PRIVATE ECONOMISTS WARY ABOUT INFLATION PATH IN 2019–B.S.P. POLL
P SO, MAYWEATHER’S NEXT? Manny Pacquiao proves he still got plenty of fight at 40 and flashes of his old speed in
winning a unanimous 12-round decision over Adrien Broner to easily defend his World Boxing Association welterweight title on Sunday at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada. Whether Pacquiao’s dominating win over Broner gets him a rematch with Floyd Mayweather Jr., though, is a question that will have to be answered another night. Mayweather watched the fight from ringside, by the way. Story on C2-3. AP
DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY
2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION
RIVATE economists in the country remain wary about the country’s inflation path in 2019, as the latest results of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s (BSP) survey of bank analysts show a still slightly elevated inflation projection for the year. In its quarterly report on local inflation developments, the Central Bank said its survey of private bank economists across the country yielded a mean inflation forecast of 4.1 percent for 2019. While this is lower than the earlier projection of 4.3 percent for the year, it still breaches the BSP’s target range of 2 to 4 per-
cent for the year. In particular, respondent banks during the period assigned a 44.8-percent probability that inflation will fall within the 2 to 4 percent target range, and a 53.6-percent chance that inflation will breach the upper end of the target. The BSP’s survey of private economists had 27 bank economists in the country and was conducted between December 7 and 10 of last year. This means that their forecast has not yet been influenced by the latest inflation print for December 2018, which was released by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) in the
See “BSP poll,” A2
BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business
www.businessmirror.com.ph
Monday, January 21, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 103
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‘Economy likely grew at a slower pace in Q4’ 5.9% L By Bianca Cuaresma
@BcuaresmaBM
OCAL economists may have opposing views on GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2018, but their projections agree on one thing: the pace of expansion was likely slower compared to that seen in 2017. See “Economy,” A2
The Country’s growth in OctoberDecember 2018, as projected by ING Bank Manila economist Nicholas Mapa. This forecast would mean the country’s economy grew the slowest in 14 months
By Elijah Felice E. Rosales @alyasjah
UBSTANDARD steel is prevalent in Southern Luzon, local steelmakers have claimed, and they want the government to conduct an immediate audit of hardwares in the region. The Philippine Iron and Steel I nst it ute (P i si) sa id nu mer ous hardware stores in Laguna, Cavite, Batangas and Mindoro Occidental are selling low-grade reinforcing steel bars. The alleged substandard products were discovered by Pisi in its recent market monitoring operations. Pisi President Roberto M. Cola said the findings of the test buy operations are now with the Department of Trade and Industry’s Consumer Protection Group, and he expects no less than an immediate audit of the hardwares. Pisi also asked the government to do its own market monitoring and standards enforcement checks in Southern Luzon. More than a dozen hardwares were named in the Pisi report as supposedly selling faulty rebars. “We have also recommended to the Bureau of Product Standards to conduct an immediate audit and issue show-cause orders on the manufacturers that produced and sold the substandard rebars,” Cola said in a statement. The Pisi report named Pampanga-based induction furnace maker
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.2880
See “Steel,” A4
BUSINESS NEWS SOURCE OF THE YEAR
JAN-NOV G.O.C.C. SUBSIDY UP 34.65% TO P134.47B By Rea Cu
@ReaCuBM
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UBSIDIES made by the national government to government-owned and -controlled corporations (GOCCs) and government institutions from January to November 2018 grew by 34.65 percent to P134.471 billion, from the P99.861 billion reported in the same period for 2017, Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) data showed. For November alone, the government provided P8.086 billion in subsidies, coming from P5.961 billion in 2017, or an expansion of 35.64 percent. The biggest recipient of the subsidy in November was still the Philippine Health Insurance Corp. (PhilHealth) with P2.762 billion, with the Philippine Economic Zone Authority (Peza) coming in second with P2.024 billion, and the National Irrigation Administration (NIA) as third, P1.693 billion. Other GOCCs that received subsidies for November: Land Bank of the Philippines (LBP), P558 million; Development Bank of the Philippines (DBP), P351 million; Philippine Postal Corp. (PhilPost), P145 million; Center for International Trade Expositions and Missions (Citem), P101 million; Philippine Children’s Medical Center (PCMC), P90 million; the Philippine Heart Center (PHC), P72 million; Light Rail Transit Authority (LRTA), P58 million; and the National Kidney Transplant Institute (NKTI), P49 million.
Pira, PLIA see P900-M net worth rule reachable
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These steel products are used for construction of homes in these provinces—which are usually visited by typhoons, flash floods and, sometimes, earthquakes—and, thus, they need to use quality construction materials.”—Cola
Wan Chiong Steel Corp. as having the most number of violations, with six stores selling mostly underweight or with low elongation rebars. This was followed by CKU Steel Corp. with five stores allegedly carrying its underweight rebars. The Pisi findings also accused Cathay Pacific Steel Corp.; Phil. Koktai Metal Inc.; Continental Steel Manufacturing Corp.; Metrodragon Steel Corp.; and Real Steel Manufacturing Corp. of selling substandard steel in Southern Luzon. “We are concerned that substandard rebars are being openly sold in the provinces of Mindoro, Batangas, Laguna and Cavite. These steel products are used for construction of homes in these provinces—which are usually visited by typhoons, flash floods and,
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Chinese substandard steel in S. Luzon may be disaster risk–Pisi
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first week of January. The BSP said that while analysts expect inflation to still remain elevated in the near term, their assessment of the balance of risks to the inflation outlook has shifted toward the downside. Among the possible downside risks to inflation—or developments that could push inflation further downward—include lowerthan-expected global oil prices, further decline of food and nonfood items and the potential implementation of mitigating measures to address food-supply issues, such as rice importation.
but we have to hear and balance the problem being encountered by government with the illegal tobacco trade that is now lording it over since additional taxes have been enforced on the legitimate industry,” Sotto said in a text message to the BusinessMirror. Angara admitted he was also inclined to back the bill.
OCAL insurance industry players are confident about being able to comply with the P900-million minimum net-worth requirement imposed by regulators for this year, but are asking for more avenues to be able to do business. Asked if the nonlife insurance industry can meet the increased minimum paid-up capital requirement of P900 million for 2019, Philippine Insurers and Reinsurers Association (Pira) Executive Director Michael F. Rellosa said he sees most nonlife companies in the country complying with it. On Friday, Insurance Commissioner Dennis B. Funa had himself expressed confidence that the majority of the players will be able to meet the higher threshold. Funa spoke at the 70th anniversary celebration of the Insurance Commission (IC). “We don’t think its going to be a problem for the nonlife insurance industry,” Rellosa told the BusinessMirror in a phone interview at the weekend. Rellosa explained that, while he cannot speak for all nonlife insurance players, he is aware that some of the nonlife insurance companies are looking to merge with other companies to be able to meet the paid-up capital requirement. He was quick to add that for any increases in what is being required of insurance companies in the Philippines, new avenues to do business must also be presented, to achieve balance.
See “Tobacco tax,” A2
Continued on A2
INSURANCE Commissioner Dennis B. Funa (left) and Supreme Court Senior Associate Justice Antonio T. Carpio walk to the venue of the 70th anniversary rites of the Insurance Commission at the PICC on Friday (January 18). Justice Carpio was guest speaker at the celebration. NONOY LACZA
Senators weigh options on tobacco tax hike By Butch Fernandez
S
@butchfBM
ENATORS are seriously considering options on the plea of the country’s 30 medical societies to promptly pass pending legislation imposing a higher tobacco tax rate of P90. This was confirmed over the weekend by Sen. Juan Edgardo
Angara, chairman of the Ways and Means Committee tasked to review revenue-related bills submitted for early approval. Senate President Vicente Sotto III on Sunday also signaled his inclination to support the remedial legislation, when asked if he would back the medical societies’ appeal, but preached caution. “I wish I could immediately,
n JAPAN 0.4787 n UK 67.9169 n HK 6.6670 n CHINA 7.7132 n SINGAPORE 38.5975 n AUSTRALIA 37.6264 n EU 59.5717 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.9409
Source: BSP (18 January 2019 )