Businessmirror January 25, 2019

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B.S.P. SEEN TO JUNK TIGHTENING STANCE AS GROWTH SLOWS IN ‘18 By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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ALL-NEW ERTIGA Suzuki Philippines (SPH) rolled out its best-selling seven-seater MPV—the all-new Ertiga, at the Marriott Grand Ballroom in Pasay City on Wednesday. Gracing the launch were (from left) SPH President Hiroshi Suzuki, SPH General Manager for Automobile Keiichi Suzuki, Suzuki Ertiga chief engineer Satoshi Kasahara, and SPH Managing Director and Treasurer Norminio Mojica. Story on page A8. PHOTO BY RANDY PEREGRINO, BUSINESSMIRROR MOTORING

DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION

HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is likely to abandon its tightening cycle and move to a more accommodative monetary-policy stance for this year, after the Philippine economy registered a slower growth rate for 2018. Following the Philippine Statistics Authority’s (PSA) announcement of a growth slowdown for the Philippines last year, economists weighed in on the Central Bank’s next move in relation to the expansion print and agreed that the BSP is likely done raising its rates for the time being. In 2018, the Monetary Board moved for higher rates in the country as the growth of consumer prices started to accelerate. The rate hikes piled up to a total 175 basis points

and slashing reserve requirements to support growth. This projection is a stark contrast to what the BSP did in 2018, when it aggressively hiked its rates in back-toback meetings to pull down the then stubbornly rising inflation. “With the inflation specter nipped for the time being, the BSP will likely unload a string of easing measures to help buttress growth closer to the administration’s growth target of 7 to 8 percent,” Mapa said. “With liquidity conditions still relatively tight and the Governor’s pledge to slash reserve requirements [RRR] to single digits by the end of his term, we can see the BSP slashing RRR further in the first quarter followed by a possible policy rate cut in the second quarter to help bolster growth for the second half of the year,” the economist added. See “BSP,” A8

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

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Friday, January 25, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 107

Economic team lists risks as growth slows to 6.2% 6.7% T By Cai U. Ordinario

@caiordinario

HE reenacted budget and the 45day ban on government spending in preparation for the elections will delay the Duterte administration’s “Build, Build, Build” (BBB) program, according to the President’s economic team, highlighting more challenges as the country posted its slowest growth since 2015.

In a joint statement, the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda), Department of Finance (DOF), and the Department of

Budget and Management (DBM), said the slower-than-expected economic growth in 2018 and the delay in the BBB highlight the government’s

priorities in addressing uncertainties. On Thursday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said GDP in the fourth quarter slowed to 6.1

The GDP full-year growth in 2017. The 2018 figure of 6.2 percent was the slowest since 2015 and below DBCC’s revised growth target of 6.5 to 6.9 percent. percent in 2018, from 6.5 percent in 2017. For the full year, GDP growth also decelerated to 6.2 percent in 2018, from 6.7 percent in 2017. It was the slowest full-year growth since 2015.

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Motoring e2

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Bold and captivating

Why I resigned as UCPB director Dr. Jesus Lim Arranza

Make Sense

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EING a member of the board of directors of United Coconut Planters Bank (UCPB) has its perks. Moreover, it enabled me to continue working for the country’s coconut industry in general, and UCPB, in particular, not only because of my affiliation with former Ambassador Eduardo Cojuangco and as former president of CIIF, but also because, among the five people who were asked to come up with the solution to address the coconut crisis in the local market during the 1970s, I am now the only one living. This, of course, is another topic that I would one day discuss in my column.

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ESPI TE t he fa i lure of Hanjin Heavy Industries and Constr uction Co.Philippines (HHIC-Phil) Inc., the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) believes the country can still attract more investors to its shores this year. In a briefing on Thursday, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia said increasing investments would be crucial if the government intends to meet its 7 to 8 percent full-year growth target this year. The President’s economic team said they are pushing for legislation, such as the amendment of the Foreign Investment Act, the Retail Trade Act and the Public Service Act, to boost investments in 2019. “No, it will not deter investors from coming to the Philippines. I think Hanjin is an isolated case. There are no other major investments that went sour like that. I guess financially healthy companies should have no problem coming here,” Pernia told the BusinessMirror in a phone interview on Thursday.

2017 EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

See “Growth,” A2

Hanjin ‘isolated’ case, PHL can still attract FDI–Neda

See “FDI,” A8

for the entire year alone. Earlier this month, the highlights of the most recent Monetary Board meeting of the BSP showed the country’s economic growth played a major role in the latest decision on December 13 to keep rates unchanged. “The Philippine business cycle— measured as the trend cycle of growth rate for industry and services—eased for the third consecutive quarter in the third quarter of 2018, but remained above the long-term growth trend,”the meeting highlights read, as discussed by the MB members last month. The PSA on Thursday announced that the country grew at 6.2 percent in 2018, its slowest pace since 2015. Fourth-quarter growth settled at 6.1 percent. ING Bank Manila economist Nicholas Mapa said the Central Bank’s theme for this year will be that of cutting rates

Continued on A7

Packagers struggle with ban on plastic By Elijah Felice E. Rosales

SOCIOECONOMIC Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia (right) and Undersecretary Lisa Grace S. Bersales of the Philippine Statistics Authority brief journalists on the Philippine growth performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2018 Report at the PSA office in Quezon City on Thursday. NONOY LACZA

No more Road Board, but will vehicle registration fees rise?

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HE Duterte administration was asked to abort plans to increase vehicle registration fees following the abolition of the graft-tainted Road Board. Senate President Pro Tempore Ralph G. Recto on Thursday said, “Don’t make hike in car registration fees the sequel of Road Board abolition.” Recto issued the statement after learning about proposals conveyed

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.7720

by Executive officials to members of the Senate and the House of Representatives to increase the rate of what is officially called the Motor Vehicle User’s Charge (MVUC). Recto reported that one proposal indexes MVUC to inflation, which, he said, means that “it will be raised based on the inflation rates through the years.” The senator found this to be a “quite heavy imposition” on motor

vehicle owners. “Medyo mabigat kasi kung adjusted to inflation, using 2004 as base year, ’yung bayad sa rehistro ng bantam car at SUV ay parehong tataas by 72 percent.” He added: “Mayroon naman isang pahiwatig na 50 percent ang increase. Mayroong 100 percent ang increase.” Recto noted that “these, however, have not moved through the See “Road board,” A4

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@alyasjah

ACKAGERS are struggling to cope with the shifting consumer preference for paper over plastic, but are confident their sales will continue to increase for as long as the economy is driven by consumption. Joseph Ross S. Jocson, outgoing president of the Packaging Institute of the Philippines, said the growing campaign to ban singleuse plastic is posing a challenge to the industry. This, he argued, resulted in several local governments prohibiting the use of plastic bags in supermarkets. “The challenge is actually with the plastic bag, [as] there are local government units who are ban-

ning single use,” Jocson said on the sidelines of the ProPak Philippines 2019 Expo. The packaging industry apparently took another hit when the government decided to rehabilitate Boracay last year and Manila Bay this month. Packaging—yet again—was faulted for the country’s environmental woes, Jocson lamented. “Now that there is more [environmental] awareness because of what happened to Boracay and [with] what is happening in Manila Bay, they always look at packaging as a culprit,” he added. The government, acting on President Duterte’s directive, will begin cleaning up Manila Bay on Sunday. See “Plastic,” A8

n JAPAN 0.4815 n UK 68.9941 n HK 6.7267 n CHINA 7.7709 n SINGAPORE 38.8429 n AUSTRALIA 37.6898 n EU 60.0862 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.0714

Source: BSP (24 January 2019 )


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Businessmirror January 25, 2019 by BusinessMirror - Issuu