BusinessMirror January 10, 2019

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DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

www.businessmirror.com.ph

Thursday, January 10, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 92

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WB cuts 2018, 2019 PHL growth forecast

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By Cai U. Ordinario

@caiordinario

IGH inflation and slowing private consumption has forced the World Bank to cut its growth forecast for the Philippine economy in 2018 and 2019. In the January 2019 Global Economic Prospects, the Washingtonbased lender said economic growth in 2018 and 2019 is now forecast to reach 6.4 percent and 6.5 percent, respectively.

The forecast for 2018 was a 0.3percentage-point reduction from the June 2018 forecast of 6.7 percent, while the 2019 estimate was 0.2 percentage points lower than the Bank’s initial projection.

“Growth in commodity-importing economies excluding China is moderating. In the Philippines, activity has slowed as surging inflation, capacity constraints and currency pressures have prompted

Growth in commodityimporting economies excluding China is moderating. In the Philippines, activity has slowed as surging inflation, capacity constraints and currency pressures have prompted authorities to hike policy rates.”—World Bank authorities to hike policy rates,” the World Bank flagship report read. “Excluding China, the 2018 growth outlook for EAP [East Asia and the Pacific] commodity importers has been downgraded because of a moderation in private consumption amid rising inflation in the Philippines,” the report also stated. See “WB,” A8

State workers’ pay to remain as is–DBM @BNicolasBM

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OVERNMENT employees have no choice but to wait for the passage of the proposed national budget for 2019 before they can see an increase in their salaries, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) said. Budget Secretary Benjamin E. Diokno said the DBM cannot implement the scheduled increase in the pay of state workers for this year until after the enactment of the proposed 2019 General Appropriations Act (GAA), which is still pending in Congress. “The implementation of the fourth tranche of compensation adjustments will be applied retroactively from January 1, 2019, once the GAA is signed into law. In effect, government employees will receive salary differentials within the year,” Diokno said. Diokno also refuted House Majority Rep. Rolando G. Andaya Jr. and Sen. Franklin M. Drilon’s statements that the DBM does not have to wait for Congress to approve the 2019 budget before implementing the salary hike. Citing Section 11 of Executive Order 201, Series of 2016, Diokno said the implementation of the salary schedule “is subject to appropriations by Congress.” See “State workers,” A8

PRICES of assorted varieties of rice are seen at the San Andres public market in Manila in this file photo. President Duterte is expected to sign into law soon the bill formalizing the conversion of quantitative restrictions on rice imports into a regime of tariffication. ROY DOMINGO

‘Reverting MDM tariff to 40% not automatic’

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HANGES to the concessionary tariff rate for mechanically deboned meat (MDM) granted by the Philippines in exchange for retaining its quantitative restriction (QR) on rice will not be automatic once the President signs into law the rice tariffication bill. Government sources familiar

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.4540

with the matter told the BusinessMirror that there is a 45-day window before any increase or decrease in concessionary tariff rate for MDM is implemented, as indicated in the proposed implementing rules and regulations (IRR) of the rice tariffication bill. The 45-day period, which will take effect right after the tariffica-

tion bill is signed into law, is also being seen as a period when a corresponding executive order (EO) on the MDM tariff can be issued. The Tariff Commission has been tasked to conduct a study on the “most optimal” tariff rate and timetable for the implementation of the tariff rates for MDM. See “Tariff,” A2

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Can the unions be a force for change in PHL society? Rene E. Ofreneo

LABOREM EXERCENS

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HE Philippines has a fairly progressive legal framework recognizing the rights of workers to associate freely and have a voice on national and industry policies affecting them. These rights are a product of long workers’ struggle for collective advancement that dates back from the American colonial period at the turn of the 20th century and which continues to the present. Continued on A7

DBM touts huge infra spending by Duterte: 6.2% of GDP in 2018

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By Bernadette D. Nicolas

2017 EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

UDGET Secretary Benjamin E. Diokno said on Wednesday that infrastr ucture spending is projected to hit 6.2 percent of GDP in 2018, almost tripling the average of 2 percent of GDP spent from 1986 to 2016. However, this is slightly lower than last year’s 6.3 percent. Average infrastructure outlay under the Duterte administration (2017-2018) is P1.0427 trillion, while that of the Aquino administration is P378.3 billion; Arroyo administration (P100.3 billion); Estrada administration (P60.1 billion); and Ramos administration (P38.7 billion). The Department of Budget and Management (DBM) noted, though, that these figures were based on actual obligations from 1993 to 2017 and program obligations in 2018. Sought by the BusinessMirror for clarification on why there will be a possible slight decline year-on-year on infrastructure spending as a percent of GDP, Diokno said it is because there were more accounts payable in 2017 than in 2018. Nonetheless, Diokno said this is still in line with the Duterte administration’s target of increasing infrastructure spending to more than 7 percent of GDP by 2022. “Unlike other administrations, we started...full blast, no slack because the other administrations took a year or two before they were

able to pick up,” he said. The DBM also said in a separate statement: “Compared to the initial two years of every president when he or she was still learning the ropes of the presidency, President Duterte has [done] a much better job than his peers.” It added: “ This fast-tracked spending performance addresses the countr y’s underinvestment in infrastructure, which has severely dragged the Philippines’s economic performance in the past.” According to the latest data on government disbursements, yearto-date actual disbursements also stand at P3.1 trillion, increasing the likelihood of zero underspending for 2018, DBM said. “ W it h t he “ B u i ld , B u i ld , Build” program in full swing, infrastructure outlays are expected to increase from 4.7 percent in 2019 to 7 percent in 2022. So far 44 out of 75 major projects have already begun implementation,” Diokno said. “And this year, the P356-billion Metro Manila Subway Project, the Philippines’s first ever subway system, w i l l com mence con st r uc t ion this month.” As of December 31, 2018, the Department of Public Works and Highways completed 8,598 projects. There are also 24,000 ongoing nationwide project components.

n JAPAN 0.4823 n UK 66.7267 n HK 6.6918 n CHINA 7.6521 n SINGAPORE 38.6259 n AUSTRALIA 37.4417 n EU 60.0179 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.9848

Bernadette D. Nicolas Source: BSP (9 January 2019 )


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