BSP: MAJOR RISKS STILL ON RADAR IN 2019 By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM
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‘BAMBOL’ NEW P.O.C. PRESIDENT Rep. Abraham “Bambol” Tolentino (right) is elected new president of the Philippine Olympic Committee during Sunday’s special elections at the Century Park Hotel. The POC’s immediate past president, boxing chief Ricky Vargas, gives the cycling federation head a congratulatory handshake. Story on C3. ROY DOMINGO
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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said major risks are still on its “radar” for this year, but vowed to keep a vigilant eye on these local and global developments to ensure a strong growth for the Philippines this year. Among these risks are the protracted USChina trade tensions, the possibility of a no-deal Brexit, and the US-Iran standoff on nuclear deal. These tensions have not been only affecting direct economic growth of advanced economies but are also increasing the risk of uncertainty in the global front, Governor Benjamin Diokno said when he addressed local bankers at a reception marking the BSP’s 70th anniversary and launching a book on the history of central banking in the country. On the domestic front, Diokno said the BSP
sees challenges arising from severe weather disturbances, and the delays in infrastructure projects. He called these risks “short term” and vowed to use policy to shield the economy from adverse effects coming from these risks. “We have our radars. We see the risks, threats, and even gaps and opportunities. We address all these—and we have our tool kits that we would willingly use as needed,” he said. “Despite the risks, we remain optimistic that the Philippines provides a unique value proposition that is not short-lived. It is anchored on a dynamic track record of a durable, resilient and sustainable economic growth,” he said. The BSP also reiterated its stance to protect not only the inflation numbers of the country but its ability to produce a good economic growth number, as well. “More than the notable statistics, for us in the BSP, the bottom line always is the Filipino people.
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A broader look at today’s business n Monday, July 29, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 292
Fallout from shutdown of PCSO lotto weighed
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HE President’s decision to shut down Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office (PCSO) lottery operations may only deepen and widen the underground economy, according to local economists.
This, as leading members of the House of Representatives sought a full investigation of the alleged corruption that led President Duterte to suspend all PCSO
operations late Friday, stunning licensed small lotto operators and workers, and putting in limbo the fate of the government’s multibillion-peso charity opera-
tions that ordinary Filipinos rely on for medical subsidy. The resulting revenue shortfall is also seen to impact the Department of Finance’s projections.
₧11.678 billion
PCSO’s financial assistance, subsidy and contributions to various funds and causes, per the 2018 COA audit as cited by a congressman The President’s spokesman said at the weekend Duterte lost his cool over the massive alleged shortchanging—at the rate of 60 to 70 percent—by PCSO of the national government when it declares its income, but offered no details of this. The Department of Justice said it was ready for lawsuits from disrupted businesses as a result of the President’s order. See “PCSO,” A2
Probe rice imports, Villar told
See “Rice,” A2
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LABOR SETS PROTESTS VS. SECURITY OF TENURE BILL JUNKING; REFILING NEXT By Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla
& Butch Fernandez @butchfBM
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ABOR groups will mount a mass demonstration on Monday to signal the start of a series of protest expected to culminate in a big indignation rally over the junking of the security of tenure (SOT) bill last week. Partido Manggagawa (PM) said the first wave of protests will be held in Metro Manila and Cebu to show the outrage of workers over President Duterte’s decision to veto the bill, which took nearly two decades to go through the legislative mill before getting bicameral approval, only to be scuttled at the last minute as business groups mounted a last-ditch lobby against it.
By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario
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@jearcalas
FARMERS’ group urged Sen. Cy nthia A . Villar to focus on the reported undervaluation of rice imports, which caused the decline in farmgate prices and the closure of some mills. Federation of Free Farmers Inc. (FFF) said Villar, who will again chair the Senate Committee on Agriculture and Food in the 18th Congress, should not shrug off the issue of undervaluation due to its adverse impact on local farmers. FFF made the statement after Villar was quoted in news reports saying that the issue of undervaluation of rice shipments is not her problem but that of the Bureau of Customs.
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“The security of tenure bill is the latest victim of killing under the Duterte regime. Workers vow to continue the fight to end ‘Endo,‘” declared Wilson Fortaleza, spokesman of Partido Manggagawa, referring to Duterte’s 2016 campaign promise to “end Endo [end of contract],” the catch-all term for illegal contractualization. Dubbed the “Black Monday Protest,”the noise barrage in Metro Manila will be attended by members of PM, Sentro ng mga Nagkakaisa at Progresibong Manggagawa (Sentro) and Bukluran ng Manggagawang Pilipino (BMP), at the Boy Scout Circle in Quezon City at 5 p.m. Sentro Secretary-General Joshua Mata said the militant labor group will also hold a small protest action in Mendiola, Manila, in the morning. See “Labor,” A2
June inflation for poorest slowest since Dec. 2017
By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas
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And for this reason, we are pro-growth. Remember the maxim: A rising tide lifts all boats. An improved economy should benefit all, and so government economic policy should focus on broad economic efforts,” he said. In his earlier statements, Diokno—a known pro-growth BSP governor—said that the need for further monetary accommodation will depend, in part, on how strongly the Philippines’s growth drivers “kick into higher gear.” In the first quarter of the year, growth in the country disappointed as it entered the 5 percent territory because of the government’s inability to pass a budget on time. As such, several local and international think tanks believe the Philippines will grow slower than earlier expected for 2019. The latest of these is the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which cut the Philippines’s growth number to 6 percent down to 6.5 percent.
BETTORS of Lotto are seen at one outlet in Pasay City in this 2018 BusinessMirror file photo. President Duterte ordered the temporary shutdown of all gaming operations of the Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office (PCSO), and his spokesman said Sunday the President was dismayed by information reaching him that PCSO has been cheating the government of its proper share of income by up to 60 to 70 percent. NONIE REYES
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n
ITH cheaper food items, the poorest Filipinos experienced the slowest increase in commodity prices in nearly two years, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). In the latest Consumer Price Index for the Bottom 30% Income Households, PSA data showed inflation eased to 4 percent in June 2019. This was the slowest since December 2017 when inflation for the poorest was at 3.7 percent. In the January-to-June period, PSA data showed inflation for the poorest averaged 4.7 percent. This was slower than the 5.8 percent average in the same period in 2018. “The annual increase of the food index in the country slowed down to 3.9 percent during the month. Food inflation in May 2019 was noted at 4.3 percent and in June 2018, 6.2 percent,” PSA said. Data showed the 3.9-percent food inflation was the same rate it posted in April. This remains the slowest food inflation posted since this year and last year. PSA data also showed food inflation was the slowest in the National Capital
Region at 1.2 percent. In Areas outside of NCR (AONCR), food inflation was at 3.9 percent, the slowest in 2018 and 2019. It may be noted that inflation for rice was at 0.9 percent in June nationwide. There was a decrease in rice prices in NCR by 4.4 percent but in AONCR, price increases slowed to 0.9 percent. Fish prices slowed to 7.6 percent in June 2019, from 7.8 percent in June 2018 nationwide while meat prices only averaged 1.9 percent this year from 2.4 percent last year. “Inflation for the poorest eased to 4 percent, the slowest since December 2017 when it was at 3.7 percent. Average inflation experienced by the Bottom 30 percent in the first semester of 2019 was at 4.7 percent, already slower than the full-year 2018 figure of 7.2 percent,” PSA said. Previously, National Statistician Claire Dennis Mapa said the poorest Filipinos are very sensitive to food prices, and this may be explained by the difference in the inflation felt by all households versus the inflation experienced by the bottom 30 percent or the poorest Filipinos. The weight of food in the basket of goods used to compute inflation experienced by the poorest 30 percent is 70 percent— against 39 percent for all households.
US 51.1070 n JAPAN 0.4705 n UK 63.6742 n HK 6.5388 n CHINA 7.4355 n SINGAPORE 37.3835 n AUSTRALIA 35.5194 n EU 56.9792 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.6274
Source: BSP (26 July 2019 )