Businessmirror july 06, 2018

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Friday, July 6, 2018 Vol. 13 No. 265

BSP, Palace frame 5.2% June inflation differently T

By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM & Bernadette D. Nicolas @BNicolasBM

HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) went back to the drawing board on Thursday, after local inflation hit the upper end of their expectations for June this year, prompting Central Bank Governor Nestor A. Espenilla Jr. to call it a “setback.” This, as the President’s spokesman said it was not surprising, because there’s “money going around” as a result of the extra cash in pocket unleashed by the tax-reform law, and the multibillion-peso infrastructure program for which the government spent on

average P56 billion monthly in the first five months. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) on Thursday had reported local inflation to have shot up to 5.2 percent in June this year. The surge was attributed to the

higher prices of heavily weighted food and nonalcoholic beverages during the month, compared to their prices in the same month last year. Prices of alcoholic beverages and tobacco also climbed sharply, due largely to the effect of excise

4.9% The forecast inflation for June, as made by the finance department earlier this week

taxes on these particular products. A further adjustment in the increments of taxes on tobacco products has been implemented starting this month. The 5.2-percent inflation in June brought the average growth of consumer prices for the first half of the year to 4.3 percent—a third of a percentage point off of the government’s 2-percent to 4percent target range. See “BSP,” A2

Trash pileup costs NCR ₧1.84B in tipping fees

See “Trash pileup,” A12

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‘HIGHER COMMODITY PRICES TO HOUND US IN NEXT 2-3 QUARTERS’ By Cai U. Ordinario @cuo_bm

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ILIPINO consumers should brace for higher commodity prices in the next two or three quarters, according to local economists. However, the country’s socioeconomic secretary assured the public on Thursday that inflation could very likely plateau next quarter on expectations of declining oil prices and a rice-tariff system already in place. Ateneo Center for Economic Research and Development Director Alvin P. Ang said inflation will likely average 4.8 percent this year before slowing to around 3 percent to 4 percent next year. Ang said inflation is expected to peak this month and in August when inflation is expected to breach 5.2 percent. He said inflation will start slowing in around September due to base effects. “I think inflation will continue to increase, maybe until September when inflation will see a minimal slowdown,” Ang told the BusinessMirror. “This will be fueled by food and education costs.” University of Asia and the Pacific School of Economics Dean Cid

I think inflation hasn’t peaked yet because external events like the looming trade war and unpredictable changes in world oil prices continue to threaten the stability of the domestic environment.” —Terosa Terosa agreed inflation will continue to increase, and said this may compel monetary authorities to increase interest rates. Terosa said this is especially the case if inflation will continue to breach 5 percent in the coming months. “I think inflation hasn’t peaked yet because external events like the looming trade war and unpredictable changes in world oil prices continue to threaten the stability of the domestic environment,” Terosa said. “The BSP [Bangko Sentral ng See “Commodity prices,” A2

As tariff hour nears, China digs in for possibly protracted trade war with US

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HE pileup of trash in Metro Manila is costing taxpayers some P1.84 billion in tipping fees annually, according to an expert from the Asian Development Bank (ADB). I n a n A si a n De ve lopme nt Blog, ADB Senior Adviser to the Vice President for Knowledge Management and Sustainable Development Sonia Chand Sandhu said Metro Manila accounts for a fourth of the countr y’s total waste. The country’s daily waste generation increased to 40,087.45 tons in 2016, from 37,427.46 tons in 2012. This is approximately 14.672 million tons per year.

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Workers carry steel bars on their shoulders at a construction site in Pasay City. The labor department said on Thursday—after the statistical body reported a higher-than-expected 5.2-percent inflation rate in June—that it will provide nonwage assistance to workers who will be impacted by higher prices. ALYSA SALEN

PESO exchange rates n US 53.3430

RIDAY, July 6, is the date when the world’s two largest economies are due to slide deeper into a trade conflict that’s roiled markets and cast a shadow over the global growth outlook. In Beijing policy-makers are digging in for what could be a protracted fight—one they say they won’t be the aggressor in. If the United States begins imposing additional steep tariffs on Chinese imports as of Friday, then Beijing is poised to respond in kind. With further tit-for-tat levies already threatened, this week could mark the start of a new and dangerous phase. The US imposition of tariffs on $34

billion of China’s exports will not only hurt China, but the US itself and the rest of the world, Gao Feng, China’s Commerce Ministry spokesman, said at a regular press conference in Beijing on Thursday. China’s retaliatory tariffs will become effective “ immediately” after the US acts, according to the customs authority. Here’s a rundown of the key facts about China’s position in the conflict:

What goods are to be targeted? On June 15 President Donald J. Trump said the US would begin charging additional duties of 25 percent on $50 billion worth of Chinese imports in See “Tariff,” A2

n japan 0.4830 n UK 70.5995 n HK 6.8016 n CHINA 8.0420 n singapore 39.0877 n australia 39.3671 n EU 62.1873 n SAUDI arabia 14.2236

Source: BSP (5 July 2018 )


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