DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY
2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION
BusinessMirror
www.businessmirror.com.ph
A broader look at today’s business n
Thursday, January 3, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 85
‘Marginal’ slowdowns cause PMI to dip in Dec
T
By Bianca Cuaresma
@BcuaresmaBM
HE country’s manufacturing sector performance slowed down in the last month of the year, but indicators paint a rosy picture for the industry in the coming year. Reports from IHS Markit on Wednesday showed the country’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell from 54.2 in November to 53.2 in December. The PMI is a composite index aimed at gauging the health of the
country’s manufacturing sector. It is calculated as a weighted average of five individual subcomponents. Readings above the 50 threshold signal a growth in the manufacturing sector, while readings below 50 show deterioration in the industry.
The country’s performance during the month places second in the overall ranking of PMIs in the region, with Vietnam leading the pack with a PMI of 53.8. Following the Philippines is Myanmar’s PMI at 52.5, Indonesia’s
53.2 The country’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in December, as reported by IHS Markit. The figure is down from 54.2 in November, and puts the Philippines second to Vietnam in the region, with a PMI of 53.8
BUSINESS NEWS SOURCE OF THE YEAR
P25.00 nationwide | 6 sections 40 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK
Ecop-DOLE MOU: Start of an industrial upgrading process? Rene E. Ofreneo
LABOREM EXERCENS
T
at 51.2 and Thailand’s at 50.3. Malaysia’s and Singapore’s manufacturing sector, meanwhile, were in the contraction territory during the month, with Malaysia’s PMI at 46.8 and Singapore hitting the bottom
HE campaign of the trade union movement to end the endo practice of hiring workers on a short-term basis has not yet succeeded in prodding a reluctant Congress to pass a law formally outlawing the controversial “labor-only contracting” system and abolishing all other forms of “contractualization.” Once the LOC is declared unlawful, penal sanctions may be imposed on those who organize LOC arrangements. Under the present Labor Code, the labor secretary is simply informed that he may “prohibit” LOC, defined as a situation where the so-called employer has no capital, no equipment and no control over the work process.
See “PMI,” A2
Continued on A7
Boracay closure cost: A high of ₧83B in biz, ₧28B in wages–PIDS
Inflation to fall below 6% in December, says ING
T
HE acceleration of consumer prices likely ended 2018 in the 5 percent territory, a private economist said, as index heavyweights are seen to pull inflation during the month. Recent analysis from ING Bank Manila showed inflation likely fell below 6 percent in December 2018 as the cost of food and energy-related items declined significantly during the month. ING Bank Manila Senior Economist Nicholas Mapa said supply chains are already starting to normalize and global energy prices are plunging faster than the rate of increase seen earlier this year. “The fourth-quarter harvest season and imports of grains have helped stabilize the supply [and price] for most food items with the latest government bulletin showing second week December rice inflation at 10.03 percent compared to November 2018’s 14.46 percent,” Mapa noted. “Meanwhile, domestic pump prices have tracked the freefall seen in Dubai oil prices, with gasoline prices now below pre-2018 taxreform levels with diesel not far behind. The November-December plunge convinced transport fare
2017 EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS
By Cai U. Ordinario
₧20.79B, ₧6.97B
HE closure of Boracay cost the Philippine economy and Filipino workers billions in revenue and income between May and October 2018, according to state-owned think tank Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS). This was the result of a study, titled “The Boracay Closure: Socioeconomic Consequences and Resilience Management,” authored by PIDS President Celia M. Reyes; Senior Research Fellow Jose Ramon G. Albert; Research Fellow Francis Mark A. Quimba; and research assistants Ma. Kristina P. Ortiz and Ronina D. Asis. The study estimated that the aggregate economic loss of the Boracay closure was between P20.8 billion and P83.15 billion, while in terms of income, the loss in compensation would range from P7 billion to P27.9 billion. “ Tourism sectors would be most affected, as well as agriculture and services, albeit slightly. Overall, while the results may not be very significant at the national level, it will still have its direct and indirect effects to
The projected loss in total output and loss in compensation, respectively, from the low-end scenario of the PIDS study, which assumes a 5-percent reduction in tourist receipts due to the closure
T WELCOME 2019! The Philippine Stock Exchange Inc. (PSE) welcomed 2019 with first trading day festivities—a champagne toast, coin and candy shower, and special bell-ringing ceremony. “There are many good things to look forward to in the next 12 months. We aim for products like shortselling and REITs to be launched very soon. We are also optimistic that market conditions will be more favorable for capital raising,” PSE Chairman Jose T. Pardo said at the program. On the first trading day of the year, the PSEi closed higher by 23.18 points, or 0.3 percent, to 7,489.20. In photo are PSE COO Roel A. Refran; Treasurer Omelita J. Tiangco; Directors Amor C. Iliscupidez and Wilson L. Sy; President and CEO Ramon S. Monzon; Chairman Jose Pardo; Directors Eddie Gobling, Vivian Yuchengco and Alejandro T. Yu. NONOY LACZA
Solons seek update on missed TRAIN revenue By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz @joveemarie
T
HE House Committee on Oversight will ask officials of the Department of Finance (DOF) and Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) to update Congress on the implementation of the second tranche of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) law. Minority Leader Danilo Suarez of
See “Inflation,” A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.5630
Quezon, chairman of the oversight panel, said lawmakers also want an update from the DOF and BIR on revenue collection from TRAIN following their reported missed revenue. “We can call them [when session resumes this month] because that’s a very serious issue if you miss the target, then we have to borrow more. We don’t know whether it will affect our deficit ceiling,” Suarez said in a recent interview.
Earlier, Bayan Muna Chairman Neri Colmenares and Bayan Muna Rep. Carlos Isagani Zarate hit the DOF for their missed TRAIN revenue. “The much ballyhooed TRAIN law is an utter failure and the revenues it was supposed to generate were far from true. The TRAIN law only gave us higher taxes and price shocks, but the supposed increased collections did not happen,” said Colmenares. Continued on A8
@caiordinario
people living in the island and in the entire municipality of Malay,” the authors said. “The study recommends the need to craft strategic and harmonized overall plan which lays out the various government efforts to safeguard the welfare of those who will be severely affected by the sudden closure of Boracay,” they added. The authors said that in 2017, Boracay had over 2 million visitors and about half were foreigners. This was a 16-percent growth from the 1.73 million tourists recorded in 2016. Tourist receipts from Boracay also increased to P56.1 billion in 2017, from P4.9 billion in 2001. This indicated an annual average growth rate of 16.5 percent. See “Boracay,” A2
n JAPAN 0.4790 n UK 67.0704 n HK 6.7121 n CHINA 7.6478 n SINGAPORE 38.5529 n AUSTRALIA 37.0832 n EU 60.0690 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.0135
Source: BSP (2 January 2019 )