BusinessMirror January 16, 2020

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BROADER LOOK »B4-B5

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Thursday, January 16, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 98

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‘Taal eruption likely to affect inflation’ T

By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM & Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla

aal Volcano’s unrest is not expected to pull down the country’s economy this year, but it could stoke inflationary pressures in the coming months, a local economist said.

Early assessments made by Philippine National Bank (PNB) economist Jun Trinidad showed that the adverse impact of Taal’s eruption could be mitigated by the

size and the speed of the government’s relief operations. “Deploying significant private and public resources in disaster affected areas to address the nat-

ural disaster’s damages compensates for macro downside risks,” Trinidad said. Trinidad said the government’s aid, reconstruction and rehabilita-

P25.00 nationwide | 6 sections 60 pages |

Rebalancing development strategy:

Filipino First in an uncertain and volatile world

2.5 percent

Rene E. Ofreneo

The average inflation rate in 2019 tion efforts, coupled by a private sector-led reparation to normalize their operations will likely offset the negative impact of the natural disaster on domestic demand. The economist also said that the P20-billion National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Fund as approved in the 2020 budget, as well as the $222 million proceeds from the catastrophe-linked bonds could cover for the losses caused by the volcano’s eruption.

laborem exercens

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he world heaved a collective sigh of relief when Teheran elected to avoid an all-out force-by-force response to Trump’s brazen decision to kill Iran’s General Qassem Soleimani through a powerful air strike. Nonetheless, it is still a VUCA world—vulnerable, uncertain, complex and ambiguous. The global consensus is that the US-Iran war will continue in various forms, e.g., proxy wars in Yemen, drone attacks on oil tankers, violent demonstrations against US bases, etc. The oil market remains volatile and unpredictable. The Middle East will increasingly become an inhospitable place for work to around 3 million OFWs, documented and undocumented. Continued on A7

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Price of live chicken down 9%

Citira won’t widen gap in tax collection–EIU By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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@BNicolasBM

espite the expected cut in corporate income tax (CIT) under the proposed Corporate Income Tax and Incentives Rationalization Act (Citira), the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) said this will not widen the shortfall in actual tax collection. While the Citira faces opposition from businesses lobbying for the retention of fiscal incentives, the EIU said in an article that the measure will be passed by Congress this year, putting the country “on track” to cutting CIT to 20 percent by 2030. However, the EIU said the extent by which the measure will lower the effective tax rate companies pay and its impact on arresting falling foreign direct investment will still depend on the final outcome of the bicameral review of Senate and the House of Representatives. “While the government will find it hard to achieve its ambitious revenue target, the shortfall in actual collection will not be wide, considering that the pace of reduction in the corporate income tax rate is much slower than at which incentives are supposed to be rolled back,” EIU said in the January 14 article, titled “Crunch time for Duterte’s corporate tax reform.” Citira aims to lower the CIT rate

PESO exchange rates n

from 30 percent to 20 percent over 10 years to bring it closer to the Asean average while redesigning the current convoluted fiscal incentives system to make it performancebased, time-bound, specifically targeted and more transparent. The EIU noted that corporate tax reforms under President Duterte comes at a time that the government needs to increase tax revenues to fund his commitments to raise social spending and disbursements for infrastructure. In a statement on Wednesday, the Department of Finance said the House version of the Citira bill, which was approved on September 13, 2019, has already been transmitted to the Senate on September 16. The measure is now pending in the counterpart Senate panel chaired by the equally hardworking Sen. Pia Cayetano, the DOF said. Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III reiterated in the same statement that the tax reform will attract more investments and help propel the country to an “A” credit rating from its current “BBB plus” while creating “a better level playing field” for businesses, as well as entice new players to come in and compete. Aside from Citira, the other pending packages under the Comprehensive Tax Reform Program (CTRP) include Package 3 or the Continued on A2

By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas

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By country source, BSP data showed that the United States is still the highest country source of OFW remittances during the period, accounting for 37.7 percent of total money transfers in January to November 2019. This was followed by Saudi

he average farm-gate price of broiler chicken fell by over 9 percent to P72.25 per kilogram (kg) in the second week of January, as lower demand caused inventory to swell, the United Broiler Raisers Association (Ubra) said. Ubra’s weekly price monitoring indicated that the price of broiler chicken as of January 10 was P7.42 lower than the P79.67 per kg recorded in the previous week. Also, the average price of primesized broiler declined by almost 10 percent to P73.67 per kg, from last week’s P81.62 per kg, according to Ubra’s report. Figures from the group also showed that the average farmgate price of off-sized broiler fell by 4.3 percent to P78.8 per kg from P82.33 per kg during the reference period. Ubra President Elias Jose Inciong told the BusinessMirror that the reduction in farm-gate prices was caused by “a confluence of events,” including seasonal factors. For one, Inciong said there is a high carry over chicken inventory due to higher local production and an increase in imports. Inciong added that the increase of new entrants in the poultry sector contributed

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Dr. Renato Solidum, officer in charge of the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, is shown here pointing to sets of data on the eruption of Taal Volcano. During a news conference held at the Phivolcs office in Quezon City on January 15, Solidum said Phivolcs data showed that since 5:00 a.m. of January 14 until 5:00 a.m. of January 15, nearly 160 volcanic earthquakes related to the eruption were felt. Twenty-eight of these volcanic earthquakes had intensities ranging from Intensity 1 to 3. NONOY LACZA

OFW remittances rise to $2.37 million in November

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he Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported on Wednesday that overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) sent home some $2.37 million in remittances in November 2019, 2 percent higher than the total amount they sent a year ago. The BSP said total remittances in

January to November 2019 rose to $27.2 billion, 4.4 percent higher than the previous year’s $26.1 billion. “By type of worker, cash remittances from land-based and seabased workers increased by 3.6 percent to $21.3 billion, and 7.3 percent to $6 billion, respectively,” the BSP said in a statement.

US 50.5120 n japan 0.4593 n UK 65.7666 n HK 6.4952 n CHINA 7.3371 n singapore 37.5080 n australia 34.8533 n EU 56.2199 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4641

Source: BSP (15 January 2020)


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