Businessmirror December 08, 2018

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PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

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Saturday, December 8, 2018 Vol. 14 No. 59

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CAN WE GROW MORE FOOD ON LESS LAND?

WE’LL HAVE TO, A NEW STUDY FINDS By Brad Plumer | New York Times News Service

W

ASHINGTON—If the world hopes to make meaningful progress on climate change, it won’t be enough for cars and factories to get cleaner. Our cows and wheat fields will have to become radically more efficient, too. That’s the basic conclusion of a sweeping new study issued Wednesday by the World Resources

Institute, an environmental group. The report warns that the world’s agricultural system will need dras-

tic changes in the next few decades in order to feed billions more people without triggering a climate catastrophe. The challenge is daunting: Agriculture already occupies roughly 40 percent of the world’s vegetated land and is responsible for about a quarter of humanity’s greenhousegas emissions. But with the global population expected to grow from 7.2 billion people today to nearly 10 billion by 2050, and with many millions of people eating more meat as incomes rise, that environmental impact is on pace to expand dramatically. Based on current trends, the authors calculated, the world

would need to produce 56 percent more calories in 2050 than it did in 2010. If farmers and ranchers met that demand by clearing away more forests and other ecosystems for cropland and pasture, as they have often done in the past, they would end up transforming an area twice the size of India. That, in turn, could make it nearly impossible to stay below 2 degrees Celsius of global warming, the agreed-upon international goal, even if the world’s fossil-fuel emissions were rapidly phased down. When forests are converted into farmland, the large stores of carbon locked away in those trees is released into the atmosphere.

“Food is the mother of all sustainability challenges,” said Janet Ranganathan, vice president for science and research at the World Resources Institute. “We can’t get below 2 degrees without major changes to this system.”

Less meat, but also better farming

THE new study, the result of six years’ worth of modeling work conducted in partnership with French agricultural researchers, is hardly the first to warn that feeding the world sustainably will be a formidable task. But the authors take a different view of the most plausible solutions.

In the past, researchers who have looked at the food problem have suggested that the key to a sustainable agriculture system is to persuade consumers to eat far less meat and waste far less of the food that’s already grown. The new report, however, cautions that this could prove difficult in practice. The authors do recommend that the biggest consumers of beef and lamb, such as those in Europe and the United States, could cut back their consumption by about 40 percent by 2050, or down to about 1.5 servings a week on average. Those two types of See “Food,” A2

INSIGHT Future challenges of PHL foreign policy By Amb. Albert del Rosario* Chairman, Stratbase ADR Institute

(*These remarks were delivered at the Stratbase ADR Institute forum on December 7, 2018, in Makati City. Mr. del Rosario is the former Philippine Foreign Affairs secretary, whose stint was marked by the country’s filing of a case against “excessive” Chinese claims in the South China Sea. A UN arbitral tribunal upheld the Philippine position. Mr. del Rosario and another pillar of the country’s quest for a principled position in the SCS, Supreme Court Senior Associate Justice Antonio Carpio, recently expressed support for Manila’s Memorandum of Understanding [MOU] with Beijing, a framework for possible energy cooperation between the two SCS claimants, as crafted and signed by del Rosario’s successor, now DFA Secretary Teodoro L. Locsin Jr.)

W

ELCOME to all, and allow me—if you will —to humbly share my thoughts on the challenges of our foreign policy. Very recently, I had given similar remarks at the Ateneo University. As we contemplate what is happening around us, we find ourselves being bombarded every day with news and images of a world seemingly out of control. There seems to be across the board disruptions in so many fields at the same time. Long stable countries have disintegrated internally. Old alliances are being called into ques-

ROSARIO

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.7060

tion. A large-scale trade war is unfolding between major economic powers. These trends raise both troubling and obscure questions. Are we on the verge of another nuclear arms race cycle? How will we fare in the struggle for global economic dominance among some of our closest foreign trade and investment partners? What must we do to manage the inevitable onslaught of the results of the new wave of artificial intelligence captured in the Fourth Industrial Revolution? Is it possible to have better global migration governance with hundreds of millions of our people on the move, involving millions of our own OFWs? It is easy to be overwhelmed. One of the distinctive features of our present times is growing uncertainty. It would not be too much of an exaggeration to say that we are at the dawn of an Age of Uncertainty. The comfortable policy certainties of the past have evaporated. We can no longer rely exclusively on historical lessons. Our Ship of State now has to navigate uncharted waters that are

broader and more perilous than perhaps at any other time in the past half-century. We must choose our course carefully. We must ensure that our Ship of State is seaworthy. And our seamanship has to be the best we can provide. With the daunting challenges to our foreign policy, our prime objective is to assert our rightful place in the community of nations. It starts and must end with the global observance of the rule of law.

On an independent foreign policy

TO pursue an independent foreign policy should not be a zero sum game. It is not a simple choice between war or peace but about initiating new friendships and strengthening old ones in the spirit of sovereign equality. It is of utmost importance that we should stand strong in being able to deliver the main pillars of foreign affairs: First is national security. The Philippines has to be able to ensure its territorial integrity and independence as a nation-state.

Its integrity as a state can and has been threatened externally and internally. Sovereignty is the touchstone of our actions, whether in defense of our maritime territory, or to protect against domestic terrorists, separatists and insurgents. Second is enhancing economic diplomacy. The Philippines is a developing nation with a growing population in Southeast Asia. Whereas in earlier years, Southeast Asia had been beset by conflict and instability, it is now known as the home of Asean, the fastest-growing region in the world. As a developing nation, the primordial concern for us is to promote inclusive growth, expand decent employment, improve technological capabilities and elevate the general standard of living of the people. This can best be done through improving the country’s competitiveness in the context of a policy of economic openness and regional integration. But, in pursuing economic growth, we should not put all our eggs in one basket. We need all the help we can get; and we need all the partners we can find.

Third is preserving the rights of our overseas Filipino workers. The total number of international migrants in the world is estimated at some 280 million people. The Philippines accounts for only about 10 million of those, but these have been vital for the economic well-being for our country. Hence, there must be continuing emphasis in Philippine foreign policy on protecting the rights and welfare of migrant Filipinos and, by extension, its profound interest in securing bilateral, regional and international migration governance cooperation. There is yet a fourth, intangible but fundamentally important wellspring of our foreign policy. And that is the values by which we aspire to live as a nation. We see ourselves as an emerging democracy with a proud national tradition not only of fighting for freedom, but endeavoring to ensure that such freedom provides a better life for our people. The liberty and rights we cherish as a free people inform much Continued on A2

n JAPAN 0.4655 n UK 67.1053 n HK 6.7465 n CHINA 7.6853 n SINGAPORE 38.5644 n AUSTRALIA 38.3067 n EU 59.8002 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.0493

Source: BSP (December 6, 2018 )

WILM IHLENFELD | DREAMSTIME.COM

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

2018 EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS


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