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BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business
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n Friday, June 22, 2018 Vol. 13 No. 251
Biz groups wary of LGU tax power in fed system
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By Elijah Felice E. Rosales
@alyasjah
OCAL governments having too much financial power under a federal system do not sit well with onshore and offshore investors, as this might allow states to increase taxes at will and spend their funds in risky ways, Philippine business groups said. See “Biz groups,” A2
DEEPER INTO BEAR TERRITORY
SHARE prices in the country’s stock exchange fell to their lowest level in about 17 months on Thursday following the increase of the country’s interest rate by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). The local course’s main index sank deeper into the so-called bear territory. The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index shed 163.47 points to close at 7,098.15 points, as all other subindices bled.Thursday’s close was the lowest since January 4, 2017, when the index closed at 7,030.95 points.
Full story on B1
3rd rate hike? Wages, not oil, may be trigger By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM
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ISING oil prices will not push the Central Bank to pursue another rate hike in the next monetarypolicy meeting in August, but a significant increase in local wages will, an international banking giant said. In a commentary following the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s move to effectively hike its monetary-policy rates on Wednesday, HSBC said it does not expect the BSP to pull out another rate hike within the year, given easing inflationary pressures. On Wednesday the BSP Monetary Board decided to raise its main policy rate by 25 basis points to 4 percent. This came on the heels of the May monetarypolicy meeting, where the MB decided to hike the main policy rates also by 25 basis points for the first time since 2014. The back-to-back hike also did not stop the BSP from opening its doors to further hike this year, with BSP chief Nestor A. Espenilla Jr. expressing preparedness to take “further policy action as needed.” HSBC said the June hike is largely pegged on responding to external developments, particularly the more hawkish stance of the United States Federal Re-
serve with regards to its own monetarypolicy direction. As such, the bank said the BSP is “likely through” with rate hikes this year given easing inflationary momentum. BSP officials on Wednesday said inflation expectations were slightly lowered to cover for the slower-than-expected inflation in May—bringing forecasts to 4.5 percent from 4.6 percent for 2018 and 3.3 percent from 3.4 percent for 2019. “We still expect headline inflation to peak on a yearly basis in the second half of 2018, but mainly due to base effects and higher oil prices, which we believe aren’t reason enough for additional monetary tightening,” HSBC said. The bank, however, said that among the key things to watch out for are second-round impacts from the tax reform in the form of rising wages. HSBC noted that while recently passed minimum -wage hikes in the Visayas region have all been within the BSP’s forecast range of P20 or less, a broader and higher wage hike could change the game for local inflation and monetary-policy direction. “Any significant increases in minimum wages and/or broad-based wage hikes across the board would likely trigger even higher prices that would prompt the BSP to hike rates further,” HSBC said.
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GOVT HOPES TO BOOST WEAK EXPORT GROWTH WITH NEW DEVT PLAN By Cai U. Ordinario
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“Our latest exports numbers [April 2018] have not been so good. All products showed negative growth rates, except mineral and forest products, as well as electronics. We expect the PEDP to ramp up our exports, thereby meeting our targets in the Philippine Development Plan 2017-2022.”— Pernia
@cuo_bm
HE Economic Development Cluster has endorsed the Philippine Export Development Plan (PEDP) 2018-2022 for approval of President Duterte, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). In a statement, the Neda said the PEDP 2018-2022 is a five-year road map aimed at improving exports performance and increasing the sector’s competitiveness. The plan is consistent with the country’s Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2017-2022, which targets a yield of $122 billion to $130.8 billion in revenues from export goods and services by 2022. “Our latest exports numbers [April 2018] have not been so good. All products showed negative growth rates, except mineral and forest products, as well as electronics. We expect the PEDP to ramp up our exports, thereby meeting our targets in the Philippine Development Plan 2017-2022,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said in a statement. The PEDP identifies as urgent the passing of the National Quality See “Govt,” A2
Villar pitches ‘perpetual’ rice fund once QR goes By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas
& Cai U. Ordinario
T MILESTONE AT 500 Jollibee founder Tony Tan Caktiong and Mang Inasal founder Edgar Injap Sia II, along with Ernesto Tanmantiong and Joseph Tanbuntiong, grace the inauguration on Tuesday of the 500th store of Mang Inasal on West Diversion Road, Iloilo City. The businessmen are also partners in the real-estate company DoubleDragon Properties Corp.
@cuo_bm
HE Sen ate Com m it tee on Food and Agriculture wants to perpetually earmark at least P10 billion to the rice sector annually once the quantitative restriction (QR) on the staple is scrapped. Sen. Cynthia A. Villar, committee chairman, said she will incorporate a provision mandating the allocation of P10 billion to the rice sector every year in the Senate’s version of the rice-tariffication bill. This provision, Villar said, would improve the productivity of rice farmers and help them become competitive with their Southeast Asian counterparts who can
produce rice at a lower cost. “I have conditions that they [economic managers] have to meet. For example, they have to set aside P10 billion for rice farmers to help them mechanize and buy [better] seeds to hike their income and make them competitive,” she told reporters at the sidelines of a coastal cleaning event in Kawit, Cavite, on June 20. “Even if the government imposes a 35-percent tariff on rice from Vietnam, if our farmers are not competitive, they will still be edged out by foreign producers,” Villar added. She said the P10-billion fund should be initially shouldered by the national government. Later on, the amount can be drawn from See “Villar,” A12
n japan 0.4838 n UK 70.3400 n HK 6.8044 n CHINA 8.2454 n singapore 39.3028 n australia 39.3317 n EU 61.7924 n SAUDI arabia 14.2355
Source: BSP (21 June 2018 )