BusinessMirror January 24, 2020

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Friday, January 24, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 106

Boom-bust risks noted as ’19 GDP grows 5.9% D By Cai U. Ordinario

@caiordinario

ESPITE a decade of posting above 6-percent growth, the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) and analysts believe the economy is still not safe from the threat of being caught in boom-bust cycles.

On Thursday, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) disclosed that the economy posted a growth of 6.4 percent in the fourth quarter of last year and a full-year growth of 5.9 percent. While the full-year 2019 growth

was the slowest since 2011 when the economy posted growth of only 3.7 percent, it still cemented the country’s 10-year average growth of 6.3 percent between 2010 and 2019. “[We escaped the boom-bust cycle] a bit but we’re still seeing some

boom-bust related to the political cycle. So that’s why we said we want a more robust government budgeting [and] disbursement [process] that would be a bit insulated from this political cycle,” Neda Undersecretary Rosemarie G. Edillon

“The boom-and-bust cycle is inevitable. There will always be a bust in a boom, but will the bust erase all that the boom has created? Gains should be stronger, longer or higher than possible losses.”—Asuncion

told the BusinessMirror on the sidelines of the National Income Accounts briefing in Ortigas Center, Pasig City. Boom-and-bust cycles occur when the economy experiences strong growth for one year and weak growth the next. In the case of the Philippines, boom growth occurs during election years while bust growth occurs in nonelection years. Continued on A8

Duterte signs ‘sin’ tax law but vetoes curbs on BIR search power By Samuel P. Medenilla

P

@sam_medenilla

R ESIDEN T Duter te has signed Republic Act (R A) 11467, or the law increasing taxes e-cigarettes and alcoholic beverages, and shared his expectation that the number of Filipinos with vices will be reduced. Duterte late Wednesday signed the new legislation “increasing the excise taxes on alcohol, heated tobacco and vapor products and expanding the coverage of the valueadded tax [VAT]-exempt sales and importation of medicine.” He said the revenue collected from the new law will be used for the “equitable access and affordable health services to every Filipino” through

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n

By Bernadette D. Nicolas

A

@BNicolasBM

F T ER t he cou nt r y m issed its rev ised growth target last year, monetary and fiscal authorities are confident that it would grow faster this year. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Benjamin E. Diokno said on Thursday that GDP growth of 7 percent “looks attainable” this year. This is within the government’s growth target for next year at 6.5 to 7.5 percent. “With all sectors working as a well-oiled machine, GDP growth of 7 percent looks attainable this year [2020],” he said in a message to the BusinessMirror. However, he said downside risks to the country’s growth for this year include failure

to pass the remaining taxreform measures, such as the Corporate Income Tax and Incentive R ationa lization Act (Citira), serious delays in the “Build, Build, Build” program, as well as climate change or the country experiencing “more severe weather than usual.” Meanwhile, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III also expressed optimism t h at t he c o u nt r y w o u l d achieve a higher economic growth this year but flagged some downside risks to the country’s GDP, including an “explosive eruption” of Taal Volcano. In a statement, Dominguez said the economic expansion of the country would be driven by a vigorous state spending on infrastructure and social Continued on A2

T

Vetoed provision

See “Sin tax,” A8

BSP, D.O.F. CHIEFS SEE BETTER GROWTH DATA AFTER MISSED ’19 GOAL

Sunset clause in deals eyed to preclude onerous terms

Republic Act 11223, or the UHC. The government is expected to generate P22 billion for the first year of implementation of RA 11467. Of this, 60 percent will go to UHC implementation, and 20 percent for medical aid and health facilities. “I am confident that the multitiered effect of this law as a costeffective health measure to reduce smoking and alcohol consumption among Filipinos support the UHC Act,” Duterte said in his veto message. DUTERTE opted to strike down Section 5 of RA 11467 amending the National Internal Revenue Code (NIRC) by requiring the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) to get a court order before it exercise its

P25.00 nationwide | 5 sections 46 pages |

CONTAGION WATCH Passengers of an Eva Air flight from Taipei wear masks to protect themselves as they arrive at Naia Terminal 1 on Thursday, as Bureau of Quarantine staff track temperatures of visitors. Airports around the region tightened precautions against the 2019 coronavirus from China. Story in “World,” page B3. NONIE REYES

HE National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) has recommended the inclusion of sunset provisions in government agreements to avoid onerous terms in future contracts. In a briefing on Thursday, Neda Undersecretary for Policy and Planning Rosemarie G. Edillon said the government does not tolerate onerous contracts that could undermine the welfare of Filipinos. Edillon said the lessons from the government’s contracts with the water concessionaires, as well as Chevron Philippines Inc. (CPI) requires changes in how government deals with private entities.

US 50.9420 n JAPAN 0.4638 n UK 66.9582 n HK 6.5563 n CHINA 7.3737 n SINGAPORE 37.7796 n AUSTRALIA 34.8647 n EU 56.5201 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.5805

Cai U. Ordinario

Source: BSP (23 January 2020)


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