D.E.N.R. HAS 1-STRIKE POLICY VS. POLLUTIVE BAY CONDOS By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo
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@akosistellaBM Special to the BusinessMirror
T will be a one-strike policy at the Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR), when it deals with hotels and other establishments located along Manila Bay found violating environmental rules. This developed as DENR Undersecretary for Attached Agencies Sherwin Rigor said even residential condominiums are in the agency’s target sight for inspections. He told the BusinessMirror these condos will “definitely” be closed down, “no exemption,” if found polluting Manila Bay. The agency is
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slated to inspect 500 condos along the bay area. “Condos need to [install] their septic vault or tank fast or use biotech. While being constructed, technology is available for that. They should not wait for us to discover they don’t have any of those equipment,” he stressed. “We believe condo owners will understand because if they cannot pressure the owner, then their property will decrease in value,” the DENR official said, adding, “it will also hit their brand because the buyers were shortchanged.” Among the major condominium developers in the bay area are SM Development Corp., Robinsons Continued on A2
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Friday, January 11, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 93
MB highlights reveal BSP growth concerns
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By Bianca Cuaresma
@BcuaresmaBM
HE country’s economic growth—which was found to be easing in recent quarters —played a major role in the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s (BSP) latest decision to halt its tightening cycle. Highlights of the December 13 monetary-policy meeting of the Central Bank—made public on Thursday— showed that the tamer inflation was not the only reason behind the Monetary Board’s (MB)
decision to keep rates unchanged for the first time in seven months. “The Philippine business cycle —measured as the trend cycle of growth rate for industry and ser vices—eased for the third
consecutive quarter in the third quarter of 2018, but remained above t he long-ter m g row t h trend,” read the meeting highlights, as discussed by the Monetary Board members last month.
Forward-looking domestic demand indicators point to less robust economic sentiment, with most recent surveys show business and consumer sentiment turning less sanguine in the fourth quarter.” —Monetary Board
“Forward-looking domestic demand indicators point to less robust economic sentiment, with most recent surveys show business and consumer sentiment turning less sanguine in the fourth quarter,” it added. See “BSP,” A2
Weak global trade to hurt PHL exports in 2019–Neda
See “Global trade,” A8
Letter to the Supreme Court Dr. Jesus Lim Arranza
Make Sense
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WROTE a letter to the Supreme Court (SC) on January 10, 2019, to air my serious concerns over a case, titled SPS. Felix A. Chua And Carmen L. Chua, Et Al. v. United Coconut Planters Bank, Et Al., GR 215999, Third Division, Supreme Court. I am a stockholder of the UCPB and a former member of the UCBP board of directors (and its Legal Oversight Committee), which is now owned by the government. Also, I was once the president of the United Coconut Associations of the Philippines Inc., the organization of practically all the stakeholders in the coconut industry. Continued on A6
Unfazed, exporters see 6% rebound from sluggish ’18 growth
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SHOW-CAUSE ORDERS A gasoline boy fills up the tank of a customer at a station along Osmeña Highway in Manila in this file photo. The energy department said 444 stations have so far started implementing higher fuel prices brought about by the second-round excise tax, and it was issuing them show-cause orders to explain their implementation of the second tranche, as it warned petroleum dealers not to apply the new excise rates on old inventory. Story in Companies, B2. BUSINESSMIRROR
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By Elijah Felice E. Rosales
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HE country’s exporters should brace for a difficult 2019 as the lackluster performance of global trade is expected to continue this year, the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) said. Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Ernesto M. Pernia acknowledged the need to improve the country’s midterm export strategies and sustain merchandise trade growth this year. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Thursday that the country’s total merchandise trade grew by 4.1 percent, reaching $15 billion in November 2018. This is the slowest pace since the 2.7 percent recorded in March 2018. “Moderation in global growth appears inevitable in 2019. Given a less encouraging global economic outlook, the country needs to ramp up the implementation of strategies outlined in the Philippine Export Development Plan 2018-2022,” Pernia said in a statement. He added that supporting micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) is necessary to increase their participation in global value chains. “Simplifying loan processes, provision of financial literacy trainings, and facilitation of linkages between MSMEs and large corporations are some ways to spur the internationalization of MSMEs,” Pernia said.
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XPORTERS are expecting to grow revenue to as high as 6 percent this year, as they look to rebound from a sluggish performance last year. Philippine Exporters Confederation Inc. (Philexport) President Sergio R. Ortiz-Luis Jr. told the BusinessMirror exporters are looking to rebound this year and expand revenue by 6 percent to as high as 9 percent. He argued this is highly plausible, given that exporters have already factored in the additional costs brought about by new taxes, inflation and the international trade conflict. “We are quite certain that merchandise exports will be positive this 2019,” Ortiz-Luis said. “It will be at least 6 percent of growth to maybe a high target of 9 percent. We see no reason it will not happen, considering we have already factored the
“We see no reason it will not happen, considering we have already factored the problems we have with the major markets, the trade war, domestic issues and the bad [performance] of our agriculture sector.”— Ortiz-Luis
problems we have with the major markets, the trade war, domestic issues and the bad [performance] of our agriculture sector,” he explained further. Full-year export figures have yet to be released, but latest data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) showed exports from January to November 2018 slowed 0.9 percent to $62.76 billion, from $63.32 billion during the same period in 2017. Electronic products remain to be the sector’s strongest link. See “Exporters,” A8
PIDS study: Mediocre farm performance to continue after tariffication By Cai U. Ordinario
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@caiordinario
HE agriculture sector will continue to have difficulties contributing to the expansion of the country’s economy even after the rice import caps have been converted into tariffs, according to a study by the Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS).
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.3760
In a study, titled “Scenarios for the Philippine Agri-Food System with and without Tariffication: Application of a CGE model with Endogenous Area Allocation,” PIDS Senior Research Fellow Roehlano M. Briones used a new Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model for his estimates. “The baseline scenario finds that growth patterns prevailing
since the 2010s can be sustained within the SDG [Sustainable Development Goals] period assuming productivity trends in the industry and service sectors continue,” the study read. “Unfortunately, the scenario also implies that the mediocre growth performance of agriculture will likewise be sustained into the foreseeable future,” it added.
Sans the conversion of the quantitative restriction (QR) on rice, Briones said GDP growth would average 6.12 percent. However, with tariffication, average GDP will improve by 0.05 percentage point and reach 6.17 percent between 2016 and 2030. “Tariffication is disadvantageous to the palay sector across various measures, namely, area
harvested, yield and production. Even agriculture as a whole is adversely affected, experiencing a further growth slowdown,” Briones said. “Overall growth of GDP, as well as household per capita expenditure, rises with greater openness to rice imports. Consistent with expectation, imports are larger with tariffication, leading to more
n JAPAN 0.4850 n UK 67.0622 n HK 6.6825 n CHINA 7.6826 n SINGAPORE 38.7253 n AUSTRALIA 37.6112 n EU 60.5257 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.9628
See “PIDS,” A2
Source: BSP (10 January 2019 )