BusinessMirror July 30, 2020

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‘Credit metric to recover in a few years’ By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad

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REDIT metrics are only seen returning to 2019 levels by 2023, S&P Global Ratings said, noting these are supported by growth outlook for the Asia-Pacific region. “Our macroeconomic forecasts are the principal driver of our view of the outlook for Asia-Pacific financial institution credit,” S&P Credit Analyst Ryoji Yoshizawa said in a statement on Wednesday. The debt watcher is expecting the Asia-Pacific economy to decline by 1.3 percent this year, adding that a 6.9-percent growth rebound is seen in 2021.

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Yoshizawa said that these forecasts represented a revision from growth of 4.7 percent and 4.8 percent in 2010 and 2021, respectively, prior to the pandemic. “While we expect GDP [gross domestic products] trends to revert to pre-Covid levels by the end of 2023, we believe the outbreak will have permanently reduced the region’s economy by 2 percent to 3 percent,” S&P added. Earlier this month, the credit rating firm said most banks in the Asia-Pacific region can withstand the financial shocks brought by the pandemic. But S&P said this does not shield the banking industry from

increased credit losses, lower earnings and other heightened risks amid the pandemic. In the Philippines, analysts agreed that the local financial system is well-capitalized to endure the pressure from this crisis. Preliminary data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) show that the banking sector has capitalization amounting to P2.37 trillion as of May. This translates to capital adequacy ratio of 12.62, which is above the regulatory requirement, for the same period. Bad loans of the local banks, meanwhile, reached P262.68 billion in May, which is 20 percent more than P218.89 billion notched

in the same period last year. This is already 47.19 percent of the estimated amount of bad loans computed by BSP for this year. The Central Bank in May shared that the financial system is expected to book P556.6 billion worth of bad loans in 2020 amid the economic downturn. S&P reported this month that banks across the world will incur credit losses amounting to $2.1 trillion for 2020 and 2021. Of this amount, $1.3 trillion is expected to be booked this year, which is more than double the 2019 level. Majority or 60 percent of the potential losses in loans portfolio is seen to come from the Asia-Pacific.

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

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HOUSE PANEL OKs VAT ON DIGITAL BUSINESS www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Thursday, July 30, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 294

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

COVID-19 RESPONSE SWELLS GOVT H1 DEBT TO MORE THAN P9T By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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AT least 354 overseas Filipino workers from Saudi Arabia, among the thousands displaced by the Covid-19 pandemic, arrive onboard a chartered flight on Wednesday afternoon arranged by the Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE). The DOLE has been working with the Department of Foreign Affairs in the repatriation of OFWs, and, as of last weekend, the two agencies said the number of repatriates had breached 100,000. NONIE REYES

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By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

HE House Committee on Ways and Means on Wednesday endorsed for plenary approval a measure imposing 12-percent valueadded tax (VAT) on goods and service providers using digital transactions such as Lazada, Netflix and Spotify.

House Ways and Means Chairman Joey Sarte Salceda said the VAT will only be imposed on goods and services above the P3-million VAT threshold. “We have now clarified that digital services and the goods and services traded through digital service providers should generally be subject to VAT. This is just a matter of common tax sense,” Salceda said. Salceda also noted the committee “has kept its promise of imposing no new taxes, guaranteeing

exemptions for small businesses, and closing loopholes for large foreign corporations.” The lawmaker said that small businesses will continue to be VATexempt. “If your sales are below P3 million, you are exempt from paying or filing VAT. If your net income as a sole proprietor is below P250,000, you are exempt from paying and filing income taxes. So, the small Facebook online seller will not be taxed. I guarantee you,” Salceda said. Continued on A2

UTSTANDING debt of the national government for the first half of the year surpassed the P9-trillion mark as it surged by 15.1 percent from a year ago as the country borrowed more to fund Covid-19-related expenses. Latest Bureau of the Treasury data showed the government’s total debt stock as of end-June rose to P9.054 trillion from P7.869 trillion in the same period last year. It was 1.8 percent higher than the end-May level at P8.89 trillion, primarily due to the net issuance and availment of domestic and external financing. However, the country’s debt portfolio swelled by 17.1 percent from P7.731 trillion as of end-December last year. Domestic debt represented the bulk or 68 percent of the total outstanding debt stock, and external debt, 32 percent. Domestic debt for the six-month period ballooned by 16.9 percent to P6.19 trillion from P5.295 trillion a year ago; and was up by 2.6 percent from P6.034 trillion as of end-May this year. This also soared by 20.7 percent from P5.128 trillion as of end-2019. On the other hand, external debt for the first half of the year jumped by 11.3 percent from P2.574 trillion in the comparable period last year and inched up by 0.3 percent from P2.857 trillion as of end-May this year. From the end-2019 level of P2.604 trillion, this was a doubledigit growth of 10 percent.

Program, project loans

AS of end-June, program loans amounted to P216.30 billion, while project loan availment reached P11.09 billion. Of the P216.30 billion in program loans, P53.51 billion were Continued on A2

Abaca-based masks cut plastic waste

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IBER from a relative of the banana tree could replace plastic in millions of face masks and hospital gowns the world is making to fight the coronavirus. Abaca—a fiber from the Philippines used in teabags and banknotes—is as durable as polyester but will decompose within two months, said Philippine fiber agency head Kennedy Costales. “With this pandemic, if we all buy masks made of synthetic fiber, they will pile up in dumpsites because they take so long to decompose,” he said. Global efforts to ban singleuse plastics have retreated as nations prioritized hygiene over the environment for packaging and medical supplies, creating a bright spot for chemical companies such as LyondellBasell Industries NV and Trinseo SA. Sales of disposable face masks are set to rise more than 200-fold worldwide this year to $166 billion, according to a United Nations trade article, citing consultancy Grand View Research.

Companies have been reluctant to replace plastic with biodegradable alternatives because of concern about cost and whether the new materials are sufficiently strong and effective for medical use. A preliminary study by the Philippine Department of Science and Technology showed abaca paper to be more water resistant than a commercial N-95 mask, and to have pore sizes within the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s recommended range to filter hazardous particles. Costales said abaca demand could grow “exponentially” this year, with 10 percent of production going to medical uses, compared with less than 1 percent in 2019. “Abaca fiber is rapidly gaining popularity as governments and manufacturers all around the world scamper to produce more reusable and safe medical garments for healthcare professionals,” said Pratik Gurnani, senior consultant at Future Market Insights.

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In demand

THE Philippines is the world’s largest producer, supplying 85 percent of the fiber in 2017, according to the latest data from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization. Global production is projected to be worth $100 million this year, Gurnani said. The fiber, stripped from the trunks of the abaca tree, was used for saltwater-resistant ship ropes and Manila envelopes in the 19th century. Up to 30 percent of Japan’s banknotes are made of it and abaca yarn has been used in Mercedes-Benz cars. Even though the plant fiber is more expensive to produce than plastic alternatives, manufacturers of protective health gear from China, India and Vietnam have placed new orders for the fiber over the past months, prompting Philippine fiber factories to double their output, said abaca exporter Firat Kabasakalli. “People see this pandemic lasting for some time, so even small Continued on A2

See “Pasa,” A2

ABACA fiber grading DRAGON VISION TRADING

n JAPAN 0.4684 n UK 63.6464 n HK 6.3483 n CHINA 7.0267 n SINGAPORE 35.6762 n AUSTRALIA 35.2132 n EU 57.6783 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.1213

Source: BSP (July 29, 2020)


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BusinessMirror July 30, 2020 by BusinessMirror - Issuu