund of the Overseas Workers Welfare Administration (OWWA) to just P10 billion to P11 billion this year. See “DOLE,” A2

MANILA Mayor Isko Moreno and Vice Mayor Honey Lacuna attend a thanksgiving Mass officiated by Bishop Broderick Pabillo, Auxiliary Bishop of Manila, at the Manila Cathedral, in celebration of Araw ng Maynila, the city’s 449th founding anniversary, on Wednesday. ROY DOMINGO

n JAPAN 0.4713 n UK 62.8090 n HK 6.4752 n CHINA 7.1106 n SINGAPORE 36.1081 n AUSTRALIA 34.7567 n EU 56.7570 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.3814

Source: BSP (June 24, 2020)


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.