DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY
2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION
BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business
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Friday, June 7, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 240
‘Infra, spending ramp-up to boost rebound in Q2’
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By Cai U. Ordinario
@caiordinario
STRONG rebound of the economy is seen in the second quarter on the back of election spending and higher consumption, according to First Metro Investment Corp.-University of Asia and the Pacific (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Market Research. In its latest Market Call, FMICUA&P Capital Market Research said economic growth will also be boosted by consumption and the ramping up of public construction. Both will benefit from low inflation. UA&P Senior Economist Victor A. Abola told the BusinessMirror
that the 3.2-percent inflation in May is “just temporary” and that inflation will likely post a growth of lower than 3 percent in July. FMIC-UA&P Capital Market Research expects inflation to average 3 to 3.5 percent this year. “I expect inflation to go below 3
percent by July and lower still later on, especially considering that crude oil prices have fallen to bear market territory,” Abola said on Thursday. FMIC-UA&P Capital Market Research said the decision of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to cut the reserve requirement
“I expect inflation to go below 3 percent by July and lower still later on, especially considering that crude oil prices have fallen to bear market territory.” —Abola
ratio (RRR) by 200 basis points (bps) down to 16 percent starting end-May a week after cutting policy rates by 25 bps to 4.5 percent in mid-May would boost privatesector spending. This, together with the government’s infrastructure construction efforts, bodes well for the economy and will offset the weakness in the first-quarter economic growth which only registered an increase of 5.6 percent.
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@alyasjah
N a first, Seoul has responded positively to Manila’s longstanding request to eliminate tariffs on agricultural products, particularly banana, in exchange for reduced import duties on South Korean industrial goods. In the initial round of free-trade agreement (FTA) talks with South Korea, the Philippines wasted no time and tabled its demand to bring down tariffs on farm exports. South Korean trade officials, in response, said they are amenable to it as long as the Philippines reduces import duties on industrial products, especially automotive parts. “[Response was] positive. They
will consider. Their interest mainly [are on] industrial products, like some automotive components and parts,” Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez said in a text message to the BusinessMirror. “Our initiative started with that as objective and now broadened to include other agricultural and industrial products, and even services. Technical negotiations started [so we can] discuss the product inclusions and tariff reduction schedules,” he added. The Philippines and South Korea on Monday launched official negotiations toward forging a bilateral FTA with the aim of improving trade and investment activities between the two economies See “Trade swap,” A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 51.7580
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Govt should give priority to teachers Manny F. Dooc
TELLTALES
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T’S too early, but we are now hearing certain names being dropped as possible “presidentiables” in 2022. Astute politicians who like to hitch their wagon to a star have now been heard endorsing names with the expectation that their bread would be buttered when the opportune time comes. For those who are truly serious in pursuing the Holy Grail, I suggest that they read the compelling book, All’s Fair: Love, War and Running for President, an insider account of the 1992 presidential campaign of incumbent President George H. W. Bush and Governor Bill Clinton written by the two foremost political operatives on opposite sides of the political divide, Democrat James Carville and Republican Mary Matalin. The book covers the political strategies, power plays and maneuvers by the competing camps to get their candidate elected. No book about the contest for presidency can provide more valuable insights and learning into the making of a president than this New York Times national best seller. Presidentiables and their political henchmen should now make a beeline for a copy of this book, but I believe it is no longer in circulation. Continued on A14
See “Infra spending,” A2
Trade swap proposal: Tariff cuts on PHL fruits and Sokor indl goods By Elijah Felice E. Rosales
2017 EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS
Depreciation path seen for peso By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM
T BEST BUSINESS PAPER Rotary Club of Manila officers Ner Lonzaga (left), Jose Policarpio Jr. (second from left) and Centennial President Jesus “Susing” Pineda (right) are seen with BusinessMirror publisher T. Anthony C. Cabangon after he accepts the trophy for “Business Newspaper of the Year” from the RCM on Thursday. It is BM’s fifth Rotary Club of Manila journalism award in 13 years of existence. It was named Newspaper of the Year in 2006 and 2010; and Business Newspaper of the Year in 2013 and 2017. ROY DOMINGO
HE local currency may have appreciated in the first quarter of the year as the dollar lost some luster among global investors, but it is projected to move toward a depreciation bias looking forward, a local think tank said. In their monthly issue of the “Market Call,” economists from the First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) and University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P) said the peso is expected to move further down the 52 territory toward the end of this month, despite its strength earlier in the second quarter this year. Continued on A2
n JAPAN 0.4773 n UK 65.6706 n HK 6.6007 n CHINA 7.4914 n SINGAPORE 37.8819 n AUSTRALIA 36.0702 n EU 58.0880 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.8022
Source: BSP (6 June 2019 )