BusinessMirror December 25, 2018

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DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Tuesday, December 25, 2018 Vol. 14 No. 76

PHL gross borrowings down 10.2% in October

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By Cai U. Ordinario

@caiordinario

HE Philippines’s gross borrowings declined by 10.2 percent to P34.102 billion in October, from P37.979 billion recorded a year ago, according to data released by the Bureau of the Treasury (BTr).

Data from the BTr also showed that the country’s borrowings fell by 22.46 percent, from September’s P43.979 billion. The BTr also indicated that gross borrowings made by the government from foreign entities amounted to P1.81 billion,

the lowest for the year. This also represented a contraction of 17.09 percent from the external gross borrowings of P2.016 billion in October 2017. The foreign borrowings in October accounted for all project loans during the period since there were

no other external borrowings for the month. This was the same case in October 2017. Domestic gross borrowings settled at P32.292 billion in October, a 10.21-percent decline from P35.963 billion in October 2017.

The domestic gross borrowings in October were accounted for by Treasury bills reaching P22.552 billion and fixed rate Treasury bonds worth P9.74 billion. Treasury bills jumped by 278.2 percent, from last year’s P5.963 billion, while fixed rate Treasury bonds contracted 67.53 percent from the P30 billion posted last year. Exter na l gross borrow ings reached P286.09 billion in the January-to-October period, while domestic gross borrowings amounted to P431.296 billion. See “Borrowings,” A2

Manny B. Villar

THE ENTREPRENEUR

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ITH the inflation scare fading gradually toward the end of 2018 and the element of uncertainty in the economy subsiding, we can look at 2019 with optimism. I am quite bullish on the Philippine economy after a volatile year that saw the inflation rate spiking to a nine-year high in September and October. We had good corporate earnings in the third quarter of 2018, while household consumption appeared to have rebounded after growth slowed from July to September. Continued on A6

Agri sector’s woes worry Duterte govt, private sector–DOF 9 percent @BcuaresmaBM

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See “Mnuchin bid,” A2

Bullish in 2019

By Bianca Cuaresma

Mnuchin bid to calm markets making bad situation worse REASURY Secretary Steven Mnuchin looked to quash big-bank worries over plunging stock markets and reports that President Donald Trump might move on his Federal Reserve chief by assuring the financial community on Sunday that market liquidity is in good shape. Some market participants, however, questioned why Mnuchin answered a question that no one was asking. Even after recent market losses, a liquidity squeeze or fresh financial crisis hadn’t been on the market’s mind. Mnuchin’s assertion of ample liquidity risked raising doubts. Mnuchin tweeted late Sunday afternoon that he’d called the chief executive officers of the nation’s six largest banks and that those chiefs “confirmed they have ample liquidity available for lending to consumer, business markets, and all other market operations.” Treasury also said Mnuchin would convene a call on Monday with the President’s Working Group on financial markets. Even with United States stock markets on the skids for weeks, and the federal government in a partial shutdown since Saturday, many market-watchers wondered

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₧32.292 billion The gross borrowings of the government from domestic sources in October

2017 EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

CHRISTMAS SHOPPING RUSH Shoppers flock under multicolored canvass tents sheltering lots of goodies on sale from the rain and the sun, as Christmas shopping reaches its peak at the Divisoria market, dubbed as the bargain capital of the Philippines. NONIE REYES

Poll: Young, educated workers may leave PHL

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HE country may see an exodus of young educated Filipinos who may leave the Philippines and work or live in other countries, according to the results of a recent Gallup poll. Based on the data in the Potential Net Migration Index, Gallup Inc. said the Philippines has a PNMI score of a contraction of 9 percent, with a brain drain of 16

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 53.1730

percent and youth population loss of 13 percent. The only Asean country that showed positive scores in PNMI, recorded a brain gain and an increase in its youth population was Singapore. It’s PNMI score was 225 percent, brain gain of 185 percent and youth population of 410 percent. “The higher the score, the larger the potential net population

gain. Negative scores indicate net population loss,” Gallup said. “Developed countries such as Singapore would see an influx of highly educated people.” Among the Asean countries, Vietnam had the most to lose with a PNMI score of -15 percent. It’s brain drain is 22 percent and lost youth population at 27 percent. See “Poll,” A8

GRICULTURE will remain among the “top concerns” of the economy in the next few years, as woes in the sector tend to spill over to other economic indicators, such as inflation and growth. The Department of Finance (DOF) said the sector will be among the main worries of the Duterte administration for the rest of its term, as the government should find ways to fulfill its goal of raising farm productivity and rural incomes. This will, in turn, prevent a repeat of the supply problems in rice and other major food items that led to the elevated inflation rate in the second half of 2018. Inflation for the year peaked at 6.7 percent in September and October, owing largely to rising prices of food items— particularly rice during the period. According to Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) data, rice was the No. 1 contributor to inflation in September 2018, while food items in the consumption basket accounted for more than half of the inflation rate in the same month. “We will focus on agriculture in the coming years. We know that the major reason for the inflation this year has been the logistics problems we have had in agriculture, as well as production problems,” Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said during a recent business forum. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) also expressed concern on the local banks’ reluctance to lend to the agricultural sector to improve its productivity. “Despite its significant impact and

The current share of the agriculture sector in Philippine GDP contributions, the agricultural sector’s access to credit remains a key challenge: most lenders consider it a high-risk market due to its vulnerability to weather conditions and natural disasters, productivity and capacity issues, and inadequate borrower information and infrastructure, among other factors,” the BSP said. “The reluctance of financing institutions to lend puts smallholders at a disadvantage and hinders them from effectively integrating into higher value markets,” it added. To date, the average share of agricultural loans stands only at 2.4 percent, significantly lower compared to the share of consumer loans at 17.5 percent and real-estate loans at 19.92 percent. The DOF said woes in the agricultural sector worries the private sector. Dominguez recalled that improving agricultural output and raising farmers’ incomes through education and the use of new farm technologies emerged as the No. 1 actionable recommendation of the private sector in the four “Sulong Pilipinas” events held last November. “This shows that even the business community recognizes the importance of the farm sector in sustaining the economy’s high growth rate,” the DOF said. Agriculture currently employs approximately 11 million Filipinos, but accounts for only 9 percent of the country’s GDP.

n JAPAN 0.4781 n UK 67.3596 n HK 6.7908 n CHINA 7.7247 n SINGAPORE 38.7954 n AUSTRALIA 37.8379 n EU 60.9416 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.1711

Source: BSP (21 December 2018 )


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