BusinessMirror July 09, 2019

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REPORT: PHL TO BUY MORE IMPORTED MEAT AS DEMAND TO SURPASS LOCAL OUTPUT By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas

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HE Filipinos’ increasing demand for meat products, which will be driven by the improvement in their purchasing power, will outpace local production and force the country to import more to meet domestic requirement by 2028. The United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) made this projection in a joint report, titled “Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028,” published on Monday.

A MAN tends to a meat stall somewhere in Makati City in this 2017 BusinessMirror file photo. According to projections in a joint report by two international agencies, the Filipinos’ increasing demand for meat products will outpace local production and force the country to import more to meet domestic requirements by 2028. BUSINESSMIRROR FILE

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The report indicated that Philippine meat production would increase at an annualized rate of 1.85 percent from 2019 to 2028 “due to rapidly increasing domestic demand” for animal protein products. However, the rate is slower compared to the annual production growth rate of 2.75 percent posted by the local livestock and poultry sector from 2009 to 2018. By 2028, the country’s total meat output is projected to reach 4.276 million metric tons, 22.03 percent higher than the average production of 3.504 MMT in 2016 to 2018. Despite the expected increase in domestic output, this will not be enough

A broader look at today’s business

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Tuesday, July 9, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 272

‘Investors jittery over Trabaho bill delay’ T

By Cai U. Ordinario

@caiordinario

HE 18th Congress must immediately decide on the fate of the Tax Reform for Attracting Better and HighQuality Opportunities (Trabaho) bill if it wants to increase foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into the Philippines, economists said on Monday. First Met ro Invest ment Cor p. (FMIC) Vice President and Department Head of Research Cristina S. Ulang told reporters in a news briefing that Congress should put an end to the uncertainties being created

by the nonpassage of the Trabaho bill. “The concern is just the speed [that’s the issue]. The uncertainty should be removed. So it should happen this year; we’re expecting Congress to pass it

this year and then maybe address some of the concerns. If the uncertainty is removed, then the FDI can come in,” Ulang told the BusinessMir ror on the sidelines of the briefing. “We’re not against it, we’re not

“The concern is just the speed [that’s the issue]. The uncertainty should be removed. So it should happen this year; we’re expecting Congress to pass it this year and then maybe address some of the concerns. If the uncertainty is removed, then the FDI can come in.”—Ulang

against Trabaho bill,” she added. “It should happen and whatever is the transition period, then the investor should know. If they know, they can decide.” Ulang said FMIC supports the passage of the Trabaho bill since they believe in a number of the provisions, such as the time-bound and performance-based incentives for investors. See “Trabaho bill,” A2

Meralco: Expect cut in July bill @llectura

OR the third consecutive month, electricity rates are set to go down in July despite the 13 yellow-alert warnings issued in the Luzon grid last month. The Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) said Monday that overall electricity rates for a typical household consuming 200 kilowatthours will drop to P9.9850 per kWh this July from last month’s P10.0918 per kWh. The downward adjustment of P0.1068 per kWh will mean a decrease of around P21 in the total bill. The third straight month of electricity rate decrease represents a total downward adjustment of around P0.57 per kWh since May. Generation charge, which makes up bulk of the electricity bill, increased to P5.4227 per kWh from P5.4158 per kWh, mainly on account of higher charges from the Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM). However, charges attributed to the WESM were mostly offset by the lower charges of independent power producers (IPPs) and stable charges of power supply agreements (PSAs).

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EXPERTS HAVE MIXED VIEWS ON DIRECTION OF DOLLAR RESERVES By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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OCAL economists shared mixed views on the direction of the country’s dollar reserves in the coming months, but they agreed on one thing— the local currency is expected to reverse its appreciation run and weaken toward the end of the year. Two of the country’s external indicators—its gross international reserves (GIR), as well as the value of the Philippine peso against the US dollar— have shown significant signs of recovery in the first half of the year after their relative rundown in 2018. In particular, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported just last week that the country’s GIR—or the level of dollar holdings the central bank

has in a given period—marked its eighth consecutive rise in June this year to hit $85.38 billion. The GIR took a beating toward the end of the year in 2018, moving to seven-year lows as the BSP battled to smoothen out volatilities in the then-depreciating value of the local currency against the dollar. It also came at a time when sentiment was down due to the accelerating inflation, which also peaked at 6.7 percent during those months. This follows the peso’s continuous appreciation versus the dollar, as it averaged at 51.80 to a dollar in June this year, from the 53.05 average in the same month last year. The peso also showed continuous strength against the dollar in July, as it ended Monday’s trade at 51.31 to a dollar. See “Philippine peso,” A2

Budget row, poll ban tied to weak 5-month NG spending of ₧1.3T

By Lenie Lectura

See “Meralco,” A12

See “Meat,” A2

BusinessMirror

www.businessmirror.com.ph

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to meet the country’s meat requirement, which may expand by 2.27 percent annually from 2019 to 2028. The country’s meat consumption will rise 28.67 percent to 5.197 MMT by 2028, from the estimated 4.039 MMT. The double-digit growth in meat demand translates into a 0.90-percent average growth in the per-capita consumption from 2018 to 2027. The report projected that a Filipino would consume at least 34.6 kilograms (kg) of meat annually by 2028. The country’s per-capita meat consumption from 2015 to 2017 averaged 31.2 kg.

By Bernadette D. Nicolas

D UNDERVALUED? Sacks of rice are seen being delivered at a warehouse in Manila on Monday, July 8, 2019. According to a local farmers’ federation, the Bureau of Customs may have been losing billions in tariff collection because of the undervaluation of rice imports by traders and importers. See story on B3. NONIE REYES

Oil firms hike gas prices, cut diesel, kerosene

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IL companies will implement a price increase in gasoline but will reduce diesel and kerosene prices. On Monday afternoon, oil firms said gasoline products will increase by P0.25 per liter. Diesel prices will go down by

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n

P0.40 per liter, while kerosene prices will be reduced by P0.35 per liter. The price adjustments of Pilipinas Shell, Total Philippines, Phoenix Petroleum, PTT Philippines, Eastern Petroleum and Seaoil will take effect at 6 a.m. of Tuesday, July 9.

This is the fourth consecutive week of price hikes for gasoline. The adjustment in local pump prices reflects movements in the international oil market. Other oil firms are expected to announce their price adjustment on Monday night. Lenie Lectura

@BNicolasBM

UE to the delay in the passage of the 2019 national budget and the election ban, national government spending as of end-May turned out to be “weaker than expected” at P1.3 trillion, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) said on Monday. This was P10.6 billion, or 0.8 percent, lower than the level recorded for the same period last year. As of end-April, national government spending contracted by 3.2 percent. After months of operating under a reenacted budget, the President was only able to sign the 2019 General Appropriations Act on April 15. On top of this, an election ban was also imposed from March 29 to May 12, 2019. Still, DBM reported that disbursements are slowly recovering following a 7.8-percent growth in May 2019. As of end-May, Personnel Services expenditures grew by 7.7 percent with the salary increase and midyear bonus vis-à-vis the 6.7-percent growth recorded as of

end-April 2019. The same could not be said of infrastr ucture and capita l outlays, which both declined by 4.6 percent and 34 percent, respectively. Still, DBM said in the same report that this is still an improvement from the contractions of 7.3 percent and 36.6 percent, respectively, that were recorded during the first four months of the year. Meanwhile, subsidy suffered the biggest decline as it was reduced by P33.3 billion, or 62.9 percent, year- on-year due to minimal releases for the requirements of health insurance premiums of senior citizens enrolled under the National Health Insurance Program of the Philippine Health Insurance Corp. The bulk of the requirements of the PHIC and other government-owned and -controlled corporations are scheduled for release this second semester. For May 2019 alone, disbursements were posted at P314.7 billion, surpassing the P291.9 billion for the same month last year by P22.8 billion or 7.8 percent. See “NG spending,” A2

US 51.1570 n JAPAN 0.4718 n UK 64.1048 n HK 6.5622 n CHINA 7.4205 n SINGAPORE 37.6486 n AUSTRALIA 35.6922 n EU 57.4340 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.6419

Source: BSP (8 July 2019 )


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