BusinessMirror June 12, 2020

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Despite dollar surplus, PHL treads warily

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HE Philippines’s economic managers are still cautious of the pandemic’s effect on the country’s external position, despite a dollar surplus that exceeded a billion dollars and an all-time-high level of international reserves. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno revealed on Thursday that the monetary board revised the Balance of Payments (BOP) projections of the Philippines for this year to take into consideration key developments in the first four months of 2020. The BOP represents the total transactions of the country’s residents with the rest of the world for a given time period. A surplus means the country earned more dollars compared to what it has spent, while a deficit means

WORKERS at a flag store in Santa Cruz, Manila, which has been making flags for more than 50 years, unfurl a flag they made in time for the celebration of Philippine Independence. ROY DOMINGO

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spending overtook dollar earnings during the period. For 2020, the BOP surplus projection was slashed to just $600 million from the November 2019 projection of $2.9 billion. As a percent of the gross domestic product (GDP), the BOP is expected to contribute just 0.2 percent from the previous reading of 0.7 percent. The revision of projections came on the heels of the BSP’s data—which was also released early Thursday—showing a significant rise in the country’s BOP in end-April this year. The BOP surplus hit $1.6 billion in the first four months of the year—a turnaround from the string of monthly deficits seen early in 2020. April is the first month of BOP surplus for the year due to the $1.67-billion surplus that went into

the country during the month alone. The higher BOP surplus also pushed the country’s gross international reserves (GIR) to an all-time-high level of $90.94 billion as of end-April.

Why the revision?

DIOKNO said the revision incorporates an expected “sharp contraction” in both global and domestic economic activities ahead. The breakdown of the BSP’s new projections shows the biggest declines are expected in remittances and tourism receipts. In particular, remittances are expected to contract by 5 percent for the year—reversing the early expectation of a 3-percent growth for the sector. Continued on A2

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Friday, June 12, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 246

P25.00 nationwide | 3 sections 20 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

ON COVID-19 RESILIENCE

WORKERS hoist flags at the Andres Bonifacio Monument in Caloocan City for Independence Day celebrations. The monument highlights the role of the founder and Supremo of the Katipunan, a Spanish-era revolutionary society, in the tough journey to liberation. NONOY LACZA

AS a Philippine Flag dances in the wind, a DPWH worker continues his welding works on Manila’s Ayala Bridge, the country’s first steel bridge. BERNARD TESTA

By Cai U. Ordinario & Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

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HILIPPINE economic managers on Thursday got a welcome dose of good news in the pandemic after the Japan Credit Rating Agency (JCR) gave the Philippines its first A rating on the grounds of “the country’s resilience” amid the lingering effects of the Covid-19 crisis.

JCR upgraded the Philippines to A-, from its previous BBB+ rating with a stable outlook. This means that the rating will stay put and won’t be subject to any changes in the next 12 to 18 months. JCR said its decision to raise the Philippines’s credit rating was a fruit of its most recent assessment that the impact of the Covid-19 crisis on the domestic economy and the government’s fiscal standing will be temporary, given the country’s

strong fundamentals. “JCR holds that a downturn will be limited given the country’s strengthened economic base, resilient external position, and the government’s economic stimulus package totaling more than 9 percent of GDP. JCR also considers that the fiscal soundness will not be impaired because while the fiscal deficit may widen, the package at this time is justifiable and the Continued on A2

Face-to-face dining allowed with restrictions By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo Special to the BusinessMirror

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ESTAURANTS which want to keep their intimate dining setup for their guests may still do so, as long as transparent dividers are installed at dining tables. According to the Department of Tourism’s (DOT) Memorandum Circular No. 2020-004 titled Guidelines Governing the Operations of DOT-Accredited Restaurants, “Face-to-face seating in tables shall only be permissible when transparent dividers (e.g.

acrylic plastic, plexiglass, sneeze guards, etc.) are installed.” These guidelines will also be applicable to restaurants in DOT-accredited accommodation establishments. As of 2019, there were 575 accredited restaurants across the country, 78 of which are in the National Capital Region, according to the DOT. However, Tourism Secretary Bernadette Romulo Puyat said, more restaurants were seeking accreditation with her agency, to give them a “seal of good housekeeping.” (See, “DOT rolls out app to help restaurants reopen safely,” in the BusinessMirror, June 2, 2020.)

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 49.9540

Aside from regular health declarations and body temperature checks for their employees before they go on duty, restaurant owners are required to provide “food safety apparel,” which include hairnets or hair caps, face masks, face shields, gloves, apron; and shoe cover. The DOT mandates strict adherence to proper hygiene and sanitation protocols. For instance, “Employees shall avoid touching with their bare hands ready-to-eat foods, instead, they shall use appropriate utensils such as spatulas, tongs, single-use gloves, or dispensing equipment. If the task

requires direct contact with readyto-eat foods, employees shall wash their hands and the exposed portions of the arms for 20 seconds prior to donning gloves and before touching food or food-contact surfaces. Hands shall be washed immediately after removing gloves.” Employees who face guests, such as waitstaff, busboys and cashiers, “shall wash their hands frequently with soap and water at least every 20 minutes.” The DOT requires restaurants to place disinfectant mats at their restaurants.

FITCH CUTS CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT FORECAST ON PHL By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad

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ITCH Solutions trimmed its current account deficit projection for the Philippines this year amid a weaker outlook for foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow due to the Covid-19 pandemic. In a commentary on Thursday, the global debt watcher said it expected the current account deficit to be 1.7 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020, lower from the previous forecast of 2.3 percent. Current account balance refers to the net inflows and outflows of goods, services, income and remittances. Last year, the Philippines’s current account deficit went down by 95 percent to $464 million—0.1 percent of GDP—from $8.8 billion in 2018 on the back of “lower trade in goods deficits [and] higher net receipts in the trade in services,” according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). “We expect the impact of the virus to disrupt FDI inflows into the country due to a combination of weaker foreign balance sheets and the shock to investor confidence and global growth,” Fitch said. On Thursday the Central Bank reported that net inflows of FDI in February slowed down by 31.5 percent to $505 million from $737 million a year ago in the same month as the pandemic weighed on investor sentiment. The BSP said FDI inflows reached $1.2 billion in the first two months. See “Fitch,” A2

See “Dining,” A2

n JAPAN 0.4665 n UK 63.6864 n HK 6.4458 n CHINA 7.0733 n SINGAPORE 36.1279 n AUSTRALIA 34.9378 n EU 56.8377 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.3157

Source: BSP (June 11, 2020)


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