BusinessMirror June 08, 2020

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Unlock industries, PU transport, govt told By Elijah Felice Rosales

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N order to reverse job losses, the government has to allow industries to operate at more than half the capacity and authorize all modes of public transport to resume to get people back to work, industry leaders said on Sunday. The problem was never job creation; it was work resumption, after all. The economy should see its employment figures go up again once the government permits most of work to operate at above 50 per-

A BARBER disinfects his work area after giving a haircut at Better Barbers in Parañaque City. To comply with safety measures to prevent the spread of the virus, only 30 percent of its operation was allowed; it will be allowed to operate at 50 percent capacity after two weeks. NONIE REYES

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cent capacity, private-sector leaders told the BusinessMirror. Sergio R. Ortiz-Luis Jr., president of the Employers Confederation of the Philippines (Ecop), argued that the jobless numbers ballooned in the latest Labor Force Survey (LFS) because millions of workers have yet to return to work on various causes. However, at the weekend, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno called the latest data on unemployment “grossly exaggerated” and expressed confidence that labor mar-

ket numbers will start to recover as quarantines and restrictions are being eased nationwide. The recently reported 220-percent increase in the country’s jobless rate in April is “not a reflection of the true state of the economy and the jobs market,” Diokno said. Story on page A8.

For his part, Ortiz-Luis told the BusinessMirror: “We [employers] would not hire additional workers. There are a lot of workers who have yet to return because their offices have yet to reopen. There is also a so-

cial-distancing policy in place that keeps industries from operating at full capacity. The priority should not be creation of new jobs; it should be the resumption of work,” Ortiz-Luis explained. Further, he asked the government to give all modes of public transport the go-ahead to ply the roads again, as most firms in the Philippines are micro, small and medium enterprises and, therefore, have little to no extra capital to provide shuttle vans for employees. Continued on A4

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PANDEMIC TO CUT GOVT P188-B STAMP TAX TAKE www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Monday, June 8, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 242

By Bernadette D. Nicolas

JULY RECOVERY CAN’T STOP CONTRACTION IN 2020—THINK TANK

HE slowdown in economic activities due to the Covid-19 pandemic and the government’s grant of exemption from Documentary Stamp Tax (DST) are seen to hinder attainment of the government’s P188billion revenue target for the said transaction tax this year.

State-run think tank National Tax Research Center (NTRC) said the fewer transactions as a result of Covid-19 and the government’s grant of DST exemption under Republic Act 11469 or Bayanihan to Heal as One Act are also expected to cut the government’s tax take. “Since the DST is a transaction tax, the slowdown in economic activities and fewer transactions due to Covid-19 will have a negative impact on the attainment of the DST revenue target,” NTRC said in its tax research journal on the tax implica-

tions of Bayanihan law on the DST. The DST is a tax upon documents, instruments, loan agreements and papers evidencing the acceptance, assignment, sale or transfer of an obligation, right, or property incident thereto and in respect of the transaction accomplished. While the NTRC said the exemption of qualified loans during the ECQ period from the DST is “justifiable” to ensure full compliance of lending institutions with the Bayanihan law, as well as to ease their fi-

By Cai U. Ordinario

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AS commercial flights begin to resume, passengers are greeted with the sight of pilots and flight attendants wearing protective personal equipment and the cabin seating spaced to comply with physical-distancing measures, as seen in a Cebu Pacific plane bound for General Santos City on June 5. Flight crew undergo rapid antibody testing before flights to ensure they are well and uninfected by Covid-19. NONIE REYES

nancial burden and their clients, the think tank said “this will result [in] a substantial revenue loss from the DST exemption.” Citing initial estimates from the Department of Finance, NTRC said the government’s grant of DST exemption for credit extensions or

restructuring loan payments due within the enhanced community quarantine period, along with the extension of tax-compliance deadlines, will cost the government P470 million during the period of implementation of the Bayanihan law. Continued on A4

BSP may cut key rates by 25 bps in June By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad

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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) may slash policy rates anew to inject more liquidity into the economy after the inflation decelerated last month. RCBC Chief Economist Michael L. Ricafort and ING Bank Manila Economist Nicholas Antonio T. Mapa said they were expecting a 25-basis-point (bp) cut in the next monetary policy meeting on June 25.

Ricafort, in an e-mail to the BusinessMirror, said the slight easing in inflation could “still provide some leeway/flexibility to cut the local policy rates on the next monetary policy-setting meeting.” He added, “There is still room to cut the 2.75-percent local policy rate, by at least -25 basis points, with inflation serving as the floor for key interest rates to prevent a situation of net negative interest rates.” Last week, the Philippine Sta-

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 49.9820

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

tistics Authority (PSA) reported that inflation slowed to 2.1 percent in May, down from 2.2 percent a month ago and 3.2 percent a year earlier. The inflation averaged at 2.5 percent as of end-May. The RCBC economist explained that economic slowdown and risk of recession in the second quarter, coupled with extended community quarantine until May, in the Philippines and across the world could suppress inflationary pressures.

This, in turn, could prompt further trimming of monetary policy, he said, noting that another cut in banks’ reserve requirement ratio (RRR) was also possible. “The local economy would still need all the support that it needs, both in terms of more fiscal stimulus measures and additional monetary easing measures, especially to provide immediate financial aid/assistance/ lifeline to the most vulnerable sectors See “Rates,” A2

O amount of economic recovery in July will prevent the first contraction of the Philippine economy in 22 years, according to the First Metro Investment Corp.University of Asia and the Pacific (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Market Research group. In its latest Market Call report, the local think tank believes full-year GDP will contract 0.2 percent this year, consistent with government expectation of a contraction of 3.4 to 0.2 percent this year. FMIC-UA&P Capital Market Research was as optimistic as the government for 2021 since it also expects GDP to rebound to a growth of 8-9 percent next year. “A return to some form of normalcy may speed up by July, when government dismantles the lockdown in most of the country, and get the economy running at a faster pace in H2 (second semester),” FMIC-UA&P Capital Market Research said. “However, this may prove insufficient to avert the first annual decline in GDP in 22 years, given the new health protocols and the difficulties in re-establishing supply chains,” it added. The think tank also expects economic growth to decline further in the second quarter. Economists and even the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) have already said GDP growth will dive deeper in the April to June period. The decline in the GDP growth in the second quarter will be due to weak domestic demand, which has been the primary driver of the Philippine economy. FMIC-UA&P Capital Market Research said consumer and investment demand may have weakened further in the second quarter. “Consumers have had to make-do with spending on basic necessities given the lack of income due to the lockdowns or layoffs as firms face an uncertain future, and so their spending will likely fall in Q2 (second quarter),” the think tank said. While domestic demand remained weak, the think tank expects inflation to be stable at around 2 percent. Inflation is not expected to go below that. Continued on A4

n JAPAN 0.4581 n UK 62.9473 n HK 6.4494 n CHINA 7.0269 n SINGAPORE 35.7653 n AUSTRALIA 34.6825 n EU 56.6696 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.3179

Source: BSP (June 5, 2020)


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BusinessMirror June 08, 2020 by BusinessMirror - Issuu