TAX EFFORT RISES TO 15.1% OF GDP T HE government’s tax effort, or the share of tax collections to gross domestic product, improved to 15.1 percent of GDP in 2019 from 13.6 percent in 2015, making it the country’s best in more than two decades. Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said on Thursday he expects the tax effort to be further reinforced this year, especially following the 169-percent increase in 2019 tax collections from Philippine Offshore Gaming Operators (POGOs) and their ser vice providers compared to 2018. “Preliminary data shows our tax effort likewise improved to 15.1 percent of GDP in 2019 from 13.6 percent in 2015. This is the best we have achieved in 22 years,” Dominguez said in a keynote speech at the Foreign Correspondents Association of the Philippines (Focap) Prospects for
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the Philippines 2020 Forum. He also expressed confidence of a further improvement in the country’s tax effort on the back of better tax administration and the government’s intensified anti-smuggling drive. Moreover, he also cited the passage of the remaining tax-reform packages, increasing amounts of dividend remittances for the government-owned and -controlled corporations and the sustained campaign to crack down on errant POGOs and their service providers. “We expect to collect significantly more this year as we properly document and audit operations of these service providers,” he said. Citing preliminar y figures on tax collec tion from “sin” produc ts, Dominguez said this doubled in 2019 compared to 2015.
REIT market
Also, Dominguez said they are hoping t h at t h e i nve s t m e nt s i n p ro p e r t y development will also get a boost following the government’s release of a set of regulations that will allow the country’s Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) market to finally take off. In a related development, the Bureau of Internal Revenue on Thursday also released Revenue Regulations 3-2020 amending some provisions under the previous revenue regulation on implementation of tax provisions under Republic Act 9856, also known as “The Real Estate Investment Trust Act of 2009.” The revenue regulation updated the tax treatment of REIT transactions, specifically on tax incentives for REIT companies and the exemption from 12-percent value-added tax See “Tax,” A8
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Friday, January 31, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 113
By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario & Bernadette D. Nicolas @BNicolasBM
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ANILA on Thursday outlined the strategies for hitting its GDP growth target of 6.5 to 7.5 percent this year despite the threat posed by domestic and external risks, such as the novel coronavirus (nCoV), to economic activity. Following the Economic Development Cluster (EDC) meeting on Thursday, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said economic managers “remain vigilant and well-positioned to address these risks” and that they remain optimistic of the country’s growth prospects this year and beyond.
Aside from nCoV, Dominguez said primary downside risks also include lackluster recovery in trade, protectionist policies and other disruptions to the trade and supply chains, and volatile global oil prices. Domestic risks could come from the Taal Volcano eruption, the con-
See “Inflation,” A2
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tinued presence of African swine fever (ASF) in the country, water supply disruptions, slow implementation of the infrastructure projects and policy uncertainties, such as the delay in the passage of the tax-reform packages. However, he said the timely passage of the 2020 national budget and extension of the validity of certain portions of the 2019 budget will help the economy weather these headwinds. To hit the Philippines’s economic targets this year, EDC members said there is a need to accelerate the implementation of the government’s priority projects and to efficiently disburse the budget. Dominguez said re-skilling the work force in the IT-BPM sector and other labor-intensive manufacturing sectors must be done soon. The economic managers also w a nt to i ncor p or ate d i g it a l trade in updating the country’s
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MORE NCR FOLK OPTING TO MOVE OUT–STUDY
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HE unbearable traffic, high cost of living and better opportunities have forced more Metro Manila residents to look for greener pastures elsewhere in the country, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). In an interview, National Statistician Claire Dennis S. Mapa said while Metro Manila used to be the work destination of choice for many decades, results from the 2018 National Migration Survey (NMS) shows there is also a reversal of this trend. “They may have wanted to transfer to look for better opportunities in other regions,” Mapa said. “It could possibly be the effect of GDP growth or the traffic in Metro Manila and cost of living. That is what the data is showing on domestic migration.” Data showed there were around 509,000 inter-regional out-migrants in NCR while there were only 388,000 in-migrants as of 2018. Based on the data, the number of out-migrants in NCR exceeded all the other regions. Calabarzon, Central Luzon, and Bicol came in as far second, third, and fourth.
PSA data showed out-migrants in Calabarzon reached 184,000; Central Luzon, 109,000; and Bicol, 103,000 in 2018. Tied at fifth place are Northern Mindanao and Caraga with 79,000 out migrants. PSA data also showed that around 3,692 Filipinos intend to move to other regions or countries in the next five years. This consists of more females at 1,897 and less males at 1,795. Data showed that in terms of percentages, Calabarzon accounts for 20.1 percent or 742 of these Filipinos aged 15 and over who intend to move within the next five years. Women in Calabarzon account for 21 percent or 379 of the 1,897 who want to move to other regions and countries. Men in the region account for 19 percent or 341 of the 1,795 who want to move to other regions and countries in the next five years. Those in Metro Manila came in second and accounted for 17 percent or 628 Filipinos who want to move to other regions and countries in the next five years. There are more men than women See “PSA,” A2
See “EDC,” A2
11-month state infra spending dips to ₧709B
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IGHER “sin” taxes will have minimal impact on inflation—even the inflation experienced by the poorest, who consume more sin products, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). In an interview, National Statistician Claire Dennis S. Mapa said sin products, such as tobacco products and alcoholic beverages only account for 2 percent of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The share of these products in the CPI of the Bottom 30 percent is also small. Mapa said the bulk of the consumption of the poor is food, particularly rice which accounts for 20 percent. “The last time I checked, it [share of sin products] is only 2 percent. [This indicates that] it
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MASKING A CRISIS? Within hours after the Department of Health confirmed the
Philippines’s first case of the novel coronavirus, face masks disappeared from store shelves, and most people on the street, like these commuters waiting for a ride home in Makati, were wearing them. However, an article by AP’s medical writer asks, “Do masks offer protection from new virus?” Article in Op-Ed, page A6. NONIE REYES
TATE infrastructure spendi ng dec l i ned a s of endNovember, still due to the more than four-month delay of the 2019 budget, as well as the election ban. Data from the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) s ho w e d t h at i n f r a s t r u c t u re spending for the January-to-November 2019 period was recorded at P709.4 billion, recording a 2.6-percent contraction equivalent to 18.7 billion compared to the P728.1 billion posted in the same period in 2018.
While the total national government disbursements as of endNovember increased by 6.7 percent to P3.303 trillion, from P3.0952 trillion on the same period in 2018, the DBM said the lower disbursements in infrastructure and other capital outlays, equity and capital transfers to local government units also weakened the increase in several expense items. “However, it is worthy to note that the disbursement performance in November narrowed down the contraction recorded in See “Infra,” A2
n US 50.7730 n japan 0.4658 n UK 66.1166 n HK 6.5323 n CHINA 7.3492 n singapore 37.3221 n australia 34.2870 n EU 55.9163 n SAUDI arabia 13.5337 Source: BSP (30 January 2020 )