BusinessMirror January 06, 2020

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INFLATION SEEN BACK IN TARGET RANGE By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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Vegetables are arranged in a stall somewhere in Manila in this BusinessMirror file photo. Inflation is expected to return to the target range by the last month of 2019, an analyst said. NONIE REYES

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HE country’s inflation rate will likely end the year back within the target range in the last month of 2019, a local economist has forecast. According to Security Bank economist Robert Dan Roces, the country’s inflation will likely hit 2 percent in December, accelerating from the 1.3 percent seen in the previous month. Roces said the month-on-month price uptick stems from the steady price growth trajectory amid higher demand for select commodities during the holiday season, plus electricity and fuel price changes. “We see an uptick in prices for selected

food items, as well as alcoholic beverages and tobacco, and upward price adjustments in electricity rates [due to a higher generational charge] plus uptrends in diesel, gasoline, and kerosene prices,” Roces said. “Rice prices have been relatively stable with the fulfillment of shipments for imported rice, plus the end of the harvest season that ensures more than enough supply in the market,” he added. The economist’s forecast puts the country’s average inflation to 2.5 percent, well within the 2-4 percent target range for the year. Inflation started above target range at 4.4 percent in January 2019, as the country was reeling from the unexpected rise of the prices of oil and rice in 2018. It gradually went

Monday, January 6, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 88

Govt tracks price hikes amid Mideast tension T

By Elijah Felice E. Rosales @alyasjah & Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla

HE country’s trade chief has warned that the brewing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could put pressure on producers to increase their prices, as world oil rates surged on Friday after a United States strike killed an Iranian military leader and Iran vowed retaliation.

Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez told reporters that suppliers of basic goods have yet to petition for a new round of price hikes this year, but the escalation of the situation in Iran and Iraq, two major oil producers, could affect Philippine fuel

rates and compel manufacturers to increase their prices. Friday’s spike in oil prices following the heightened tensions after the US attack also sparked fresh calls for the Philippines to be ready to move to safety thousands of

overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) in the Middle East who might be affected by the brewing new crisis. See related story on A8. This, as a local labor group also urged government to suspend the new round of taxes for fuels— which

down to 2.7 percent in the middle of the year and then below target to 1.3 percent at the latest in November. The BSP, however, forecasts a slightly lower inflation average for the year. In their last monetary board meeting, BSP officials said they have retained the 2.4-percent inflation forecast for 2019. This means that inflation should hit somewhere between 1.3 percent and 1.7 percent. For both 2020 and 2021, inflation projection has been set at 2.9 percent. BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno earlier said the balance of risks to the inflation outlook continues to lean slightly toward the upside in 2020 and toward the downside in 2021. See “Inflation,” A2

P25.00 nationwide | 5 sections 24 pages |

PSE CUTS 2020 CAPITAL RAISING GOAL TO P150B

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By VG Cabuag

took effect on January 1, 2020, as part of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) Law—to “cushion” the expected surge in its prices in the international market amid the escalating tension between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East. “There is no [local] increase, yet. If the conflict in Iran escalates, it will affect oil prices and that’s the uncertainty now. That’s beyond our control,” Lopez explained on Saturday.

HE Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) Inc., the operator of the equities trading market, has reduced its capital-raising target to just P150 billion in 2020 after years of being unable to reach its P200-billion full-year target. In 2019, capital raised through the PSE only reached P95 billion as companies preferred raising capital through bonds with the relaxation of rules by the Central Bank. In 2018, capital raising at the PSE reached P187.84 billion. “But we have to review our listing rules [in order to attract fund raisers],” PSE President and CEO Ramon S. Monzon said. “Our mandate is to help companies raise capital. But we have listing rules, and those things cost money. We’ll have to think about how to properly reach the optimum balance of raising capital and investor protection,” he said. A Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas regulation issued in August 2018 had made it easier for companies and banks to raise capital through bond and commercial papers issuance. The BSP earlier said they are treating lenders like any other nonfinancial corporates, in which a bond can be issued by a bank following the bond issuance rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). As a result, listings at the Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corp. already reached P138.69 billion even before the first half of 2019, with BDO Unibank Inc. and SMC Global Power having the biggest listings.

See “Price hikes,” A2

See “PSE,” A2

“There is no [local] increase, yet. If the conflict in Iran escalates, it will affect oil prices and that’s the uncertainty now. That’s beyond our control.” —Lopez

2020 budget signing seen boosting PHL growth

ADB projects approved in Duterte time nearly doubled By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

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ROJECTS approved by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) in the first three years of the Duterte administration nearly doubled compared to those approved in the previous administration. Data available on the ADB web site showed over $7 billion or P371 billion worth of projects and programs to be financed by loans and grants were approved from the time the Duterte administration assumed office in 2016 until December 2019. The estimate does not yet include projects approved by ADB that were meant to be implemented regionally and/or in multiple countries, including the Philippines. In previous administration, the projects and programs approved by ADB only amounted to over $4 billion or around P220 billion between July

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2010 and December 2013. The biggest project approved under the Duterte administration is the Malolos-Clark Railway Project—at $4.69 billion, the ADB’s largest undertaking in the country. Under the previous administration, the largest projects approved were the Social Protection Support Project worth $801.1 million and three projects focused on the recovery and rehabilitation of areas affected by Supertyphoon Yolanda, $503.89 million. The ADB has indicated it intends to increase project financing for the country. This has already been observed in the ADB’s new Country Operations Business Plan 2020-2022. Based on the plan, ADB’s lending and non-lending program for the Philippines could reach $10.67 billion or P554.89 billion between 2020 and 2022. See “ADB,” A2

@villygc

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CRAZY NORMAL Sunday traffic is heavy on Edsa, as the volume of private and public vehicles returned to congestion levels, with thousands of people returning to Metro Manila after a long vacation. The congestion is expected to worsen on Monday (January 6), when most schools reopen after the long Christmas season. NONOY LACZA

AW M A K ER S on Sund ay said the expected signing of the proposed P4.1-trillion General Appropriations Act today (Monday) by President Duterte will help the government boost the country’s growth momentum. House Majority Leader Martin Romualdez said the 2020 national budget was crafted to attain a much better economy to make comfortable the life of Filipinos by hitting “A” credit rating before the President steps down in 2022. The presidential signing ceremony of the 2020 national budget will take place at 4 p.m. at Rizal Hall, Malacañang. See “Budget,” A8

US 50.6460 n japan 0.4666 n UK 66.5539 n HK 6.5030 n CHINA 7.2722 n singapore 37.5796 n australia 35.3813 n EU 56.5766 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.5034

Source: BSP (3 January 2020)


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BusinessMirror January 06, 2020 by BusinessMirror - Issuu